进入11月，沪指在突破十年高点4000点后回调震荡，科创50等成长指数表现低迷，前期热度居高的AI、半导体等硬科技板块有所承压。截至11 月3日，半导体设备ETF（561980）连续调整三日，但资金面保持净流入，最近4个交易日累计获得1.26亿净申购。 据了解，该ETF跟踪中证半导体产业指数，成份股聚焦芯片产业链中/上游，对国产替代攻坚领域的半导体设备、材料与集成电路设计，三大 行业集中度高达90%。近期资金持续逆势布局半导体设备ETF（561980），显示市场或依旧看好新阶段科技自立自强主线。 对于近期成长板块的调整，中信建投指出，10月下旬市场情绪高涨、三大利好（规划出台、谈判进展和季报披露）集中兑现后，A股已经处于 较高位置，且后续面临利好空窗期，市场可能面临新一轮横盘调整，主线和风格也可能出现切换。基金三季报显示电子行业配置比例超过 25%，双创板块超过40%，成长风格超过60%，均为2010年以来最高水平，或可能引发结构性调整。 基本面上，目前三季报披露接近尾声，在人工智能应用爆发式增长、国产替代纵深推进、智能汽车等下游需求增长多重推动下，半导体行业整 体呈现复苏态势。数据显示，中证半导指数2025 ...

Core Insights - The integrated circuit ETF has reached a new high in scale at 184 million yuan and a new high in shares at 80.136 million, with a net inflow of 58.7582 million yuan [3] - The integrated circuit ETF has seen a 60.82% increase in net value over the past year, ranking 196 out of 3101 index equity funds, placing it in the top 6.32% [3] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Integrated Circuit Total Return Index account for 55.88% of the total index, with notable companies including Cambricon, SMIC, and Haiguang Information [3] Performance Metrics - The highest single-month return since inception for the integrated circuit ETF is 31.86%, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being 4 months and a maximum increase of 58.99% [3] - The average return during the months of increase is 9.89% [3] Market Trends - The AI wave is driving a surge in computing power demand, significantly increasing the value in sectors such as servers, AI chips, optical chips, storage, and PCB boards [5] - Micron Technology anticipates that the DRAM market will remain extremely tight until 2026, exacerbating supply-demand imbalances [5] Investment Opportunities - The overall demand for AI remains strong, with Trendforce projecting a 24% year-on-year increase in capital expenditure from the top eight global CSP cloud service providers, reaching 520 billion USD by 2026, which will boost demand for computing chips [6] - There is significant potential for domestic substitution in the industry chain, suggesting that related companies may be worth monitoring [6] - Investors without stock accounts can access investment opportunities in the sector through the integrated circuit ETF linked fund (022350) [6]

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 11月4日，芯片50ETF（516920）开盘涨0.19%，报1.040元。芯片50ETF（516920）重仓股方面，中芯国 际开盘涨0.66%，寒武纪涨1.74%，海光信息跌0.02%，北方华创涨0.00%，澜起科技涨1.25%，兆易创新 涨0.39%，中微公司涨0.68%，豪威集团涨0.00%，芯原股份涨0.10%，长电科技涨0.33%。 芯片50ETF（516920）业绩比较基准为中证芯片产业指数收益率，管理人为汇添富基金管理股份有限公 司，基金经理为何丽竹，成立（2021-07-27）以来回报为3.84%，近一个月回报为-7.43%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance of the Kexin 50 ETF (588940) and its major holdings, highlighting a decline in the ETF's opening price and the performance of its constituent stocks [1]. Group 1: ETF Performance - Kexin 50 ETF (588940) opened down by 1.79%, priced at 1.423 yuan [1]. - Since its establishment on May 21, 2025, the fund has achieved a return of 44.60%, while its return over the past month has been -5.12% [1]. Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Major holdings in the ETF include: - SMIC (中芯国际) down by 1.76% - Haiguang Information (海光信息) down by 1.46% - Cambrian (寒武纪) down by 2.91% - Lanke Technology (澜起科技) down by 1.69% - Zhongwei Company (中微公司) down by 2.28% - United Imaging (联影医疗) down by 0.09% - Kingsoft Office (金山办公) up by 1.12% - Chipone (芯原股份) down by 0.56% - Stone Technology (石头科技) down by 0.01% - Transsion Holdings (传音控股) down by 0.12% [1].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share semiconductor sector is experiencing structural prosperity driven by surging demand in AI computing power, memory, and new energy, leading to a significant recovery in profitability among listed companies [3][4]. Summary by Sections Overall Performance - In the first three quarters, 32 semiconductor companies achieved a net profit growth of over 100% year-on-year, while the overall revenue of the sector only saw a slight increase of 0.2% [5][6]. - The average year-to-date increase for 166 listed semiconductor companies was 41%, with 15 stocks doubling in value [3][4]. Profitability Recovery - The median year-on-year growth rate of net profit for 166 A-share semiconductor companies was 19.9%, a significant improvement from the previous year [6]. - Notable companies like Source Photonics and Cambricon Technologies reported extraordinary profit growth, with Source Photonics achieving a net profit increase of 19,348.65% [6][7]. Structural Prosperity - The semiconductor industry is entering a new growth cycle, with a focus on "structure" rather than "broad-based growth" [4]. - High-demand sectors such as AI computing, high-end storage, domestic equipment materials, and automotive semiconductors are expected to remain in the spotlight for future growth [4]. Segment Performance - The AI computing and high-end chip design sectors are leading the recovery, with companies like Haiguang Information reporting a 54.65% increase in revenue [10]. - The storage chip sector is experiencing a rare supply-demand imbalance, with major companies like Changjiang Storage and Micron reallocating production to high-end products [11]. - Semiconductor equipment companies are also thriving, with firms like Tuojing Technology reporting revenue growth of 85.27% [11]. Market Dynamics - The overall revenue growth of the semiconductor industry has slightly slowed, reflecting a structural divergence in demand across different segments [8][10]. - Consumer electronics, however, are lagging behind, with traditional products showing stable demand and slower growth [11].

Core Insights - The Chinese integrated circuit design industry is experiencing rapid growth, with over 3,600 design companies and a significant increase in domestic chip applications driven by policy and capital support [1][2][3] Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry, particularly integrated circuits, plays a crucial role in modern manufacturing, accounting for over 80% of the semiconductor sector [2] - In 2024, China's chip import scale is projected to reach $385.6 billion, focusing on high-performance computing chips and storage chips [2] - The integrated circuit design segment holds about 30% of the value in the industry chain, with innovation in design helping to reduce manufacturing costs [2] Government Support and Investment - The Chinese government has implemented various policies to support the semiconductor industry, including the establishment of a national integrated circuit investment fund with a total scale of approximately 646.9 billion yuan [3] - The combined effect of policy and capital support is expected to strengthen China's position in the integrated circuit industry [7] Market Projections - The sales revenue of China's chip design companies is estimated to be around 339.3 billion yuan in 2024, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.58% from 2024 to 2029, reaching approximately 1.1926 trillion yuan by 2029 [7] - The global integrated circuit market is expected to grow to about $823.3 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 9.8% from 2024 to 2029 [8] Regional Insights - The Yangtze River Delta is a key hub for the integrated circuit design industry, contributing 50.9% of the national supply, with Shanghai accounting for 26.8% of the market share in 2024 [14] - Shanghai's integrated circuit design industry is characterized by strong innovation capabilities, with a significant number of patent applications [14] Competitive Landscape - The top 15.97% of companies in the industry account for 49.07% of total revenue and 41.10% of market capitalization, indicating a pronounced "winner-takes-all" effect [15] - Leading companies like Haiguang Information are experiencing substantial revenue growth, with a 52.4% increase in 2024 [15] Financing Trends - In 2024, approximately 130 financing events occurred in the integrated circuit design sector, totaling 28.26 billion yuan, primarily in growth and mature stages [17] - State-owned capital is increasingly dominating large financing projects, with various investment strategies being employed to support the industry [17] Technology and Innovation - The logic chip market in China is projected to reach 515.2 billion yuan in 2024, with significant growth expected in GPU and ASIC segments [9] - The RISC-V open-source architecture is seen as a new opportunity for domestic logic chip manufacturers to overcome technological barriers [12]

Group 1 - The computer index has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a year-to-date increase of 25.12% as of October 31, 2025, ranking ninth among all primary industries [3][10] - Fund holdings in the computer sector remain low, with a percentage of 2.92% as of September 30, 2025, indicating a stable but historically low level of investment [3][19] - The computer sector has shown signs of performance recovery, with a median revenue growth of 3.10% and a net profit growth of 3.93% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025 [3][15] Group 2 - Two core trends are emphasized: rapid advancements in AI and the acceleration of domestic security initiatives [4] - AI innovation is ongoing, with significant developments in model capabilities, cost reductions, and the emergence of Chinese open-source models like Deepseek and Qwen gaining global recognition [4][27] - The domestic software and hardware sectors are entering a "usable" phase, with policies promoting technological self-reliance leading to a golden development period for domestic computing power and AI chips [4][99] Group 3 - Investment recommendations include companies benefiting from AI applications such as Kingsoft Office, Hohhot Information, and Dingjie Zhizhi, among others [5] - For AI computing power, recommended companies include Haiguang Information, Sugon, and Inspur Information, with beneficiaries like Cambricon and Jingjia Micro [5] - In the context of domestic innovation, companies like Dameng Data and Taiji Co., Ltd. are highlighted as key players in the software and hardware sectors [5]

Core Insights - Shanghai-listed companies are actively integrating into the national economic and social development framework, focusing on major investment projects in "technological innovation" and "industrial upgrading" [1] - Recent significant projects reflect a strong "dual-driven" momentum, emphasizing both traditional industry upgrades and new industry layouts to strengthen the real economy [1] Group 1: Major Investment Projects - Hangzhou Silan Microelectronics Co., Ltd. is collaborating to build a 12-inch high-end analog integrated circuit chip production line [1] - Jinchuan Group Co., Ltd. is investing in a new materials subsidiary [1] - The restructured Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co., Ltd. is investing in a green high-end equipment manufacturing project [1][2] Group 2: Traditional and Emerging Industry Development - ST Songfa's subsidiary, Hengli Shipbuilding, plans to invest 2.65 billion yuan in a green high-end equipment manufacturing project, part of a total investment of 8 billion yuan [2] - Zhongchuang Zhiling (Zhengzhou) Industrial Technology Group Co., Ltd. is investing 5 billion yuan in a new energy vehicle parts industrial base and R&D center [2] Group 3: Green Transformation Initiatives - Binzhou Chemical Group is launching a project for integrated wind and solar energy, with a total investment of 1.421 billion yuan [3] - Jinchuan Group is establishing a wholly-owned subsidiary with a registered capital of 2 billion yuan for molybdenum-based new materials development [3] Group 4: Technological Innovation Focus - Silan Microelectronics plans to invest 20 billion yuan in a 12-inch high-end analog integrated circuit chip production line in Xiamen [4] - Shanghai Silicon Industry Group is undergoing a major asset restructuring, planning to acquire minority stakes in three subsidiaries for approximately 7.04 billion yuan [4] - Haiguang Information Technology Co., Ltd. is merging with Zhongke Shuguang to enhance resource integration in the chip and data center sectors [4]

中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 证券分析师：郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521110001 证券分析师：徐亚 (8621)20328506 ya.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521070003 证券分析师：高天然 tianran.gao@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300522100001 策略周报 先破后立等"春躁" 科技短期进入调整阶段，但调整是为下一波"春躁"行情进行蓄势。 策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 11 月 3 日 | 图表 | 1. 近期全球大类资产表现 5 | | --- ...

Core Insights - The total margin financing balance on the STAR Market decreased by 3.12 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, while the margin short selling balance increased by 3.07 million yuan [1][2]. Financing Balance Summary - As of October 31, the total margin financing balance on the STAR Market reached 257.40 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.12 billion yuan from the previous trading day. The financing balance was 256.46 billion yuan, down by 3.12 billion yuan, while the short selling balance was 0.94 billion yuan, up by 3.07 million yuan [1]. - The stock with the highest financing balance was SMIC, with a latest balance of 14.49 billion yuan, followed by Cambrian and Haiguang Information with balances of 14.37 billion yuan and 8.50 billion yuan, respectively [1]. - Among the 256 stocks, 150 saw an increase in financing balance, while 330 experienced a decrease. The stocks with the largest increases in financing balance were Bid Medicine, Stone Technology, and Xingtou New Science, with increases of 27.59%, 24.09%, and 22.16%, respectively. Conversely, the largest decreases were seen in Tuojing Technology, Saiwei Microelectronics, and Aters, with declines of 18.80%, 15.43%, and 14.88% [1][2]. Short Selling Balance Summary - The stock with the highest short selling balance was Haiguang Information, with a latest balance of 0.49 billion yuan, followed by Cambrian and SMIC with balances of 0.37 billion yuan and 0.35 billion yuan, respectively [2]. - Among the stocks, 150 saw an increase in short selling balance, while 125 experienced a decrease. The stocks with the largest increases in short selling balance were Xidi Micro, Hangyu Technology, and United Imaging Healthcare, with increases of 846.74%, 760.59%, and 189.63%, respectively. The largest decreases were in Dize Pharmaceutical, Xinmai Medical, and Yingjixin, with declines of 67.22%, 59.95%, and 59.39% [2].