证券代码：601933 证券简称：永辉超市 公告编号：2025-034 永辉超市股份有限公司 2025 年半年度业绩预亏公告 预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东扣除非经常性损益后的净利润 -8.3 亿元。 （三）本次业绩预告涉及的财务数据未经注册会计师审计。 二、上年同期经营业绩和财务状况 本公司及董事会全体成员保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 6 月 30 日。 （二）业绩预告情况 经财务部门初步测算，预计 2025 年半年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利 润-2.4 亿元，与上年同期相比，将出现亏损。 （一）利润总额：3.2 亿元。归属于上市公司股东的净利润：2.8 亿元。归 属于上市公司股东扣除非经常性损益的净利润：0.3 亿元。 1 本期业绩预估使用情形：净利润为负值。 永辉超市股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）预计 2025 年半年度归属 于上市公司股东的净利润-2.4 亿元。 公司预计 2025 年半年度归属于上 ...

Core Insights - Yonghui Supermarket (601933) expects a net loss attributable to shareholders of 240 million yuan for the first half of 2025, with a net loss of 830 million yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses [1] - The company opened 93 new stores and closed 227 long-term loss-making stores in the first half of 2025 [1] - Significant impacts on revenue and profit are attributed to the reform of the supply chain, which involved a large-scale upgrade and elimination of suppliers and products [1]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on undervalued downstream brands or OEM industries with low expectations and dividend attributes, indicating a positive investment outlook for these sectors [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the need to identify high-potential companies that can generate quality profits, particularly in the new consumption sector, as the market approaches the mid-year reporting season [2]. - It highlights the importance of focusing on companies with strong brand power and those that can benefit from the ongoing expansion of the overseas market, particularly in the context of the new consumption narrative [2][20]. - The report also notes that various sectors, such as light manufacturing, textiles, and home appliances, are showing signs of stabilization or growth, suggesting potential investment opportunities [3][5][25]. Summary by Relevant Sections Light Manufacturing - New tobacco products are expected to grow steadily, with a clear expansion trend in the overseas vaping market and a positive outlook for the HNB industry [3][20]. - The home furnishings sector is stabilizing, with a focus on companies that can demonstrate resilience and growth potential [3][20]. - The paper industry is entering a demand peak in Q3, with significant price recovery potential [3][21]. - The toy industry continues to expand, with strong performance from leading companies like Pop Mart [3][21]. Textiles and Apparel - The apparel sector is experiencing weak consumer demand, but there are opportunities in unique and differentiated brands, especially in new retail formats [3][23]. - The export market faces uncertainties due to potential tariffs, which could impact pricing and demand [3][23]. Beauty and Personal Care - The beauty sector is advised to focus on leading companies with strong mid-year performance and those with significant potential for price recovery [3][24]. Home Appliances - Skyworth's acquisition of Philips' North American business is expected to enhance its market presence and product offerings in high-end segments [3][25]. - The TV market is experiencing price declines, but demand is anticipated to recover in Q3 [3][25][26]. Retail and Social Services - The retail sector is under pressure, but there are signs of improvement in certain areas, such as instant retail and dining services [3][27][28]. - The report notes that the tourism and restaurant sectors are maintaining high levels of activity, indicating a positive trend [3][27]. Overall Market Trends - The report suggests that the new consumption narrative is gaining traction, with a focus on companies that can deliver high-quality profits and those that are well-positioned for growth in the evolving market landscape [2][8].

Core Viewpoint - The retail industry in China is undergoing structural adjustments, with significant changes reflected in the 2024 Top 100 supermarket rankings, highlighting the rise of new retail formats and the performance of traditional players [3][10]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The 2024 Top 100 supermarkets in China achieved a total sales scale of approximately 900 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.3%, while the total number of stores decreased by 9.8% to 25,200 [4]. - Online sales accounted for 16.9% of total sales for the Top 100 supermarkets, indicating a growing reliance on e-commerce [5]. - Membership and discount stores continue to show significant growth, with Walmart (China) maintaining its top position with sales of 158.8 billion yuan [4][9]. Group 2: Company Performance - Hema (盒马) ranked third in the 2024 list with sales of 75 billion yuan, marking its highest ranking since its debut in 2019, surpassing Yonghui, which ranked fourth with 73.2 billion yuan [8][12]. - Sam's Club has seen continuous sales growth, with 2023 sales reaching 84.3 billion yuan, and projections for 2024 suggest it may exceed 100 billion yuan [13]. - Aldi (奥乐齐) experienced a remarkable 100% sales growth, moving from 10 million yuan in 2023 to 20 million yuan in 2024, reflecting its strong market presence [16][18]. Group 3: Market Trends - The rise of new retail formats, such as community discount stores, is reshaping the competitive landscape, with Hema's community discount store format gaining traction [14]. - The market is characterized by diverse consumer preferences, with different retail formats catering to varying consumer segments, from budget-conscious shoppers to middle-class consumers [18][19]. - Regional retail leaders are also performing well, with companies like Biyoute and Xinyilou showing strong sales growth, indicating localized innovation in the retail sector [15][19].

Core Insights - The article highlights the transformation of Yonghui Supermarket in Zhengzhou, which adopted the "Fat Donglai model" and achieved significant sales growth, with the first-day sales reaching 1.88 million yuan, 13.9 times higher than before the transformation [1][8][10] - Zhengzhou has been identified as a strategic location for this transformation due to its large population and economic potential, making it a key area for Yonghui's expansion [3][4][7] Group 1: Transformation Details - The transformation began in June 2023, with the Zhengzhou store undergoing a 19-day renovation, leading to a remarkable sales increase [8][10] - The store reduced 81.3% of its original product offerings, aligning 90% of its new product structure with that of Fat Donglai, introducing popular items to attract customers [10][12] - Employee welfare improvements included raising base salaries from 2,500 yuan to 4,500 yuan and providing additional benefits, enhancing employee satisfaction and service quality [10][12] Group 2: Market Performance - Zhengzhou's retail sales reached 588.46 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 4.7%, positioning it as the second-largest consumer city among central provincial capitals [4] - From January to May 2024, retail sales totaled 276.3 billion yuan, with May alone seeing an 8.7% increase year-on-year [4] - The store's average daily customer flow remains stable at approximately 8,000 to 10,000, indicating sustained interest post-transformation [12] Group 3: Expansion and Future Plans - The transformation model is being replicated across over 100 stores nationwide, with significant increases in customer traffic and sales reported [13][17] - Yonghui plans to expand the "Fat Donglai model" to 178 stores by August 2024, covering 66 cities, with a long-term goal of transforming 300 stores by early 2026 [17] - The company is also focusing on training core store managers to enhance operational capabilities, ensuring the successful implementation of the transformation model [15][17]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the unique business model and operational strategies of Pang Donglai, a supermarket chain in Xuchang, which has achieved significant market dominance and customer loyalty through exceptional service and employee welfare [3][4][5]. Group 1: Business Model and Market Position - Pang Donglai operates with only a few stores but has managed to capture a significant portion of local retail spending, with over 10% of Xuchang's retail sales attributed to its six comprehensive shopping malls and four community supermarkets [4]. - The supermarket's sales reached approximately 169.64 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 58.5% increase year-on-year, with an average revenue of 13.05 million yuan per store [40]. - The company has established a monopoly-like presence in Xuchang, where local residents view it as the best shopping destination despite its prices not being the lowest [4][12]. Group 2: Employee Welfare and Corporate Culture - Pang Donglai's founder, Yu Donglai, emphasizes high employee compensation, with an expected net profit of 1.5 billion yuan in 2023, allowing employees to earn significantly above local averages [18][19]. - The company has a low employee turnover rate of 2.01% in 2024, indicating strong employee satisfaction and loyalty [33]. - Pang Donglai promotes a unique corporate culture that encourages employees to exceed service expectations, with a focus on continuous improvement and employee autonomy [21][22]. Group 3: Customer Experience and Service Strategy - The supermarket aims to provide a shopping experience that exceeds customer expectations, with a service philosophy that includes over 100 free services and a commitment to customer satisfaction [12][21]. - Employees are empowered to resolve customer complaints quickly, with a budget allocated for immediate problem-solving, enhancing customer trust and loyalty [22][23]. - The company has developed extensive operational manuals, with over 10 million words dedicated to employee training and service standards [20][21]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Industry Insights - The article contrasts Pang Donglai's success with other supermarket chains like Yonghui, which have struggled to replicate its model due to higher operational costs and a lack of local market dominance [41][43]. - The competitive environment in larger cities makes it challenging for other retailers to achieve similar levels of market share and customer loyalty as Pang Donglai has in Xuchang [42][44]. - The article highlights the importance of a strong local presence and community engagement as key factors in Pang Donglai's business strategy, which may not be easily replicable in larger markets [44].

Core Viewpoint - Yonghui Supermarket is committed to building a transparent supply chain and combating corruption and hidden rules in supplier relationships [2][3] Supplier Admission - Yonghui Supermarket will reject "backdoor" practices and hidden rules, prohibiting any employee from privately recommending suppliers [3] - The entire process of supplier registration, negotiation, and contract signing will be conducted online to eliminate human interference [3] Financial Settlement - Yonghui Supermarket aims for timely and accurate payments, adhering strictly to contract terms and system processes, with a dedicated financial settlement hotline available 24/7 [3] - The company emphasizes that any form of corruption will ultimately increase supply chain costs, harming both parties involved [2][3] Supply Chain Reform Background - The shift in Yonghui's supply chain strategy is a response to the inadequacies of the previous Key Account model, which led to a disconnect between consumer needs and product offerings [2][3] - The company has faced challenges with corruption within its supply chain, which has inflated costs and diminished product competitiveness [3][4] Performance Context - Yonghui Supermarket's recent anti-corruption stance is linked to its declining financial performance, with revenues decreasing from 910.62 billion yuan in 2021 to 675.74 billion yuan in 2024, and net profits remaining negative [4][5] - The company has initiated a transformation inspired by the "Pang Donglai" model, with plans to adjust 200 stores by September 30, 2024 [4][5] Organizational Changes - Recent leadership changes include the appointment of new executives with extensive retail procurement experience, indicating a strategic shift in management [5] - The company is focusing on enhancing its product structure by increasing its own brand offerings and improving the quality of fresh food categories [5] Supplier Focus - Yonghui Supermarket aims to concentrate on core suppliers who can provide product development capabilities, quality assurance, pricing advantages, and anti-corruption measures [6] - The relationship between retail enterprises and supply chains is evolving towards strategic cooperation and value co-creation, moving away from short-term price-based transactions [6]

Group 1: Company Performance Forecasts - Zhujiang Beer expects a net profit of 575 million to 625 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a growth of 15% to 25% [1] - Yanjing Beer anticipates a net profit growth of 40% to 50%, estimating between 1.062 billion to 1.137 billion yuan [2] - Lianhua Holdings projects a net profit increase of 58.67% to 68.59%, estimating between 160 million to 170 million yuan [5] - Tianbang Foods expects a net profit of 350 million to 370 million yuan, a decline of 56.01% to 58.39% [7] - Muyuan Foods forecasts a net profit of 10.5 billion to 11 billion yuan, a significant increase of 924.60% to 973.39% [8] - Bubu Gao anticipates a net profit of 180 million to 220 million yuan, indicating a turnaround to profitability [10] Group 2: Strategic Developments - Ferrero has agreed to acquire WK Kellogg Co for $23 per share, totaling an enterprise value of $3.1 billion [3] - Zhongju Gaoxin elected Li Ruxiong as chairman and Yu Jianhua as vice chairman during its board meeting [4] - Tea Yan Yue Se is expanding into North America through e-commerce, launching nearly 40 products [9][10] - Yonghui Supermarket has issued a public letter to suppliers, emphasizing a commitment to fair competition and quality standards [12]

Core Insights - The "2024 China Supermarket TOP100" list shows a slight increase in sales to approximately 900 billion yuan, up 0.3% year-on-year, while the total number of stores decreased by 9.8% to 25,200 stores, indicating challenges in the retail market and a trend towards industry differentiation [1][2][32]. Group 1: Top Enterprises - Walmart (China) continues to lead the list with a sales figure of 158.84 billion yuan, a 19.6% increase from 2023, supported by its strong global supply chain and efficient logistics [4][12]. - The second position is held by Dalian Wanda (RT-Mart) with sales of 76.41 billion yuan, showing a slight growth of 0.3% [2][12]. - Hema (Alibaba's new retail brand) ranks third with sales of 75 billion yuan, achieving a 10% year-on-year growth, reflecting its successful online-offline integration strategy [2][12]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The competition among mid-tier enterprises is intensifying, with some achieving rapid growth through innovative business models while others struggle due to poor management [8][18]. - The digital transformation of supermarkets is advancing, with companies like Walmart and Hema leveraging big data and IoT for improved efficiency and customer experience [31][32]. - The market is witnessing a "Matthew Effect," where top enterprises are gaining more market share, with the top 10 companies accounting for 66.6% of the total sales of the TOP100 list [15][32]. Group 3: Regional Insights - The East China region remains a key battleground for supermarkets, with strong demand for fresh and healthy products driving supply chain upgrades [30]. - The South China region is emerging as a hotspot for community-based enterprises like Qian Dama, which focuses on fresh produce and local consumer needs [30]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry is expected to see three major trends: a focus on quality and experience upgrades, deeper digital integration, and accelerated consolidation, with smaller players at risk of being eliminated if they cannot establish competitive advantages [31][32].

Core Insights - The article discusses the ongoing success of the Pang Donglai supermarket chain, which reported sales of 11.707 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a daily revenue of approximately 64.68 million yuan, and a monthly sales figure of 1.68 billion yuan in June, indicating a strong potential to exceed 20 billion yuan in annual sales [1][2] - However, other listed supermarket companies attempting to emulate Pang Donglai's model are facing significant financial difficulties, with many reporting losses despite implementing similar strategies [2][4] Group 1: Company Performance - Pang Donglai's sales strategy focuses on exceptional service, strict quality control, and employee care, which has garnered consumer loyalty [1] - Other companies like Bubu Gao, Yonghui Supermarket, Zhongbai Group, and Jiajia Yue have attempted to adopt Pang Donglai's practices, including adjusting product structures, enhancing store layouts, and increasing employee compensation [2][4] - Despite these efforts, most of these companies are experiencing declining revenues and profits, with Yonghui Supermarket and Zhongbai Group reporting significant losses [4][12] Group 2: Financial Metrics - Yonghui Supermarket reported revenues of 67.574 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 14.07%, and a net loss of 1.465 billion yuan, which has worsened [4][12] - Bubu Gao achieved revenues of 3.431 billion yuan, an increase of 11.14%, and turned a profit of 1.212 billion yuan [4][12] - Jiajia Yue's revenue was 18.256 billion yuan, with a slight increase of 2.77%, but it reported a net profit of only 132 million yuan, down 3.26% [4][12] Group 3: Challenges Faced - The financial struggles of these companies are attributed to high renovation costs, which can exceed 8 million yuan per store, leading to significant cash flow pressures [6] - Many companies are experiencing a decline in gross profit margins, with an average around 20%, and cash reserves are dwindling, particularly for Yonghui Supermarket, which saw a 32.72% decrease in cash and equivalents [5][6] - Employee numbers have decreased across the board, indicating increased workloads for remaining staff, which may affect service quality [9] Group 4: Market Trends - The article highlights a systemic decline in the supermarket industry, with consumer behavior shifting towards e-commerce and specialized retail channels, making it difficult for traditional supermarkets to maintain profitability [10][13] - Despite significant investments in store renovations and employee compensation, these companies struggle to change consumer perceptions and replicate the unique customer experience offered by Pang Donglai [12][13] - The future of supermarkets lies not in imitation of Pang Donglai but in understanding their unique positioning and finding differentiated value propositions [13]