Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a simultaneous maintenance wave among leading phosphate iron lithium manufacturers due to high downstream demand, particularly in the energy storage sector, leading to a supply tightness in phosphate iron lithium materials [1][2] - Major companies such as Hunan YN, Wanrun New Energy, and others are planning maintenance that will reduce their phosphate lithium production by significant amounts, ranging from 1,500 to 30,000 tons [3][5] - The maintenance is primarily aimed at ensuring equipment safety and product quality, but there is an underlying motive to increase selling prices due to rising costs of core raw materials like lithium carbonate and phosphoric acid [5][6] Group 2 - The collective price increase effort comes at a time when the demand drop from December 2025 to January 2026 is only 4%, indicating a relatively stable market compared to previous years [6][8] - Capacity utilization rates for major shipping companies are expected to improve significantly, with 2024 rates between 30-60% and 2025 rates between 55-85% [8]

Group 1 - Longbai Group's subsidiary plans to introduce strategic investors and implement capital increase, with a total investment of 2 billion yuan, resulting in a 31.40% equity stake for the investors [1] - Upwind New Materials' embodied intelligent robot business is still in the product development stage and is not expected to positively impact the 2025 annual performance [2] - Kweichow Moutai's controlling shareholder has completed a share buyback plan, acquiring approximately 207.14 million shares for about 3 billion yuan, increasing their total stake to 56.63% [3] Group 2 - Xiamen Tungsten's subsidiary plans to acquire 100% equity of German Mimatic Tool Company for a base price of 10 million euros, with additional capital increase planned [4] - Longpan Technology's subsidiary will reduce production on some lithium iron phosphate production lines for maintenance, expecting a reduction of about 5,000 tons [5] - Wenkai Co. plans to invest 29 million yuan to establish a fund focused on strategic emerging industries [6] Group 3 - Limin Co.'s subsidiary has received a production license for "fluopyram" pesticide, which is expected to have a positive impact on future operations [7] - ST Huicheng received a cash donation of 30 million yuan from its restructuring investor to support its operations [8] - Baitong Energy's vice president plans to reduce holdings of up to 316,200 shares, representing 0.0686% of the total share capital [9] Group 4 - Wushang Group's shareholder did not execute a planned share reduction, retaining a 5.7% stake [10] - Zhangzidao's major shareholder plans to reduce holdings of up to 711,100 shares, representing 1% of the total share capital [11] - Meihua Bio plans to repurchase shares worth 35 million to 50 million yuan at a price not exceeding 15 yuan per share [12] Group 5 - Xiyang Co. plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.10 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 181 million yuan, which is 10.37% of the net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 [13] - Weike Technology plans to distribute a cash dividend of 6 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 75.15 million yuan [14] - Guoyuan Securities plans to transfer 24.33% of Anyuan Fund's equity for 813 million yuan [15] Group 6 - Three Gorges Tourism's subsidiary plans to purchase part of the property for the Three Gorges Cruise Center for 136 million yuan [16] - Wukuang Development plans to acquire equity in Wukuang Mining and Luzhong Mining, with stock suspension announced [17][18] - Sijia Technology plans to invest 275 million yuan to acquire 20% equity in Guangcai Xincheng [19] Group 7 - Changan Automobile plans to raise no more than 6 billion yuan through a private placement for new energy vehicle projects [20] - Shenjian Co. reported that its aerospace business revenue is relatively small, accounting for only 0.20% of total revenue [21] - Zhiyuan New Energy's controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings of up to 1.53% of the company's shares [22] Group 8 - Beimo High-tech plans to raise no more than 1.97 billion yuan through a private placement for various projects [23] - Hongri Pharmaceutical's injectable thymosin has passed the consistency evaluation for generic drugs [24] - Ningbo Fangzheng plans to acquire 20% equity in Anhui Fangzheng for 63.8 million yuan [25] Group 9 - Spring Airlines signed a purchase agreement for 30 Airbus A320neo aircraft, with a total price not exceeding 4.128 billion USD [26][27] - Oulu Tong's controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings of up to 1.91% of the company's shares [28] - Tongli Technology plans to invest 86.7 million yuan to increase capital in Zhuerkang Technology [29] Group 10 - Ganfeng Lithium received a notice of prosecution for suspected insider trading, but operations remain normal [30] - ST Dongyi completed its capital increase plan and will resume trading [31] - Tianpu Co. clarified that it has no plans to engage in artificial intelligence-related business [32] Group 11 - ST Meigu's restructuring plan has been completed, and it will apply to lift the delisting risk warning [33] - Unigroup Guowei is planning to acquire controlling or full equity of Ruineng Semiconductor, with stock suspension announced [34] - Shengtong Energy's stock has been suspended for investigation due to significant price fluctuations [35][36] Group 12 - ST Sansheng applied to lift the delisting risk warning after completing its restructuring plan [37] - Yuekang Pharmaceutical submitted an application for H-share listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [38] - Miaokelando's controlling shareholder plans to increase holdings of 2.55 million to 5.10 million shares [39] Group 13 - SMIC plans to acquire 49% equity in SMIC North for 40.601 billion yuan, aiming to enhance asset quality and business synergy [40]

Core Viewpoint - Longpan Technology announced that its subsidiary, Changzhou Liyuan New Energy Technology Co., Ltd., will reduce production on some lithium iron phosphate production lines for maintenance starting January 1, 2026, to ensure long-term stable and efficient operation [2] Group 1 - Changzhou Liyuan's lithium iron phosphate production lines have been operating at overload since Q4 2025 [2] - The maintenance is expected to last for one month and will reduce lithium iron phosphate output by approximately 5,000 tons [2] - The company stated that this maintenance will not have a significant impact on its operating performance in 2026 [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Gold**: Short - term, pay attention to the risk of decline, and it is recommended to hold a light position during the holiday [11][12] - **US Dollar**: Short - term shock [14][15] - **US Stock Index Futures**: Expected to operate in a shock - upward manner, and maintain a bullish view [17][18] - **Stock Index Futures**: Continue to hold the long - position strategy and allocate the stock indexes evenly [19][20] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Be cautious when gambling on a rebound from oversold conditions [21][23] - **Soybean Meal**: The supply of imported soybeans in China is sufficient. Focus on state reserve and customs policies. Without abnormal production cuts in South America, the supply - demand situation does not support a significant upward movement of the May contract [25] - **Steam Coal**: The coal price is expected to continue to weaken in January. Later, focus on whether the policy side will restrict supply when the coal price hits the previous low again [26][28] - **Iron Ore**: Expected to maintain a shock market with certain support [29] - **Copper**: In the short - term, it is advisable to wait and see. In the medium - term, patiently wait for opportunities to go long at low prices. For arbitrage, it is recommended to wait and see [32] - **Zinc**: Unilaterally, continue to pay attention to opportunities to buy on dips. For arbitrage, the positive spread should turn to waiting and see, and the internal - external spread should be treated with an internal - external reverse spread strategy [34] - **Lead**: Unilaterally and for arbitrage, it is advisable to wait and see in the short - term [38] - **Nickel**: Expected to return to a shock trend. If the RKAB quota is only 250 million tons, there will still be a large upside space [41] - **Lithium Carbonate**: There is short - term callback pressure, and it is recommended to pay attention to opportunities to go long at low prices in the medium - term [43][44] - **Tin**: The inventory accumulation may put pressure on the short - term futures price. In the long - term, the uncertainty of the ore supply will persist. Be vigilant about the price decline risk after the capital boom fades [48][49] - **Crude Oil**: The oil price is affected by geopolitical conflicts in the short - term [50][51] - **Asphalt**: The price will fluctuate in the short - term [52][53] - **Urea**: Do not chase the rise for now. After the Spring Festival, pay attention to the start time and rhythm of spring plowing fertilizer demand and next year's export policy fluctuations. Try to go long at low prices when the relative valuation provides a certain safety margin [55] - **Styrene**: In the short - term, it will continue to fluctuate. In the medium - term, maintain a bullish view [57][58] 2. Core Views of the Report - The report analyzes the market conditions of various financial instruments and commodities, including macro - strategy (such as foreign exchange futures, stock index futures, gold), agricultural products (soybean meal), black metals (steam coal, iron ore), non - ferrous metals (copper, zinc, etc.), and energy chemicals (crude oil, asphalt, etc.). It points out the influencing factors of each market, such as geopolitical events, policy changes, supply - demand relationships, and inventory changes, and gives corresponding investment suggestions [11][14][25] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Financial News and Comments 3.1.1 Macro - Strategy (Gold) - CME will raise the performance margin of multiple metal futures such as gold, silver, and lithium. Gold and silver prices dropped sharply. The short - squeeze trading in silver has temporarily ended. With the poor market liquidity around the holiday and the increase in margin, the selling pressure has intensified. It is recommended to reduce positions before the holiday. After the holiday, pay attention to the potential decline risk caused by the adjustment of the Bloomberg commodity index weight in mid - January [11] 3.1.2 Macro - Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - Trump's peace plan has encountered new obstacles. Russia said that Ukraine attacked Putin's residence, causing the cease - fire plan to stall. The US - Russia situation has new variables, and the US dollar will fluctuate in the short - term [14][15] 3.1.3 Macro - Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - The US existing - home sales in November reached a new high since the beginning of 2023. Trump is considering suing Powell. The mortgage rate has slightly decreased, leading to a marginal recovery in the real estate sector. However, the future interest - rate cut path is still uncertain. The US stock index futures are expected to operate in a shock - upward manner [16][17][18] 3.1.4 Macro - Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - The Shanghai Stock Index has recorded nine consecutive positive days with heavy trading volume. The A - share market has large price fluctuations, with the commercial space concept rising significantly and the ChiNext Index falling. The expansion of liquidity is the main driving force for the recent market. It is recommended to continue holding the long - position strategy and allocate the stock indexes evenly [19][20] 3.1.5 Macro - Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - The central bank conducted a 482.3 - billion - yuan 7 - day reverse repurchase operation. The decline in the bond market is mainly due to institutional behavior. It is necessary to be cautious when gambling on a rebound from oversold conditions [21][23] 3.2 Commodity News and Comments 3.2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Meal) - The port soybean inventory has decreased, while the oil - mill soybean meal inventory has continued to rise. The market is concerned about China's purchase of US soybeans. The South American production outlook is optimistic. As long as there is no abnormal production cut in South America, the supply - demand situation does not support a significant upward movement of the May contract [24][25] 3.2.2 Black Metals (Steam Coal) - The price of steam coal in the northern port market remained stable on December 29. The coal price accelerated its decline this week. Considering the warm winter in December and January, the coal price is expected to continue to weaken in January. Later, focus on whether the policy will restrict supply when the coal price hits the previous low again [26][28] 3.2.3 Black Metals (Iron Ore) - Champion Iron plans to acquire Rana Gruber. The iron - ore price has strong support. The decline risk of molten iron has slowed down, and the downstream inventory - replenishment sentiment may increase slightly. However, the market's expectation for the post - holiday demand is still cautious, and the iron - ore price is expected to maintain a shock market [29] 3.2.4 Non - Ferrous Metals (Copper) - High - end predicts the average copper price in 2026 to be $11,400/ton. The Khoemacau copper mine expansion project has been approved. The copper price has significantly corrected. In the short - term, it is advisable to wait and see. In the medium - term, patiently wait for opportunities to go long at low prices. For arbitrage, it is recommended to wait and see [30][31][32] 3.2.5 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - The import and export tariffs of zinc products in 2026 remain unchanged. The LME zinc inventory has decreased, and the domestic social inventory has continued to decline. The zinc price mainly fluctuates with the macro situation. In the medium - term, it is still in an upward - prone state. It is recommended to pay attention to opportunities to buy on dips [33][34] 3.2.6 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - Tianneng and Chaowei have launched sodium - ion batteries. The import tariffs of lead - acid batteries in some countries will be reduced in 2026. The lead price has limited upward space. It is advisable to adopt a shock - trading strategy [35][36][37] 3.2.7 Non - Ferrous Metals (Nickel) - The social inventory of refined nickel remains high, and the market trading has become lighter. The RKAB quota and the pricing of cobalt at the mine end may support the nickel price. However, it is expected to return to a shock trend [39][40][41] 3.2.8 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - Longpan Technology's subsidiary will conduct production - reduction maintenance on some lithium - iron - phosphate production lines. The lithium - carbonate price may have short - term callback pressure, and it is recommended to pay attention to opportunities to go long at low prices in the medium - term [42][43][44] 3.2.9 Non - Ferrous Metals (Tin) - The export tax rates of tin - related products will be adjusted in 2026. The inventory of tin has increased. The supply of tin ore remains tight, and the demand is weak. The inventory accumulation may put pressure on the short - term price, and the long - term supply uncertainty persists [45][46][48] 3.2.10 Energy Chemicals (Crude Oil) - The EIA commercial crude - oil inventory has slightly increased. The oil price has rebounded due to the geopolitical conflict. The supply is relatively abundant, and the global inventory pressure is large in the off - peak demand season [50][51] 3.2.11 Energy Chemicals (Asphalt) - The inventory of asphalt refineries and social warehouses has decreased. In the short - term, the asphalt market is expected to operate stably [52][53] 3.2.12 Energy Chemicals (Urea) - The urea enterprise inventory has decreased. The urea price has fluctuated strongly recently. The supply may increase in the future, and the demand is mainly from the trading link. Do not chase the rise for now, and pay attention to relevant factors after the Spring Festival [54][55] 3.2.13 Energy Chemicals (Styrene) - The inventory of pure benzene in Jiangsu ports has increased. The styrene price has been running strongly recently. In the short - term, it will continue to fluctuate. In the medium - term, maintain a bullish view [56][57][58]

Important Matters - WISCO Development plans to acquire equity in WISCO Mining and Luzhong Mining, resulting in stock suspension [1] - Unisplendour intends to purchase equity or full ownership of Ruineng Semiconductor, leading to stock suspension [1] - Heng Rui Medicine's subsidiary received approval for clinical trials of HRS-6257 tablets, with no similar drugs approved in the domestic market [1] - Longpan Technology's subsidiary is reducing production on some lithium iron phosphate production lines for maintenance, a move echoed by several leading manufacturers in the industry [1] Investment Operations - Guoxin Technology has laid out plans for smart driving MCU chips and is developing a high-performance AI chip with 10,000 DMIPS [1] - Juneyao Airlines plans to purchase 25 Airbus A320 series aircraft for $4.1 billion [1] - Spring Airlines intends to buy 30 Airbus A320neo series aircraft, with a transaction amount not exceeding $4.128 billion [1] - Tsinghua Tongfang is making breakthroughs in the open-source HarmonyOS field for product and commercialization [1] - Guangzhou Port is investing 2.353 billion yuan in the intelligent transformation project of the Nansha Port International General Terminal [1] - International Composite Materials plans to invest 1.693 billion yuan to build a project with an annual production capacity of 36 million meters of high-frequency high-speed electronic fiber cloth [1] - State Power Investment Corporation's subsidiary is co-investing with CATL in the Dadu River Danba Hydropower Station project, with a total investment of 15.273 billion yuan [1] - Haisheng Pharmaceutical's invested company has completed the first subject enrollment in the Phase II clinical trial of the innovative drug NWRD06 injection, targeting a specific liver cancer marker [1] Contracts and Collaborations - Chinalco International signed overseas project contracts worth approximately 14 billion yuan [2] - Tianqi Lithium has completed a strategic cooperation with SQM and Codelco [2] - Roman Co., Ltd.'s subsidiary signed a 156 million yuan computing power service project contract [2] - China Duty Free Group's wholly-owned subsidiary signed a duty-free project contract at Beijing Capital International Airport [2] - Reascend Technology's high-silica fiber has begun commercial cooperation with a well-known international aerospace company for long-term product supply [2] - Macro Micro Technology signed a strategic cooperation agreement with a leading domestic transmission company, focusing on GaN power semiconductor devices [2] Capital Operations - Tianqi Co., Ltd. plans to raise no more than 977 million yuan through a private placement for the development of a robot embodiment intelligence system for the automotive industry [2] - SMIC's registered capital in SMIC Southern will increase to $10.077 billion; it plans to acquire 49% equity in SMIC Northern for 40.6 billion yuan [2] - Changan Automobile intends to raise no more than 6 billion yuan through a private placement [2] Share Buybacks - Kweichow Moutai's controlling shareholder, Moutai Group, has cumulatively increased its stake in the company by 3 billion yuan, completing the buyback plan [3] - AVIC Heavy Machinery has been supplying key forgings to several commercial rocket companies [3] - Huihan Co., Ltd. invested 68.25 million yuan to establish a private equity fund, specifically investing in a commercial aerospace company [3] - Sega Technology plans to increase its investment in optical module company Guangcai Xincheng by 275 million yuan to acquire a 20% stake [3]

Industry News - The Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation announced that tobacco companies will not be allowed to deduct advertising and promotional expenses from taxable income from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027 [3] - The People's Bank of China has introduced a plan to strengthen the management and service system for digital RMB, which will start paying interest on wallet balances at the rate of current deposits from January 1, 2026, marking a transition from "digital cash" to "digital deposit currency" [3] - The China Chain Store and Franchise Association reported that the market size of on-site food sales in supermarkets has exceeded 100 billion yuan [3] - The Asset Management Association of China reported that the total scale of public funds reached 37.02 trillion yuan by the end of November 2025, marking the eighth historical high this year [3] - The Southern Power Grid announced that the last unit of the pumped storage power station in Nanning, Guangxi, was put into operation on December 29, 2025, marking the full completion of Guangxi's first pumped storage power station [3] Company News - Ganfeng Lithium announced that it has been transferred to the procuratorate for prosecution due to suspected insider trading [5] - Kweichow Moutai announced that its controlling shareholder, Moutai Group, has completed a share buyback plan amounting to 3 billion yuan, with no increase in the market supply of Moutai 1935 in 2026 [6][6] - Longpan Technology announced that its subsidiary will reduce production for maintenance on some lithium iron phosphate production lines starting January 1, 2026 [6] - Unigroup Guowei announced plans to acquire controlling or all equity of Ruineng Semiconductor, with stock suspension [6] - ST Panda announced that it has been investigated by the China Securities Regulatory Commission for suspected violations of information disclosure [6] - Haisheng Pharmaceutical announced that its invested company has completed the first patient enrollment for the Phase II clinical trial of the innovative drug NWRD06, targeting a specific liver cancer marker [6] - Tianjian Technology expects a negative net profit for 2025 and revenue below 300 million yuan, which may lead to a delisting risk warning [6] - Tianpu Co. announced no plans to engage in artificial intelligence-related business and has not signed any framework cooperation agreements with shareholders [6] - Guodian Power announced a joint investment with CATL in the Dadu River Danba Hydropower Station project, with a total dynamic investment of 15.273 billion yuan [6] - Hongwei Technology signed a strategic cooperation agreement with a leading domestic company in the transmission field to jointly research GaN power semiconductor devices [6] - 吉祥航空 plans to purchase 25 Airbus A320 series aircraft for 4.1 billion USD, with delivery scheduled between 2028 and 2032 [6][6] - Spring Airlines plans to purchase 30 Airbus A320neo series aircraft for no more than 4.128 billion USD [6][6] - Huazhi Co. announced the termination of the acquisition of 51% of Zhongke Huilian [6] - Wenkong Energy announced a stock suspension for investigation due to significant short-term price increases [6] - Roman Co. signed a contract for a computing power service project worth approximately 156 million yuan [6] - International Composite announced plans to invest 1.693 billion yuan in a project to produce 36 million meters of high-frequency high-speed electronic fiber cloth annually [6]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) industry is facing significant operational pressure due to rising raw material costs and challenges in passing price increases to downstream battery manufacturers, leading to collective production cuts among major companies in the sector [2][4]. Group 1: Production Cuts - Five major LFP companies, including Wanrun New Energy and Hunan Youneng, announced production cuts scheduled for January 2026, with reductions ranging from 35% to 50% [2][3]. - Long-term contracts ("long orders") provide some market security for LFP companies, but challenges remain in transmitting raw material price increases [2][4]. - The collective production cuts are seen as a necessary measure to support pricing amid unfavorable market conditions [4][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The average market price for LFP in November was 14,704.8 yuan per ton, while production costs ranged from 16,798.2 yuan to 17,216.3 yuan per ton, indicating a widening gap between costs and prices [5]. - Despite high demand and increased operational rates, most LFP companies are still operating at a loss, with only a few exceptions like Hunan Youneng and Fulian Precision [5][6]. - The industry is characterized as being in a "sandwich" position, squeezed by rising raw material costs and resistance from downstream customers to accept price hikes [2][5]. Group 3: Expansion Trends - A new wave of capacity expansion is emerging in the LFP sector, with companies like Ningde Times and Wanhua Chemical investing heavily in new production projects [7][8]. - Ningde Times' subsidiary, Bangpu Recycling, launched a new LFP project with an annual capacity of 450,000 tons, while Wanhua Chemical plans to build a 650,000-ton LFP project in Shandong [7][8]. - The influx of new entrants and expansion by existing players raises concerns about potential oversupply in the market, especially as the industry has not fully recovered from previous losses [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - Longpan Technology (603906) announced that its subsidiary, Changzhou Lithium Source New Energy Technology Co., Ltd., will undergo a planned production reduction and maintenance for its lithium iron phosphate production line starting January 1, 2026, to ensure safe and stable operations [1] Group 1 - The lithium iron phosphate production line at Changzhou Lithium Source has been operating beyond capacity since Q4 2025 [1] - The maintenance is expected to last for one month and will reduce the production capacity by approximately 5,000 tons [1] - The company anticipates that this maintenance will not have a significant impact on its operating performance in 2026 [1]

本次部分产线减产检修系为保障磷酸铁锂生产线的持续稳定运转，本次检修预计减少常州锂源磷酸铁锂 产量5000吨左右，预计不会对公司2026年经营业绩产生重大影响。 智通财经APP讯，龙蟠科技(02465)发布公告，2025年四季度以来，公司控股子公司常州锂源新能源科技 有限公司(常州锂源)磷酸铁锂产线已超负荷运转，为确保磷酸铁锂生产线安全、稳定、高效运行，自 2026年1月1日起，常州锂源将对部分产线按照预定计划进行减产检修，预计检修时间为期一个月。 ...

据悉，本次部分产线减产检修系为保障磷酸铁锂生产线的持续稳定运转，本次检修预计减少常州锂源磷 酸铁锂产量5,000吨左右，预计不会对公司2026年经营业绩产生重大影响。 智通财经APP讯，龙蟠科技(603906.SH)公告，2025年四季度以来，公司控股子公司常州锂源新能源科 技有限公司("常州锂源")磷酸铁锂产线已超负荷运转，为确保磷酸铁锂生产线安全、稳定、高效运行， 自2026年1月1日起，常州锂源将对部分产线按照预定计划进行减产检修，预计检修时间为期一个月。 ...