最近一年走势 相关报告 -15% -1% 14% 28% 43% 57% 2024/07… 2024/10… 2025/01… 2025/04… 2025/07… 机械设备 沪深300 证券研究报告 2025年07月18日 机械设备 机械行业专题报告：摩托车行业2025年1-6月数据更新 评级：推荐(维持) 张钰莹(证券分析师) S0350524100004 zhangyy03@ghzq.com.cn 《机械行业专题报告：摩托车行业2025年5月海关数据更新（推荐）*机械设 备*张钰莹》——2025-06-21 《灵巧手专题系列报告3：从运动学原理出发，灵巧手如何"动起来"？（推 荐）*机械设备*张钰莹》——2025-06-21 《机械行业专题报告：摩托车行业2025年1-5月数据更新（推荐）*机械设备* 张钰莹》——2025-06-17 相对沪深300表现 | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 机械设备 | 6.7% | 12.3% | 44.8% | | 沪深300 | 4.2% | 7.0% | 15.2% | 请务必阅读报告附注中的风险提 ...

证券代码：603129 证券简称：春风动力 公告编号：2025-053 减持计划的实施结果情况 公司于 2025 年 3 月 31 日在上海证券交易所网站披露了《春风动力部分董事 及高级管理人员集中竞价减持股份计划公告》（公告编号 2025-014 号），倪树 祥先生、陈志勇先生、周雄秀先生、陈柯亮先生、马刚杰先生，计划自前述公告 披露之日起 15 个交易日后的 3 个月内，通过集中竞价交易方式分别减持其所持 有的公司股份不超过 34,925 股、31,325 股、28,075 股、26,125 股、23,225 股， 减持比例分别不超过公司股份总数的 0.0229%、0.0205%、0.0184%、0.0171%、 0.0152%，均未超过其持股总数的 25%。减持价格按照减持实施时的市场价格确 定。 结果公告 本公司董事会、全体董事及相关股东保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 董事、高级管理人员持股的基本情况 浙江春风动力股份有限公司 本次减持股份计划实施前，浙江春风动力股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"） 董事、副总裁 ...

摩托车行业系列点评十八 中大排销量创新高 自主高端化提速 2025 年 07 月 17 日 邮箱：cuiyan@mszq.com 邮箱：jiangxuzhou@mszq.com ➢ 事件概述：据中国摩托车商会数据，2025 年 6 月 250cc（不含）以上摩托 车销量 10.2 万辆，同比+14.3%，环比+1.7%。1-6 月累计销量 50.1 万辆，同 比+41.3%。 ➢ 行业：旺季来临 中大排月度销量创历史新高 1）125cc（不含）以上：6 月销量 70.6 万辆，同比-1.9%，环比+0.4%，主要 增量来自于 125-150cc 及 500-800cc，春风动力、隆鑫通用等头部企业均贡献 明显增量； 2）250cc（不含）以上：6 月销量 10.2 万辆，同比+14.3%，环比+1.7%，创 历史新高。1-6 月累计销量+50.1 万辆，同比+41.3%。其中： 出口：250cc+摩托车 6 月出口 5.7 万辆，同比+59.9%，环比+13.7%，同比增 长原因为头部企业在 500-800cc 排量段出口持续增长，1-6 月累计出口 26.5 万 辆，同比+70.1%。 内销：250cc+摩 ...

据中国摩托车商会数据，2025年6月250cc（不含）以上摩托车销量10.2万辆，同比+14.3%，环比+1.7%。1-6月累计销量50.1万辆，同比+41.3%。 02 分析判断 行业： 旺季来临 中大排月度销量创历史新高 1）125cc（不含）以上 ： 6月销量70.6万辆，同比-1.9%，环比+0.4%，主要增量来自于125-150cc及500-800cc，春风动力、隆鑫通用等头部企业均贡献明显增 量； 2）250cc（不含）以上： 6月销量10.2万辆，同比+14.3%，环比+1.7%，创历史新高。1-6月累计销量+50.1万辆，同比+41.3%。其中： 01 事件概述 6月250cc+销量前三名分别为春风动力、钱江摩托、隆鑫通用，CR3市占率合计为46.9%；1-6月CR3累计市占率合计为48.9%，较2024年全年下降1.8pcts，其中： 1） 春风动力 ： 250cc+6月销量2.1万辆，同比+9.2%，市占率21.2%，环比+0.1pcts；1-6月累计市占率21.6%，较2024年全年+1.8pcts； 春风动 力： 极核销量同环比大幅增长 全地形车销量维持强势 据中国摩托车商会数据，春风 ...

Core Viewpoint - The motorcycle industry is experiencing growth, particularly in the sales of larger displacement motorcycles, with a significant increase in sales figures for June 2025 compared to the previous year and the first half of the year [1][2]. Sales Data Summary - For motorcycles with displacement over 250cc, June 2025 sales reached 102,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.3% and a month-on-month increase of 1.7%. Cumulative sales from January to June totaled 501,000 units, up 41.3% year-on-year [1]. - In the 250ml to 400ml displacement category, June sales were 53,000 units, up 15.3% year-on-year and 0.2% month-on-month, with cumulative sales of 265,000 units for the first half of the year, reflecting a 45.0% year-on-year increase [2]. - For the 400ml to 500ml category, June sales were 25,000 units, down 17.6% year-on-year but up 38.19% month-on-month, with a total of 129,000 units sold in the first half, a 7.1% year-on-year increase [2]. - In the 500ml to 800ml category, June sales reached 21,000 units, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 99.44% and a month-on-month increase of 38.19%, with cumulative sales of 93,000 units for the first half, up 104.4% year-on-year [2]. - For motorcycles over 800cc, June sales were 2,300 units, down 27.06% year-on-year and 8.3% month-on-month, with cumulative sales of 14,000 units for the first half, up 125.9% year-on-year [2]. Market Share Insights - Chuanfeng Power sold 21,000 units in June for the 250cc+ category, achieving a market share of 21.2%, with a cumulative market share of 21.6% for the first half, up 1.8 percentage points from the full year of 2024 [3]. - Longxin General sold 15,000 units in June for the 250cc+ category, with a market share of 12.9%, and a cumulative market share of 13.5% for the first half, down 0.7 percentage points from the full year of 2024 [3]. - Qianjiang Motorcycle sold 11,000 units in June for the 250cc+ category, with a market share of 11.2%, and a cumulative market share of 13.9% for the first half, down 2.9 percentage points from the full year of 2024 [3]. Industry Recommendations - The company suggests focusing on key stocks in the automotive sector, including Geely Automobile, BYD, Li Auto, Xpeng Motors, Xiaomi Group, Chuanfeng Power, and others [5][8]. - The company also highlights the importance of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's advocacy for reducing internal competition in the automotive industry, which is expected to benefit the overall market dynamics [6].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" for the motorcycle industry, with a specific buy recommendation for Chuanfeng Power (603129) [4]. Core Insights - The global market for mid-to-large displacement motorcycles is expanding, with significant growth potential in various regions, particularly in Europe, Latin America, and China [1][11]. - Domestic brands in China are enhancing their technological capabilities and product quality, allowing them to compete effectively in both domestic and international markets [2][3]. - The export of mid-to-large displacement motorcycles from China is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected increase of 84.5% year-on-year in 2024 [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Global Mid-to-Large Displacement Motorcycle Market - The global motorcycle market is expected to reach approximately 61.8 million units in 2024, with around 4 million units classified as mid-to-large displacement (over 250cc) [11][12]. - The European market is projected to have a total of about 1.45 million motorcycles in 2024, with a penetration rate of 60-65% for mid-to-large displacement models [15][16]. - In Latin America, the market is expected to grow significantly, reaching approximately 6.46 million units in 2024, with mid-to-large displacement motorcycles accounting for about 10% [22][23]. - The U.S. market remains stable at around 500,000 units, with over 90% being mid-to-large displacement motorcycles [30][31]. - The Chinese market is anticipated to see a 17% year-on-year increase in mid-to-large displacement motorcycle sales, reaching 368,000 units in 2024 [1][40]. 2. Domestic Brands Strengthening Capabilities - Domestic brands are focusing on technological research and development, improving product strength to compete with international brands [2][3]. - The import of mid-to-large displacement motorcycles into China is expected to decrease significantly, with imports projected at 46,000 units in 2024, down 63.9% from 2022 [2]. - The top five exporters of mid-to-large displacement motorcycles from China are Shengshi, Chuanfeng, Wujin, Zongshen, and Qianjiang, with a concentrated market share of over 80% [3]. 3. Competitive Advantages in Global Markets - Companies with strong technological, product, brand, and localization capabilities are likely to gain competitive advantages in the global market [4]. - Domestic brands are transitioning from reverse engineering to independent innovation, with several new multi-cylinder engines set to launch in 2024 [4]. - A comprehensive product matrix is essential for brands to meet diverse global market demands, with brands like Chuanfeng and Wujin actively expanding their product offerings [4]. 4. Key Focus Stocks - The report highlights Chuanfeng Power, Longxin General, and Qianjiang Motorcycle as key stocks to watch in the motorcycle industry [4][7].

Group 1 - The core index of the CSI 500 Consumer Discretionary Index is reported at 3880.00 points, with a recent increase of 2.84% over the past month and a slight decrease of 0.47% year-to-date [1][2] - The CSI 500 Consumer Discretionary Index is composed of various sectors categorized into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, and over 90 tertiary industries, providing a comprehensive analysis tool for investors [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 500 Consumer Discretionary Index include Sichuan Changhong (6.97%), Ninebot (6.54%), Chuanfeng Power (4.85%), and others, indicating a diverse representation of companies [2] Group 2 - The market share of the CSI 500 Consumer Discretionary Index is primarily from the Shanghai Stock Exchange at 62.05%, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 37.95% [2] - The index's holdings are significantly concentrated in the passenger vehicles and parts sector (35.37%) and durable consumer goods (34.76%), highlighting the focus on these industries [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December, ensuring the index remains reflective of market conditions [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - In June, total sales of two-wheeled fuel motorcycles reached 1.495 million units, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%. Exports were 1.115 million units, up 17.6%, while domestic sales were 380,000 units, down 12.8% [3][9] - For motorcycles above 250cc, sales in June were 103,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%. Exports were 57,000 units, up 59.9%, and domestic sales were 46,000 units, down 15.6% [3][9] - Electric motorcycle sales surged to 31,000 units in June, reflecting a dramatic year-on-year increase of 2192.0% [3][18] - The all-terrain vehicle (ATV) segment saw domestic factory shipments of 18,000 units in June, marking a 5.8% increase year-on-year [3][18] Summary by Category Two-Wheeled Fuel Motorcycles - June total sales: 1.495 million units, +8.0% YoY; exports: 1.115 million units, +17.6% YoY; domestic sales: 380,000 units, -12.8% YoY [4][9] - Cumulative sales for the first half of the year reached 8.3375 million units, a 15% increase YoY [4] 250cc and Above - June sales: 103,000 units, +14.3% YoY; exports: 57,000 units, +59.9% YoY; domestic sales: 46,000 units, -15.6% YoY [4][9] - Cumulative sales for the first half of the year reached 502,000 units, a 41% increase YoY [4] Electric Motorcycles - June sales: 31,000 units, +2192.0% YoY; cumulative sales for the first half of the year reached 123,900 units, +1489% YoY [4][18] All-Terrain Vehicles - June sales: 18,000 units, +5.8% YoY; cumulative sales for the first half of the year reached 90,600 units, +7% YoY [4][18]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the all-terrain vehicle (ATV) industry, particularly highlighting the growth potential of Chinese manufacturers in the global market [2]. Core Insights - The ATV industry is experiencing a new wave of development opportunities driven by increasing global outdoor sports and leisure demand, with significant market expansion in mature markets like North America and Europe [2]. - Chinese ATV manufacturers are gaining market share internationally due to their cost-performance advantages and technological innovations, breaking the monopoly of international brands in the high-end market [2]. - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the current state of the global and Chinese ATV industry, focusing on market size changes, brand competition, and the internationalization strategies of Chinese companies [2]. Summary by Sections Overview of ATV Development - The ATV segment has evolved from the introduction of the Honda US90 in 1970 to modern electric drive systems, categorized into three main types: ATV, UTV, and Go-kart [3]. Global Market Landscape - The global ATV market has developed into a competitive landscape dominated by Polaris (37%), traditional Japanese and American manufacturers (54%), and Chinese manufacturers (8%) [4]. - Chinese companies export over 95% of their products, with export volumes expected to grow from 102,500 units and $25.8 million in 2018 to an estimated 487,300 units and $1.2 billion in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate exceeding 30% [4][18]. Market Trends - The global ATV market is shifting from B2B to B2C consumption, with the market size projected to increase from $21 billion in 2024 to $27.7 billion by 2030, led by North America [5]. - The Chinese market is also expected to grow from 14.4 billion yuan to 36.9 billion yuan during the same period, with rising export volumes and average prices [5]. Chinese ATV Industry Structure - The Chinese ATV market is characterized by a high degree of export orientation, with exports consistently accounting for over 95% of total sales from 2018 to 2024 [20]. - The leading company, Changan Power, holds a 72.62% share of the export market, with the top four companies collectively accounting for 97.08% of the export volume [24][25]. User Demographics and Market Shifts - The user demographic is shifting towards younger generations, with millennials now representing 30% of the user base, indicating a trend towards more diverse and younger consumers [42]. - The market is transitioning from a focus on commercial utility to personal leisure, with the share of recreational use increasing significantly over the past decade [36]. Future Market Projections - The global ATV market is expected to grow steadily, with North America maintaining a dominant position, and the average retail price projected to rise from $22,000 to $24,000 per unit by 2030 [50].

Summary of Chuanfeng Power Conference Call Industry Overview - **Motorcycle Export Growth**: In the first five months of 2025, China's motorcycle export value increased by 40.22% year-on-year, reaching $4.5 billion, with a monthly growth rate of approximately 27% in May, indicating a high industry prosperity [2][5][15]. - **ATV Market Dynamics**: The global annual sales of all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) are around 1 million units, with UTVs and SSVs being the main growth markets, showing a significant increase in sales from 280,000 units in 2007 to 620,000 units in 2024, with penetration rates rising from 23% to 65% [2][27]. Company Performance - **Revenue Growth**: Chuanfeng Power reported a revenue growth of approximately 38% in Q1 2025, benefiting from the overall industry growth [2][5]. - **Product Segmentation**: All-terrain vehicles account for about 49% of the company's revenue, while the newly introduced electric vehicle segment aims for sales of 100,000 units and revenue of 400 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate exceeding 400% [2][9][10]. - **Profitability Metrics**: From 2019 to 2024, the company's revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is 35%, while profit growth is at 52%. The high-end strategy for ATV products has improved gross margins in the U.S. market, with net profit margins approaching 10% [2][11]. Strategic Initiatives - **Production Capacity Diversification**: Chuanfeng Power has established production facilities in Thailand and Mexico to mitigate risks from fluctuating tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, ensuring supply chain stability [2][7][9][31]. - **New Product Launches**: The introduction of the User Pro series has been well-received in North America, driving the company's shift towards high-end product offerings [2][30]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - **Export Leadership**: Chuanfeng Power is the absolute leader in the domestic ATV market, with export value accounting for over 70% of the total domestic exports [3][29]. - **Brand Development**: The company has established a significant competitive advantage in the domestic high-displacement motorcycle segment and is expanding into emerging markets with a focus on quality and performance [13][24]. Future Outlook - **Sales Guidance for 2025**: The company anticipates a 200% year-on-year increase in sales for its electric vehicle segment in the first half of 2025, with a total sales target of 600,000 units for the year [34]. - **Supply Chain Resilience**: Despite short-term fluctuations due to policy changes, Chuanfeng Power is well-positioned to adapt its production capacity and maintain a competitive supply chain advantage in the long term [37]. Additional Insights - **Impact of Trade Agreements**: The recent trade agreement between the U.S. and Vietnam, along with the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, presents notable investment opportunities in the export chain, with recommendations to monitor companies like Chuanfeng Power [4].