Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the building materials industry for 2025, highlighting investment opportunities in the fiberglass and cement sectors, while suggesting stock selection in consumer building materials and early-cycle segments [2][3]. Core Insights - The building materials industry has shown signs of recovery, with a narrowing revenue decline and improved profitability in the cement and fiberglass sectors. The overall revenue for sample companies in the first half of 2025 was 277.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 4.1%, which is a 10.7 percentage point improvement compared to the entire year of 2024. Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 14.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.9% [5][15]. - The cement industry is experiencing a gradual recovery, with significant profit improvements. In the first half of 2025, the cement sector achieved a revenue of 118.8 billion yuan, down 7.5% year-on-year, but net profit surged by 1110.5% to 5.4 billion yuan. This recovery is partly due to a low base effect from 2024 and favorable pricing conditions [6][28]. - The fiberglass sector reported robust growth, with sample companies generating a total revenue of 31.1 billion yuan, a 20.9% increase year-on-year, and net profit rising by 127.0% to 3.29 billion yuan. The recovery in pricing and the growth in specialty fabric business are contributing factors [7][19]. - Consumer building materials showed a smaller revenue decline of 2.7%, with total revenue of 68.76 billion yuan and net profit down 13.2% to 4.35 billion yuan. Companies like Keda Manufacturing and Sankeshu are demonstrating strong alpha characteristics due to their unique market positions [6][7]. - The glass sector remains under pressure, with a revenue decline of 17.0% to 24.6 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 60.3% to 1 billion yuan, primarily due to high base effects and weak demand in the construction sector [5][19]. - Early-cycle industries are still facing challenges, but leading companies like Subote have reported revenue and profit growth by expanding into major engineering projects [8][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Revenue Decline Narrowing, Cement and Fiberglass Perform Well - The building materials industry is categorized into six segments: cement, glass, fiberglass, early-cycle, consumer building materials, and new materials. The overall revenue decline has narrowed, and profitability has improved, particularly in the cement and fiberglass sectors [15][19]. 2. By Industry: Cement and Fiberglass Recovery, Consumer Building Materials Seek Alpha 2.1 Cement: Recovery Certainty Gradually Realized - The cement industry is showing signs of recovery with improved profitability. The first half of 2025 saw a revenue of 118.8 billion yuan, down 7.5% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.4 billion yuan, up 1110.5% [28][34]. 2.2 Fiberglass: Profitability Out of Undervaluation, Steady Recovery Expected - The fiberglass sector has shown significant growth, with a total revenue of 31.1 billion yuan, a 20.9% increase year-on-year, and net profit rising by 127.0% [7][19]. 2.3 Consumer Building Materials: Revenue Stabilizing, Some Companies Show Profit Alpha - The consumer building materials segment experienced a revenue decline of 2.7%, totaling 68.76 billion yuan, with net profit down 13.2% to 4.35 billion yuan. Certain companies are demonstrating strong alpha characteristics [6][7]. 2.4 Glass: Photovoltaic Glass Phase Improvement, Building Glass Still Under Pressure - The glass industry is under pressure, with a revenue decline of 17.0% to 24.6 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 60.3% to 1 billion yuan [5][19]. 2.5 Early Cycle: Overall Pressure, Leading Companies Recover First - Early-cycle industries are still facing challenges, but leading companies like Subote have reported revenue and profit growth by expanding into major engineering projects [8][19].

Group 1 - The construction materials sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, with companies like Shengfeng Cement hitting the daily limit increase [1] - Zhongqi New Materials has seen an increase of over 8%, indicating strong market performance [1] - Other companies such as Sankeshu, Luyang Energy-saving, and Fujian Cement are also witnessing gains, reflecting a broader positive movement in the industry [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - In August, new construction and completion in the real estate sector continued to hit bottom, with ongoing pressure on sales volume and prices. The new construction area from January to August decreased by 19.5% year-on-year, with a 20.3% decline in August alone. Cement production also saw a year-on-year decline of 4.8% from January to August, with a 6.2% drop in August [5][6] - The report recommends focusing on special fabrics and the African supply chain, with leading companies in the existing market being the main investment theme for the year [2][9] Summary by Sections Real Estate Market - The real estate market continues to face downward pressure on sales volume and prices, with national commodity housing sales amount and area decreasing by 7.3% and 4.7% year-on-year respectively from January to August. The decline in sales accelerated in August, with sales amount and area down by 14.0% and 10.6% respectively [6][7] Cement Market - Cement shipments showed a slight recovery in September, with an average shipment rate of approximately 48%, up by 1.6 percentage points month-on-month but down by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year. The average price of cement increased by 0.5% month-on-month as companies pushed for price increases to enhance profitability [7][24] Glass Market - The domestic float glass market experienced mixed price movements, with slight improvements in shipments but overall cautious price adjustments. The inventory levels remain high, and the market sentiment is generally cautious, with production capacity pressures persisting [8][40] Recommended Companies - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in special fabrics such as China National Materials Technology and in the African supply chain like Huaxin Cement and Keda Manufacturing. These companies are expected to benefit from domestic demand recovery and overseas expansion [9][10]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 9月23日晚间，三棵树发布公告称，公司实际控制人、控股股东洪杰先生将其持有的部分 无限售条件流通股股份质押给兴业国际信托有限公司，用于个人融资。本次质押股数为3，500万股。 ...

证券代码：603737 证券简称：三棵树 公告编号：2025-057 三棵树涂料股份有限公司 关于公司实际控制人、控股股东部分股份质押的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 截至本公告披露日，三棵树涂料股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）实际控 制人、控股股东洪杰先生持有公司股份49,445.3628万股，占公司总股本的67.02%； 本次办理质押手续后，洪杰先生累计质押公司股份 13,556.2854 万股，占其所持 公司股份的 27.42%。 股东 名称 是否为 控股股 东 本次质押 股数 （万股） 是否 为限 售股 是否 补充 质押 质押起始日 质押到期日 质权人 占其所 持股份 比例 占公司 总股本 比例 质押融资 资金用途 洪杰 是 3,500 否 否 2025-09-26 2026-09-25 兴业信托 7.08% 4.74% 个人融资 一、股份质押情况 本次质押股份不存在被用作于重大资产重组业绩补偿等事项的担保或其他 保障用途的情形。 二、股东累计质押股份情况 截至本公告披露日，上述股 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [4] Core Views - The recent 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to improve liquidity, leading to a potential valuation recovery in the undervalued building materials sector. The focus is on the Xinjiang region due to its strong economic growth and upcoming infrastructure projects, which are anticipated to boost demand for cement [2][14] - Fixed asset investment in Xinjiang increased by 9.1% year-on-year from January to August 2025, significantly higher than the national average. Cement usage in the region also saw a 1.3% year-on-year increase during the same period [2][14] - Key infrastructure projects, such as the new Tibet Railway and the China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan Railway, are expected to further drive cement demand, with estimates suggesting an increase of 4.62 to 6.94 million tons for the Xinjiang segment alone [2][14] Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of September 15-19, 2025, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.44%, while the building materials sector (CITIC) rose by 0.49%. Notable individual stock performances included Gongyuan Co. (+23.5%), Mona Lisa (+21.2%), and Youbang Ceiling (+14.9%) [1][10] Recommended Stocks - The report recommends a focus on the following stocks: China National Materials, Honghe Technology, China Glass, Qingsong Construction, Huaxin Cement, and Sankeshu [3][16] Cement Sector Insights - The national cement market price increased by 0.5% week-on-week, with price hikes observed in regions such as Jiangxi, Guangxi, and Sichuan. The average shipment rate for cement companies in key areas was approximately 48%, showing a slight increase [15] - The report anticipates that cement prices will continue to trend upwards due to seasonal demand, despite current market conditions being less than ideal [15] Glass Sector Insights - The photovoltaic glass market showed stable transactions, with prices for mainstream products remaining unchanged. The overall production capacity in the glass sector is stable, with a slight year-on-year decrease in output [15][16] Fiberglass Sector Insights - The fiberglass market is experiencing stable pricing, with some improvement in demand. However, the overall market remains under pressure due to high inventory levels [16] Long-term Outlook - The building materials industry is expected to be near the bottom of its cycle, with potential for recovery driven by infrastructure and real estate demand improvements. The report highlights the importance of traditional building materials and new materials in the growth trajectory [16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the construction materials industry, indicating a recovery in the consumption segment and a price increase cycle for fiberglass products [1][5][7]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector is showing signs of recovery, with the fundamentals entering a positive phase, particularly in real estate sales and construction starts [1][20][21]. - A price increase cycle for fiberglass products is anticipated, driven by supply-demand dynamics and market conditions [2][6][7]. - The cement industry is entering a peak season with price increases observed in various regions, supported by policy measures aimed at limiting overproduction [4][27][28]. Summary by Sections Construction Materials - The consumption construction materials sector is stabilizing, with expectations of improved revenue performance starting in Q3 2025 due to lower revenue baselines and reduced price competition [1][20][21]. - Companies like Hanhigh Group and Sankeshu are already showing growth, with expectations for Dongfang Yuhong to follow suit [1][15]. Fiberglass - The fiberglass market is experiencing a price increase cycle, with major companies discussing price hikes for various products, including low dielectric fabrics [2][6]. - The supply-demand balance is shifting positively, with larger manufacturers maintaining good inventory control while smaller producers are adjusting prices upward [6][7]. Cement - The cement market is witnessing a slight price increase, with specific regions like Jiangsu and Anhui implementing price hikes [4][27]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the cement sector due to policy support and overseas expansion opportunities [27][28]. Investment Recommendations - Companies such as China Jushi, Zhongcai Technology, and Feilihua are highlighted for their strong market positions and growth potential in the fiberglass and construction materials sectors [10][12][18]. - Huaxin Cement is noted for its overseas expansion and profitability, particularly from its Nigerian operations, which are expected to contribute significantly to future earnings [31][33].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The building materials sector is driven by dual forces of policy and demand, with a focus on high-performance new materials supporting green construction and renovation [3] - The new materials industry in China is expected to grow from a value of 6.8 trillion yuan in 2022 to 10 trillion yuan by 2025, with 30 sub-industries transitioning to high value-added products [3] - The report highlights specific companies to invest in, including Sankeshu (channel expansion), Dongfang Yuhong (waterproofing leader), Weixing New Materials (high-quality operations), and Jianlang Hardware [3] - The cement sector is expected to benefit from energy-saving and carbon reduction initiatives, with a target to control cement clinker capacity at around 1.8 billion tons by the end of 2025 [3] Market Performance - The building materials index increased by 0.43% in the week from September 15 to September 19, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.88 percentage points [4][13] - Over the past three months, the building materials index has risen by 19.82%, while the CSI 300 index has increased by 14.18%, indicating a 5.64 percentage point outperformance [4][13] - In the past year, the building materials index has grown by 43.00%, compared to a 34.31% increase in the CSI 300 index, resulting in an 8.69 percentage point outperformance [4][13] Cement Sector Insights - As of September 19, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement in China was 279.00 yuan/ton, reflecting a 1.44% increase from the previous period [6][24] - The clinker inventory ratio reached 65.11%, up by 2.52 percentage points [6][24] - Regional price variations were noted, with increases in East China (+2.04%) and South China (+1.72%), while North China saw a decrease of 1.01% [24] Glass Sector Insights - The average price of float glass as of September 19 was 1208.98 yuan/ton, with a slight increase of 0.55% [6][76] - The inventory of float glass decreased by 29,000 weight boxes, a decline of 0.53% [6][78] - The price of photovoltaic glass remained stable at 125.00 yuan/weight box [6][80] Fiberglass Sector Insights - The price of non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3400 to 4000 yuan/ton, with variations based on specific product types [6][5] - The market for fiberglass is showing stability, with flexible pricing strategies being employed by some manufacturers [6][5] Consumer Building Materials Insights - As of September 19, the price of asphalt was stable at 4570 yuan/ton, while the price of titanium dioxide decreased by 0.38% to 13000 yuan/ton [6][5] - The report indicates that raw material prices for consumer building materials are experiencing slight fluctuations [6][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials industry [2]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from price increases in cement and electronic fabrics, with significant opportunities in the African cement market [1][5]. - The report highlights a shift from "demand expansion" to "price elasticity" in the industry, driven by scarcity and high barriers to entry [5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-quality companies within the sector, particularly those with strong brand recognition and operational leverage [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The total market capitalization of the construction materials industry is 874.92 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 823.62 billion yuan [2]. - Key companies in the sector include Beixin Building Materials, Conch Cement, and China Jushi, all rated as "Buy" [4]. Market Trends - National cement production from January to August 2025 was 1.105 billion tons, a decrease of 4.8% year-on-year, with August production at 148 million tons, down 6.2% year-on-year [5]. - The report notes a price increase in cement in various regions, with Yunnan province planning to raise prices by 100 yuan/ton and Shaanxi province by 70 yuan/ton [5]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like China National Materials and Huaxin Cement, which are expected to perform well due to their overseas growth and undervaluation [5]. - It also suggests monitoring the waterproofing industry, which is showing signs of recovery in demand and profitability [5]. Price Movements - The national cement market price increased by 0.5% week-on-week, with price hikes observed in regions such as Jiangxi, Guangxi, and Sichuan [33]. - The average cement shipment rate across key regions was approximately 48%, with a slight increase of 2 percentage points [33].

Core Viewpoints - The report maintains a positive outlook on the building materials industry, indicating a potential stabilization in the supply chain due to ongoing anti-involution efforts [1][4]. Industry Analysis - The anti-involution movement is expected to continue impacting the real estate supply chain, with the photovoltaic industry leading the way through a combination of gradual policy adjustments and market-oriented measures [6]. - Recent government initiatives aim to address issues such as chaotic competition and unreasonable procurement practices, which are anticipated to enhance market efficiency and fair competition within the building materials sector [6]. - The cement industry is experiencing improved supply-demand dynamics, with various regions implementing staggered production schedules to stabilize prices. For instance, companies in Jiangxi, Sichuan, and other provinces are reducing output significantly during peak season [6]. - Investment recommendations highlight the cement sector's attractive dividend yield and the expectation of price recovery, with specific companies like Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement being emphasized for potential investment [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests actively monitoring the cement sector due to its favorable fundamentals, with a focus on companies such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement, while also considering related photovoltaic industry stocks like Qibin Group [6]. - The consumer building materials sector is expected to see a reversal of its current challenges, with anticipated stabilization in demand and pricing, leading to improved performance for companies like Sangke Tree and Rabbit Baby [6].