北京商报讯（记者 关子辰 牛清妍）2月2日，记者从吉祥航空获悉，春运期间吉祥航空及旗下九元航空预计执行航 班约1.8万班次，承运旅客约290万人次。 国际及地区航线上，吉祥航空通过提升飞机利用率、合理增开夜间航班等方式，确保上海至河内、曼谷、吉隆 坡、槟城等东南亚主要航线每日至少一班；新开通的上海—斗湖（仙本那）航线则维持每周三班的稳定运营。此 外，上海—巴厘岛、上海—新加坡等需求旺盛的航线也投入了宽体机执飞。 吉祥航空春运机票预售数据显示，旅客出行偏好鲜明，地域特征明显。 国内方面，"冰雪游"与"暖冬游"持续引领出行风向，长白山、哈尔滨等北方冰雪目的地以及三亚、北海等南方温 暖海滨城市的客流显著攀升。西双版纳、南宁等地部分航线在春节高峰时段已接近售罄。国际方面，泰国、新加 坡、越南、印尼巴厘岛等东南亚目的地市场需求稳健增长。 为高效应对客流高峰，吉祥航空对整体运力进行系统化调配与加密安排。国内热门旅游航线方面，上海—长白山 增至每日3班；上海—哈尔滨达到每日5班，部分班次由宽体机执飞；上海—三亚加密至每日5班，其中每日两班从 虹桥机场起飞并使用宽体机执飞；上海—西双版纳增至每日3班；上海—北海增至每日2班。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the shipping industry, highlighting the upward potential in both oil and dry bulk markets [7]. Core Insights - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, have led to an increase in VLCC freight rates, with the Clarksons VLCC-TCE index rising to $116,000, a week-on-week increase of 17% [10][11]. - The BDI index has shown resilience during the off-season, closing at 2148 points, up 21.9% week-on-week, with significant increases in various vessel types [23][24]. Summary by Sections Oil Shipping - The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have resulted in a significant rise in VLCC freight rates, particularly on the Middle East to China route, which saw a 27% increase to $127,000 per day [10][11]. - The market fundamentals are weakening, with a slowdown in cargo availability and a lack of new cargo in the US Gulf market, leading to a decline in overall market activity [10][11]. Dry Bulk Shipping - The BDI index has shown a remarkable performance during the off-season, with a year-on-year increase of 89% in January, averaging 1759 points [24]. - The strong performance of the BCI index, which increased by 121% year-on-year, is attributed to supply constraints and steady demand from Brazil and West Africa [24]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for upward trends in both oil and dry bulk markets, recommending companies such as China Merchants Energy Shipping and COSCO Shipping Energy [27]. - For dry bulk, the report suggests companies like Haitong Development and Pacific Shipping, citing favorable supply and demand dynamics [28]. Industry Data Tracking - Recent data shows a year-on-year increase of 8.3% in domestic air passenger volume, with average ticket prices rising by 4.3% [29]. - The SCFI index has decreased by 10% week-on-week, indicating a decline in container shipping rates [50].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Core Insights - Geopolitical factors are driving up VLCC freight rates, with the Clarksons VLCC-TCE index rising to $116,000 per day, a week-on-week increase of 17%. The Middle East to China route is reported at $127,000 per day, up 27% week-on-week [1][10]. - The BDI index is showing resilience during the off-season, closing at 2148 points, a week-on-week increase of 21.9%. The average BDI for January is reported at 1759 points, a year-on-year increase of 89% [2][23][24]. Summary by Sections Oil Transportation - The ongoing tensions between the US and Iran have led to an increase in VLCC freight rates, with the market showing signs of weakness as the supply of cargo from the Middle East is tapering off [1][10]. - The Brent crude oil futures price has risen to $69.83 per barrel, a 9.6% increase since January 22, driven by concerns over potential disruptions in Middle Eastern oil supply [2][11]. Dry Bulk Transportation - The BDI index has shown strong performance despite seasonal trends, with significant increases in various sub-indices: BCI up 35.8%, BPI up 8.1%, BSI up 4.0%, and BHSI up 3.0% week-on-week [2][23]. - The report highlights that the supply side is constrained due to recent storms affecting shipping schedules, while demand remains robust due to favorable weather conditions for iron ore exports from Brazil [3][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for both oil and dry bulk markets, recommending companies such as China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping for oil transportation, and Haitong Development and Pacific Shipping for dry bulk [7][28]. - The report emphasizes the importance of performance elasticity and dividend value in the transportation sector, particularly in aviation and shipping [7][62].

——国泰海通交运周观察 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 岳鑫(分析师) | 0755-23976758 | yuexin@gtht.com | S0880514030006 | | | 陈亦凡(研究助理) | 0755-23976151 | chenyifan2@gtht.com | S0880124070025 | [Table_subIndustry] | 春运客流持续增长，油运盈利 Q1 大增 [Table_Industry] 运输 本报告导读： 航空：2025 年主业盈利改善符合预期，春运客流持续增长，旺季表现可期。建议布 局超级周期长逻辑。油运：预计 2026Q1 油轮盈利同比大增数倍，期待超级牛市。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 运输《公路政策优化可期，公路法修正将是信 号》2026.01.26 运输《春运客流再创新高，原油运价维持高位》 2026.01.25 运输《全球经济温和复苏，原油运价维持高位》 2026.01.25 运输《航空春运预售启动，预计因私需 ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|航空机场 亏损收敛、扭亏兑现，内需叙事启新篇 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-01-31 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： Table_Author]许可 SAC 执证号：S0260523120004 SFC CE No. BUY008 0755-88285832 -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 02/25 04/25 06/25 09/25 11/25 01/26 航空机场 沪深300 | | xuke@gf.com.cn | | --- | --- | | 分析师： | 陈宇 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260524100002 | | | SFC CE No. BLW740 | | | 021-38003771 | | | shchenyu@gf.com.cn | 证券研究报告 [Table_ 相关研究： DocReport] [Table_Title] 航空机场行业 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the shipping industry, highlighting strong performance in the sector despite seasonal challenges [4]. Core Insights - The shipbuilding sector is expected to show significant earnings growth, with Su Mei Da's Q4 net profit forecasted at 2.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 71%, driven by strong contributions from shipbuilding and power generation [5]. - The shipping market continues to experience robust demand, with one-year charter rates for VLCCs rising by 2.8% to $64,000 per day, and Cape rates increasing by 8.4% to $28,700 per day [5]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing volatility in oil transportation rates, with VLCC rates experiencing a 62% increase in a single day due to supply-demand imbalances and geopolitical tensions [5]. - The dry bulk shipping market is also showing resilience, with the BDI index rising by 21.9% week-on-week, driven by strong demand from Australia and Brazil [5]. Summary by Sections Shipbuilding Sector - Su Mei Da's Q4 net profit is projected at 2.5 billion, up 71% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [5]. - ST Songfa's Q4 net profit is estimated between 11-14 million, with a net profit margin of 14%, reflecting a 1.6 percentage point increase from Q3 [5]. - Attention is drawn to China Shipbuilding's upcoming full consolidation of assets and the release of high-priced orders in Q1 2026 [5]. Shipping Market - The report notes a continued upward trend in shipping rates, with VLCC rates increasing by 2.8% and Cape rates by 8.4% [5]. - The VLCC average rate rose by 16% week-on-week, reaching $122,326 per day, with Middle East to Far East rates dropping by 25% [5]. - The report highlights the impact of geopolitical tensions on oil transportation, particularly in the context of the Ukraine conflict [5]. Dry Bulk Shipping - The BDI index recorded a 21.9% increase, with Capesize rates rising by 35.8% to $31,809 per day [5]. - Strong demand from Australia and Brazil is noted, with limited supply contributing to higher rates [5]. Air Transportation - The report indicates a significant opportunity for airlines due to rising passenger volumes and historical high load factors, suggesting a potential "golden era" for the industry [5]. - Airlines such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines are highlighted as key players to watch [5]. Express Delivery - The report anticipates uncertainty in the express delivery sector due to fluctuating demand and industry self-regulation policies, but notes that leading companies like Zhongtong Express and YTO Express are expected to maintain their market share and profitability [5]. Rail and Road Transportation - Rail freight volumes and highway truck traffic are showing resilience, with recent data indicating a slight decline in volumes but overall stability [5]. - The report suggests that high dividend investment themes and potential value management catalysts in the highway sector are worth monitoring [5].

行 业 及 产 业 交通运输/ 航空机场 2026 年 01 月 30 日 相关研究 《航空"反内卷"初见成效——航空迎来 黄金时代系列报告》 2026/01/20 《景气度持续提升，从量变到质变—— 2025 下半年航空板块投资策略》 2025/06/12 《全球格局持续演变，静待我国航司迈入 成熟期——2025 航空及海外飞机制造链 年度策略》 2024/11/27 《航空出行渐入常态，再强调"国际+供 给"双主线——2024 航空机场中期策 略》 2024/06/14 《不同周期阶段的不同演绎，民航业东升 西降趋势确定-2024 航空机场投资展望》 2023/12/05 证券分析师 王凯婕 A0230525110001 wangkj@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 罗石 A0230524080012 luoshi@swsresearch.com 郑逸欢 A0230526010001 zhengyh@swsresearch.com 联系人 王凯婕 A0230525110001 wangkj@swsresearch.com 本 ...

南财智讯1月30日电，国货航在投资者关系活动中表示，国货航采购A350F货机主要是兼顾公司发展规 划和市场需求，有利于公司优化机队结构和长期运力补充，构建满足市场和客户需求的大、中型货机运 力结构，为长期稳定经营提供核心资源支持。目前已与空客签署6架A350F货机确认订单，预计将于 2029-2031年期间陆续完成交付，另有4架A350F货机意向订单的购买权，行权最晚期限为2026年底。 ...

《中国民航报》、中国民航网 记者冯智君 报道：1月30日10时25分，吉祥航空HO1025航班平稳降落在 揭阳潮汕机场，标注着吉祥航空执飞的上海浦东—揭阳潮汕航线首航任务圆满完成。 据介绍，这是吉祥航空首次进驻揭阳潮汕机场，该航线采用空客A320机型执飞，航班号为HO1025/HO1 026，班期为每周一、三、五、日。具体航班时刻为07时55分从上海浦东起飞，10时25分抵达揭阳潮 汕；11时10分从揭阳潮汕起飞，13时15分抵达上海浦东，以上均为北京时间。此次引进吉祥航空执飞航 线，为广大旅客带来更多航班选择，也进一步完善了揭阳潮汕机场的干线网络及市场结构布局。 机场方表示，为全力做好春运服务保障，机场将优化候机环境，增设便民服务设施，在航站楼举办民俗 表演，联合商家推出系列新春特惠购物、餐饮折扣活动，让广大旅客在出行中感受到浓浓的年味和暖暖 的服务，切实提升旅客春运出行体验。（编辑：贾昊天 校对：李海燕 审核：韩磊） 据悉，2026年春运，为精准对接市场多元化出行需求，揭阳潮汕机场积极联动多家航空公司加大运力投 放，加密了北京、上海、成都、重庆、贵阳、海口、杭州、昆明、兰州、长沙、郑州等热门航点航班， 恢 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Air Transport Association has released a draft standard for public consultation regarding the reservation of seats on flights, aiming to regulate the classification and information disclosure of economy class seats by airlines [1][2]. Group 1: Seat Classification and Regulations - Airlines are required to categorize economy class seats into "free selectable seats" and "reserved seats" [2]. - Reserved seats are further divided into operationally necessary reserved seats (for safety and service needs) and value-added reserved seats (including reward points/miles redemption and paid reservations for international and regional flights) [2]. - Domestic flights must ensure that at least 70% of economy class seats are free selectable, while international and regional flights must have a minimum of 65% [2]. Group 2: Information Disclosure and Transparency - Airlines must clearly inform passengers about the categories of free and reserved seats, redemption standards, paid selection prices (for international and regional flights), and the release time of reserved seats [2]. - A clear seat map must be provided to distinguish between "free selectable," "member selectable," "not selectable online," and "selected seats" to avoid ambiguity and misleading information [2]. Group 3: Consumer Complaints and Industry Response - Several airlines have faced scrutiny for locking certain desirable seats, leading to consumer complaints about unfair practices [3]. - The Jiangsu Consumer Protection Committee has conducted investigations and engaged with multiple airlines regarding the locking of seats that should be part of standard services [3]. - Airlines such as 吉祥航空 and 四川航空 have acknowledged the issues and are undertaking internal evaluations and corrective actions in response to the consumer protection committee's findings [3].