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海天味业(603288):25Q3营收增速放缓,盈利能力持续提升:——海天味业(603288.SH)2025年三季报点评
EBSCN· 2025-10-29 11:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 21.63 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.02%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 5.32 billion yuan, up 10.54% year-on-year [5] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.40 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.48%, and a net profit of 1.41 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.40% increase year-on-year [5] - Revenue growth was driven by product innovation and enhanced distribution capabilities, with a diversified revenue source emerging from various product categories [6][8] Revenue Performance - Revenue growth by product category for the first three quarters of 2025: soy sauce +7.9%, oyster sauce +5.9%, seasoning sauce +9.6%, and other products +13.4% [6] - In Q3 2025, revenue growth by product category was: soy sauce +5.0%, oyster sauce +2.0%, seasoning sauce +3.5%, and other products +6.5% [6] - Regional revenue growth for the first three quarters of 2025: Eastern +12.1%, Southern +12.7%, Central +7.2%, Northern +4.9%, and Western +6.9% [6] Profitability and Cost Structure - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 40.0%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to sustained cost advantages [7] - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 24.6%, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [7] - In Q3 2025, the gross margin was 39.6%, with a net profit margin of 22.0%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points [8] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on product innovation and channel development, including the launch of new products targeting health-conscious consumers [8] - The company is also advancing its globalization strategy to create a second growth curve [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 6.96 billion yuan, 7.80 billion yuan, and 8.56 billion yuan, respectively [9] - The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 1.19 yuan, 1.33 yuan, and 1.46 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 32x, 29x, and 26x [9]
调味发酵品板块10月29日涨0.37%,朱老六领涨,主力资金净流出6096.35万元
Market Overview - The seasoning and fermentation sector increased by 0.37% compared to the previous trading day, with Zhu Laoliu leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4016.33, up 0.7%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13691.38, up 1.95% [1] Stock Performance - Zhu Laoliu (code: 920726) closed at 19.28, up 3.54% with a trading volume of 18,300 lots and a transaction value of 34.45 million yuan [1] - Richen Co., Ltd. (code: 603755) closed at 34.71, up 2.30% with a trading volume of 19,300 lots and a transaction value of 65.70 million yuan [1] - Angel Yeast (code: 600298) closed at 41.00, up 2.27% with a trading volume of 75,000 lots and a transaction value of 306 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include Zhongjing Food (code: 300908) up 1.46%, ST Jiajia (code: 002650) up 1.14%, and Tianwei Food (code: 603317) up 1.06% [1] Capital Flow - The seasoning and fermentation sector experienced a net outflow of 60.96 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 48.05 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors increased their positions [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Zhongjing Food saw a net inflow of 10.29 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 6.36 million yuan [3] - Angel Yeast experienced a net inflow of 0.64 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors also seeing a net outflow of 0.48 million yuan [3] - Other stocks like Fuling Pickles and Baoli Food also showed varied capital flows, indicating differing investor sentiments across the sector [3]
海天味业(603288):增速阶段性放缓,改革红利持续释放
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-29 08:22
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3][17] Core Views - The company experienced a phase of slowing growth, with revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching 21.628 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.02%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.322 billion yuan, up 10.54% year-on-year [1][9] - The gross margin improved to 39.6% in Q3 2025, benefiting from lower raw material costs and automation upgrades, while the company increased spending on consumer guidance, advertising, and promotions [2][10] - Internal reforms have deepened since 2024, enhancing operational efficiency and solidifying the company's leading market position despite short-term growth slowdowns [2][13] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.398 billion yuan, a 2.48% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.408 billion yuan, up 3.40% year-on-year [1][9] - The company anticipates a slight decline in revenue growth due to a weak restaurant environment, adjusting revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 28.698 billion, 30.699 billion, and 32.631 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 7.059 billion, 7.664 billion, and 8.324 billion yuan [3][15] - The company maintains a stable return on equity (ROE) of around 20.9% for 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) projected at 1.21 yuan [4][18] Market Position and Strategy - The company is leveraging its leading position in the seasoning industry to capture market share, supported by a new employee stock ownership plan aimed at binding core employee interests [2][13] - The company’s sales and management expense ratios increased to 7.4% and 3.4% respectively in Q3 2025, reflecting a strategic focus on marketing and consumer engagement [2][10] - The company’s current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 31.8, 29.3, and 27.0 times respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [3][17]
海天味业(603288):Q3业绩增速放缓,盈利同比改善
Dongguan Securities· 2025-10-29 07:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market index by more than 15% over the next six months [1][4]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance showed a slowdown in revenue growth compared to the previous quarter, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 6.02% for the first three quarters, totaling 21.628 billion yuan, and a net profit increase of 10.54%, amounting to 5.322 billion yuan [4]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.398 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.48%, and a net profit of 1.408 billion yuan, which is a 3.40% increase year-on-year [4]. - The company experienced stable growth in its main business, with significant online channel growth. For the first three quarters of 2025, revenue from soy sauce, seasoning sauce, oyster sauce, and other businesses reached 11.156 billion yuan, 2.229 billion yuan, 3.629 billion yuan, and 3.591 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.9%, 9.6%, 5.9%, and 13.4% [4]. - The gross profit margin improved by 3.02 percentage points to 39.63% in Q3 2025, driven by a decrease in raw material prices [4]. - The report projects earnings per share of 1.20 yuan and 1.33 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 32 times and 29 times [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a net profit margin of 22.01%, an increase of 0.17 percentage points year-on-year, despite an increase in sales expense ratio to 7.43% [4]. - The company’s total revenue for 2024 is projected at 26.901 billion yuan, with a steady increase expected in subsequent years, reaching 34.076 billion yuan by 2027 [5]. Market Position - The company is recognized as a leader in the seasoning industry, continuously enhancing its product and channel reforms [4].
海天味业(603288):看好国内龙头地位巩固与海外突破
HTSC· 2025-10-29 05:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 45.85, reflecting a valuation premium due to its leading market position [6][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 216.3 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 53.2 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 6.0% and 10.5% respectively. The third quarter saw a revenue of RMB 64.0 billion, with a net profit of RMB 14.1 billion, showing a slower growth rate compared to the first half of the year [1][4]. - The company is expected to strengthen its domestic market position while accelerating its overseas expansion, despite facing challenges from weak domestic demand and intense competition [1][4]. Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the gross margin was 40.0%, an increase of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin for the same period was 24.6%, up by 1.0 percentage points [3][4]. - The company’s sales and management expense ratios increased due to promotional activities and the implementation of an employee stock ownership plan, which impacted profitability [3][4]. Product Performance - Revenue from key products such as soy sauce, oyster sauce, and seasoning sauces showed steady growth, with year-on-year increases of 7.9%, 5.9%, and 9.6% respectively for the first three quarters of 2025 [2][4]. - Online sales channels demonstrated significant growth, with a 19.8% increase in revenue in the third quarter compared to the previous year, driven by new product introductions [2][4]. Financial Forecasts - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 1.17, RMB 1.31, and RMB 1.41 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9% [4][10]. - The report anticipates a decline in industry competition and a gradual recovery in restaurant demand, which may affect the company’s inventory levels and sales dynamics [4][15].
海天味业(603288):淡季需求承压,税、费影响Q3盈利业绩概要
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 44 CNY per share [5][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 21.63 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.32 billion CNY, up 10.5% year-on-year. However, the Q3 performance was below expectations, with a revenue of 6.4 billion CNY, a 2.5% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.4 billion CNY, up 3.4% year-on-year [6][9]. - The company experienced a slight decline in Q3 revenue due to weak dining demand. The revenue breakdown shows soy sauce generated 11.16 billion CNY (up 7.9% YoY), oyster sauce 3.63 billion CNY (up 5.9% YoY), and seasoning sauces 2.23 billion CNY (up 9.6% YoY) for the first three quarters [9]. - The gross margin improved by 3.19 percentage points year-on-year to 39.97% for the first three quarters, attributed to lower raw material prices [9]. - The report anticipates a revenue acceleration in Q4, with a downward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2026, expecting net profits of 7.03 billion CNY and 7.92 billion CNY, respectively [9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the food and beverage industry, with a market capitalization of 213.53 billion CNY and a share price of 38.40 CNY as of October 28, 2025 [1]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a total revenue of 25.61 billion CNY in 2022, with projections of 29.50 billion CNY for 2025 and 32.41 billion CNY for 2026 [13]. - The net profit for 2022 was 6.198 billion CNY, with forecasts of 7.031 billion CNY for 2025 and 7.923 billion CNY for 2026 [11]. Shareholder Information - The major shareholder is Guangdong Haid Group Co., Ltd., holding 55.36% of the shares [1]. - Institutional investors hold 2.6% of the circulating A-shares, while general corporations hold 65.6% [2].
海天味业(603288):收入增长放缓,盈利持续改善
CMS· 2025-10-29 03:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [1][4]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue growth slowdown with a year-on-year increase of 2.48% in Q3 and a net profit growth of 3.40%, which was slightly below expectations due to weak demand and inventory control measures [1][4]. - Despite the industry demand being flat, the company's performance in Q3 remained resilient, with steady revenue and improved profitability, indicating a strong competitive position [1][4]. - The company is expected to maintain stable growth in Q4, although there is increased pressure to meet annual targets [1][4]. - The company has been enhancing its market share through channel expansion to compensate for the weak restaurant sector and is looking to overseas markets for new growth drivers [1][4]. - The report suggests that the company’s platform advantages will help it to increase market share as demand improves, leading to accelerated growth in performance [1][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 21.628 billion and a net profit of 5.322 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 6.02% and 10.54% respectively [3]. - In Q3 alone, the company reported revenue of 6.398 billion and a net profit of 1.408 billion, with respective year-on-year increases of 2.48% and 3.40% [3]. - The gross margin improved to 39.63% in Q3, up by 3.02 percentage points year-on-year, driven by cost reductions and enhanced production efficiency [3]. - The company’s net profit margin for Q3 was 22.01%, reflecting a slight increase of 0.17 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Product and Market Analysis - The company’s soy sauce segment showed steady growth, while the growth rates for seasoning sauces and other categories have declined [3]. - In terms of sales channels, offline sales grew by 7.42% and online sales surged by 32.11% in the first three quarters [3]. - Geographically, the eastern region maintained a strong growth rate of 12.13%, while the northern region faced a decline of 2.47% in Q3 [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates maintaining healthy inventory levels in Q4, with expectations for stable growth despite challenges in meeting annual targets [1][4]. - There is optimism for marginal improvements in demand next year, which could accelerate the company's performance growth [1][4]. - The company is also making steady progress in its overseas business, focusing on localizing products and channel strategies to meet regional demands [1][4].
海天味业(603288):2025年三季报点评:逆势增长,保持稳健
Huachuang Securities· 2025-10-29 03:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expectation of outperforming the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [4][22]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 21.628 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.02%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.322 billion yuan, up 10.54% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 6.398 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.48%, and a net profit of 1.408 billion yuan, up 3.40% year-on-year [1]. - Despite weak external demand, the company continues to capture market share from competitors and is focused on developing new products, maintaining a steady growth trajectory [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024A, total revenue is projected at 26.901 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.5%. The net profit is expected to be 6.344 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 12.8% [3]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025E is forecasted at 1.21 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32 times [3][4]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 39.6%, an increase of 3.0 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to lower raw material costs and improved production efficiency [7]. Market and Product Insights - The company’s condiment business grew by 4.53% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with soy sauce, oyster sauce, and seasoning sauce revenues increasing by 4.98%, 1.99%, and 3.50% respectively [7]. - Online sales showed significant growth, increasing by 19.76% year-on-year, while offline sales grew by 3.59% [7]. - The company added 45 new distributors in Q3, bringing the total to 6,726, indicating a slight increase in distribution capacity [7]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth for the full year of 2025, with profit performance anticipated to be even better due to ongoing cost advantages [7]. - An employee stock ownership plan was launched in September, with performance targets set for a compound annual growth rate of no less than 11% in net profit from 2024 to 2026, reflecting the company's confidence in sustained growth [7].
海天味业(603288.SH):2025年三季报净利润为53.22亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 01:59
Core Insights - Company reported a total revenue of 21.628 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.322 billion yuan for Q3 2025 [1] - Operating cash flow was 3.148 billion yuan, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [1] Financial Performance - The latest debt-to-asset ratio stands at 15.38%, ranking 7th among disclosed peers, with a slight increase of 0.20 percentage points from the previous quarter [3] - Gross margin is reported at 39.97%, a decrease of 0.14 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [3] - Return on equity (ROE) is at 13.46%, down 2.94 percentage points year-on-year [3] - Diluted earnings per share (EPS) is 0.94 yuan [3] - Total asset turnover ratio is 0.49 times, reflecting a decline of 0.06 times or 10.53% year-on-year [3] - Inventory turnover ratio is reported at 6.07 times [3] Shareholder Structure - The number of shareholders is 211,200, with the top ten shareholders holding 4.689 billion shares, accounting for 80.13% of total equity [3] - Major shareholders include Guangdong Haid Group Co., Ltd. with 5.531 billion shares and Pang Kang with 909 million shares [3]
海天味业(603288):市场投入加大三季度增速放缓
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 00:30
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 21.63 billion with a year-on-year growth of 6% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.32 billion, reflecting a 10.5% increase year-on-year [1] - The third quarter revenue was 6.4 billion, showing a 2.5% year-on-year growth, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.41 billion, up 3.4% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved revenue of 21.63 billion, with a net profit of 5.32 billion and a non-recurring net profit of 5.16 billion, marking increases of 10.5% and 11.7% respectively [1] - The third quarter saw a revenue of 6.4 billion and a net profit of 1.41 billion, with non-recurring net profit at 1.34 billion, indicating year-on-year growth of 3.4% and 3.9% respectively [1] Market Conditions - The revenue growth in the third quarter slowed down, primarily due to pressure on consumer demand and intensified competition, as well as restrictions in dining scenarios [2] - The three main product categories—soy sauce, oyster sauce, and seasoning sauce—generated revenues of 11.16 billion, 3.63 billion, and 2.23 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 8%, 6%, and 10% [2] Cost and Profitability - The gross margin for the third quarter was 39.63%, an increase of 3% year-on-year, attributed to declining costs [3] - The sales and management expense ratios were 7.43% and 3.43%, reflecting increases of 1.85% and 1% year-on-year, respectively [3] - The net profit margin for the third quarter was 22%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points, indicating stable profitability [3] Investment Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 7.04 billion, 7.8 billion, and 8.57 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 10.8%, and 9.9% respectively [1] - The latest closing price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 32x, 29x, and 26x for 2025-2027, with a maintained "buy" rating [1] Strategic Developments - The company has exceeded expectations in expanding new channels, which could serve as a catalyst for stock price changes [4]