2026年开年首周，保险行业上演"开门红"盛况。 开年以来，A股保险板块集体拉升，截至1月7日，申万保险指数涨幅近10%，新华保险（601336.SH） 涨超18%，多只保险股股价创下历史新高；港股市场亦同步走强，中国人寿（02628.HK）、中国太平 （00966.HK）等涨幅均超15%，南北两市保险股共振走强。 业内认为，保险股行情火热背后，和行业"开门红"业务超预期兑现有一定关系。在居民 "存款搬家" 与 低利率双重驱动下，"保底+浮动收益" 的分红险成绝对主力，演示结算收益率为3%-3.5%的产品，精准 承接储蓄迁移需求；部分险企地区分公司开年首三天期交保费破亿元，有投资者购买百万元的分红型保 单。 南开大学金融发展研究院院长田利辉向时代财经指出，分红险的崛起和银保渠道的价值回归，或标志着 行业正从粗放的规模竞赛，转向兼顾稳健经营与客户价值的深度耕耘。未来的赢家，必将是那些能够将 庞大的销售网络转化为深度服务生态，并以穿越周期的资产配置能力，将保单上的"预期红利"转化为客 户账户实际收益的保险公司。 分红险成主推产品，"开门红"表现普遍超预期 田利辉向时代财经表示，分红险的核心吸引力在于"利率下行周期 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the growth of the insurance industry in the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, with a total original insurance premium income of 74.148 billion yuan from January to November 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.09% [1] - Life insurance accounted for the highest proportion of the total original insurance premium income in Xinjiang, amounting to 33.827 billion yuan, which is 45.62% of the total [1] - The report referenced is the "2026-2032 China Insurance Industry Development Analysis and Investment Prospect Forecast Report" published by Zhiyan Consulting, indicating a focus on future trends and investment opportunities in the insurance sector [1] Group 2 - The data source for the cumulative original insurance premium income statistics from 2020 to November 2025 is the National Financial Supervision Administration, organized by Zhiyan Consulting [2] - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research reports, business plans, feasibility studies, and customized services [2]

2020年-2025年1-11月海南省累计原保险保费收入统计图 上市企业：天茂集团（000627），中国平安（601318），中国人保（601319），新华保险（601336）， 中国太保（601601），中国人寿（601628） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国保险行业发展分析及投资前景预测报告》 2025年1-11月海南省原保险保费收入共计207.89亿元，同比增长2.88%，海南省累计原保险保费收入不 同险种类别中寿险占比最高，为95.12亿元，占比45.75%。 数据来源：国家金融监督管理总局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 ...

Core Insights - The report discusses the dual nature of the OCI (Other Comprehensive Income) option in the context of the tax adjustments for insurance companies transitioning to new accounting standards, indicating that the impact on cash flow from tax retroactivity is limited [3][4][6]. Summary by Sections Tax Adjustment Overview - The Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation issued a notice regarding the tax treatment for the transition to new insurance contract standards, effective from 2026, allowing companies to smooth out tax differences over five years [3][6]. - The overall impact of this tax adjustment on listed insurance companies is deemed limited, as most have already implemented the new standards since early 2023 [3][4]. Profitability and Tax Rates - Listed insurance companies have seen record high profits, with pre-tax profits in the first three quarters of 2025 exceeding the total for 2024, while actual tax rates have remained low, indicating a disconnect between tax obligations and operational performance [4][5]. - The average effective tax rates from 2020 to Q3 2025 were 10%, 8%, -1%, -6%, 12%, and 17%, with some companies reporting negative tax rates in certain years [4]. Impact of New Accounting Standards - The core difference in profits under the old and new accounting standards is attributed to the 750 curve, which has declined, affecting net profit levels, particularly for life insurance companies [5]. - The new standards provide an OCI option that mitigates the impact of interest rate declines on net profit, but it also removes the tax shield previously available under the old standards [5]. Cash Flow Implications - The tax adjustments are expected to have a minimal impact on operating cash flows, with the average effect on listed insurance companies estimated at 2.27%, while companies like Xinhua and China Life may experience a more significant impact of around 14% [6]. - The choice of how to account for retained earnings from the new standards will influence the actual cash flow effects, with options to either include them in the taxable income for 2026 or spread them over five years [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests monitoring major listed insurance companies such as China Life, Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, Xinhua Insurance, and China Property & Casualty Insurance for potential investment opportunities [7].

Group 1 - The internet insurance sector experienced a decline of 2.00%, ranking among the top losers in the concept sector, with notable declines from Tianli Technology, Jinzhen Co., and Jiayun Technology [1] - Among the stocks in the internet insurance sector, China Life, Xinhua Insurance, and Seven Wolves saw increases of 1.01%, 1.88%, and 3.65% respectively, despite the overall sector decline [1] - The concept sectors with the highest gains included photolithography with a rise of 6.05% and storage chips with an increase of 3.30% [1] Group 2 - The internet insurance sector faced a net outflow of 3.265 billion yuan, with 15 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 7 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 50 million yuan [1] - The stock with the highest net outflow was Dongfang Wealth, which saw a net outflow of 1.774 billion yuan, followed by Keda Xunfei and China Ping An with net outflows of 534 million yuan and 454 million yuan respectively [1] - Conversely, the stocks with the highest net inflows included China Life, Tongfang Co., and Xinzhisoft, with net inflows of 20.365 million yuan, 7.703 million yuan, and 734,100 yuan respectively [1][2]

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several key stocks in the financial and manufacturing sectors, including China Resources Land and Nanjing Bank, among others [12][19][53]. Core Insights - The report highlights the financial and manufacturing industries' investment outlook for January 2026, emphasizing the need to focus on companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential amid economic pressures [6][8][10]. - It identifies specific sectors such as real estate, non-bank financials, banking, new energy, machinery, military industry, light industry, and environmental protection as areas of interest for investment [8][10][21][32][36][43]. Summary by Sector Real Estate - The real estate sector faces increasing downward pressure, necessitating policy easing. Key companies like China Resources Land are highlighted for their strong operational capabilities and cash flow stability [11][12][53]. Non-Bank Financials - The non-bank financial sector is expected to benefit from policy support and high market trading volumes, with companies like New China Life Insurance showing strong growth potential [16][17][53]. Banking - The banking sector is viewed positively, with a focus on large banks and city commercial banks, particularly Jiangsu Bank, which is noted for its attractive valuation and growth prospects [18][19][53]. New Energy - The new energy sector is at a turning point, with companies like Sungrow Power Supply and Slin Smart Drive recommended for their growth potential in solar and energy storage technologies [21][23][53]. Machinery - The machinery sector is encouraged to focus on AI and robotics, with companies like Hengli Hydraulic and Ding Tai High-Tech identified for their growth opportunities in traditional and emerging markets [25][30][31][53]. Military Industry - The military sector is expected to see growth from military-to-civilian transitions and military trade, with AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Company highlighted for its potential in the domestic and international markets [32][34][53]. Light Industry - The light industry is advised to focus on overseas manufacturing and new consumer opportunities, with companies like Yingke Medical and Meiyin Sen noted for their growth in international markets [36][40][53]. Environmental Protection - The environmental sector is poised for growth through overseas expansion and rising metal prices, with companies like Weiming Environmental and Ice Wheel Environment recommended for their strong market positions [43][48][51][53].

在普惠金融方面，2025年新华保险为乡村人群赔付33亿元，惠及38.7万人次；为老年人群赔付10亿元， 惠及94.8万人次。同时，公司在22家分公司承接55个惠民保项目，赔付金额超4600万元。公益项目方 面，"顶梁柱""加油宝贝"等项目覆盖超10个省份、35万人，累计赔付5460件、671.3万元；关爱环卫工 人项目2025年赔付61件、520.5万元。 2025年，新华保险百万医疗垫付服务金额达2925万元，同比增长155%，为573人次提供垫付服务支持。 此外，公司全年对CAR-T、质子重离子等先进疗法赔付超2000万元，并创新推出服务给付型商业护理保 险"康护无忧"，将专业护理服务纳入保障范围。 理赔是保险承诺的兑现，也是保险业社会价值的最直观体现。近日，新华保险发布的2025年理赔服务年 报显示，2025年赔付总金额达147亿元，日均赔付4029万元，全年处理赔付件数501万件，平均每天有 1.4万件理赔案结案，全年豁免保费8.1亿元，涉及2.1万张保单。从赔付结构看，重疾险赔付金额61.3亿 元，占比超过40%。 基于2025年的理赔数据，新华保险发布健康风险提示，未成年人需重点防范呼吸系统疾病、 ...

Core Viewpoint - The insurance sector experienced a significant rise of over 6% on January 5, 2026, with Xinhua Insurance and China Pacific Insurance reaching historical highs, driven by a cyclical logic of improved expectations, rising long-term interest rates, and reinforced profit elasticity since December 2025 [1] Group 1: Market Performance and Expectations - The current stock prices reflect an optimistic outlook for the "opening red" period of 2026, with Q1 2026 expected to be a peak for value and profit growth [2] - The average new business growth rate for listed insurance companies in Q1 2026 is projected to be 30%, with bancassurance and individual insurance growth rates at 50% and 20% respectively [2] - The low base from 2025 for individual insurance and the increasing focus on bancassurance channels by leading companies are expected to drive growth in new business [2] Group 2: Interest Rates and Valuation - The significance of long-term interest rates breaking the 2.0% mark is highlighted, with market expectations showing divergence on future trends [3] - If long-term rates exceed 2.0%, it could lead to a gradual approach of P/EV valuations towards 1x, benefiting insurance stock valuations [3] - The 10-year government bond yield is anticipated to range between 1.7% and 2.1% in 2026, with a favorable environment for insurance stock valuations due to improving credit spreads and term spreads [3] Group 3: Business Value and Growth Projections - The internal value (EV) credibility is gradually recovering, with expectations of a return to growth in EV for listed insurance companies from 2025 to 2027, averaging 10.6%, 10.9%, and 10.8% respectively [4] - The new business value (NBV) growth rates are projected at 34.7%, 21.7%, and 10.0% for the same period, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4] - The insurance companies are expected to improve profitability through refined management of liability costs and benefit from upward catalysts in the asset side [4] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - Investment in cyclical insurance stocks with strong performance support is recommended, as 2026 is expected to see growth in new business and value alongside continued management of liability costs [4] - The focus on bancassurance channels and the improvement in payment structures are likely to enhance value contributions from these channels [6]

险资在推动资本市场投融资改革中的投资行为不是单一的，而是系统的、战略导向鲜明的，且也是富有成效的。 文/每日财报 栗佳 日前在京举行的中央经济工作会议，在全面总结2025年经济工作的同时，还立足当前我国经济形势对2026年经济工作作出系统部署与精准规划。 其中，2026年资本市场工作安排，被纳入会议确定的年度第三项重点任务，引发市场广泛关注。会议明确提出，要坚持改革攻坚，激发高质量发展动力与 活力，持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革。 值得关注的是，这已是中央经济工作会议连续两年聚焦"资本市场投融资综合改革"。2024年中央经济工作会议曾明确要求，深化资本市场投融资综合改 革，打通中长期资金入市卡点堵点，增强资本市场制度的包容性与适应性。 近年来，推进投融资综合改革已成为资本市场改革发展的主线。从2024年中央经济工作会议首次提出深化资本市场投融资综合改革，到党的二十届四中全 会审议通过的《"十五五"规划建议》提出健全投资和融资相协调的资本市场功能，再到如今政策加码提出持续深化资本市场投融资综合改革，政策顶层设 计的持续递进，勾勒出资本市场改革的清晰路径。 这一系列部署，既是我国构建起"安全、规范、透明、开放、有 ...

理赔是保险承诺的兑现，也是保险业社会价值的最直观体现。近日，新华保险发布的2025年理赔服 务年报显示，2025年赔付总金额达147亿元，日均赔付4029万元，全年处理赔付件数501万件，平均每天 有1.4万件理赔案结案，全年豁免保费8.1亿元，涉及2.1万张保单。从赔付结构看，重疾险赔付金额61.3 亿元，占比超过40%。 数据显示，2025年，新华保险单笔身故最高赔付1050万元，重疾最高赔付419万元；医疗赔付方 面，单一客户累计最高获赔547万元，全年赔付次数最高的客户达160次。 在服务效率方面，公司整体理赔案件从申请到结案的平均时效缩短至0.77天，其中5000元以内小额 医疗险理赔平均时效为0.5天，最快一笔理赔到账时间为10秒，全年96.4%的理赔案件实现结案当日到 账。 在普惠金融方面，2025年新华保险为乡村人群赔付33亿元，惠及38.7万人次；为老年人群赔付10亿 元，惠及94.8万人次。同时，公司在22家分公司承接55个惠民保项目，赔付金额超4600万元。公益项目 方面，"顶梁柱""加油宝贝"等项目覆盖超10个省份、35万人，累计赔付5460件、671.3万元；关爱环卫 工人项目202 ...