从资金流向上来看，当日保险板块主力资金净流入6.9亿元，游资资金净流出1.18亿元，散户资金净流出5.73亿元。保险板块个股资金流向见下 表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入 (元) | | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入（元） | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601318 中国平安 | | | 6.47亿 | 9.43% | -1.12 Z | -1.63% | -5.36亿 | -7.80% | | 601336 新华保险 | | | 5732.65万 | 3.55% | 2205.59万 | 1.37% | -7938.24万 | -4.91% | | 601628 中国人寿 | | | 1619.42万 | 1.68% | 2616.98万 | 2.71% | -4236.40万 | -4.39% | | 601601 中国太保 | | | 650.30万 | 0.36% | -9417.22万 | -5.17% | 8766.92万 | 4.81% | | ...

证券研究报告·行业点评报告·保险Ⅱ 保险Ⅱ行业点评报告 保险行业 2025 年业绩前瞻：预计全年 NBV 高增长，Q4 净利润或受投资短期波动影响 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 ◼ 风险提示：长端利率趋势性下行；新单增长不及预期。 2026 年 02 月 02 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 曹锟 执业证书：S0600524120004 caok@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2025/2/5 2025/6/5 2025/10/3 2026/1/31 保险Ⅱ 沪深300 相关研究 《保险行业 12 月保费：产寿 25Q4 保 费增速均有所放缓，看好寿险 2026 年 新单增长》 2026-01-31 《政策引导+行协牵头，保险业布局康 养领域进程再加速》 ◼ 我们预计上市险企 2025 年归母净利润同比较快增长，Q4 净利润或受短 期投资波动影响。1）我们预计上市险企 2025 年归母净利润普遍同比 ...

FF301 本月底法定/註冊股本總額： RMB 3,119,546,600 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 新華人壽保險股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01336 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,034,107,260 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 1,034,107,260 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 1,034,107,260 | RMB | | ...

证券之星消息，2月2日保险板块较上一交易日下跌2.14%，新华保险领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75，下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。保险板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601318 | 中国平安 | 66.02 | -1.09% | 135.45万 | 90.60亿 | | 601319 | 中国人保 | 9.06 | -1.63% | 100.51万 | 9.23亿 | | 601601 | 中国太保 | 44.36 | -2.61% | 37.33万 | 16.84亿 | | 601628 | 中国人寿 | 48.34 | -2.78% | 28.82万 | 14.10 Z | | 601336 | 新华保险 | 80.88 | -2.79% | 23.47万 | 19.347 | 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 从资金流向 ...

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年1月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 新華人壽保險股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年2月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01336 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,034,107,260 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 1,034,107,260 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 1,034,107,260 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 1,034,107,260 | | 2. ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report highlights that the recent volatility in gold and silver prices is primarily driven by market momentum reversals, with silver attracting high leverage and speculative funds since November 2025 [2][5] - The report anticipates that after the appointment of the new Federal Reserve Chairman, there will be more interest rate cuts than the market expects, with short-term U.S. Treasury yields likely to decline [2][4] - The report notes that the recent decline in the manufacturing PMI does not indicate a weakening economy, as it reflects a temporary fluctuation rather than a downward trend [10] Group 2: Commodity Market Analysis - The report indicates that the recent crash in silver prices has led to liquidity risks that may spread to other commodities, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector [5][6] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the support levels for gold prices, particularly the 60-day moving average, which is currently at $4,400 per ounce [5] - The report suggests that the Shanghai Futures Exchange has implemented measures to manage the risk of a one-sided market in silver futures [5] Group 3: Equity Market Outlook - The report predicts a rebound in the A-share market following the Spring Festival, driven by positive sentiment from performance forecasts and new developments in sectors like AI applications and commercial aerospace [6][10] - It advises a balanced ETF allocation in domestic equities, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the market [11] Group 4: Bond Market Perspective - The report notes that the bond market is expected to see increased buying activity due to risk aversion and expectations of monetary easing, with 10-year yields projected to decline to around 1.80% [7][10] - It highlights that the recent adjustments in risk appetite have created trading opportunities in government bonds as a hedge against stock market volatility [4][7]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·非银金融 非银金融行业跟踪周报 -8% -5% -2% 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 22% 25% 2025/2/5 2025/6/4 2025/10/1 2026/1/28 非银金融 沪深300 券商股或迎业绩催化；保险估值仍待提升 2026 年 02 月 01 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 罗宇康 执业证书：S0600525090002 luoyk@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 相关研究 《保险行业 12 月保费：产寿 25Q4 保 费增速均有所放缓，看好寿险 2026 年 新单增长》 2026-01-31 《公募基金业绩基准指引正式发布； "保险+康养"模式持续推进》 2026-01-25 东吴证券研究所 1 / 18 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 非银行金融子行业近期表现：最近 5 个交易日（2026 年 01 月 26 日-2026 年 01 月 30 日）非银金融各子板块中仅保险行 ...

Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a fluctuating upward trend around the Spring Festival in February 2026, with a focus on the "Technology + Resources" mainline market[3] - Key attention should be given to the earnings reports of US tech stocks and the potential validation of AI industry trends[3] Investment Strategy - Focus on three main lines: - Technology sector, including optical modules, storage, semiconductor equipment, and energy storage, addressing the issues of electricity shortages in the US, chip shortages domestically, and global storage shortages[3] - Non-ferrous metals, with increased volatility expected after January, particularly in industrial metals and chemicals[3] - Hot topics such as robots participating in the Spring Festival Gala and updates on AI large models[3] Recommended Stocks - **Metals**: Shandong Gold (EPS: 1.78, PE: 30.6 in 2026E)[20] - **Chemicals**: Juhua Co. (EPS: 2.51, PE: 15.7 in 2026E)[20] - **New Energy**: Junda Co. (EPS: 1.67, PE: 60.5 in 2026E)[20] - **Machinery**: Dier Laser (EPS: 2.87, PE: 30.6 in 2026E)[20] - **Military Industry**: Aero Engine Corporation (EPS: 0.35, PE: 132.9 in 2026E)[20] - **Non-Banking**: New China Life (EPS: 10.68, PE: 7.8 in 2026E)[20] - **Automotive**: Top Group (EPS: 1.92, PE: 37.7 in 2026E)[20] - **Electronics**: Jingce Electronics (EPS: 1.15, PE: 115.3 in 2026E)[20] - **Communication**: Zhongji Xuchuang (EPS: 17.40, PE: 37.3 in 2026E)[20] - **Media**: Giant Network (EPS: 2.12, PE: 20.8 in 2026E)[20] Risk Factors - Economic recovery may fall short of expectations, leading to slow growth or stagnation due to factors like slow job growth and reduced market demand[22] - Significant changes in individual stock fundamentals could lead to substantial declines in revenue or net profit[22]

保险工 2026 年 02 月 01 日 相关研究 券研究报 证券分析师 罗钻辉 A0230523090004 luozh@swsresearch.com 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 联系人 目 孙冀齐 A0230523110001 sunjq@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 证监会拟放松战略投资者限制 长期入市再迎政策支持 —《证券期货法律适用意见第 18 号》征求意见稿点评 证监会拟放松战略投资者限制,中长期资金入市再迎政策支持。1 月 30 日,证监会发布《关 于修改〈《上市公司证券发行注册管理办法》第九条、第十条、第十一条、第十三条、第四十 条、第五十七条、第六十条有关规定的适用意见 -- 证券期货法律适用意见第 18号）的决定 (征求意见稿)》(简称《征求意见稿》)，拟放松战略投资者限制。2025年 1 月 22 日，六部 门联合印发《关于推动中长期资金入市工作的实施方案》(简称 《实施方案》)，提出要允许 公募基金、商业保险资金、基本养老保险基金、企（职）业年金基金、银行理财等作为战略 投资者参与上市公司向特定对象发行股 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Views of the Report - The new "Insurance Company Asset - Liability Management Measures (Draft for Comment)" has five major changes, aiming to strengthen the supervision of insurance companies' asset - liability management and guide long - term operations [2]. - In 25Q3, the solvency indicators of the insurance industry declined, mainly due to the increase in equity capital occupation and the pressure on both the asset and liability sides [2]. - The rise in long - term bond yields and the good performance of the A - share market in 25Q3 improved the investment returns of the insurance industry and reduced industry risks, but the credit risks of some under - performing insurers need attention [2]. - Large - scale life insurance companies have an advantage in scale premium growth, while small and medium - sized insurers show significant differentiation [2]. - The issuance scale of insurance sub - debt has shrunk [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs New "Insurance Company Asset - Liability Management Measures (Draft for Comment)" - **Five major changes**: System integration, organizational framework improvement, clear regulatory indicators, optimized indicator calculation methods, and improved regulatory measures [2][4]. - **Regulatory indicators for property insurance companies**: Precipitation fund coverage ratio to prevent short - term fund long - term investment, income coverage ratio and pressure - scenario liquidity coverage ratio to guide long - term operations [2][5]. - **Regulatory indicators for life insurance companies**: Effective duration gap to prevent asset - liability table fluctuations, comprehensive investment income coverage ratio and net investment income coverage ratio to guide long - term operations [2][5]. 25Q3 Insurance Industry Solvency - **Solvency indicators**: The comprehensive solvency ratio was 186.3% and the core solvency ratio was 134.3%, down 18.2 and 13.5 percentage points respectively from 25Q2, mainly due to the decline of life insurance companies [2]. - **Reasons for the decline**: Increased equity asset allocation, higher risk factors for equity assets under the new rules, and pressure on both the asset and liability sides [2]. 25Q3 Insurance Industry Investment and Profit - **Investment returns**: The rise in long - term bond yields and the good performance of the A - share market improved investment returns, with the total net profit of most insurers with outstanding insurance sub - debt increasing from 92.7 billion yuan in Q2 to 246.9 billion yuan in Q3 [2][24]. - **Profit differentiation**: Among 41 insurers with available data and outstanding insurance sub - debt, property insurance companies' net profit decreased by 3.306 billion yuan in 25Q3, while life insurance companies' net profit increased by 155.65 billion yuan [2]. Scale Premium Growth of Insurance Companies - **Large - scale life insurance companies**: As of 25Q3, China Post Life and New China Life had year - on - year scale premium growth rates of 18.65% and 17.96% respectively, showing relatively high and stable growth [2]. - **Small and medium - sized life insurance companies**: There was significant differentiation, with some companies having high growth rates and others having negative growth [2]. Insurance Sub - debt Issuance - **Issuance scale**: In 2024, 117.5 billion yuan of insurance sub - debt was issued, with 57.3 billion yuan in 24Q3. In 2025, 104.2 billion yuan was issued, a 11.3% year - on - year decrease. As of January 22, 2026, only 5 billion yuan was issued [2]. Investment Recommendations - Screened state - owned and central - owned enterprise insurance company sub - debt with a valuation yield > 2.2%, core solvency ratio > 100%, comprehensive solvency ratio > 150%, and risk comprehensive rating of BBB or above, such as 24 China Property Insurance Capital Supplementary Bond, 25 Great Wall Life Perpetual Bond 01, etc. [3]