1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the bond market may mainly rely on increased allocation by bank self - operations. The balance of China's bond market increased by 19.7 trillion in the first 11 months of 2025, and the incremental investment in self - operated bonds by the banking industry in the same period reached 14.3 trillion, accounting for 72.7% of the bond scale increment [2][31]. - Bank self - operated bond investment is mainly in interest - rate bonds, which have a significant impact on the pricing of interest - rate bonds. As of Q3 2025, the proportion of interest - rate bond holdings in bank self - operated bonds was 80.7% [36]. - The bond investment behavior of banks is mainly affected by three types of indicators: capital adequacy ratio requirements, liquidity regulatory indicators, and bank book interest rate risk indicators [3][45]. - Joint - stock banks are the main players in the secondary trading of interest - rate bonds, while the trading scale of large - state - owned banks and policy banks is relatively small. Since Q1 2023, the overall market trading activity has increased, especially significantly after 2025 [3][52]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Bank Self - Operated Financial Investment Composition, Scale Changes, and Structural Characteristics - **Composition and Scale Changes**: As of Q3 2025, the total financial investment scale of 42 listed banks was 101.5 trillion yuan. By statement account, the FVTPL account was 13.23 trillion yuan (13.0%), the FVOCI account was 29.87 trillion yuan (29.4%), and the AC account was 58.40 trillion yuan (57.5%). By asset category as of Q2 2025, bond investment was 79.08 trillion yuan (84.46%), equity investment was 0.86 trillion yuan (0.91%), and funds and other investments were 13.07 trillion yuan (13.96%). From Q4 2023 to Q3 2025, the investment scale of the FVOCI account increased significantly, mainly due to the growth of bond investment [8]. - **Structural Characteristics**: Credit bonds are mainly placed in the FVOCI account, and interest - rate bonds are mainly placed in the AC account. Among different types of banks, the proportion of the three accounts of large - state - owned banks and joint - stock banks is relatively stable, while the proportion of the AC category of city and rural commercial banks has decreased, and the FVOCI category of city commercial banks has increased, indicating a shift from allocation to trading thinking [2][14]. 3.2 Bond Market in 2025 - In 2025, the bond market may rely on increased allocation by bank self - operations. The government issued more bonds in 2025, and the weak credit demand led banks to significantly increase their bond investment. The year - on - year growth rate of the bond investment balance of various types of banks has increased significantly, and bond investment may become the main driving force for the expansion of bank asset scale [31][33]. 3.3 Bank Bond Investment Characteristics - **Investment Portfolio**: As of Q3 2025, bank self - operated bond holdings were 96.5 trillion yuan, mainly interest - rate bonds. Interest - rate bonds accounted for 80.7%, credit bonds accounted for 11.7%, negotiable certificates of deposit accounted for 5.7%, and other bonds accounted for 1.8%. Among interest - rate bonds, treasury bonds accounted for 33.3%, local government bonds accounted for 48.3%, and policy - bank bonds accounted for 17.8% [36]. - **Pricing Influence**: As of Q3 2025, bank self - operated bond holdings accounted for 48.21% of the total bond custody, having a significant impact on the bond market pricing, but the degree of influence varies by bond type. Bank self - operated interest - rate bond holdings accounted for 63.6% of the total interest - rate bond custody, having a significant impact on pricing [44]. 3.4 Bank Bond - Allocation Indicator Constraints - **Capital Adequacy Ratio Requirements**: The risk weights of treasury bonds and policy - bank bonds are 0, the risk weights of local general bonds and special bonds are 10% and 20% respectively, and the risk weights of general corporate bonds and non - bank financial institution ordinary bonds are 75% - 100% [3][47]. - **Liquidity Regulatory Indicators**: The liquidity coverage ratio is relatively relevant to bank self - operated bond investment behavior. Treasury bonds are included in qualified high - quality liquid assets at market price, while credit bonds are given a discount coefficient according to credit ratings [47]. - **Bank Book Interest Rate Risk Indicators**: For large - state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, and Postal Savings Bank, when the maximum economic value change exceeds 15% of their Tier - 1 capital (ΔEVE > 15%), regulatory attention will be drawn [47]. 3.5 Bank Self - Operated Secondary Trading Characteristics - **Interest - Rate Bond Secondary Trading**: Joint - stock banks are the main players in the secondary trading of interest - rate bonds. The trading activity of the whole market has increased since Q1 2023, especially significantly after 2025. The trading scale of large - state - owned banks and policy banks is relatively small [3][52]. - **Credit Bond Secondary Trading**: The trading scale of credit bonds is relatively limited, and the single - quarter trading amount of bank self - operations is generally below 1 trillion yuan [54]. - **Ultra - Long - Term Interest - Rate Bond Secondary Trading**: The secondary trading of ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds in the banking system shows the characteristics of "net reduction trend remains unchanged, and selling pressure converges marginally". Different types of banks have different trading behaviors [56].

Core Viewpoint - The Guangdong branch of the Bank of China is actively promoting the development of technology finance to support the transformation of scientific research into production, creating a comprehensive financial ecosystem for technology enterprises [1][2]. Group 1: Institutional and Organizational Developments - The Bank of China Guangdong branch has revised its guidelines to ensure compliance without moral risk, integrating technology finance into core assessments and forming dedicated approval teams to address lending challenges [2]. - The establishment of a primary technology finance center and five secondary centers in key innovation cities aims to enhance the bank's service capabilities for technology enterprises [2]. - A total of 34 technology branches have been set up in innovation zones to provide specialized services, with 9 branches recognized as "commitment-based technology branches" [2]. Group 2: Technological Empowerment - The bank has developed an intelligent service system based on data and models, launching the "Innovation Credit Loan" product to create precise credit assessments based on technological capabilities [2]. - As of September 2025, the credit balance for technology enterprises exceeded 270 billion, serving approximately 19,000 companies with a non-performing loan rate of less than 1% [2]. Group 3: Collaborative Ecosystem Building - The "Bank of China Innovation Ecosystem Partner Program" aims to create a collaborative financial service system involving government, research institutions, and investment entities, transitioning from isolated efforts to coordinated actions [3]. - A memorandum of cooperation was signed with the Guangdong Productivity Promotion Center to provide comprehensive lifecycle services for technology enterprises [3]. - Initiatives include a provincial technology credit risk compensation fund and tailored services for innovation hotspots like Dongguan and Zhuhai [3]. Group 4: Dual-Driven Financing Model - The bank has introduced a "production investment + credit" dual-driven model to provide long-term, low-cost capital for technology enterprises [4]. - A 14 billion equity investment fund has been established to support advanced manufacturing, with over 1 billion already invested in technology enterprises [4]. - A specialized service plan for pilot testing platforms has been launched, with significant loans approved for semiconductor research projects and related enterprises [4].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance has announced an optimization of the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy, which includes expanding the scope of eligible loans and extending the policy period until the end of 2026, allowing each borrower to receive a maximum subsidy of 3000 yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The new policy includes the inclusion of credit card installment payments in the subsidy support range and the removal of previous restrictions on certain consumption areas [1][2]. - The subsidy limit for individual borrowers has been increased to 3000 yuan per year, with the previous limits on single transaction amounts and total loan amounts being removed [2]. - The policy now allows for subsidies on all types of consumption loans, not just those in specific categories such as home appliances or education [2]. Group 2: Implementation and Participation - Major banks, including Agricultural Bank, Bank of China, and others, have begun to implement the new subsidy measures, with over 500 financial institutions now eligible to process these loans [1][2]. - The implementation period for the credit card installment subsidy is set for the entire year of 2026, and customers can apply for retroactive subsidies for transactions made between January 1, 2026, and the announcement date [3][4]. Group 3: Consumer Guidance - Banks have emphasized that there will be no fees charged for processing personal consumption loans and credit card installment subsidies, and they will not work with third-party intermediaries [5][6]. - Customers are advised to apply for loans through official channels and to be cautious of fraudulent activities related to loan applications [6].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance has announced an optimization of the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy, which includes expanding the scope of eligible loans and extending the policy period until the end of 2026, allowing each borrower to receive a maximum subsidy of 3,000 yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Policy Changes - The subsidy policy now includes credit card installment payments and removes previous restrictions on certain consumption areas, allowing all types of consumption loans to qualify for subsidies [1][2]. - The maximum subsidy limit of 500 yuan per single transaction and the previous cap of 1,000 yuan for loans under 50,000 yuan have been eliminated, enabling borrowers to receive a total of 3,000 yuan in subsidies annually [2]. Group 2: Implementation and Participation - Major banks such as Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, and others have already begun implementing the new subsidy measures, with over 500 financial institutions now eligible to process these loans [1][2]. - The policy aims to enhance accessibility for consumers in urban and rural areas by including city commercial banks, rural commercial banks, foreign banks, and consumer finance companies [2]. Group 3: Credit Card Installment Subsidy - The credit card installment subsidy policy will be effective throughout 2026, and customers can apply for retroactive subsidies for installments made between January 1, 2026, and the policy announcement date [3][4]. - Banks require customers to sign a supplementary agreement to benefit from the subsidy on credit card installments, ensuring compliance with the policy [3][4]. Group 4: Consumer Protection and Compliance - Banks emphasize that no fees will be charged for processing personal consumption loans and credit card installment subsidies, and they will not engage third-party intermediaries [5][6]. - Strict measures are in place to prevent fraudulent activities related to loan applications, and any violations will be recorded in the borrower's credit history [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance has announced an optimization of the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy, which includes expanding the scope of eligible loans and extending the policy period until the end of 2026, allowing each borrower to receive a maximum subsidy of 3,000 yuan [1][2] Group 1: Policy Changes - The new policy includes the inclusion of credit card installment payments for interest subsidies and the removal of previous restrictions on certain consumption areas [1][2] - The subsidy limit for individual borrowers has been increased to 3,000 yuan per year, with no cap on single transaction subsidies [1][2] - The policy now allows for any type of consumption loan to qualify for interest subsidies, broadening the eligible categories significantly [2] Group 2: Implementation and Participation - Over 500 financial institutions, including city commercial banks and foreign banks, are now authorized to implement the new subsidy measures, with expectations for local small and medium banks to follow suit [2] - Banks are actively marketing consumption loans during the "opening season," with annualized interest rates starting at 3%, potentially dropping to as low as 2% with the subsidy [2] Group 3: Credit Card Subsidy Details - The credit card installment interest subsidy policy will be effective throughout 2026, applicable only to RMB bills [2][3] - Customers must sign a supplementary agreement to benefit from the subsidy, and banks will not charge any fees for processing these loans [3][4] - Banks emphasize the importance of legitimate transactions and warn against fraudulent activities related to loan applications [4]

《通知》发布后，农业银行（601288）、中国银行（601988）、交通银行（601328）、邮储银行 （601658）等多家银行迅速响应，第一时间公布落地细则及客户常见问题解答，确保政策红利快速直达 居民。 上海金融与发展实验室主任曾刚对《证券日报》记者表示，此次政策升级的核心突破在于实现了全场 景、全工具、全机构、强激励的普惠化转型，将此前"限领域、限工具、限额度、限机构"的局部支持政 策，升级为覆盖更广、门槛更低、激励更强的消费信贷支持体系，构建起"财政贴息+金融让利+居民受 惠"的良性循环机制。 此次政策调整是对2025年8月份推出的个人消费贷款财政贴息政策的深度优化，主要涵盖延长实施期 限、扩大政策支持范围与经办机构范围、优化贴息标准等方面。 1月20日，财政部、中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局联合发布《关于优化实施个人消费贷款财政 贴息政策有关事项的通知》（以下简称《通知》），标志着个人消费贷"国补"政策再度加码。 针对新旧政策衔接问题，中国银行明确表示，已完成贴息申请的贷款无需重新签署协议，自2026年1月1 日起发生的消费交易将自动适用最新政策；交通银行同步回应，前期已签署贴息服务协议的贷款 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent policy optimization aims to lower consumer costs and activate consumption potential while reinforcing risk control measures to combat illegal arbitrage [1][5]. Group 1: Policy Implementation - Multiple banks, including Agricultural Bank, Bank of Communications, Postal Savings Bank, and China Merchants Bank, announced the implementation of the personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy as per the notification issued on January 16, 2026, effective from January 1, 2026 [1][2]. - The notification expands the scope of interest subsidies by removing previous restrictions on consumption areas, allowing residents to enjoy subsidies for various consumption fields and new credit card installment bills, provided they meet authenticity and compliance requirements [2][5]. Group 2: Application Process - Banks have clarified the application process for interest subsidies, with Agricultural Bank allowing customers to apply through mobile banking and customer service hotlines, while Bank of Communications offers an app for checking subsidy amounts and transaction details [3][4]. Group 3: Risk Control Measures - Banks have emphasized that they do not charge any fees for processing interest subsidies and will not engage third-party intermediaries for these services, aiming to protect customers from fraud [4][5]. - Experts have highlighted the risks posed by illegal intermediaries who may fabricate consumption purposes and documents to exploit the subsidy system, leading to potential financial disorder [5][6]. - A multi-layered risk control system has been established, involving banks, financial regulatory bodies, and the Ministry of Finance to monitor loan purposes and fund flows, ensuring compliance and accountability [6].

Core Viewpoint - The "Financial Assistance and Precision Empowerment" meeting in Furong District aims to facilitate direct communication between government, banks, and enterprises to address financing challenges faced by businesses [1]. Group 1: Event Overview - The meeting allows companies to engage directly with bank representatives, making it easier to understand financing options [1][3]. - The event focuses on providing tailored financial services to help businesses overcome development obstacles [1]. Group 2: Company Insights - Hunan Benhui Technology Co., Ltd. is undergoing a transformation, establishing a cross-border e-commerce and self-media company, indicating a need for financing [3]. - The company expressed satisfaction with the face-to-face interactions, which enhance clarity and efficiency in communication with banks [3]. Group 3: Bank Participation - China Bank's Furong Branch introduced exclusive inclusive financial products tailored for small and medium-sized enterprises, detailing application conditions and advantages [5]. - The bank's professional team aims to establish a regular communication mechanism to respond effectively to reasonable business needs [5]. Group 4: Outcomes and Future Plans - During the free negotiation phase, over ten outstanding entrepreneurs engaged in one-on-one discussions with bank managers, focusing on financing needs and cooperation models [7]. - The meeting resulted in cooperation intentions with a credit amount exceeding 30 million yuan, highlighting the effectiveness of the event [7].

Group 1 - The global financial market in 2025 is characterized by significant changes, with gold emerging as a key asset due to rising geopolitical risks and challenges to the dollar's credit system [1][3] - International gold prices have reached historical highs over fifty times in the year, with London gold experiencing a remarkable annual increase of 64.56%, establishing its status as a core strategic asset [1][3] - The rise of gold is rooted in deep changes in the global economy and monetary order, with U.S. government debt at high levels and the dollar's share in global foreign exchange reserves dropping to a nearly 30-year low [3] Group 2 - The China Banking Corporation has shown exceptional foresight in its assessment of gold trends, consistently advocating for gold as a strategic asset since 2023, leading to cumulative investor returns of nearly 150% by the end of 2025 [4] - The 2025 Personal Financial Global Asset Allocation White Paper accurately predicted trends in the A-share market, RMB exchange rate, and bond market, confirming the bank's professional insights [5] - The report indicated that the A-share market would experience a slow bull pattern, with trading volume exceeding 420 trillion yuan and margin financing balances rising to 2.5 trillion yuan [5] Group 3 - The latest 2026 Personal Financial Global Asset Allocation White Paper provides clear guidance for asset allocation, prioritizing precious metals, non-ferrous metals, equities, and bonds [6] - Gold is expected to maintain its long-term potential for new highs, while the A-share market is anticipated to benefit from global easing and domestic capital inflows [6] - The report forecasts that the RMB exchange rate will continue to exhibit two-way fluctuations, and the yield on 10-year government bonds is expected to stabilize between 1.6% and 1.9% [6] Group 4 - The China Banking Corporation emphasizes a long-term investment philosophy, utilizing professional research and scientific methods to help clients build resilient asset portfolios that can withstand market cycles [7] - The bank aims to guide investors in seizing global asset opportunities through systematic and disciplined asset allocation strategies [7]

REPORT ON GLOBAL ASSET ALLOCATION STRATEGY BY PRIVATE BANKING BANK OF CHINA 2026 中国银行个人金融全球资产配置 自皮书 2025黄金领涨：主升浪中彰显资产硬实力 2025年的全球金融市场，在变局与重构中走出波澜壮阔的行情，黄金无疑是其中最受关注的资产之 一。地缘政治风险持续攀升，叠加美元信用体系面临系统性挑战，国际金价在年内五十多次刷新历史 新高，伦敦金全年涨幅高达64.56%，不仅远超前两年表现，更以强劲的主升浪确立了其作为核心战 略资产的地位。 多维验证：股汇债市场印证专业洞察力 这种专业洞察力同样体现在对全市场的判断上。 2025年初发布的《2025个人金融全球资产配置白 皮书》对A股、人民币汇率及债券市场的预判，均被全年行情一一印证。报告提出"中国资产价值重 估开启、A股慢牛格局基本形成"，而2025年A股成交额突破420万亿元，两融余额升至2.5万亿元， 长期资金积极入市，市场韧性尽显；在汇市方面，白皮书预判美元"例外论"终结、人民币具备稳定 基础，全年人民币兑美元稳中有升，年末守稳7关口；债券市场上，报告指出中债将展现 ...