Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the non-banking sector, highlighting the potential for both beta and alpha resonance in the market due to upcoming mid-year performance catalysts [5]. Core Insights - The introduction of new regulations for insurance capital, promoting long-term investments, is expected to enhance the matching of assets and liabilities for insurance companies, thereby increasing their equity investment ratios and stabilizing profit margins [1]. - The performance of listed securities firms is anticipated to show robust growth in the first half of 2025, with several firms projecting significant year-on-year profit increases, driven by active market conditions and improved business operations [2]. - The China Securities Association's new self-regulatory management guidelines aim to enhance the quality of the securities industry, focusing on compliance and risk management, which is expected to support sustainable growth in the sector [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - Major indices experienced gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.09% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.78% during the week of July 7-11, 2025 [8]. Securities Sector - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 8.80 trillion yuan, with a daily average trading amount of 1.47 trillion yuan, reflecting a 2.25% increase week-on-week and a 118.28% increase year-on-year [17]. - The IPO underwriting scale for the year reached 391.22 billion yuan, while refinancing underwriting amounted to 795.95 billion yuan as of July 11, 2025 [17]. Insurance Sector - The new regulations for insurance capital are expected to improve the long-term investment capabilities of insurance companies, enhancing their ability to provide stable returns and support economic growth [1]. Liquidity Tracking - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 425.7 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 226.5 billion yuan from the market, indicating tightening liquidity conditions [28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading insurance companies such as China Pacific Insurance, Sunshine Insurance, and China Life, as well as top securities firms like CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities, due to their strong market positions and growth potential [39][40].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [4] Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector index increased by 3.96%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.14 percentage points, ranking third among all primary industries [2][15] - The implementation of the "28 Measures for High-Quality Development of the Securities Industry" aims to enhance self-regulation and promote high-quality development within the securities sector [3][16] - The recent notification from the Ministry of Finance emphasizes the importance of long-term stable investments by state-owned insurance companies, adjusting performance evaluation metrics to include longer time frames [7][17] Market and Sector Performance - The average daily trading volume of A-shares reached 14,961 million yuan, a week-on-week increase of 3.8% and a year-on-year increase of 138.2% [20] - In the second quarter of 2025, the average daily trading volume was 12,886 million yuan, up 55.7% from the same period in 2024 [20] - As of July 10, 2025, the margin trading balance was 18,737.06 billion yuan, a 0.78% increase from the previous period and a 19.57% increase compared to the average level in 2024 [20] Regulatory Developments - The "Implementation Opinions" released by the China Securities Association outlines 28 measures to strengthen self-regulation and enhance the service capabilities of securities firms [3][16] - The new performance evaluation system for state-owned insurance companies will now consider annual, three-year, and five-year indicators for net asset return and capital preservation rates, with respective weights of 30%, 50%, and 20% [7][17][19] Investment Opportunities - The adjustment in performance evaluation metrics for insurance companies is expected to reduce sensitivity to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the willingness of insurance funds to enter the market, potentially stabilizing market operations [8][19] - The securities sector is anticipated to achieve high-quality development as the new measures are gradually implemented, fostering a more robust industry ecosystem [6][16]

行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 2025 年 07 月 13 日 险资入市再迎政策支持，稳定币概 念叠加中报向好驱动非银板块估值 提升 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 冉兆邦 A0230524090003 ranzb@swsresearch.com 金黎丹 A0230525060004 jinld@swsresearch.com 联系人 罗钻辉 (8621)23297818× luozh@swsresearch.com 看好 ——非银金融行业周报（2025/7/7-2025/7/11） 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 非银金融 - ⚫ 券商：本周申万券商 II 指数收涨 4.46%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 3.64pct。1）上海国资委围绕稳定 币&加密货币召开学习会。多家券商已经对虚拟资产领域进行布局：国泰君安国际升级其在港股一 号牌 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the non-bank financial industry [1] Core Views - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong performance recently, with all sub-sectors outperforming the CSI 300 index in the last five trading days [9] - The report highlights the significant increase in trading volume in the securities sector, with a year-on-year increase of 120% in daily average stock trading volume as of July 11, 2025 [15] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from long-term capital advantages due to new assessment criteria for state-owned insurance companies [23] - The multi-financial sector is entering a stable transition period, with trust assets continuing to grow but profits declining significantly [31] Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance of Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sectors - In the last five trading days (July 7-11, 2025), the multi-financial sector rose by 11.89%, the securities sector by 4.58%, and the insurance sector by 1.72%, while the overall non-bank financial sector increased by 3.94% compared to a 0.82% rise in the CSI 300 index [9][11] 2. Non-Bank Financial Sub-Sector Insights 2.1 Securities - Trading volume has significantly increased, with a daily average stock trading amount of CNY 16,688 billion, up 120% year-on-year as of July 11, 2025 [15] - The China Securities Association has implemented measures to strengthen self-regulation and promote high-quality development in the securities industry [19] 2.2 Insurance - New long-term assessment criteria for state-owned insurance companies have been introduced, focusing on net asset return and capital preservation over a five-year period [23] - The insurance sector's valuation is currently at 0.62-0.95 times the 2025E P/EV, which is considered historically low, maintaining an "Accumulate" rating [28] 2.3 Multi-Financial - The trust industry saw its asset scale reach CNY 29.56 trillion in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 23.58%, but profits dropped significantly by 45.5% [31] - The futures market experienced a trading volume of 740 million contracts in June 2025, with a transaction value of CNY 52.79 trillion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 28.91% and 17.40%, respectively [34] 3. Industry Ranking and Key Company Recommendations - The report ranks the insurance sector highest, followed by securities and other multi-financial sectors, recommending companies such as China Ping An, New China Life, China Pacific Insurance, CITIC Securities, and Tonghuashun [44]

Core Viewpoint - Insurance funds are accelerating their entry into the capital market through private equity funds, driven by regulatory policies and declining interest rates [1][5]. Group 1: Private Fund Establishment - The recently established Honghu Fund Phase 1 and Phase 2 are part of the third batch of long-term investment pilot funds for insurance capital, with a total scale of 225 billion yuan, equally funded by New China Life and China Life [1][2]. - Since the long-term investment reform pilot began at the end of 2023, three batches have been approved, totaling 222 billion yuan, with the first batch fully invested in the stock market [1][2]. - Major insurance companies, including China Life, Ping An, and New China Insurance, have been actively setting up private equity funds since 2025 [2][4]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Focus - The newly established funds primarily focus on long-term equity investments, targeting companies with stable cash flows and growth potential [6][7]. - The Honghu Fund Phase 1 aims for steady dividend income through low-frequency trading and long-term holding of large-cap A+H shares [5][6]. - Sunshine Insurance's fund will invest in stocks from the CSI 300 Index and Hang Seng Index, utilizing various investment methods to enhance capital market participation [6][7]. Group 3: Market Impact and Trends - The orderly entry of insurance funds into the market is expected to enhance market depth and resilience, fostering the development of high-quality listed companies [5][6]. - The focus of these pilot funds is on companies with good fundamentals and stable dividends, reflecting a long-term investment philosophy [6][7]. - Insurance capital is increasingly concentrated in sectors such as banking, telecommunications, automotive, electronics, and pharmaceuticals, as indicated by recent investment trends [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry compared to the overall market performance [3][4]. Core Insights - The recent policy from the Ministry of Finance aims to support long-term investments by insurance companies, addressing the mismatch between long-term investment strategies and short-term performance evaluations [3]. - The report highlights that as of the end of Q1 2025, the total investment balance of insurance funds in stocks and securities investment funds reached 4.46 trillion yuan, accounting for 12.8% of the total, which is an increase of 937.2 billion yuan from Q2 2023 [4]. - The focus is on enhancing the asset-liability management of insurance companies, with a shift towards profitability and sustainability rather than merely expanding scale [5]. Summary by Sections Policy Impact - The new policy encourages insurance companies to adopt longer evaluation periods for performance, with a significant weight on multi-year metrics [3]. - The adjustments in performance evaluation metrics aim to align the investment strategies of insurance companies with the long-term nature of their capital [3]. Market Dynamics - The report notes that the insurance sector has faced challenges such as increased volatility in profits and net assets, but recent regulatory measures have effectively addressed these issues [4]. - The anticipated further reduction in preset interest rates in Q3 is expected to optimize the cost of new liabilities for insurance companies [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key players in the insurance sector, including New China Life, China Life (H), China Pacific Insurance, and others, due to their favorable fundamentals and market conditions [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating an expected increase in performance relative to the benchmark index over the next 6 to 12 months [2][14]. Core Insights - The recent policy change aims to extend the assessment period for state-owned commercial insurance companies, promoting long-term stable investments and preventing short-term performance pressures [5]. - The adjustment in performance evaluation metrics emphasizes a balanced approach between annual and multi-year indicators, enhancing the focus on sustainable growth and risk management [5]. - The report highlights that the insurance sector is increasingly favoring high-dividend stocks, with a notable increase in equity allocations, reflecting a strategic shift towards long-term value investments [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The total market capitalization of the industry is approximately 31,377.86 billion, with a circulating market value of 31,369.21 billion [2]. Policy Implications - The new directive from the Ministry of Finance encourages insurance funds to act as stabilizers in the market, promoting long-term investment strategies [5]. - The report notes that the new accounting standards for insurance contracts will be fully implemented by January 1, 2026, which is expected to positively influence the assessment of insurance companies [5]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests that the extended assessment period will likely reduce the negative impact of equity asset fluctuations on profit assessments, thereby increasing the tolerance for equity allocation among insurance companies [5]. - The performance of the non-bank insurance stock index has significantly outperformed the market, with an absolute return of 13.17% and a relative return of 11.14% since the beginning of 2025 [7].

Group 1 - The core idea of the news is the launch of the first short video competition "New New Prosperity · Vision for the Future" by Xinhua Insurance to enhance public understanding of insurance services and connect emotionally with financial work [1][4] Group 2 - The competition is designed around three main themes: promoting the spirit of finance for the people, showcasing quality development, and witnessing a happy life, with a total of 12 sub-creation directions [2] - The themes aim to highlight Xinhua Insurance's role in supporting national strategies, showcasing innovative practices in products and services, and capturing the warmth of insurance in everyday life [2] Group 3 - The competition will leverage the dual resources of Xinhua Insurance and Xinhua News Agency to create a unique media communication model for the insurance industry [3] - Awards will include categories for best content, creativity, editing, and style, along with special awards for communication, popularity, and organization [3] Group 4 - Participation is open to Xinhua Insurance employees, clients, and the general public, with submissions accepted until August 25, 2025 [4] - The initiative aims to document the positive contributions of the insurance industry and convey the company's reform achievements and brand philosophy [4]

Regulatory Dynamics - The National Financial Regulatory Administration issued the "Financial Institutions Product Suitability Management Measures," effective from February 1, 2026, to enhance consumer protection and appropriate management of financial products [5][6]. - Seven departments encouraged childcare service institutions to purchase liability insurance and property insurance [7]. - The State Council is promoting the internationalization of the reinsurance industry [10]. - The Ministry of Finance announced that state-owned commercial insurance companies will implement long-term assessments starting this year, adding five-year indicators [11]. - The National Development and Reform Commission reported that over 180 million people are expected to be insured under long-term care insurance during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [12]. Company Dynamics - AIA Group acquired 2,252 apartments in Shanghai [21]. - Hongkang Life increased its stake in Zhengzhou Bank, triggering a mandatory bid [22]. - Zhong An Online completed the placement of new H-shares, raising approximately 3.92 billion HKD [23]. - AIA faced a sell-off of 3.7% of its shares by the Kuwait Investment Authority, realizing 26.8 billion HKD [24]. - Jintai Property Insurance received approval for an 800 million yuan capital increase [25]. - Taikang Life reported insurance claims of 9.92 billion yuan in the first half of the year [27]. - China Pacific Insurance announced a cash dividend of 1.08 yuan per share, totaling approximately 10.39 billion yuan [29]. Industry Dynamics - There were 88 changes in core executive positions in the insurance industry in the first half of the year, reflecting a search for solutions amid multiple pressures [47]. - The insurance industry faced over 600 penalties in the first half of the year, with providing false materials being a major issue [49]. - The registration scale of "insurance ABS" exceeded 180 billion yuan, marking a 46% year-on-year increase [50]. - Insurance capital has made 20 bids for listed companies this year, matching last year's total [51]. - Insurance capital has achieved a 15% excess return from investments in Hong Kong stocks [52]. - The insurance sector is expected to increase allocations to equity assets in the second half of the year, focusing on high dividend and high growth stocks [53]. - Five insurance-related private equity fund companies have been approved, with three products already in the market [54]. - The employment report for 2025 insurance graduates indicates a 96.3% employment rate, with a significant demand for talent in the insurance and technology sectors [55].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance has issued a notification to strengthen the long-term assessment of state-owned commercial insurance companies, emphasizing the importance of long-term investment and stable returns in the insurance sector [4][6][10]. Group 1: Long-term Assessment Changes - The assessment period for Return on Equity (ROE) and capital preservation and appreciation rate has been changed to include "current year + 3-year + 5-year" evaluations [3][12]. - The ROE for life insurance companies over the past five years is 13.7%, indicating stable and high profitability for large companies [24][23]. - In Q1 2025, insurance companies' stock investments grew by 16%, with 20 instances of shareholding increases in major banks [34][38]. Group 2: Purpose and Implications - The purpose of the new assessment criteria is to guide insurance companies towards long-term and stable operations, encouraging them to engage in long-term, stable, and value investments [10][20]. - The adjustment aims to enhance the focus on the long-term operational capabilities of insurance companies, moving away from short-term profit assessments [8][16]. - The new regulations require insurance companies to improve asset-liability management and optimize asset allocation to achieve stable growth in owners' equity and preserve state financial capital [19][20]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Trends - The market views the new regulations as a positive development, ensuring that long-term capital can be invested confidently [8][21]. - The trend of increasing stock investments by insurance companies reflects a broader strategy to capitalize on market opportunities and stabilize returns [34][44]. - The emphasis on long-term assessments aligns with the growing consumer interest in the long-term investment capabilities of insurance companies [49][50].