证 券 研 究 报 告 计算机行业重大事项点评 CPU：供需格局优化，国产龙头或迎价值重估机遇 事项： 行业研究 计算机 2026 年 01 月 29 日 推荐（维持） 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴鸣远 邮箱：wumingyuan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523040001 近期 KeyBanc 数据显示，受超大规模云服务商集中采购影响，英特尔与 AMD2026 年服务器 CPU 产能已基本售罄。为应对供需失衡，两家公司计划将 服务器 CPU 价格上调 10%-15%。 行业基本数据 评论： | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 337 | 0.04 | | 总市值(亿元) | 64,097.52 | 4.97 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 57,930.71 | 5.58 | 计算机行业重大事项点评 计算机组团队介绍 首席分析师、组长：吴鸣远 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 10.8% | 20.3% | 41.3% | | 相对表现 | 9.5 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is experiencing a short-term pullback, with the Huabao ETF (589190) showing a decline of 1.75% after an initial rise, indicating active buying interest during dips [1][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - The semiconductor sector shows mixed performance, with leading companies like Zhongwei, Lanke Technology, and SMIC experiencing declines of over 4% and 3% respectively [3][11]. - The Huabao ETF tracks the Shanghai Stock Exchange's semiconductor index, which includes 50 companies across various semiconductor sectors, maintaining a high technology barrier and significant weight in core areas [4][14]. Group 2: Price Adjustments - A new wave of price increases in the semiconductor industry has been reported, with Samsung and SK Hynix raising prices for LPDDR memory used in iPhones by over 80% and nearly 100% respectively [3][13]. - Domestic companies like Zhongwei Semiconductor and Guokewai have announced price hikes for MCU and Norflash products ranging from 15% to 50%, and KGD products by 40% to 80% [3][13]. Group 3: Future Outlook - CITIC Securities forecasts a high certainty in computing power development by 2026, highlighting opportunities in super-node technology and the competitive strength of domestic computing power manufacturers [3][13]. - Donghai Securities anticipates significant growth in the performance of domestic A-share companies related to AI by 2025, recommending a focus on computing power chips, semiconductor equipment, and storage [3][13]. Group 4: Index Performance - As of the end of 2025, the annualized return of the Shanghai Stock Exchange's semiconductor index is 17.93%, outperforming similar indices and showing a better risk-return profile [6][16]. - The index has shown varying annual performance, with a notable increase of 61.33% projected for 2025 [6][17].

天眼查显示，近日，海光信息技术（海南）有限公司成立，法定代表人为齐磊，注册资本10000万人民 币，由海光信息技术股份有限公司全资持股。 来源：市场资讯 经营范围含一般经营项目：集成电路设计；集成电路芯片设计及服务；集成电路销售；集成电路芯片及 产品销售；集成电路制造；软件开发；信息系统集成服务；信息技术咨询服务；电子元器件零售；技术 服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、技术转让、技术推广（经营范围中的一般经营项目依法自主开 展经营活动，通过国家企业信用信息公示系统（海南）向社会公示） 企业名称海光信息技术（海南）有限公司法定代表人齐磊注册资本10000万人民币国标行业制造业>计 算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业>电子器件制造地址海南省海口市江东新区琼山大道63-1号美兰企业 港-3-1079企业类型有限责任公司（非自然人投资或控股的法人独资）营业期限2026-1-28至无固定期限 登记机关海南省市场监督管理局 序号股东名称持股比例1海光信息技术股份有限公司100% ...

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced increased volatility in Q4 2025, with A-shares and Hong Kong stocks showing mixed performance, while sectors like AI computing and semiconductors thrived, contrasting with weaker performances in real estate and pharmaceuticals [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.22% in Q4 2025, while the Hang Seng Index fell by 4.56% [1] - The technology growth sector, particularly AI computing and semiconductors, showed significant gains, while industries such as real estate and pharmaceuticals faced challenges [1] Group 2: Fund Manager Performance - Star fund managers like Fu Pengbo and Li Xiaoxing achieved over 60% returns in 2025, focusing on AI computing and semiconductors [2] - Balanced allocation funds, such as Zhu Shaoxing's, demonstrated stability with a 20% annual return, benefiting from diversified investments across various sectors [3][14] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Fu Pengbo's fund increased its allocation to data center cooling and computing-related companies, with a top ten stock concentration of 70.38% [5] - Li Xiaoxing emphasized AI hardware innovation and semiconductor investments, with a focus on domestic advancements in the semiconductor industry [6] Group 4: Traditional Value Investments - Fund managers like Zhang Kun and Liu Yanhun maintained positions in traditional sectors like consumer goods and pharmaceuticals, despite facing net value pressures [8][12] - Liu Yanhun's fund experienced a 5.85% decline in Q4, reflecting the challenges faced by traditional value sectors [12] Group 5: Policy and Market Outlook - Fund managers noted the impact of "anti-involution" policies on corporate fundamentals, suggesting a shift towards supply-side optimization [17] - Despite market rebounds, equity assets are still viewed as attractive, with a focus on high-quality listed companies as scarce income-generating assets [18]

1月28日早盘，受产业链涨价潮蔓延提振，存储芯片概念反复走强，核心受益板块半导体设备板块逆势拉升。热门半导体设备ETF（561980）盘中拉涨 1.61%，权重股中微公司、中芯国际涨超2%，拓荆科技涨超5%，康强电子二度封板，金海通、盛美上海、神工股份等多股走强。 半导体设备ETF（561980）跟踪中证半导，重仓中微公司、北方华创等设备龙头以及晶圆厂龙头中芯国际，芯片设计龙头海光信息、寒武纪和材料龙头南大 光电等，前十大集中度约75%，在同类指数中位居前列。 资金面数据显示，半导体设备ETF（561980）最近10个交易日累计获资金净流入超4.6亿元，最新规模超36亿。标的指数中证半导2025年至今最大涨幅超 112%，在科创芯片、半导体材料设备等同类指数中位居第一，弹性突出。 消息面上，多家芯片设计公司最新发布涨价函通知，确认产业链景气传导全面蔓延。 中微半导1月27日宣布，受封装交付周期拉长、框架及封测费用上涨影响，对MCU（微控制器）、Nor Flash（闪存）等产品提价15%-50%，直接反映了半导 体制造后道环节的成本压力已传导至芯片设计公司。 国科微同日宣布，因存储芯片供应紧张、成本上升及基板等 ...

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The document discusses the trend of price increases across various sectors, particularly in technology and cloud services, indicating a widespread inflationary environment driven by demand and supply dynamics [1]. Key Points - **Price Increases**: - CPU prices are rising, impacting companies like **Haiguang Information** [1]. - GPU rental prices are increasing, affecting firms such as **Xiechuang Data** [1]. - Cloud service prices are on the rise, with **Kingsoft Cloud** being a notable example [1]. - CDN (Content Delivery Network) prices are also increasing, with **Wangsu Technology** mentioned [1]. - **Market Sentiment**: - There is a consensus to remain optimistic and to follow the trend of price increases, suggesting a bullish outlook on the affected sectors [1]. - **Future Trends**: - Potential future price increases may extend to power supply and SaaS (Software as a Service) sectors [1]. - **Underlying Drivers**: - The root cause of these price increases is attributed to the booming demand for agents and application software [1]. - **Company Focus**: - Attention is drawn to **CloudWalk Technology**, which has shifted to self-developed inference chips since last year, indicating a strategic pivot in supply [1]. - There is an expectation that during the current cycle of rising computing resource prices, long-tail demand may partially shift towards second-tier companies [1]. - **Alpha Expectations**: - There is anticipation regarding the successful rollout of self-developed inference chips in the near future [1].

来源：新财富杂志 来源：新财富杂志 责任编辑：刘万里 SF014 责任编辑：刘万里 SF014 ...

1月27日，海光信息收跌0.82%，收盘价为270.75元，发生1笔大宗交易，合计成交量1万股，成交金额 270.75万元。 第1笔成交价格为270.75元，成交1.00万股，成交金额270.75万元，溢价率为0.00%，买方营业部为国泰 海通证券股份有限公司总部，卖方营业部为华泰证券股份有限公司北京西三环国际财经中心证券营业 部。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生41笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为4.52亿元。该股近5个交易日累计 上涨6.51%，主力资金合计净流入6.78亿元。 责任编辑：小浪快报 ...

投顾发展 | 投顾晨报 于震荡中护慢牛，自中盘处取超额 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 27 日 朝闻道 20260128 市场策略 于震荡中护慢牛，自中盘处取超额 风格策略 中盘蓝筹压舱，科技成长轮动 行业策略 电子：算力需求强劲，AI 投资机会由点及面 主题策略 锂电设备：储能需求高增，行业扩产延续 风险提示 全球地缘政治的不确定性、宏观经济波动导致投资不及预期、原材料价格上涨拖累企业盈利等风险 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 陈寒梅 执业证书编号：S0860525100003 chenhanmei@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 震荡依旧，结构为王：朝闻道 20260126 2026-01-25 慢牛预期强化，把握中盘蓝筹：朝闻道 20260123 2026-01-21 指数维持震荡，方向还在中盘蓝筹：朝闻 道 20260121 2026-01-20 ⚫ 目前市场值得关注的特征是内稳外乱下的风险评价分化，对大势而言，主基调仍然 会维持横盘震荡，略微走强。内稳外乱 ...

Group 1: Core Insights - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board (STAR Market) has surpassed 600 listed companies with a total market capitalization exceeding 10 trillion yuan [1][16] - The Beijing Municipal People's Congress emphasized the development of high-tech industries, including integrated circuits, international pharmaceutical innovation parks, and advanced energy projects [1][16] - Policies are increasingly supportive of technology-driven enterprises, particularly those focusing on "hard technology" and core technological breakthroughs [2][17] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The STAR Market is witnessing significant growth in sectors such as electronics, biomedicine, computing, power equipment, and machinery, which together account for 88% of the market capitalization [3][19] - Recent trends indicate a rebound in the STAR Market, particularly in the chip, information technology, and new materials sectors [3][18] - The demand for high-end semiconductors is driven by AI infrastructure development, leading to increased orders for semiconductor equipment and materials [5][20] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The STAR Market's focus on hard technology includes sectors like electronic chips, emerging software, and intelligent manufacturing, reflecting the rise of advanced manufacturing in China [2][17] - ETFs related to hard technology, such as the Sci-Tech Chip ETF (588290) and Sci-Tech Information ETF (588260), are highlighted as long-term investment opportunities [2][17] - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing a dual push for innovation, with Chinese companies both exporting their products and acquiring foreign assets to enhance their portfolios [8][22]