Index Performance - HSI closed at 26,924, down 0.3% daily and up 5.0% YTD [2] - HSCEI closed at 9,267, down 0.5% daily and up 4.0% YTD [2] - HSCCI closed at 4,154, up 0.4% daily and up 3.4% YTD [2] - MSCI HK closed at 14,490, up 0.3% daily and up 5.9% YTD [2] - MSCI CHINA closed at 87, down 1.0% daily and up 5.0% YTD [2] - FTSE CHINA A50 closed at 15,340, unchanged daily and up 0.2% YTD [2] - CSI 300 closed at 4,751, up 0.2% daily and up 2.6% YTD [2] - TWSE closed at 30,811, down 0.4% daily and up 6.4% YTD [2] - SENSEX closed at 83,628, down 0.3% daily and down 1.9% YTD [2] - NIKKEI 225 closed at 54,111, down 0.4% daily and up 7.5% YTD [2] - KOSPI closed at 4,798, up 1.6% daily and up 13.8% YTD [2] - ASX 200 closed at 8,821, down 0.1% daily and up 1.7% YTD [2] - DJIA closed at 49,442, up 0.6% daily and up 2.9% YTD [2] - S&P 500 closed at 6,944, up 0.3% daily and up 1.4% YTD [2] - FTSE 100 closed at 10,239, up 0.5% daily and up 3.1% YTD [2] Commodity Price Performance - Brent Crude closed at US$64/bbl, down 4.1% daily and up 4.8% YTD [3] - Gold closed at US$4,616/oz, down 0.2% daily and up 6.9% YTD [3] - Copper closed at US$13,189/t, up 0.2% daily and up 6.2% YTD [3] - Aluminum closed at US$3,203/t, down 0.5% daily and up 7.9% YTD [3] - Nickel closed at US$18,495/t, up 5.8% daily and up 12.1% YTD [3] - CH domestic steel rebar 25 closed at RMB3,244/t, up 0.1% daily and up 0.1% YTD [3] - CH domestic high speed wire closed at RMB3,700/t, unchanged daily and up 0.3% YTD [3] - CH domestic hot rolled steel closed at RMB3,287/t, down 0.1% daily and up 0.5% YTD [3] - CH domestic cold rolled steel closed at RMB3,800/t, down 0.1% daily and down 0.1% YTD [3] - BDI closed at 1,608, unchanged daily and down 14.3% YTD [3] Key Macro and Earnings Releases - China's Retail Sales YoY in January 19th actual was 1.3%, higher than the consensus of 1.1% [4] - China's Industrial Production YoY in January 19th actual was 4.8%, lower than the consensus of 5.0% [4] - China's Fixed Assets Ex Rural YTD YoY in January 19th actual was -2.6%, higher than the consensus of -3.1% [4] - China's Property Investment YTD YoY in January 19th actual was -15.9%, higher than the consensus of -16.5% [4] - China's Residential Property Sales YTD YoY in January 19th actual was -11.2% [4] - China's Surveyed Jobless Rate in January 19th actual was 5.1%, lower than the consensus of 5.2% [4] - China's GDP YoY in January 19th actual was 4.8%, higher than the consensus of 4.5% [4] - China's GDP YTD YoY in January 19th actual was 5.2%, higher than the consensus of 5.0% [4] - China's 1-Year Loan Prime Rate on January 20th remained at 3.0% as expected [4] - China's 5-Year Loan Prime Rate on January 20th remained at 3.5% as expected [4] - US PCE Price Index YoY in January 22nd actual was 2.8% [4] - US Core PCE Price Index YoY in January 22nd actual was 2.8%, in line with the consensus [4] - US Personal Income MoM in January 22nd actual was 0.4%, in line with the consensus [4] - US Personal Spending MoM in January 22nd actual was 0.4%, lower than the consensus of 0.5% [4] - US GDP Annualized QoQ in January 22nd actual was 4.3%, in line with the consensus [4] - US S&P Global US Services PMI in January 23rd actual was 52.5%, lower than the consensus of 52.8% [4] - US U. of Mich. Sentiment in January 23rd actual was 54.0%, in line with the consensus [4] - US S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI in January 23rd actual was 51.8%, lower than the consensus of 52.0% [4] - BOJ Target Rate in January 23rd actual was 0.8%, in line with the consensus [4] New Loans and Monetary Policy - In December, new loans reached RMB910bn, down RMB80bn YoY, narrowing the YoY decline from -32.8% in November to -8.1% [6][8] - Corporate short - term, medium - and long - term loans, and bond financing bounced up YoY in December, while household sector credit demand remained sluggish [6][8] - Monetary policymakers announced incremental loosening policies of structural monetary tools and signaled room for further RRR and policy rate cuts [7][8] TSMC - Rating: BUY (TT & ADR). TSMC's 4Q25 EPS was 8% above consensus, and 1Q26 sales/margins are ahead of expectations [9][13] - The 2026 outlook projects sales growing close to 30% YoY with US$52 - 56bn CAPEX [9][13] - Management lifted long - term guidance, targeting 25% / mid - to - high 50s Group / AI sales CAGR (2024 - 29) and a 56% gross margin [10][13] - Target prices are raised to NT$2,420 / US$445 based on 24x 2026 - 27 P/E and a 16% premium [11][14] Li Ning - Rating: HOLD. Li Ning's 4Q25 retail sell - through was down LSD YoY, affected by weak consumer sentiment [15][17] - The full - year 2025 results were in line with guidance, with revenue achieving marginal growth and NPM approaching the upper end of HSD [15][17] - The inflection point may take longer due to athleisure adjustment and Olympic marketing investment lag [16][17] - The current 2025/2026 P/E valuation of 17x/16x appears full [16][17] Uranium Sector - Uranium spot price rose to US$83.5/lb, and major uranium ETFs rallied 22% YTD [18][20] - The White House's proclamation on critical materials may lead to supportive policies for uranium [19][20] - Positive outlook for the uranium sector in 2026, with top pick Kazatomprom, also recommending CGN Mining and Cameco [19][20] CMOC Group - Rating: HOLD. CMOC expects 2025 net profit of RMB20.0 - 20.8bn, up 48 - 54%, and 2025 copper output grew 14% YoY to 741k tonnes [21][23] - 2025 profit was 4 - 8% below forecast, though copper output was 5% above forecast; 2026 copper output target is 6 - 14% above forecast [22][23] - Forecasts and HOLD rating remain unchanged, and the market may react positively to output guidance [22][23]

智通财经APP获悉，大和发布研报称，洛阳钼业(03993)发盈喜，料2025年净利润同比升47.8%至 53.7%，达200亿至208亿元人民币(下同)，经常性净利润预期升55.5%至61.6%，达204亿至212亿元，胜 市场预期。该行现予其"买入"评级。 2025年第四季，洛阳钼业的铜产量为19.8万吨，同比增长13.6%; 钴产量为3万吨，同比微增0.4%; 去年所 有产品的实际产量均超过公司原先指引。公司同时指引2026全年铜产量目标为76万至82万吨，同比增长 3%至11%; 钴产量目标10万至12万吨，同比变动幅度为下降15%至增长2%。 该行估算，单计第四季，洛阳钼业净利润介乎57.2亿至65.2亿元，同比升9%至24%，按季升2%至16%。 而经常性净利润预测则为58.6亿至66.6亿元，同比升28至46%，按季升1%至15%。管理层将强劲业绩归 因于产量和价格上升，以及有效成本控制。 ...

2025年第四季，洛阳钼业的铜产量为19.8万吨，同比增长13.6%; 钴产量为3万吨，同比微增0.4%; 去年所 有产品的实际产量均超过公司原先指引。公司同时指引2026全年铜产量目标为76万至82万吨，同比增长 3%至11%; 钴产量目标10万至12万吨，同比变动幅度为下降15%至增长2%。 智通财经APP获悉，大和发布研报称，洛阳钼业(03993)发盈喜，料2025年净利润同比升47.8%至 53.7%，达200亿至208亿元人民币(下同)，经常性净利润预期升55.5%至61.6%，达204亿至212亿元，胜 市场预期。该行现予其"买入"评级。 该行估算，单计第四季，洛阳钼业净利润介乎57.2亿至65.2亿元，同比升9%至24%，按季升2%至16%。 而经常性净利润预测则为58.6亿至66.6亿元，同比升28至46%，按季升1%至15%。管理层将强劲业绩归 因于产量和价格上升，以及有效成本控制。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has set a target price of HKD 23.2 for Luoyang Molybdenum H-shares and CNY 22.5 for A-shares, both rated as "Overweight" [1] Financial Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum expects a net profit of CNY 20 billion to CNY 20.8 billion for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 48% to 54%, aligning with market expectations of CNY 20.2 billion [1] - The net profit for the fourth quarter of last year is projected to be between CNY 5.7 billion and CNY 6.5 billion, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2% to 16% [1] - The company's strong performance is attributed to simultaneous increases in production and prices, along with effective cost control [1] Production Plans - The company plans to achieve copper production of 760,000 to 820,000 tons in 2026, indicating a year-on-year growth of 7% based on the median estimate [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum aims to produce 6 to 8 tons of gold annually from a newly acquired Brazilian gold mine, with the acquisition expected to be completed in the first quarter of this year [1]

摩根士丹利发布研报称，现予洛阳钼业（603993）H股(03993)目标价23.2港元，洛阳钼业A股 (603993.SH)目标价22.5元人民币，均予"增持"评级。 洛阳钼业发盈喜，料2025年净利润为200亿至208亿元人民币(下同)，同比增长48%至54%，符合市场预 期的202亿元。单计去年第四季净利润介乎57至65亿元，按季升2%至16%。管理层表示，业绩理想主要 受惠于产量及价格同步上升，加上成本控制得宜。 公司计划2026年铜产量为76万至82万吨，按中位数计算同比增长7%。并计划每年来自新收购巴西金矿 的黄金产量为6吨至8吨，目标今年第一季完成收购。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is expected to achieve a net profit of 20 billion to 20.8 billion yuan in 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 47.8% to 53.71%, driven by increased production and effective cost control [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts a non-recurring net profit of 20.4 billion to 21.2 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 55.5% to 61.6% [1] - The total copper production for the year is projected to reach 741,100 tons, an increase of over 90,000 tons compared to the previous year, achieving 118% of the production guidance [1] - The company’s stock price has risen to 24.78 yuan per share, setting a new historical high, with a total market value exceeding 531.6 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Strategic Acquisitions - In 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum is focusing on "copper + gold" strategy, acquiring gold assets to enhance its portfolio [2] - The company acquired all shares of Canadian Lumina Gold for approximately 581 million Canadian dollars, targeting the Cangrejos gold mine project with 638 tons of gold resources [2] - A further acquisition involves a 1.015 billion USD deal for 100% interests in Brazilian gold mines, expected to add approximately 8 tons of annual gold production [2] Group 3: Production Guidance - For 2026, the company has set production targets for core products, including copper at 760,000 to 820,000 tons, and gold as a new category with a target of 60,000 to 80,000 kg [3] - Other production targets include cobalt at 100,000 to 120,000 tons, tungsten at 6,500 to 7,500 tons, niobium at 10,000 to 11,000 tons, and phosphate fertilizer at 1,050,000 to 1,250,000 tons [3] - The company’s revenue is projected to grow to 186.27 billion yuan in 2023 and 213.03 billion yuan in 2024, with net profits of 8.25 billion yuan and 13.53 billion yuan respectively [3]

公告同时披露了上年同期业绩基准数据：2024年度公司利润总额为251.24亿元，归属于上市公司股东的净利润为135.32亿元，归属于上市公司股东的扣除非 经常性损益的净利润为131.19亿元，基本每股收益0.63元。 预计实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为204亿元至212亿元，同比增加72.81亿元至80.81亿元，同比增幅达55.5%至61.6%。 对于本次业绩大幅增长的核心原因，公告明确指出，主要得益于公司主要产品量价齐升，同时叠加运营成本的有效管控，双重因素共同推动公司经营业绩实 现跨越式提升。 1月15日，洛阳钼业发布2025年度业绩预增公告，预计实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为200亿元至208亿元，同比增加64.68亿元至72.68亿元，同比增幅区 间为47.8%至53.71%。 ...

大和发表研究报告指，洛阳钼业发盈喜，预计2025年净利润按年升47.8%至53.7%，达200亿至208亿 元，经常性净利润预期升55.5%至61.6%，达204亿至212亿元，胜市场预期。该行估算，单计第四季， 洛阳钼业净利润介乎57.2亿至65.2亿元，按年升9%至24%，按季升2%至16%；经常性净利润预测则为 58.6亿至66.6亿元，按年升28至46%，按季升1%至15%。管理层将强劲业绩归因于产量和价格上升，以 及有效成本控制。该行现予洛阳钼业"买入"评级。 ...

格隆汇1月16日｜A股市场有色金属股继续走强，其中，入选了格隆汇2026年"下注中国"十大核心资产 名单的洛阳钼业(603993.SH)盘中涨超4%报25.09元，再创历史新高。该股在2025年累涨210%后，今年 在截至今日的10个交易日内再度累涨超25%。 洛阳钼业昨晚发布公告，预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润为200亿元到208亿元，同比增 加47.80%到53.71%。预计2025年度实现归属于上市公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为204亿元到 212亿元，同比增加55.50%到61.60%。公司2025年业绩同比大幅上升的原因系公司主要产品量价齐升、 运营成本有效管控。 ...

1月15日晚，洛阳钼业发布公告，预计2025年度实现归属于公司股东的净利润为人民币200亿元到人民币 208亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加人民币64.68亿元到人民币72.68亿元，同比增加47.80%到53.71%。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 洛阳钼业（03993）早盘股价上涨4.55%，现报23.42港元，成交额6.12亿港元。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 预计2025年度实现归属于公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润为人民币204亿元到人民币212亿元，与 上年同期相比，将增加人民币72.81亿元到人民币80.81亿元，同比增加55.50%到61.60%。 责任编辑：卢昱君 洛阳钼业（03993）早盘股价上涨4.55%，现报23.42港元，成交额6.12亿港元。 1月15日晚，洛阳钼业发布公告，预计2025年度实现归属于公司股东的净利润为人民币200亿元到人民币 208亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加人民币64.68亿元到人民币72.68亿元，同比增加47.80%到53.71%。 预计2025年度实现归属于公司股东的扣除非经常性损益的 ...