Summary of the Conference Call for 德业股份 Industry Overview - The global household energy storage market is expected to maintain an annual growth rate of approximately 20% over the next five years, with emerging markets experiencing even higher growth rates [2][4] - The industrial and commercial energy storage sector will also support 德业股份's long-term growth, particularly in regions with low per capita electricity generation and photovoltaic power ratios, such as Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East [2][4] Key Growth Markets - Significant growth is anticipated in Africa and Southeast Asia by 2025, with Africa's growth expected to exceed three times due to local electricity shortages [2][6] - Indonesia plans to achieve a distributed solar storage capacity of 320GW over the next five years, with overall distributed energy storage growth in Southeast Asia approaching double [2][6] - India and Pakistan are expected to maintain growth in 2025, driven by policy and local supply chain factors, with 德业股份 achieving approximately 30% growth in Pakistan in recent months [2][7][8] - The Middle East market shows demand differentiation, with wealthy countries like Israel and UAE driving energy transition through policy, while war-affected countries like Lebanon and Syria exhibit off-grid demand [2][9] - Eastern Europe is expected to see a decline in Ukraine's demand by 2025, but countries like Bulgaria and Romania are experiencing good growth due to reduced reliance on Russian electricity [2][10] Competitive Advantages - 德业股份 possesses three core competitive advantages in emerging markets: product development tailored to different countries, partnerships with local major distributors, and high self-manufacturing rates [4][13] - The company has a strong cost control strategy, leveraging over 30 years of experience in sheet metal manufacturing to maintain high self-manufacturing rates and reduce costs [17][18] Business Performance and Projections - The industrial and commercial energy storage business is projected to grow significantly, with revenues expected to double from approximately 20 billion yuan in 2024 to 40 billion yuan in 2025, potentially accounting for 40%-50% of total revenue [4][19][20] - Overall, 德业股份's revenue for 2025 is anticipated to reach 35 billion yuan, with a profit of approximately 15 billion yuan achieved in the first half of the year [23] Emerging Products and Strategies - In addition to industrial storage, 德业股份 is developing new products such as balcony micro-storage and solar air conditioning, which will complement its home appliance business [21][22] - The company employs a sales strategy that includes forming exclusive agency relationships with local distributors and utilizing brand partnerships to expand market reach [15][16] Market Outlook - The global distributed energy storage market is expected to continue expanding, with emerging markets likely to become significant growth segments in the coming years [12] - The company is well-positioned to maintain its market share and profitability in the household storage sector while benefiting from the growth of new business lines [22]

Core Insights - The photovoltaic equipment sector experienced a significant increase of 3.23% on September 3, with Shangneng Electric leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3813.56, down 1.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12472.0, down 0.65% [1] Sector Performance - Shangneng Electric (300827) saw a closing price of 30.11 with a remarkable increase of 20.01%, trading volume of 1.0451 million shares, and a transaction value of 2.86 billion [1] - Aier Energy (688717) closed at 78.46, up 19.15%, with a trading volume of 97,900 shares [1] - Sunshine Power (300274) closed at 114.90, up 15.30%, with a trading volume of 1.4292 million shares and a transaction value of 15.588 billion [1] - Other notable performers included Tongxiang Technology (920167) with a 9.90% increase and Jina Technology (300763) with a 7.87% increase [1] Capital Flow - The photovoltaic equipment sector saw a net inflow of 2.682 billion in main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.5438 billion [3][4] - Sunshine Power (300274) had a main fund net inflow of 1.172 billion, while retail funds saw a net outflow of 378 million [4] - Shangneng Electric (300827) also experienced a main fund net inflow of 365 million, with retail funds showing a net outflow of 163 million [4] ETF Information - The Huaxia Sci-Tech 100 ETF (product code: 588800) tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech 100 Index and has seen a recent decrease in shares by 17.5 million, with a net outflow of 24.729 million in main funds [6]

Group 1 - The energy storage sector has seen a significant surge, with companies like Haibo Sichuang and Shangneng Electric hitting the daily limit up, while others like Chunxing Precision and Tongrun Equipment also reached their limits [1] - The energy storage market is experiencing a supply-demand reversal, with companies such as CATL and EVE Energy operating at full capacity despite a previously oversupplied market [1] - In the first half of 2025, global energy storage cell shipments are expected to reach 226 GWh, marking a 97% year-on-year increase, with Chinese companies accounting for over 90% of the global market share [1] Group 2 - Chinese companies have secured a record number of overseas energy storage orders, with 199 new orders totaling over 160 GWh in the first half of the year, representing a 220.28% year-on-year increase [2] - The Middle East has emerged as the fastest-growing market for energy storage, with significant orders from regions like Australia and Europe also contributing to the growth [2] - The Chinese government has implemented policies to promote the marketization of energy pricing, which is expected to enhance the profitability of the energy storage sector [2] Group 3 - In the first half of 2025, China's new energy storage installed capacity reached 42.6 GWh, a 27.5% increase year-on-year, while global battery storage systems installed capacity reached 86.7 GWh, a 54% increase [3] - Emerging markets such as the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Latin America are expected to see a significant rise in energy storage demand due to power shortages and supportive government policies [3] - Notable companies in the energy storage sector include CATL, which is a global leader in power batteries, and Sungrow Power Supply, which offers comprehensive energy storage solutions [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC indicates that the polysilicon price has a range of 46,000 to 51,000 yuan per ton, with an average transaction price of 47,900 yuan per ton, but the order volume has decreased compared to the previous period [1] Group 1: Polysilicon Market Dynamics - The polysilicon inventory in the silicon wafer sector has been increasing, with approximately 208,000 tons of polysilicon inventory as of August 31, combined with 270,000 tons in the silicon material sector, leading to a total industry inventory of about 500,000 tons, sufficient for around five months of demand [1] - The industry is expected to limit sales by about 97,000 tons in September, while polysilicon production is projected to reach 120,000 to 130,000 tons, indicating a continued accumulation of inventory in silicon material companies [1] Group 2: Glass and Inverter Market Insights - The glass inventory days have decreased by 17.99% to 19.69 days, with the price of 2.0mm glass at 11 yuan per square meter, suggesting a potential price recovery above the cost line due to ongoing supply-side adjustments [3] - The inverter sector is expected to see a quarter-on-quarter increase in shipments in Q3, with some manufacturers exploring AIDC solid-state transformers as a new growth point for performance [3] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in the polysilicon sector, particularly in leading companies like Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438.SH) and JinkoSolar (688223.SH), which are expected to benefit from the anticipated price increases [2] - The glass industry is recommended for investment, focusing on leading companies such as Xinyi Solar (00968) and Fulete (601865.SH), as well as inverter companies like Jinlang Technology (300763.SZ) and DeYe Co., Ltd. (605117.SH) [3]

Core Insights - The Zhongzheng Photovoltaic Industry Index (931151) has seen a strong increase of 2.94% as of September 3, 2025, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Sungrow Power (300274) up 15.26% and Longi Green Energy (601012) up 2.81% [1][3] - The Photovoltaic ETF Fund (516180) has risen by 2.82%, with a latest price of 0.69 yuan, and has accumulated a total increase of 4.66% over the past two weeks [1] - The index reflects the overall performance of listed companies in the photovoltaic industry chain, selecting up to 50 representative stocks [1] Index Composition - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Zhongzheng Photovoltaic Industry Index account for a total of 56.14% of the index [1] - The top ten stocks by weight include: - Sungrow Power (300274) with a weight of 10.51% - Longi Green Energy (601012) with a weight of 9.97% - TCL Technology (000100) with a weight of 9.42% - TBEA Co., Ltd. (600089) with a weight of 6.99% - Tongwei Co., Ltd. (600438) with a weight of 5.24% [3]

Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing a broad pullback, while the photovoltaic sector is rising against the trend, with the leading photovoltaic ETF (516290) increasing by over 2% and a trading volume of nearly 500 million yuan [1] - Smart capital has continuously favored the photovoltaic sector as a pioneer in the "anti-involution" movement, with the leading photovoltaic ETF (516290) attracting significant investment over the past three days [1] - Major storage companies in China are experiencing a peak in orders, with factories operating at full capacity due to explosive growth in overseas storage market demand [4] Group 2 - The price of polysilicon is expected to rise due to continuous inventory accumulation in the polysilicon segment, with the average transaction price last week between 46,000 and 51,000 yuan per ton, and an average price of 47,900 yuan per ton [5] - As of August 31, polysilicon inventory levels reached approximately 208,000 tons, with total industry inventory around 500,000 tons, sufficient to meet about five months of demand [5] - The photovoltaic sector is anticipated to see a fundamental recovery, with signs of a turnaround becoming evident, particularly in the leading photovoltaic ETF (516290) [8] Group 3 - The leading photovoltaic ETF (516290) has seen most of its constituent stocks rise, with notable increases from Yangguang Electric (up over 13%) and Deye Technology (up over 4%) [7] - The "anti-involution" initiative is expected to enhance corporate profitability through interconnected channels, with certain industries, including photovoltaic, still undervalued compared to normalized levels [6] - The management fee rate for the leading photovoltaic ETF (516290) is 0.15%, significantly lower than the market mainstream rate of 0.5%, making it an attractive option for investors [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth and potential of the home energy storage and portable energy storage markets, with a focus on technological advancements and safety challenges [3][4][6] - The global home energy storage shipment is projected to reach 27.8 GWh in 2024, marking a 19% year-on-year increase, with Chinese companies accounting for 75% of the shipments [3] - The global portable energy storage shipment is expected to reach 11 million units in 2024, reflecting a 90% year-on-year growth, with the U.S. being the largest market [4] Group 2 - The article outlines that by 2030, the global home energy storage market is forecasted to grow to 180 GWh, representing a 547% increase from 2024 [3] - The competitive landscape for home energy storage systems is dominated by Chinese companies, with the top 10 including Huawei, BYD, and Airo Energy [3] - The portable energy storage market is anticipated to reach 28 million units by 2030, a 156% increase from 2024, driven by outdoor economy growth and emergency power needs [4] Group 3 - The upcoming 2025 Peak Forum on Home and Portable Energy Storage Battery Technology will focus on high safety standards and building a new ecosystem for the industry [6][11] - The forum will gather over 600 key decision-makers from the industry to discuss technological breakthroughs and safety challenges [10][11] - The agenda includes discussions on the latest trends in battery technology, safety standards, and market opportunities in both home and portable energy storage sectors [8][9]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved robust growth in H1 2025, with revenue of 5.535 billion yuan, up 16.58% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.522 billion yuan, up 23.18% year-on-year [5] - The company's inverter business generated revenue of 2.644 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 13.90%, while the energy storage battery pack business saw a significant revenue increase of 85.80% year-on-year [6] - The company is expected to benefit from strong demand in emerging markets, particularly in the industrial storage sector, which is anticipated to be a key growth driver [7] Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 1.522 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 27.5% [5] - The company forecasts net profits of 3.550 billion yuan and 4.394 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a projected P/E ratio of 16x for 2025 [8] - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 11.206 billion yuan in 2024 to 21.203 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.4% [11] Market Position and Strategy - The company has established a strong presence in emerging markets, particularly in Africa and Southeast Asia, with a focus on modular energy storage solutions [7] - The company is actively expanding its production capacity in Malaysia to mitigate uncertainties related to U.S. trade policies [7] - The company’s product offerings include a comprehensive range of solutions for residential, industrial storage, and large-scale energy storage applications [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric equipment sector [4] Core Insights - The photovoltaic industry chain shows a strong upward trend, with silicon material prices rising and companies showing a willingness to increase production despite low inventory levels [6][29] - The lithium battery sector is expected to enter a 2-3 year upward cycle, with potential for performance and valuation improvements [6] - The new energy storage sector is becoming a significant growth point for energy investment, with China's new energy storage capacity reaching approximately 95 million kilowatts, growing nearly 30 times over five years [20][19] Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Sector - The battery industry index rose by 6.47%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 3.76 percentage points [10] - Key companies such as Ningde Times and Yiwei Lithium Energy are recommended for investment [6] Energy Storage Sector - The National Energy Administration announced that new energy storage capacity has become the world's largest, with significant investments planned for 2024 [20][19] - Hebei province has released new policies to accelerate independent energy storage project construction [21] Electric Equipment Sector - In July 2025, the National Energy Administration issued 236 million green certificates related to renewable energy projects, with 70.63% being tradable [23] - The report suggests focusing on ultra-high voltage companies and export-oriented electric equipment firms [6] Photovoltaic Sector - Silicon material prices have increased, with multi-crystalline silicon prices averaging 46 yuan per kilogram, up 2 yuan from the previous week [29] - The report highlights the potential for price increases in photovoltaic glass due to low inventory levels and production cuts [34] Wind Power Sector - The report notes ongoing progress in offshore wind projects across various regions, with significant projects in Jiangsu and Guangdong already under construction [36]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the solar sector, with specific ratings as follows: - Aishuo Co., Ltd. (600732.SH) - Buy-B - Longi Green Energy (601012.SH) - Buy-B - Daqian Energy (688303.SH) - Buy-B - Flat Glass Group (601865.SH) - Buy-A - Hengdian East Magnetic (002056.SZ) - Buy-A - Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ) - Buy-A - Canadian Solar (688472.SH) - Buy-A - Deye Technology (605117.SH) - Buy-A - Langxin Group (300682.SZ) - Buy-B - Quartz Co., Ltd. (603688.SH) - Buy-A [1] Core Insights - In July 2025, the domestic photovoltaic (PV) new installed capacity was 11.0 GW, a year-on-year decrease of 47.6% and a month-on-month decrease of 23.1%. Cumulatively, from January to July, the new installed capacity reached 223.25 GW, representing an increase of 80.7% year-on-year [2][12]. - The export value of PV components in July was 15.89 billion yuan, down 13.7% year-on-year but up 0.5% month-on-month. The cumulative export value from January to July was 111.25 billion yuan, down 22.6% year-on-year [2][14]. - In contrast, the inverter export value in July was 6.51 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 16.3% but a slight month-on-month decline of 1.2%. The cumulative export value from January to July was 37.11 billion yuan, up 9.0% year-on-year [3][29]. - Solar power generation in July increased by 28.7% year-on-year, with a total generation of 74.43 billion kWh, accounting for 8.03% of the total industrial power generation in the country [4][42]. Summary by Sections 1. Installed Capacity - In July 2025, the domestic PV new installed capacity was 11.0 GW, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 47.6% and a month-on-month decline of 23.1%. The cumulative installed capacity from January to July reached 223.25 GW, marking an 80.7% increase year-on-year [12]. 2. Exports - **Components**: The export value of PV components in July was 15.89 billion yuan, down 13.7% year-on-year but up 0.5% month-on-month. The cumulative export value from January to July was 111.25 billion yuan, down 22.6% year-on-year [14]. - **Inverters**: The inverter export value in July was 6.51 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 16.3% and a month-on-month decrease of 1.2%. The cumulative export value from January to July was 37.11 billion yuan, up 9.0% year-on-year [29]. 3. Solar Power Generation - In July, solar power generation increased by 28.7% year-on-year, totaling 74.43 billion kWh, which accounted for 8.03% of the total industrial power generation in the country [42]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies based on various strategic directions: - New technology: Aishuo Co., Ltd., Longi Green Energy - Supply-side improvement: Daqian Energy, Flat Glass Group - Overseas expansion: Hengdian East Magnetic, Sungrow Power Supply, Canadian Solar, Deye Technology - Market-oriented power: Langxin Group - Domestic substitution: Quartz Co., Ltd. - Additional companies to watch include Xinyi Solar, GCL-Poly Energy, Tongwei Co., Ltd., TCL Zhonghuan, New Special Energy, Dier Laser, Foster, Haiyou New Materials, JA Solar, Trina Solar, JinkoSolar, CITIC Bo, Maiwei, Jinglong Technology, Shanghai Ailu, and Guangxin Materials [47].