Group 1 - The Chinese government emphasizes the need for Shanxi to implement strategies for ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yellow River basin [1] - The State Council Premier Li Qiang reassures that the Chinese economy can withstand external shocks and will support overseas Chinese enterprises [2] - The Ministry of Foreign Affairs reiterates China's stance against protectionism and trade wars, stating that there are no winners in such conflicts [3] Group 2 - In June, the retail sales of passenger cars in China reached 2.11 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.6%, with new energy vehicles accounting for 1.111 million units, up 29.7% [6] - Changan Group is preparing for a restructuring, with a plan to be finalized in August [7] - Hunan province discovers a significant lithium ore deposit of 490 million tons, with lithium oxide resources amounting to 131,000 tons [9] - Northern Rare Earth reports a recovery in export orders for rare earth products and maintains a positive outlook on future price trends [10] - Several companies, including Shengnong Development and Juhua Co., expect substantial increases in net profits for the first half of the year, with projections ranging from 733% to 2034% [12]

Key Points - Juhua Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 1.97 billion to 2.13 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 136% to 155% [1] - The main reasons for the significant profit growth include the continuous recovery in the prices of fluorinated refrigerants and stable growth in production and sales of core products [2] - Haida Group anticipates a net profit of 2.5 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.64% to 31.76% [3][4] - Huagong Technology expects a net profit of 890 million to 950 million yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 42.43% to 52.03% [5][6] - Yun Aluminum Co., Ltd. forecasts a net profit of 2.7 billion to 2.8 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.19% to 11.16% [7][8] - Saint Farm anticipates a net profit of 850 million to 950 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 732.89% to 830.88% [13] - Dinglong Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 290 million to 320 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 33.12% to 46.9% [14] - Yuxiu Capital forecasts a net profit of 1.473 billion to 1.575 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 45% to 55% [15] - Haohua Technology expects a net profit of 590 million to 650 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 59.30% to 75.50% [16] - Huace Navigation anticipates a net profit of 320 million to 335 million yuan for the first half of 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 27.37% to 33.34% [18] - Dajin Heavy Industry expects a net profit of 510 million to 570 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 193.32% to 227.83% [20] - Shandong Steel anticipates a net profit of approximately 12.71 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from loss to profit [22]

Core Viewpoint - The actual controller of Yongjin Co., Ltd., Cao Peifeng, is under investigation for insider trading and has been placed under residential surveillance, which the company claims will not affect its daily operations or financial status [1][5]. Summary by Sections Insider Trading Allegations - Cao Peifeng has been involved in insider trading and short-term trading activities, manipulating three other securities accounts to trade Yongjin Co. stocks during sensitive periods, leading to a total loss of approximately 120,000 yuan [1][2][3]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has issued an administrative penalty against Cao Peifeng, including a warning, confiscation of illegal gains of about 550,000 yuan, and a fine of approximately 5.85 million yuan [2]. Company Operations and Financials - Yongjin Co. primarily engages in the research, production, and sales of cold-rolled stainless steel strips, with products covering both precision and wide cold-rolled stainless steel strips [3]. - The company announced two rounds of share buybacks, with the first round planned for a total amount between 50 million and 100 million yuan at a price not exceeding 43.43 yuan per share, and the second round planned for 200 million to 400 million yuan at a price not exceeding 34.2 yuan per share [2]. Shareholding Structure - As of the end of the first quarter of 2025, Cao Peifeng and her husband, the former chairman, collectively hold 43.27% of Yongjin Co.'s shares, with her sister also being a shareholder [4]. Current Status of Investigation - The company has stated that the investigation is still in the evidence collection phase, and the normal operations of the current chairman and board members are unaffected [5].

Mergers and Acquisitions - Zhengfan Technology plans to acquire approximately 62.23% equity of Liao Ning Hanjing Semiconductor Materials Co., Ltd. for cash, making Hanjing Semiconductor a subsidiary of Zhengfan Technology after the transaction [1] Shareholding Changes - Yanpai Co., Ltd. announced that its controlling shareholder's concerted actor, Tiantai Youfeng Investment Consulting Management Co., Ltd., intends to increase its shareholding in the company by no less than 17 million yuan and no more than 34 million yuan within six months [2] - King Domain Medical announced that its major shareholder, Guochuang Kaiyuan Equity Investment Fund, plans to reduce its holdings by up to 463,260 shares, accounting for 1% of the total share capital, due to personal funding needs [3] - Yuanzhu Co., Ltd. disclosed that its shareholder, Zhuhai Lanxin Growth Consulting Management Partnership, plans to reduce its holdings by up to 240,000 shares, also accounting for 1% of the total share capital, due to personal funding needs [4] Earnings Reports - Shen Shen Fang A expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 85 million to 120 million yuan for the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 1411.70% to 2034.17% due to increased revenue recognition from real estate projects [5] - Shengnong Development anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of 850 million to 950 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 732.89% to 830.88% driven by strong growth in retail channels and stable performance in export and catering channels [6] - Jieshun Technology expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 35 million to 50 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 105.68% to 193.82% due to rapid growth in innovative business and stabilization in traditional hardware business [7] Investment Activities - Guobao Pet announced a plan to invest 650 million yuan in the construction of an intelligent warehousing and smart sorting center project to enhance product delivery efficiency and overall operational management [8] - Foton Motor plans to invest 500 million yuan to subscribe for shares in the Beijing Anpeng Kechuang Automotive Industry Investment Fund, which constitutes a related party transaction [9] - Zhuoyue New Energy intends to invest 700 million yuan in building a bioenergy production line project in Thailand, including a biodiesel production facility with an annual capacity of 300,000 tons [10]

甬金科技集团股份有限公司 关于公司实际控制人取保候审的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 甬金科技集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025年7月7日晚自实际 控制人曹佩凤女士处获悉，其因涉嫌内幕交易、泄露内幕信息罪于当日被金华市 公安局作出取保候审决定。根据曹佩凤女士提供的《取保候审决定书》（金公（经） 取保字[2025]00012号）显示，取保候审期限从2025年7月7日起算。 前期，公司实际控制人曹佩凤因其内幕交易、短线交易行为已于2025年1月9 日收到中国证监会浙江监管局下发的《行政处罚决定书》（[2025]6号），并于 2025年1月10日收到上海证券交易所《关于对甬金科技集团股份有限公司实际控 制人暨时任董事曹佩凤予以公开谴责的决定》（[2025]2号）。详见公司前期披 露的相关公告（2025-002）。 前述的事项内容仅涉及公司实际控制人曹佩凤女士个人，与公司的日常经营 管理、业务开展无关，且不会对公司日常经营、业务及财务状况造成影响。 | 证券代码：603995 | 证券简称：甬金股份 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights the steel industry's two main contradictions: weak demand and strong costs, with the industry entering its fourth year of a downward cycle in 2025. The effective demand has significantly decreased, particularly in the real estate sector, leading to a 42.9% drop in demand for steel used in real estate from 377 million tons in 2020 to 215 million tons in 2024 [6][18][25]. - The report anticipates a marginal rebound in the steel sector due to weakening costs and resilient demand, driven by a decline in coking coal prices and an expected increase in iron ore supply [6][37][45]. Demand and Cost Analysis - Weak demand is characterized by insufficient effective demand, making it easier to maintain volume than prices. The real estate sector's demand for steel has plummeted, contributing to a significant overall decline in steel prices [6][18][25]. - Strong costs are attributed to tight supply of raw materials like iron ore and coking coal, which have severely squeezed steel profits. The profit share of steel in the industrial chain has dropped to 16%, significantly below the historical average of 28% [6][31][34]. Supply-Side Strategies - The report discusses the "anti-involution" policy aimed at addressing excess capacity in the steel industry, which is expected to stabilize steel prices and improve profitability for steel companies. A potential reduction of 30 million tons in crude steel production in 2025 could lead to a price increase of 229 yuan per ton for rebar [6][8][37]. - Long-term capacity reduction is expected to be gradual, with approximately 20% of capacity facing compliance challenges, particularly among small private enterprises, which may face pressure to exit the market starting in 2026 [6][8][37]. Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in high-end steel products, such as Nanjing Steel, Hualing Steel, and Baosteel, which are expected to maintain profitability and enhance shareholder returns through capital expenditure and asset optimization [6][8][37]. - It also highlights the potential for recovery in valuation and performance for companies with low price-to-book ratios, such as New Steel and Fangda Special Steel, as well as opportunities in state-owned enterprise reforms and mergers and acquisitions [6][8][37].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the steel industry, consistent with the previous rating [2]. Core Viewpoints - The "anti-involution" policy has driven an increase in steel prices, leading to a positive outlook for value recovery in the steel sector [3][4]. - The steel sector outperformed the broader market, with a weekly increase of 5.27%, compared to a 1.54% rise in the CSI 300 index [11]. - The report highlights that while the steel industry faces supply-demand imbalances, the implementation of "stability growth" policies is expected to support steel demand, particularly in real estate and infrastructure [4]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The steel sector saw a weekly increase of 5.27%, outperforming the market, with specific segments like long products rising by 8.32% and flat products by 6.95% [3][11]. - The average daily pig iron production was 2.4085 million tons, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.44 tons but a year-on-year increase of 1.41 tons [3][26]. Supply Data - As of July 4, the capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces was 90.3%, down 0.54 percentage points week-on-week, while electric furnace utilization was at 51.1%, down 3.45 percentage points [3][26]. - The total production of five major steel products reached 7.734 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 3.06 thousand tons [3][26]. Demand Data - The consumption of five major steel products increased to 8.853 million tons, a week-on-week rise of 5.41 thousand tons [3][35]. - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 107 thousand tons, up 0.81 thousand tons week-on-week, reflecting an increase of 8.23% [3][35]. Inventory Levels - Social inventory of five major steel products rose to 9.161 million tons, an increase of 9.62 thousand tons week-on-week, but down 29.01% year-on-year [3][42]. - Factory inventory decreased to 4.238 million tons, down 9.72 thousand tons week-on-week, and down 13.43% year-on-year [3][42]. Price Trends - The comprehensive index for ordinary steel increased to 3,390.0 CNY/ton, a week-on-week rise of 45.42 CNY/ton [3][49]. - The comprehensive index for special steel decreased to 6,576.5 CNY/ton, down 14.61 CNY/ton week-on-week [3][49]. Profitability - The profit per ton for rebar was 187 CNY, an increase of 42.0 CNY/ton week-on-week [3][58]. - The average iron water cost was 2,148 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 10.0 CNY/ton [3][58]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on regional leaders with advanced equipment and environmental standards, as well as companies benefiting from the new energy cycle and high-margin special steel producers [4].

| | | 甬金科技集团股份有限公司 关于可转换公司债券转股结果暨股份变动的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 累计转股情况：截至 2025 年 6 月 30 日，累计已有 484,000 元"甬金转 债"转换为公司 A 股股票，累计转股股数为 13,549 股，占可转债转股前公司已 发行股份总额的 0.0040%。 未转股可转债情况：截至 2025 年 6 月 30 日，"甬金转债"尚未转股的 金额为 999,516,000 元，占可转债发行总量的 99.9516%。 本季度转股情况：本季度累计有 11,000 元"甬金转债"转换为公司 A 股 股票，本季度累计转股股数为 405 股。 一、可转债发行上市概况 经中国证券监督管理委员会"证监许可[2021]3286 号"文核准，甬金科技集 团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2021 年 12 月 13 日公开发行了 1,000.00 万张可转换公司债券，每张面值 100 元，发行总额 100,000.00 万元，期限 6 年（票 面利率： ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" for key stocks such as Xining Steel, Nanjing Steel, Hualing Steel, and Baosteel, with a recommendation to increase holdings in New Steel Pipe and Ningjin Steel [6][9]. Core Insights - The black metallurgy industry is gradually recovering its profitability, with a total profit of 31.69 billion yuan from January to May 2025, compared to a loss of 12.72 billion yuan in the same period last year [4][13]. - The average daily pig iron production has slightly increased to 2.423 million tons, indicating a recovery in production capacity utilization [12][18]. - The total inventory of steel has shifted from a decrease to an increase, with social inventory showing a slower depletion rate [25][39]. - The demand for steel products has weakened, with apparent consumption of major steel varieties decreasing by 0.5% week-on-week [39][50]. - The iron ore price has slightly rebounded, with the Platts 62% iron ore price index at 94.4 USD/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.5% [57][70]. Summary by Sections Supply - Daily pig iron production has increased by 0.1 million tons to 2.423 million tons, with a slight rise in production capacity utilization for blast furnaces [12][18]. Inventory - The total inventory of five major steel varieties has increased by 0.1%, with social inventory decreasing by 0.7% year-on-year [25][27]. Demand - Apparent consumption of five major steel varieties has decreased by 0.5% week-on-week, with rebar consumption slightly increasing by 0.3% [39][50]. Raw Materials - Iron ore prices have shown a slight increase, while coke prices have decreased, indicating potential pressure on raw material costs [50][57]. Prices and Profits - The current steel price index has slightly declined, but immediate gross margins have improved, with long-process steel products showing a cost of 3,177 yuan/ton and a loss of 77 yuan/ton [69][71].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the steel sector, highlighting specific companies within the industry [3][4]. Core Insights - The report indicates that iron water remains at a high level, with strong cost support. Although there is a long-term downward trend in iron water, the short-term decline is relatively slow. The supply of iron ore has not yet been released, solidifying the cost bottom in the short term [3][4]. - The overall production and inventory levels of steel are at low points year-on-year, with no significant supply-demand contradictions. The profitability of steel companies is expected to recover due to the optimization of crude steel supply and the gradual release of new iron ore production capacity [3][4]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - As of June 27, steel prices showed mixed trends, with rebar prices at 3,090 CNY/ton (up 20 CNY), high line prices at 3,300 CNY/ton (up 30 CNY), hot-rolled prices stable at 3,240 CNY/ton, cold-rolled prices down 20 CNY to 3,490 CNY/ton, and medium plate prices down 20 CNY to 3,280 CNY/ton [1][10][11]. Production and Inventory - The total production of five major steel varieties reached 8.81 million tons, an increase of 124,800 tons week-on-week. The apparent consumption of rebar was estimated at 2.1991 million tons, up 0.72 million tons from the previous week [2][3]. Profitability - The report estimates that the gross profit for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel changed by +1 CNY/ton, +5 CNY/ton, and -21 CNY/ton respectively compared to the previous week. Electric arc furnace steel saw a decrease of 6 CNY/ton in gross profit [1][3]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: 1. General steel sector: Baosteel, Hualing Steel, Nanjing Steel 2. Special steel sector: Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel, Yongjin Co. 3. Pipe materials: Jiuli Special Materials, Youfa Group, Wujin Stainless Steel - Suggested to pay attention to high-temperature alloy stocks: Fushun Special Steel [3][4]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts - Baosteel (600019.SH): EPS forecast for 2024A at 0.34 CNY, PE at 19, rated as "Buy" - Hualing Steel (000932.SZ): EPS forecast for 2024A at 0.29 CNY, PE at 15, rated as "Buy" - Nanjing Steel (600282.SH): EPS forecast for 2024A at 0.37 CNY, PE at 11, rated as "Buy" [3].