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研判2025!中国硅酮胶粘剂行业发展优势、市场规模、产业链及未来趋势分析:行业发展稳健,建筑业为最大应用领域[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-20 02:01
Core Insights - The silicone adhesive market in China is projected to grow from 1.387 million tons in 2023 to 1.478 million tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [5][7] - The sales revenue for silicone adhesives is expected to reach 20.37 billion yuan in 2024, marking a 4.7% increase compared to 2023 [7] - The average selling price of silicone adhesives is anticipated to decline to 13,800 yuan per ton in 2024 due to a sluggish real estate market and intense competition [7] Market Overview - Silicone adhesives, also known as organic silicone sealants, are high-elasticity sealing materials with excellent weather resistance, temperature tolerance (-40℃ to 150℃), electrical insulation, and hydrophobic properties [2][5] - The demand structure is diversifying, with green buildings, new energy applications (such as photovoltaic packaging and battery sealing), and consumer upgrades (eco-friendly home decoration) identified as core growth drivers [5][12] Application Segmentation - The construction industry remains the largest consumer of silicone adhesives, accounting for approximately 62% of total demand in 2024, with a projected consumption of 916,000 tons, up 4.5% year-on-year [10][11] - The new energy sector is the second-largest application area, expected to consume 384,000 tons of silicone adhesives in 2024, reflecting an 11.4% increase, primarily driven by the photovoltaic sector [12][13] Industry Chain - The silicone adhesive industry chain consists of upstream raw materials (silicone rubber, crosslinking agents), midstream production, and downstream applications across various sectors including construction, new energy, electronics, and transportation [8][10] - The industry is experiencing increased competition and a growing number of production enterprises, with a trend towards global expansion and participation in international standard-setting [8][10] Future Trends - The industry is expected to benefit from dual drivers of policy support and market demand, particularly in the construction sector, where green building standards and prefabricated construction are anticipated to boost demand for high-performance silicone products [14] - Innovations in technology and materials, such as eco-friendly and bio-based alternatives, are likely to accelerate the transition towards higher-value products, while leading companies are focusing on cost reduction and global market expansion [14][15]
8月基建投资同比降幅边际收窄,继续关注中西部区域基建投资机会
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-09-15 14:35
Investment Rating - Industry rating is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [6] Core Insights - Infrastructure investment in August shows a narrowing year-on-year decline, with a focus on investment opportunities in the central and western regions [1] - Real estate sales area decreased by 4.7% year-on-year from January to August, with a significant drop of 11% in August alone [2] - Cement prices have started to rise after a prolonged period of decline, indicating potential recovery in profitability for cement companies [3] - The flat glass production showed a year-on-year decline of 4.5% from January to August, but the decline is narrowing, suggesting a potential improvement in demand [4] Summary by Sections Infrastructure Investment - From January to August, real estate development investment decreased by 12.9%, while narrow and broad infrastructure investments increased by 2% and 5.4% respectively [1] - Cumulative new special bonds reached 32,641.37 billion yuan, up 26.9% year-on-year, indicating strong support for infrastructure projects [1] Real Estate Market - New construction area decreased by 19.5% year-on-year from January to August, with a monthly decline of 19.8% in August [2] - Completion area saw a year-on-year decline of 17% from January to August, with a monthly drop of 21.2% in August [2] Cement Industry - Cement production from January to August was 1.105 billion tons, down 4.8% year-on-year, with August production at 148 million tons, a 6.2% decline [3] - The average cement price in August was 349 yuan per ton, showing a slight increase from earlier in the month [3] Glass Industry - Flat glass production from January to August was 64.818 million weight cases, down 4.5% year-on-year, with August production at 8.267 million weight cases, a 2% decline [4] - The market is showing signs of demand improvement as inventory levels decrease and production lines resume operations [4]
基础化工行业周报:反内卷有望重估化工行业,丙烯酸及酯、聚合MDI价格上涨-20250914
Guohai Securities· 2025-09-14 13:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Insights - The chemical industry in China is expected to undergo a revaluation due to anti-involution measures, which may lead to a significant slowdown in global chemical capacity expansion. This shift could enhance the cash flow and dividend yield of Chinese chemical companies, transforming them from cash-consuming entities to profit-generating ones [6][29] - The demand for chromium salts is anticipated to rise significantly due to increased orders for gas turbines and commercial aircraft engines in Europe and the US, leading to a projected shortfall of 250,000 tons by 2028, which is about 23% of the total annual production [6] - The report highlights four key investment opportunities: low-cost expansion, improving industry conditions, new materials, and high dividend yields from state-owned enterprises [7][8] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The basic chemical sector has shown a performance increase of 51.0% over the past 12 months, compared to 42.5% for the CSI 300 index [4] Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for low-cost expansion in major companies such as Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and others, alongside sectors like tires and fertilizers [7] - It also points out the improving conditions in various segments, including chromium salts, phosphate rock, and agricultural chemicals [8] Key Products Analysis - Recent price increases were noted for acrylic acid and esters, with butyl acrylate priced at 7,600 RMB/ton, reflecting a 3.40% increase [10] - The report also mentions the price of polymer MDI in East China at 15,550 RMB/ton, up by 1.97% [10] Company Tracking and Earnings Forecast - The report provides a detailed earnings forecast for key companies, indicating a positive outlook for many, with several companies rated as "Buy" [30]
行业周报:绿色转型加速供给格局升级,积极布局建材机会-20250914
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-09-14 11:31
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The green transformation accelerates the upgrade of the supply structure in the building materials industry, with a focus on innovative measures to promote the industry's shift towards green and intelligent development [4] - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies, such as the "Three-Year Action Plan for the Promotion of Green Building Materials Industry" in Hubei Province, which aims to reshape the industrial structure [4] - Key recommended companies include: Sanke Tree (channel penetration, retail expansion), Dongfang Yuhong (waterproof leader, operational structure optimization), Weixing New Materials (high-quality operations, high retail business proportion), and Jianlang Hardware [4] - Beneficiary stocks in the cement sector include: Conch Cement, Huaxin Cement, and Shangfeng Cement, with a focus on energy-saving and carbon reduction initiatives [4] Market Performance - The building materials index rose by 2.45% in the week from September 8 to September 12, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.07 percentage points [5][14] - Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index increased by 15.83%, while the building materials index rose by 21.65%, indicating a 5.83 percentage point outperformance [5][14] - In the past year, the CSI 300 index increased by 43.14%, while the building materials index rose by 52.13%, showing a 9.00 percentage point outperformance [5][14] Cement Sector - As of September 12, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 275.03 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.01% month-on-month [27] - The clinker inventory ratio nationwide was 62.59%, down by 0.79 percentage points [28] - Regional price variations were noted, with Northeast prices decreasing by 2.17% and North China prices increasing by 2.22% [27][31] Glass Sector - The average price of float glass as of September 12 was 1202.33 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.01% [78] - The inventory of float glass decreased by 1.86%, with a total of 55 million weight boxes [80] - The price of photovoltaic glass remained stable at 125.00 yuan/weight box [84] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the building materials sector is 29.36 times, ranking it 15th from the bottom among all A-share industries [23] - The price-to-book (PB) ratio is 1.34 times, ranking it 8th from the bottom among all A-share industries [32]
建筑材料行业研究周报:龙头受益新国标+新增量,重点推荐青鸟消防-20250914
HUAXI Securities· 2025-09-14 09:56
Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - The report highlights key beneficiaries from new national standards in fire safety, particularly recommending Qingniao Fire Protection, which is positioned to benefit from the commercialization of fire-fighting robots and the new fire safety standards [5][6] - The report notes an industry trend of "anti-involution," with price increases in the photovoltaic glass sector, recommending companies like Qibin Group, Fuyao Glass, and Xinyi Solar as beneficiaries [5][6] - Cement industry self-discipline is accelerating, with recommendations for Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, among others, as they benefit from price recovery [5][6] - The report emphasizes the high demand for specialty electronic fabrics, recommending China Jushi, Zhongcai Technology, and International Composites as key players [5][6] - Companies with strong mid-year performance and low valuations, such as Sankeshu and Weixing New Materials, are also recommended [5][6] Summary by Sections Cement Industry - The national average cement price is 338 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.4%. The average shipment rate remains stable, and companies are pushing for price increases to improve profitability [2][24] - In various regions, prices have been adjusted, with increases of 10-30 RMB/ton in places like Hebei and Fujian, while some areas like Henan and Hubei have seen price declines [24][37][48] Photovoltaic Glass - The report indicates that the mainstream order price for 2.0mm coated photovoltaic glass remains stable at around 13 RMB/sqm, while 3.2mm coated glass is also stable at about 20 RMB/sqm [2][5] Specialty Electronic Fabrics - China Jushi reported a revenue of 9.109 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 17.7%, with a net profit of 1.687 billion RMB, up 75.5% [5][6] Real Estate Market - In the 37th week of the year, new home transaction area in 30 major cities was 1.3709 million sqm, a year-on-year increase of 1%, while the cumulative transaction area was 61.3913 million sqm, down 19% [3][20] - The second-hand housing market in 15 monitored cities saw a transaction area of 1.7335 million sqm, a year-on-year increase of 2% [20] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests that the establishment of the Xinjiang New Tibet Railway Company, with a registered capital of 95 billion RMB, is expected to accelerate investment in the region [5][6] - Companies focused on engineering and materials in Xinjiang, such as Xinjiang Jiaojian and Beixin Road and Bridge, are expected to benefit from increased regional investment [5][6]
业绩总结:水泥、玻纤利润同比高增,重视供给变化
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2025-09-12 13:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the building materials sector [7]. Core Insights - The traditional building materials sector is expected to see sustained price improvements due to strong short-term cement peak-shifting collaboration, with long-term supply policies likely to support profit margins. High dividends highlight the long-term investment value, particularly in regional cement leaders [4][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies in the renovation materials sector, as they continue to innovate through channel expansion and product diversification, which may accelerate market share growth amid industry consolidation [4][12]. - There is a notable investment opportunity in electronic fabrics, particularly for leading companies with strong expansion momentum and first-mover advantages, driven by high demand from AI computing needs [4][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Building Materials 2025H1 Performance Summary 1.1 Renovation Materials: Demand Under Pressure, Intense Competition - The renovation materials sector faced weak demand in 2025H1, with total revenue for sample companies at 69.7 billion, down 7% year-on-year, and net profit at 3.9 billion, down 19% year-on-year. The second quarter saw similar trends, with revenue of 40.7 billion, down 7%, and net profit of 2.7 billion, down 22% year-on-year [8][15][18]. 1.2 Cement: Supply-Side Reform Effects Continue to Show - In 2025Q2, most cement companies reported improved year-on-year profits despite some pressure on sales and revenue. The national average cement price was 382 yuan, up 2% year-on-year, while the price difference between cement and coal averaged 328 yuan, up 8% year-on-year [9][25][26]. 1.3 Glass Fiber: Rising Volume and Price for Roving and High-End Electronic Fabrics - The glass fiber sector experienced significant profit improvements due to rising demand for roving and high-end electronic fabrics, driven by wind power and AI computing needs. Major companies reported good revenue and profit growth in 2025Q2 [9][35]. 1.4 Glass: Pharmaceutical Glass Demand Under Pressure - The glass sector faced challenges, with pharmaceutical glass demand under pressure and overall market conditions for float glass and photovoltaic glass continuing to decline. Revenue and profit for leading companies remained under pressure [10]. 1.5 Other New Materials: Explosive Materials Market Upturn - The explosive materials sector saw rapid revenue and profit growth, while other materials like refractory materials faced increasing pressure. The overall demand for glass wool products remained weak [11]. 2. Focus on Cement Value Recovery and New Electronic Fabrics - The report suggests focusing on cement value recovery and the potential of electronic fabrics and corporate transformation opportunities, particularly in traditional building materials driven by asset consolidation [12][23].
三棵树(603737):社区店vs茶饮店,如何理解涂料新消费
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-04 09:49
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [4][22]. Core Insights - The company is positioned in a growth phase with improved profitability and high growth potential in new business models. The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 1.0 billion and 1.4 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting optimism about the company's expansion and profit recovery [4][22]. - The "马上住" community store model is compared to the tea beverage industry, highlighting similarities in brand standardization and service enhancement to address consumer trust issues. The tea beverage sector has reached a mature stage, while "马上住" is still in the growth phase, indicating significant market potential [2][10][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has launched the "马上住" one-stop service system since 2016, with strategic upgrades leading to a comprehensive service ecosystem. The goal is to provide a seamless home renovation experience, with plans to expand the number of community stores significantly by 2026 [9][21]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 12,476 million RMB in 2023, with a growth rate of 10.03%, and expected to reach 16,212 million RMB by 2027. The net profit is projected to grow from 174 million RMB in 2023 to 1,759 million RMB by 2027, indicating a robust growth trajectory [8][22]. Market Comparison - The initial investment for a "马上住" store is approximately 100,000 RMB, significantly lower than the average costs for tea beverage stores, which range from 170,000 to 800,000 RMB. The average payback period for "马上住" stores is around 6 months, suggesting a favorable investment environment [3][16]. Competitive Landscape - The report emphasizes the importance of establishing a strong supply chain and human resource management to support rapid expansion. The company aims to leverage its existing brand recognition and operational standards to create a competitive edge in the home renovation market [21][22].
装修建材板块9月3日跌1.44%,科创新材领跌,主力资金净流出2.46亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-09-03 08:45
Market Overview - The renovation and building materials sector declined by 1.44% on September 3, with Kexin New Materials leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3813.56, down 1.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12472.0, down 0.65% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances included: - Sankeshu (603737) closed at 47.16, up 1.16% with a trading volume of 61,700 shares and a turnover of 290 million yuan [1] - ST Nachuan (300198) closed at 2.36, down 0.42% with a trading volume of 148,000 shares [1] - Kexin New Materials (833580) closed at 16.95, down 8.33% with a trading volume of 107,000 shares and a turnover of 185 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The renovation and building materials sector experienced a net outflow of 246 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 192 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks showed: - Fangda Group (000055) had a net outflow of 6.29 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Rabbit Baby (002043) had a net inflow of 5.28 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Public Company (002641) had a net inflow of 3.37 million yuan from institutional investors [3]
建筑材料行业跟踪周报:8月建筑业PMI略超季节性,推荐水泥和洁净室工程-20250902
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-02 05:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from a slight recovery in cement demand, particularly in southern regions as rainfall decreases. However, demand in areas like Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Shandong, and Henan is weakening due to stricter environmental controls [2][14] - The report highlights the potential for price increases in cement, driven by improved demand and supply-side discipline, with a focus on leading companies such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement [4][5] - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing the real estate market, which are expected to positively impact the home improvement and building materials sectors [17] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The construction materials sector saw a slight increase in the PMI for August, indicating a seasonal uptick in activity, particularly in major infrastructure projects initiated in July [4] - The construction materials index showed a marginal increase of 0.14% during the week, underperforming compared to the broader market indices [4] 2. Bulk Construction Materials 2.1 Cement - The national average price for high-standard cement is reported at 344.3 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.7 RMB/ton but a year-on-year decrease of 35.2 RMB/ton [22][23] - The average cement inventory level among sample enterprises is 63.6%, down 1.0 percentage points from the previous week [25] - The report anticipates a potential price stabilization and recovery in the cement market, particularly in the second half of the year [5][14] 2.2 Glass - The average price for float glass is reported at 1189.7 RMB/ton, down 16.1 RMB/ton from the previous week and down 176.6 RMB/ton year-on-year [4] - The report suggests that supply-side adjustments are likely to improve the supply-demand balance in the glass industry, with a focus on leading companies benefiting from cost advantages [16] 2.3 Fiberglass - The report notes a stable pricing environment for fiberglass, with the average price for non-alkali roving at 3100-3700 RMB/ton, remaining stable compared to previous periods [4] - The demand for specialty fiberglass products is expected to grow significantly, driven by technological advancements and increased applications in various industries [15] 3. Home Improvement Materials - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies aimed at stimulating domestic consumption, particularly in the home improvement sector, with expectations for a recovery in demand [17] - Leading companies in the home improvement materials sector are encouraged to explore new business models and enhance their market positioning [17]
研判2025!中国自粘卷材行业发展历程、产业链、上下游分析、产量、企业分析及未来前景展望:基础设施建设步伐加快,行业产量达到14.77亿平方米[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-02 01:23
Industry Overview - Self-adhesive membranes are a new type of waterproof material characterized by low-temperature flexibility, self-healing properties, and strong adhesion, allowing for quick construction at room temperature and compliance with environmental standards [1][2] - The production of self-adhesive membranes in China is projected to grow from 402 million square meters in 2015 to 1.477 billion square meters by 2024, driven by advancements in technology and expanding applications [1][8] Industry Development History - The self-adhesive membrane industry in China began in the 1990s with the introduction of products from international brands, followed by local production efforts [4] - By 2000, advancements in technology led to mass production of self-adhesive waterproof membranes, and industry standards were established in 2002 to ensure product quality [4][5] Industry Supply Chain - The supply chain consists of upstream raw material suppliers (asphalt, polymer resins, polyethylene films), midstream manufacturers who produce various self-adhesive membrane products, and downstream applications in construction and infrastructure [6] - The production of petroleum asphalt, a key component, has seen fluctuations, with a projected output of 34.508 million tons in 2024, down from 62.88 million tons in 2020 [6][7] Market Demand and Trends - The self-adhesive membrane industry is closely linked to the real estate sector, which is currently experiencing a downturn, impacting demand [7] - However, infrastructure investment remains robust, with a 3.2% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025, providing some demand for self-adhesive membranes [7][8] Competitive Landscape - Major players in the self-adhesive membrane industry include Beijing Oriental Yuhong Waterproof Technology Co., Ltd. and Keshun Waterproof Technology Co., Ltd., which leverage technology and brand strength to maintain market leadership [9][11] - Smaller companies focus on niche products and regional markets due to limited resources compared to larger firms [9] Future Industry Trends - The industry is expected to see increased concentration as stricter environmental regulations and rising production costs lead to the elimination of less competitive firms [14] - Companies are expanding internationally to seek new growth opportunities, with notable efforts from leading firms to establish overseas operations [15] - Government policies are increasingly supportive of high-performance waterproof materials, enhancing the growth prospects for self-adhesive membranes [16]