Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a positive trend with the Hang Seng Index rising over 1%, closing at 27,126.95 points, with a total trading volume of 254.37 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 1.07% to 9,244.88 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.5% to 5,754.72 points [1] Blue-Chip Stocks Performance - China Life (02628) led the blue-chip stocks, increasing by 5.97% to 34.1 HKD, contributing 22.99 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip performances included AIA (01299) up 4.09%, CSPC Pharmaceutical (01093) up 3.54%, while Hang Lung Properties (00101) and Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692) saw declines of 4.51% and 4.37% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Large tech stocks mostly rose, with Alibaba increasing nearly 3% and Tencent rising over 1% [3] - The insurance sector performed well, with China Life and AIA showing significant gains [4] - AI-related stocks saw strong performance, with MINIMAX surging by 26.48% [3][4] AI Industry Developments - Alibaba launched its Qwen3-Max-Thinking model, marking a significant advancement in AI capabilities [4] - Nvidia expanded its partnership with CoreWeave to accelerate AI factory construction, indicating a growing trend in AI commercialization [4] Insurance Sector Insights - The insurance industry is experiencing a strong demand for participating insurance products, with 80% of new policies being participating insurance [5] - Morgan Stanley predicts that 2026 will be a strong year for the insurance sector, driven by sales growth and favorable investment conditions [5] Precious Metals Market - The precious metals sector saw a decline, with several companies like Zijin Mining and China Silver Group reporting losses [5][6] Notable Stock Movements - Zijin Mining (02259) rose by 11.59% after announcing a significant acquisition of Canadian gold assets [7] - Wanshan Wanshui-B (02630) reached a new high, increasing by 10.9% due to positive news regarding a new antiviral drug [8] - Ying Si Intelligent (03696) gained 7.15% following a strategic partnership for drug development [9] - Harbin Electric (01133) announced a profit increase, leading to a 5.89% rise in stock price [10] - Zhaoyi Innovation (03986) remained active with a 4.56% increase, driven by expectations of rising NAND flash prices [11]

Group 1 - The industrial metal sector saw a slight increase of 0.01% on January 27, with silver leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4139.9, up by 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14329.91, up by 0.09% [1] - Notable gainers in the industrial metal sector included Silver Holdings, which rose by 9.99% to a closing price of 12.55, and Yuguang Gold & Lead, which increased by 9.98% to 20.49 [1] Group 2 - The industrial metal sector experienced a net outflow of 6.521 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 6.339 billion yuan [2] - The top losers included Guocheng Mining, which fell by 8.20% to 29.68, and Zhongse Co., which decreased by 6.51% to 8.18 [2] - The trading volume for Guocheng Mining was 464,500 shares, with a transaction value of 1.382 billion yuan [2] Group 3 - Major net inflows were observed in Huafeng Aluminum with 70.51 million yuan, while retail investors showed a significant outflow of 65.41 million yuan [3] - The net inflow for Yongjie New Materials was 46.07 million yuan from major funds, but retail investors had a net outflow of 66.60 million yuan [3] - The overall trend indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor types within the industrial metal sector [3]

紫金矿业以55亿澳元收购Allied Gold的交易获得华尔街投行积极评价，这笔交易被视为其实现2030年年 产100吨黄金目标的关键一步。花旗和摩根士丹利均认为，即便在金价高位，这笔收购仍具估值吸引 力，且将为紫金带来显著的产能增量和运营协同效应。 摩根士丹利分析师Rachel L Zhang团队同日发布报告称，随着收购资产的扩建和新项目投产，Allied Gold年产量将在2029年达到25吨，这将直接助力紫金在2030年达成"100吨/年黄金产量目标"。摩根士丹 利强调，交易的成功达成将是紫金矿业的一个重要里程碑。 此次收购涵盖马里的Sadiola金矿、科特迪瓦的Bonikro和Agbaou金矿，以及埃塞俄比亚的Kurmuk项目， 预计在2026年5月左右完成，需获得Allied Gold股东大会及加拿大、中国等多国监管机构批准。 估值优势凸显，在金价高位仍显"便宜" 花旗团队在报告中详细测算了此次收购的估值水平。根据其分析，紫金此次收购的对价相当于每盎司黄 金储量365美元，每盎司黄金资源量仅为231美元。 对比来看，这一估值水平虽高于此前洛阳钼业收购巴西黄金资产的价格，但仍低于紫金自身收购 Rayg ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the steel industry and a "Positive" rating for the non-ferrous metals industry, with "Buy" ratings for specific companies including Luoyang Molybdenum, Zhongjin Gold, Huayou Cobalt, Zijin Mining, and China Aluminum [6][6][6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that geopolitical uncertainties and concerns over the independence of U.S. Federal Reserve policies are expected to boost gold prices in the short term [6][6]. - The copper market is facing supply constraints due to incidents at major mines, which is likely to support copper prices despite high prices potentially suppressing actual consumption [36][36]. - The aluminum sector is expected to see price support due to downstream inventory demand, while the lithium market is anticipated to maintain a strong price trend due to export tax incentives and tight supply expectations [6][6][6]. Summary by Sections Steel - The steel industry is expected to improve profitability as growth policies are implemented, with demand in shipbuilding and construction likely to increase [3][3]. - Current steel prices are showing seasonal trends, with expectations of price fluctuations following raw material prices [19][19]. - As of January 23, 2026, the total steel inventory has increased by 0.79% compared to the previous week, indicating a potential accumulation ahead of the Spring Festival [26][26]. Copper - The copper market is experiencing a tightening supply due to strikes affecting production at key mines, which may provide price support [36][36]. - The copper smelting processing fees remain negative, indicating pressure on the supply side, while demand is expected to rise in sectors like electric power and new energy vehicles [36][36]. Aluminum - The aluminum market is characterized by stable supply and high operating rates at alumina plants, with expectations of price support from downstream inventory needs [46][46]. - As of January 23, 2026, the average price of alumina is reported at 2,657.00 CNY/ton, reflecting a slight decrease from the previous week [50][50]. Precious Metals - Geopolitical tensions and economic data are influencing gold prices, with a notable increase in prices observed recently [54][54]. - As of January 23, 2026, gold prices have risen by 8.30% on COMEX and 8.07% on SHFE compared to the previous week [54][54]. Lithium and Cobalt - The lithium market is expected to maintain a strong price trend due to export tax incentives and tight supply conditions, with battery-grade lithium prices increasing by 12.46% recently [58][58]. - Cobalt supply is constrained due to limited export quotas from the Democratic Republic of Congo, while demand is driven by the electric vehicle and consumer electronics sectors [6][6].

1月27日，沪深两市成交额合计2.89万亿元，较上一交易日缩量约3532.21亿元。其中，沪市成交额1.29 万亿元，深市成交额1.61万亿元。紫金矿业成交额居首，为299.09亿元。其后是中际旭创、蓝色光标、 新易盛、工业富联，成交额分别为237.94亿元、189.59亿元、166.53亿元、129.08亿元。 ...

2026.01. 27 本文字数：1763，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 李隽 紫金矿业（601899.SH，02899.SZ）26日晚间发布公告，旗下控股上市公司紫金黄金国际（02259.HK） 拟以55亿加元（约合人民币280亿元）的交易总额，收购加拿大联合黄金（AAUC）全部已发行的普通股， 其核心资产为三座非洲大型金矿。 1月27日上午紫金黄金国际大涨10.63%，紫金矿业H股上涨4.08%。2026年内紫金黄金国际累计上涨超过 50%。 有业内人士认为，因为全球央行增持、地缘政治紧张、市场对美元等货币不信任等因素，中长线来看金价可 以长期看好，金矿股也可以继续配置，但因为短期来看市场热度较高，也可以考虑等金价从高点回落之后再 重新买入。 联合黄金2029年产金将提升至25吨 公告称，本次交易是紫金矿业金额最大的一笔并购交易。若交易最终完成，紫金黄金国际资产布局将拓展至 12个国家的12座大型金矿，紫金矿业矿产金产量将大幅增长，有望提前实现产金超百吨的战略目标。联合 李隽 关于对公司影响，紫金矿业表示，联合黄金旗下项目均为在产或即将投产的大型露天开采金矿，并购当年即 可贡献产量与利润；项目资 ...

公开信息显示，截至2024年年底，联合黄金拥有金资源量533吨，平均品位1.48克/吨。联合黄金2023年 和2024年分别产金10.7吨和11.1吨，预计2025年产金量为11.7吨至12.4吨。随着Sadiola项目改扩建及 Kurmuk项目建成投产，预计2029年产金量将提升至25吨。 紫金矿业方面表示，此次收购将有效强化公司在非洲的资源联动体系。马里Sadiola金矿、科特迪瓦金矿 综合体与加纳阿基姆金矿相邻，将形成强协同效应，助力公司进一步深耕西非重要黄金成矿带；埃塞俄 比亚Kurmuk项目与厄立特里亚碧沙锌（铜）矿临近，东非区位联动优势显现。本次收购将快速补强公 司黄金板块的非洲布局，持续优化公司全球资源配置。#专家普遍看好黄金中长期走势##避险情绪集中 释放推升金价##紫金矿业# 中经记者 陈家运 北京报道 【#紫金矿业拟斥资280亿元收购联合黄金#】1月26日，紫金矿业（601899.SH、02899.HK）发布公告 称，其控股子公司紫金黄金国际（02259.HK）与在多伦多、纽约两地上市的联合黄金（Allied Gold Corporation，股票代码：AAUC）签署《安排协议》，拟以44 ...

受益于2025年金价的史诗级上涨，紫金矿业业绩创下历史新高。根据其此前发布的预告，2025年公司归 母净利润预计在510亿至520亿元之间，同比增幅高达59%-62%。 1月26日晚间，紫金矿业发布公告称，其控股子公司紫金黄金国际将以约55亿加元(折合人民币约280亿 元)的现金对价，全资收购在多伦多和纽交所上市的加拿大黄金公司Allied Gold Corporation(联合黄金)。 交易完成后，紫金黄金国际的资产版图将扩展至12个国家的12座大型金矿，进一步巩固其全球顶级黄金 生产商的地位。 公告显示，联合黄金虽然2023年和2024年分别录得1.92亿美元和1.20亿美元的净亏损，但2025年前三季 度已实现扭亏为盈(净利润1700万美元)。其核心资产包括马里Sadiola金矿、科特迪瓦Bonikro和Agbaou 金矿(均在产)，以及预计2026年下半年投产的埃塞俄比亚Kurmuk金矿。 截至2024年底，联合黄金拥有黄金资源量533吨，平均品位1.48克/吨。根据规划，依托现有矿山的技改 扩建及新建项目投产，其年产量将从2025年的约12吨大幅提升至2029年的25吨。紫金矿业表示，该项目 基础设 ...

紫金矿业管理层在投资者会议上表示，新管理团队由内部培养，战略方向及重点保持不变，仍以扩充铜 及黄金资源为目标。另外，目前的产量指引存在上行风险，公司正制定新一轮指引。整体采矿成本呈上 升趋势，但仍受控，而海外税款及特许权费用在金属价格高企时可能出现变动。 该行对公司产量增长的观点转趋更为正面。除商品价格强劲走势外，预期以合理价格进行的新并购，以 及未来3至5年产量指引的更新，将成为股份的正面催化剂。 摩根大通发布研报称，维持紫金矿业（601899）(02899)H股目标价48港元，紫金矿业A股(601899.SH)目 标价45元人民币，均给予"增持"评级，并继续列为基础材料板块中的首选。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains a target price of HKD 48 for Zijin Mining's H-shares and CNY 45 for its A-shares, both rated as "Overweight" and continues to list it as a preferred choice in the basic materials sector [1] Group 1: Management and Strategy - The new management team is internally developed, with the strategic direction and focus remaining unchanged, still aiming to expand copper and gold resources [1] - There is an upward risk in the current production guidance, and the company is formulating a new round of guidance [1] Group 2: Cost and Taxation - Overall mining costs are on the rise but remain controlled, while overseas taxes and royalties may fluctuate with high metal prices [1] Group 3: Growth Outlook - The outlook on production growth has become more positive, driven by strong commodity price trends, reasonable new acquisitions, and updates to production guidance over the next 3 to 5 years, which will act as positive catalysts for the stock [1]