Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Views - Indonesia has launched a $5.6 billion waste-to-energy project, indicating a vast market opportunity for solid waste management companies to expand internationally [11][12]. - The solid waste sector is experiencing strong fundamentals, with a notable increase in free cash flow and improved return on equity (ROE) due to operational efficiencies and reduced capital expenditures [14][15]. - The water services sector is poised for growth, with expectations of increased cash flow and dividend payouts as capital expenditures decline [18][19]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Indonesia's sovereign fund has initiated the first waste-to-energy project tender, with plans for 33 plants and a total investment of approximately 56 billion USD [11]. - The solid waste industry is transitioning to a mature phase, focusing on efficiency improvements and cash flow generation [14]. - The environmental sanitation vehicle market saw a 63.18% increase in new energy vehicle sales, with a penetration rate of 17.40% [20]. Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - **Waiming Environmental**: Selected as a supplier for Indonesia's waste-to-energy projects, with significant operational capacity [13]. - **Green Power**: Strong performance driven by increased heating capacity and cost savings [14]. - **Yongxing Co.**: Notable growth in revenue and profit due to improved operational efficiency [14]. - Companies to watch include **Dayu Water Saving**, **Lian Tai Environmental**, and **Wang Neng Environment** [1]. Financial Performance - The solid waste sector reported a 12% increase in net profit and a 2.7 percentage point rise in gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 [14]. - Free cash flow for the sector reached 13.3 billion CNY, marking a 28% increase year-on-year [14]. - Dividend payouts are expected to rise, with several companies maintaining high payout ratios [15][18]. Market Trends - The water services sector is expected to see a cash flow turnaround, similar to the solid waste sector, with anticipated increases in dividend payouts as capital expenditures decrease [18][19]. - Price reforms in water services are expected to enhance growth and valuation, with cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen implementing price increases [18]. Equipment and Technology - The report highlights the growth in the environmental sanitation vehicle market, particularly in new energy vehicles, which are becoming increasingly prevalent [20]. - The report also notes improvements in the profitability of lithium battery recycling, with a slight decrease in metal prices leading to better margins [34][35].

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for various sectors within the energy industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, thermal power, and gas sectors [10][30]. Core Insights - The electricity market in the State Grid operating area has achieved near-complete coverage of the electricity spot market, with significant developments in provinces such as Shanxi, which has seen a 128.75% increase in new energy and clean energy installed capacity since the 14th Five-Year Plan [4][9]. - Natural gas prices have shown a divergent trend globally, with increases in Europe and the US, while prices in Asia remain stable due to ample supply [11][30]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity - The State Grid has implemented a continuous settlement trial for the electricity spot market in Sichuan and Chongqing, marking a significant step towards full coverage [4][7]. - Shanxi's electricity spot market has recorded a total clearing volume of 156.23 billion kWh in the first half of 2025, with real-time average prices reflecting a "two peaks and one valley" pattern [9][10]. 2. Natural Gas - As of November 7, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price in the US reached $3.76/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly increase of 5.52%, while European prices also saw upward trends [11][12]. - The report notes that the LNG national ex-factory price in China is 4382 yuan/ton, with a slight weekly decrease of 0.57% [28][30]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Hydropower: Favorable conditions for winter and spring generation, recommending companies like Guotou Power and Chuan Investment Energy [10]. - Green Energy: Increased stability in returns for existing projects, suggesting attention to companies like New Energy and Longyuan Power [10]. - Nuclear Power: Long-term growth potential remains strong, with recommendations for China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power [10]. - Thermal Power: Improved profitability due to lower fuel costs, recommending companies like Guodian Power and Huaneng International [10]. - Gas Sector: Favorable conditions for city gas companies, recommending Kunlun Energy and New Energy [30]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - As of September 2025, China's new energy storage capacity exceeded 100 million kW, accounting for over 40% of the global total [39]. - The report highlights the steady growth in electricity market transactions, with a total of 4.92 trillion kWh traded by September 2025, marking a 7.2% year-on-year increase [39].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the power and gas sectors, highlighting the full coverage of the electricity spot market in the State Grid operating area and the seasonal rise in gas prices in Europe and the US [1]. Core Insights - The electricity spot market in the State Grid operating area has achieved near-complete coverage, with 18 provincial-level markets in continuous settlement trial operation as of November 1, 2025. This includes the formal operation of inter-provincial markets and five provincial-level markets [4][8]. - In the gas sector, US Henry Hub spot prices rose to $3.76/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly increase of 5.52%, while European gas prices also saw increases due to seasonal demand [13][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity - The State Grid operating area has nearly achieved full coverage of the electricity spot market, with significant developments in various provinces. As of November 1, 2025, the market has transitioned to continuous settlement trials in Sichuan and Chongqing [4][8]. - In Shanxi, the first province to fully implement the electricity spot market, the average spot price for electricity was recorded at 0.283 yuan/kWh, with a total of 156.23 billion kWh cleared in the first half of 2025 [10]. - The growth of renewable energy capacity in Shanxi has been substantial, with an increase of 128.75% since the 14th Five-Year Plan, leading to a significant impact on electricity pricing and market dynamics [10]. 2. Gas - The report notes a divergence in global gas prices, with US prices rising while Asian LNG prices remain stable due to ample supply. As of November 7, 2025, the Northeast Asia LNG spot price was $11.10/mmBtu, unchanged from the previous week [13][27]. - The report highlights the increase in US natural gas production and demand, with the Henry Hub futures price reaching $4.32/mmBtu, marking a 4.63% increase [14][19]. - Recommendations for investment in gas-related companies include those with integrated natural gas trading capabilities, such as Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, as well as city gas companies benefiting from cost reductions [31]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The report indicates that the electricity equipment, public utilities, environmental protection, and gas sectors outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the week of November 2 to November 9, 2025 [35]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - As of September 2025, China's new energy storage capacity exceeded 100 million kW, representing over 40% of the global total, with significant contributions from various regions [41]. - The report also notes that the National Energy Administration is actively promoting the construction of a unified national electricity market, with trading volumes and participants steadily increasing [41].

Core Insights - The overall shareholding ratio of southbound funds in Hong Kong Stock Connect stocks is 19.12%, with 238 stocks having a shareholding ratio exceeding 20% [1] - Southbound funds hold a total of 4,829.92 million shares, accounting for 19.12% of the total share capital of the stocks, with a market value of 62,903.32 billion HKD, representing 14.56% of the total market value [1] - The stocks with the highest shareholding ratios by southbound funds are primarily AH concept stocks, with 127 out of 238 stocks exceeding 20% shareholding being AH stocks [1] Summary by Category Southbound Fund Holdings - Southbound funds have a significant presence in the Hong Kong market, with 238 stocks having over 20% shareholding, 135 stocks between 10% and 20%, 96 stocks between 5% and 10%, 82 stocks between 1% and 5%, and 18 stocks below 1% [1] - The highest shareholding is in China Telecom (601728) at 71.42%, followed by Green Power (601330) at 69.43% and COSCO Shipping Energy (600026) at 69.25% [2] Industry Distribution - The stocks with over 20% shareholding by southbound funds are mainly concentrated in the healthcare, industrial, and financial sectors, with 56, 35, and 34 stocks respectively [2] - A detailed list of high shareholding stocks includes China Telecom, Green Power, COSCO Shipping Energy, and others, with varying market prices and daily price changes [2][3]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 綠色動力環保集團股份有限公司（備註） 呈交日期: 2025年11月6日 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 1,393,454,130 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01330 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 404,359,792 | | 0 | | 404,359,792 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 404,359,792 | | ...

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 綠色動力環保集團股份有限公司（備註） 呈交日期: 2025年11月6日 | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 601300 | 說明 | | 於上海證券交易所上市 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | | 989,094,229 | | 0 | | 989,094,229 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | 109 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | | 989,094,338 | | 0 | | 989,094,338 | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the environmental protection industry [12] Core Insights - The environmental protection sector showed a significant increase in performance, with a 17.3% year-on-year growth in non-recurring net profit for Q3 2025, driven by stable operations and profit recovery in cyclical assets [6][40] - The overall revenue for the environmental sector reached 221.7 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking a 3.12% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 4.88% to 21.9 billion yuan [21][40] - The cash flow situation improved, with a cash collection ratio of 95.1% in Q3 2025, reflecting a 4.5 percentage point increase year-on-year, indicating a stable investment environment despite a downward trend in financing [8][40] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q3 2025, the environmental sector achieved a revenue of 79.6 billion yuan, a 9.64% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 8.2 billion yuan, up 11.8% [6][40] - The non-recurring net profit for Q3 2025 was 7.75 billion yuan, reflecting a 17.3% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by strong performances in waste incineration, biodiesel, and air quality sectors [6][40] Financial Statements - The overall asset-liability ratio for the environmental sector was 57.3% in Q3 2025, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.35 percentage points, indicating a slowdown in the growth rate of liabilities [7] - The cash flow from operating activities showed a net inflow of 27.1 billion yuan, a 30.6% increase year-on-year, with improvements noted in waste management and water operations [8] Investment Strategy - The report suggests continued investment in waste incineration and water sectors, with a potential for valuation recovery as the industry transitions towards a more market-oriented model [9] - Recommended companies include Hanlan Environment, China Everbright International, and Weiming Environmental, among others, highlighting their potential for growth and dividend returns [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of the "15th Five-Year Plan" focusing on green dual carbon goals, marketization, and debt management [4][8] - The solid waste sector shows strong performance in Q3 2025, with improved cash flow and profitability [4][12] Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection sector, highlighting strong fundamentals and growth potential [1] Key Investment Themes - The "15th Five-Year Plan" prioritizes green transformation, dual carbon goals, marketization, and debt management as key themes for the environmental sector [4][8] - The report suggests that the solid waste sector is experiencing robust growth, with Q3 2025 showing a 12% increase in net profit and a 2.7 percentage point rise in gross margin [4][12] Solid Waste Sector Insights - The solid waste sector's free cash flow improved significantly, with a net operating cash flow of 13.3 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a 28% increase [4][12] - The report highlights that the sector is entering a mature phase, with capital expenditures declining and dividend payouts increasing [12][14] Water Management Sector Insights - The water management sector is expected to experience a cash flow turning point, similar to the solid waste sector, with anticipated increases in free cash flow starting in 2026 [17][18] - The report notes that water pricing reforms are crucial for ensuring reasonable returns on investments, with cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen implementing price adjustments [17][18] Renewable Energy and Recycling Insights - The report indicates a 63.18% year-on-year increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles in the first nine months of 2025, with a penetration rate of 17.40% [20][28] - The report also highlights improvements in profitability for lithium battery recycling due to rising metal prices, with lithium carbonate prices reaching 80,600 yuan per ton [20][28]

Investment Rating - The report provides a positive investment outlook for the electricity and natural gas sectors, highlighting potential growth opportunities in renewable energy and natural gas consumption [4][8]. Core Insights - The green certificate market is experiencing a significant increase in both volume and price, with a 210% rise in average trading prices in Q3 compared to Q1. The total issuance of green power certificates reached 2.29 billion in September 2025, with 1.58 billion being tradable [7][8]. - Global natural gas prices are fluctuating, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price reaching a six-month high of $3.57/mmBtu, while European prices are showing mixed trends [9][11]. - The report anticipates an increase in natural gas consumption in Q4 2025 due to low base effects and expected higher heating demand from a potential La Niña phenomenon [30][31]. Summary by Sections Electricity - The average trading price of green certificates increased by 210% in Q3 compared to Q1. The issuance of green certificates reached 2.29 billion in September 2025, with 1.58 billion being tradable, indicating a robust market growth [7][8]. - The report emphasizes the need for further development of the green certificate market and the introduction of regulations to enhance renewable energy consumption [4][7]. Natural Gas - As of October 31, 2025, the U.S. Henry Hub spot price was $3.57/mmBtu, marking an 11.16% increase week-on-week. In contrast, European gas prices showed a decline, with the TTF spot price at €30.35/MWh, down 5.42% [9][10]. - The report notes a decrease in China's apparent natural gas consumption in September 2025, but anticipates a rebound in Q4 2025 due to low base effects and increased heating demand [30][31]. - The LNG national ex-factory price in China rose to 4407 yuan/ton, reflecting a 3.11% increase week-on-week, driven by rising demand ahead of the heating season [28][30]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their performance and market conditions: - Hydropower: Focus on Guotou Power, Chuan Investment Energy, and Yangtze Power due to favorable hydrological conditions [8]. - Green Power: Attention to New Energy, Funiu Co., Longyuan Power, and China Resources Power for their stable returns [8]. - Nuclear Power: Recommendations for China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power due to ongoing approvals for new units [8]. - Thermal Power: Companies like Guodian Power and Huadian International are highlighted for improved profitability due to falling coal prices [8]. - Gas Power: Recommendations for Guangzhou Development and Shenzhen Energy based on expected stability in profitability [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for various sectors including hydropower, green electricity, nuclear power, thermal power, and gas power [4][9][44]. Core Insights - The green certificate market is experiencing a significant increase in both volume and price, with a 210% rise in average trading price in Q3 compared to Q1 [8]. - Global natural gas prices are fluctuating, with the US Henry Hub spot price reaching a near six-month high of $3.57/mmBtu, while European prices are showing mixed trends [11][12]. - The report anticipates a potential increase in gas consumption growth in Q4 2025 due to low base effects and high demand expectations, despite a 1.6% year-on-year decline in September gas consumption [32][33]. Summary by Sections 1. Electricity - In September 2025, 229 million green electricity certificates were issued, with 68.86% being tradable [4][8]. - The report highlights the improvement in market mechanisms and the growing demand for renewable energy consumption [8]. 2. Natural Gas - As of October 31, 2025, the US Henry Hub spot price increased by 11.16% week-on-week, while European prices showed a decline [11][12]. - The report notes a 1.6% year-on-year decrease in national gas consumption in September, with expectations for growth in Q4 2025 due to favorable weather conditions [32][33]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommendations include hydropower companies such as Guotou Power and Chuanwei Energy, green electricity firms like Xintian Green Energy and Longyuan Power, and gas companies including Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [9][44]. - The report emphasizes the potential for improved profitability in the gas sector due to declining costs and rising demand [33][44].