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港股航空股回暖 航司集体开通国际新航线 机构看好未来景气超预期上升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 03:43
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 12月11日消息,航空股迎来反弹行情,中国南方航空涨近2%,中国国航、国泰航空涨超1%。 消息上,进入12月,国际航线市场竞争悄然升温。截至12月10日,有媒体观察到,东航、南航、海航、 吉祥航空等多家航司新开、加密、复航国际航线,瞄准元旦、寒假及春节出行高峰期,拉开了抢占客流 的序幕。 国泰海通此前发布研报称,维持航空油运增持评级。该行预计25Q4航空业大幅减亏并全年扭亏,日本 航线波动不改长逻辑,"十五五"机队将维持低增,需求增长将驱动票价与盈利上行且可持续,建议逆向 布局超级周期。油运运价小幅回调仍维持高位,俄乌和谈影响或有限,看好未来景气超预期上升。 责任编辑:郝欣煜 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 责任编辑:郝欣煜 客户端 12月11日消息,航空股迎来反弹行情,中国南方航空涨近2%,中国国航、国泰航空涨超1%。 国泰海通此前发布研报称,维持航空油运增持评级。该行预计25Q4航空业大幅减亏并全年扭亏,日本 航线波动不改长逻辑,"十五五"机队将维持低增,需求增长将驱动票价与盈利上行且可持续,建议逆向 布局超级周期 ...
抢占春节市场 航司集体开通国际新航线
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-10 23:37
进入12月,国际航线市场竞争悄然升温。截至12月10日,北京商报记者观察到,东航、南航、海航、吉 祥航空等多家航司新开、加密、复航国际航线,瞄准元旦、寒假及春节出行高峰期,拉开了抢占客流的 序幕。 持续加码国际市场 12月2日上午11点10分,载有274名旅客的南航CZ377航班从广州白云国际机场起飞,前往西班牙首都马 德里。从广州前往马德里游玩的游客李宇晨搭乘了南航的这趟新航班。据他观察,这条航线的往返航班 上座率都超过了90%,客舱几乎满员。 此外,四川航空于12月7日复航成都—奥克兰直飞航线。南航在2025年12月13日至2026年2月24日期间首 次增班广州—悉尼航线至每天四个往返。 元旦出入境机票预订量增15% 航司密集开航新航线,是为即将到来的出行高峰做准备。 航旅纵横行业发展部总经理赵楠表示,12月底开始,元旦、寒假、春节叠加形成全年出行高峰,探亲 流、学生流、旅游流高度重合,旅客出行需求预计会集中释放。航司也会根据市场需求增投运力,为旅 客出行提供充足的运力保障。 航旅纵横大数据显示,截至12月8日,2026年元旦假期境内航线机票预订量已超106万张,同比增长约 45%;出入境航线机票预订量超 ...
交通运输行业2026年投资策略:聚焦反内卷受益板块及高确定性个股
Dongxing Securities· 2025-12-10 12:28
Investment Summary - The transportation industry has shown a significant underperformance compared to the broader market, ranking among the lowest in terms of growth within the Shenwan primary industry indices as of December 8, 2025 [15][16] - The implementation of anti-involution policies has positively impacted the fundamentals of certain segments within the transportation sector, particularly benefiting the aviation and express delivery sectors [26][30] 2026 Outlook - The focus for 2026 remains on sectors benefiting from anti-involution policies and high-certainty stocks, with a long-term impact expected from these policies on stock price movements [5][34] - Key sectors to watch include aviation, express delivery, and regional shipping, while high-dividend and low-debt companies are expected to attract more investor interest in weaker cyclical areas [5][34] Express Delivery Sector - The express delivery industry has seen a recovery in profitability driven by rising single-package prices, with major companies like YTO Express and Shentong Express showing significant improvements [6][35] - The trend of price competition has been curtailed, leading to a decrease in package volume growth as companies focus on maintaining service quality and profitability [6][38] - The competitive strategies among companies have diverged, with YTO and Shentong performing strongly, while Yunda has struggled with profitability and market share [42][53] Aviation Sector - The aviation sector has experienced a notable improvement in performance since Q2 2025, with major airlines reporting increased profitability compared to the previous year [63][64] - The focus for 2026 will be on the transition from high passenger load factors to higher ticket prices, supported by controlled supply and strong demand [69][87] - Major airlines are expected to maintain cautious procurement strategies, with a projected fleet growth of around 5% in 2026 [69][80] Highway Sector - The highway sector has faced significant adjustments in stock prices, leading to a more rational market approach towards high-dividend investments [8][4.1] - Following substantial adjustments, the attractiveness of highway stocks has improved, with a focus on companies with high dividend ratios and low debt levels [8][4.3]
航司年底密集开航新航线,瞄准国际市场抢占客流
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-10 09:49
12月3日晚,南航广州至达尔文直飞航线正式启航,这是广州赴澳大利亚飞行时间最短的航线,将两地的航程缩短至约6小时。 东航则开辟了一条更具战略意义的航线。在12月4日凌晨,东航MU745航班搭载282名旅客从上海浦东国际机场起飞,在经停新西兰奥克兰后,飞赴阿根廷 首都布宜诺斯艾利斯。由此,全球最长单程航线上海—奥克兰—布宜诺斯艾利斯正式开通,这也是全球首条连接对跖点城市间的商业航线,填补了上海至南 美核心城市直飞航线的空白。 在东航和南航之后,海航也连续官宣三条东南亚航线,分别是12月7日开通的琼海—吉隆坡航线、计划12月15日开通的海口—胡志明市航线和计划12月21日 开通的海口—河内航线。 吉祥航空更是着眼于来年的布局,宣布将于2026年1月15日正式开通上海浦东至马来西亚斗湖的直飞航线,首次实现从上海直航抵达世界级潜水胜地仙本 那,旅客无需再经吉隆坡或亚庇中转。 进入12月,国际航线市场竞争悄然升温。截至12月10日,北京商报记者观察到,东航、南航、海航、吉祥航空等多家航司新开、加密、复航国际航线,瞄准 元旦、寒假及春节出行高峰期,拉开了抢占客流的序幕。 持续加码国际市场 12月2日上午11点10分,载有 ...
航空机场板块12月10日涨1.14%,海航控股领涨,主力资金净流出369.65万元
Core Insights - The aviation and airport sector saw a rise of 1.14% on December 10, with HNA Holding leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3900.5, down 0.23%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13316.42, up 0.29% [1] Stock Performance - HNA Holding (600221) closed at 1.80, up 4.05% with a trading volume of 8.32 million shares [1] - Shanghai Airport (600009) closed at 32.39, up 1.73% with a trading volume of 147,300 shares [1] - Southern Airlines (600029) closed at 6.98, up 1.16% with a trading volume of 258,000 shares [1] - Shenzhen Airport (000089) closed at 6.98, up 1.01% with a trading volume of 88,900 shares [1] - China National Aviation (601111) closed at 8.24, up 0.73% with a trading volume of 306,800 shares [1] - Baiyun Airport (600004) closed at 9.71, up 0.62% with a trading volume of 108,200 shares [1] - Huaxia Airlines (002928) closed at 10.02, up 0.60% with a trading volume of 120,500 shares [1] - Juneyao Airlines (603885) closed at 13.48, up 0.60% with a trading volume of 123,400 shares [1] - China Eastern Airlines (600115) closed at 5.08, up 0.59% with a trading volume of 473,000 shares [1] - CITIC Offshore Helicopter (000099) closed at 20.18, up 0.30% with a trading volume of 56,600 shares [1] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 3.6965 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 8.92532 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment among different investor types within the sector [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - HNA Holding saw a net inflow of 14.2 million yuan from institutional investors, but a significant outflow of 85.3144 million yuan from retail investors [3] - China Eastern Airlines had a net inflow of 23.1458 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors also experiencing a net outflow [3] - China National Aviation had a net inflow of 9.8210 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 660.88 million yuan [3] - Baiyun Airport had a net inflow of 3.9543 million yuan from institutional investors, but retail investors faced a net outflow [3] - Huaxia Airlines had a net inflow of 3.0489 million yuan from institutional investors, with retail investors showing a slight net inflow [3]
航空机场板块12月8日涨0.91%,厦门空港领涨,主力资金净流出118.47万元
Market Performance - The aviation and airport sector increased by 0.91% on December 8, with Xiamen Airport leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3924.08, up 0.54%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13329.99, up 1.39% [1] Stock Performance - Xiamen Airport (600897) saw a significant rise of 10.00%, closing at 18.92 with a trading volume of 176,200 shares and a transaction value of 318 million yuan [1] - China Eastern Airlines (600115) increased by 2.35%, closing at 5.22 with a transaction value of 465 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include: - 吉祥航空 (603885) up 1.84% to 13.84 [1] - 海航控股 (600221) up 1.13% to 1.79 [1] - 上海机场 (600009) up 1.07% to 32.15 [1] Capital Flow - The aviation and airport sector experienced a net outflow of 1.1847 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 113 million yuan [2] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 11.4 million yuan [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Xiamen Airport (600897) had a net inflow of 75.8533 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 41.6046 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Shanghai Airport (600009) saw a net inflow of 12.4068 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 19.0737 million yuan from retail investors [3] - China Eastern Airlines (600115) experienced a net outflow of 5.7540 million yuan from institutional investors, while speculative funds had a net inflow of 37.2950 million yuan [3]
交通运输行业周报:原油运价高位下跌,前11月全国快递业务量首次突破1800亿件-20251208
Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - Crude oil freight rates have declined from high levels, with mixed changes in ocean freight rates. The China Import Crude Oil Composite Index (CTFI) was reported at 2321.90 points on December 4, down 7.9% from November 27. The VLCC market has seen transactions at major loading ports, with shipowners trying to maintain price levels despite a cooling market [3][14] - China Eastern Airlines has launched the world's longest one-way flight route from Shanghai to Buenos Aires, reducing travel time by over 4 hours. Additionally, a ton-class eVTOL was included in urban firefighting drills for the first time [3][16] - In November, China's express delivery volume exceeded 180 billion items for the first time, marking a new record. The first full schedule China-Europe freight train departed from Shijiazhuang [3][24] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates have decreased, with the Middle East route showing a 9.76% drop. The Shanghai port's export rates to Europe and the US have also seen declines of 0.3%, 5.0%, and 4.7% respectively [14][15] - The launch of the longest flight route by China Eastern Airlines connects Shanghai to Buenos Aires, significantly shortening travel time [16][17] - The express delivery volume in China reached a record high of 180 billion items in November, reflecting strong economic vitality [24][26] High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index has increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year. The Shanghai outbound air freight price index was reported at 5721.00 points, up 2.4% year-on-year [28] - Domestic freight flight numbers decreased by 2.03% year-on-year in November, while international flights increased by 14.88% [30] - The SCFI index for container shipping was reported at 1397.63 points, down 0.39% week-on-week and down 38.06% year-on-year [37] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [5] - Attention to the transportation demand increase driven by hydropower station construction in the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream [5] - Investment opportunities in low-altitude economy trends, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Opportunities in the highway and railway sectors, recommending Gansu Expressway, Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway, and others [5] - Investment opportunities in the cruise and ferry sectors, recommending Bohai Ferry and Haixia Shares [5] - E-commerce and express delivery investment opportunities, recommending SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda [5] - Opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending Air China, China Southern Airlines, and others [5]
申万宏源交运一周天地汇(20251130-20251205):散货船价跳涨关注美股 HSHP,交运高股息关注中国船舶租赁、长和
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the transportation industry, with specific recommendations for companies such as China Shipping, COSCO Shipping Energy, and others in the shipping sector [6][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recovery in shipping rates, particularly for VLCCs, which have seen a rise in one-year charter rates to $58,000 per day. It suggests that investors should capitalize on seasonal fluctuations in freight rates [6][4]. - The report emphasizes the strong performance of the road freight sector, which has shown a significant increase of 6.90% in the latest week, outperforming other sub-sectors [7][8]. - The aviation sector is expected to experience a golden era due to rising passenger volumes and constrained supply, with recommendations for several airlines including China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines [6][4]. Summary by Sections Shipping - VLCC average rates reached $115,290 per day, despite a 6% week-on-week decline. The market remains tight, with expectations of increased cargo volumes leading to potential rate increases [6][4]. - The report notes a 2% increase in second-hand bulk carrier prices and a slight uptick in new ship prices, indicating a potential turning point in the market [6][4]. Road Freight - The road freight sector has shown resilience, with a reported increase in freight volume of 0.74% week-on-week, indicating steady growth [7][8]. - The report identifies Dragon Boat Holdings as a standout performer in the road freight sector, with a significant weekly gain of 40.2% [13]. Aviation - The report anticipates a significant improvement in airline profitability due to increased international travel and a historical high in passenger load factors [6][4]. - Recommendations include major airlines such as China Southern Airlines and Cathay Pacific, which are expected to benefit from these trends [6][4]. Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with expectations of price stabilization and profit recovery. Companies like YTO Express and ZTO Express are highlighted as key players [6][4]. Rail and Highway - Rail freight and highway truck traffic are projected to maintain steady growth, with the report noting a slight decrease in highway truck traffic of 0.24% week-on-week [6][4]. - The report suggests that high-dividend investment strategies in the highway sector remain attractive [6][4].
申万宏源交运一周天地汇:散货船价跳涨关注美股HSHP,交运高股息关注中国船舶租赁、长和
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the transportation industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in shipping and logistics sectors [4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery and growth potential in the shipping market, with specific attention to the rise in VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) charter rates and the overall shipping market dynamics [6]. - It identifies key investment opportunities in companies such as China Merchants Energy, COSCO Shipping Energy, and others, while also suggesting a focus on high-dividend stocks in the transportation sector [6][22]. Summary by Sections Shipping Market - VLCC one-year charter rates have increased to $58,000 per day, indicating a strong market demand [6]. - The report notes a 6% week-on-week decline in VLCC rates, averaging $115,290 per day, but anticipates potential increases in the coming weeks due to expected cargo volume growth [6]. - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose by 6.5% to 2,727 points, with Capesize rates reaching a two-year high [6]. Air Transportation - The report highlights a significant opportunity for airlines due to the aging aircraft fleet and increasing passenger demand, predicting a "golden era" for the airline industry [6]. - Recommended stocks include China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and others, with a focus on companies that can leverage operational efficiencies and rising demand [6]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with potential for profit recovery and industry consolidation [6]. - Companies like Shentong Express and YTO Express are highlighted as having strong growth potential, particularly in Southeast Asia [6]. Road and Rail Transportation - The report indicates resilience in railway freight volumes and highway truck traffic, with a slight increase in railway cargo to 82.12 million tons, up 0.74% week-on-week [6]. - The highway sector is expected to benefit from high dividend yields and potential market value management catalysts [6].
2025年冬春航季,多家航司上新国际航线
南航广州至马德里直飞航线近日开通,这是广州地区首条连接伊比利亚半岛的直飞航线,填补了两地直 航空白,从昆明、海口、汕头等地往返马德里的旅客,可在广州白云国际机场实现3小时内双向中转衔 接。南航广州至达尔文直飞航线近日启航,该航线将两地行程缩短至约六小时,为旅客高效抵达澳大利 亚北部提供了全新选择。此外,南航广州-悉尼航线将增至每天四个往返,目前南航已开通广州至悉 尼、布里斯班、墨尔本、珀斯、阿德莱德多条直飞航线,为旅客提供高频次、广覆盖的出行选择。 海航计划于12月15日开通海口—胡志明市直飞航线,该航线的开通将进一步促进中越两国在经贸、人文 等领域的交流与合作;吉祥航空将于2026年1月15日开通上海浦东至马来西亚斗湖直飞航线,首次实现 上海直航世界级潜水胜地仙本那,旅客无需经吉隆坡或亚庇中转即可一步直达。 来源:北京日报客户端 转自:北京日报客户端 正值2025年冬春航季,多家航司近日表示将持续加大运力投入,新开国际航线。 国航预计新开通北京-布鲁塞尔、成都-布鲁塞尔航线,同时持续推动国际及地区航线日均航班量稳步提 升,进一步拓展通达全球的能力。今年以来,国航已新开、复航北京-符拉迪沃斯托克、北京-伊尔库 ...