Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Biopharmaceutical Index has shown strong performance, with significant increases in constituent stocks, indicating a positive trend in the biopharmaceutical sector [1][3]. Market Performance - As of July 11, 2025, the Biopharmaceutical Index rose by 1.23%, with notable gains from stocks such as Yifang Biotech (+10.31%), Shouyao Holdings (+8.34%), and Te Bao Biotech (+7.18%) [1]. - The Jiashi Science and Technology Medicine ETF (588700) also increased by 1.14%, marking its third consecutive rise [1]. Liquidity and Trading Volume - The Jiashi Science and Technology Medicine ETF recorded a turnover rate of 9.54% and a trading volume of 21.11 million yuan [3]. - Over the past month, the ETF has maintained an average daily trading volume of 33.32 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [3]. Fund Growth and Performance - In the last two weeks, the Jiashi Science and Technology Medicine ETF's scale increased by 17.56 million yuan, leading among comparable funds [3]. - The ETF's net value has risen by 37.70% over the past year, with a maximum single-month return of 23.29% since its inception [3]. Top Holdings - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Biopharmaceutical Index accounted for 50.3% of the index, including companies like United Imaging Healthcare, BeiGene, and Huatai Medical [3][5]. Policy Support and Market Outlook - Recent policy documents have been released to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, highlighting government backing for the sector [6]. - The number of innovative drugs in development in China has reached over 4,000, representing approximately 30% of the global total [5][6].

Group 1: Policy and Regulatory Updates - The National Healthcare Security Administration released the adjustment plan for the 2025 National Basic Medical Insurance, Maternity Insurance, and Work Injury Insurance drug catalog, along with guidelines for commercial health insurance innovative drug catalog adjustments and negotiation rules for drug renewals [1] - The National Medical Products Administration held a national drug business supervision meeting, emphasizing the need for continued risk assessment and the fight against illegal activities in the pharmaceutical sector [2] Group 2: Company Developments - Novo Nordisk's 7.2mg semaglutide application for weight management has been accepted by the European Medicines Agency (EMA), based on positive results from Phase III STEP UP studies [4] - Ascentage Pharma's new drug lisatoclax has received conditional approval from the National Medical Products Administration for use in adult patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia/small lymphocytic lymphoma [5] - Anke Bio announced a collaboration with Shengji Pharmaceutical for the exclusive agency of a recombinant human follicle-stimulating hormone-CTP fusion protein injection in mainland China and Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan [7] - Cornerstone Pharmaceuticals plans to place 100 million shares at a price of HKD 4.72 per share, aiming to raise a total of HKD 472 million as part of its financing plan [8] Group 3: Financial Performance - WuXi AppTec expects to achieve approximately CNY 20.799 billion in revenue for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 20.64%, with adjusted net profit expected to be around CNY 6.315 billion, reflecting a growth of approximately 44.43% [10] - ST Sihuan anticipates a half-year revenue of CNY 180 million to CNY 190 million, representing a growth of 70.12% to 79.57%, but expects a loss of CNY 9 million to CNY 13 million [12] Group 4: Industry Collaborations - Baiao Biotechnology and BeiGene have reached a global licensing agreement for antibody molecules, which includes upfront payments and milestone payments based on development and commercialization [14]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant growth and performance of the Kexin Pharmaceutical ETF managed by Jiashi, with a notable increase in trading volume and fund size [2] - As of July 9, the Kexin Pharmaceutical ETF achieved a daily average trading volume of 34.95 million yuan over the past month, ranking first among comparable funds [2] - The fund's size increased by 16.76 million yuan in the past two weeks, also ranking first among comparable funds [2] - The ETF saw a total inflow of 12.84 million yuan over the last ten trading days, indicating strong investor interest [2] - The net value of the Kexin Pharmaceutical ETF rose by 36.83% over the past year, showcasing its strong performance [2] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Biopharmaceutical Index account for 50.3% of the index, with leading companies including United Imaging Healthcare and BeiGene [2][4] - On July 9, Shanghai Pharmaceuticals announced an expected net profit of 4.45 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 52% [4] Group 3 - Short-term market expectations for overseas transactions in innovative drugs are high, leading to a continuous rise in valuations [5] - China's innovative drug research and development capabilities are competitive globally, and the trend of innovative drugs going overseas is expected to persist [5] - The commercial health insurance sector in China is anticipated to see significant growth in premium income and payout rates, becoming an important source of funding for innovative drugs [5]

Group 1 - The A-share pharmaceutical sector showed resilience, with innovative drugs leading the momentum and traditional Chinese medicine also active, as evidenced by the drug ETF (562050) rising by 1.32% [1][3] - The drug ETF (562050) is the first ETF in China tracking the CSI Pharmaceutical Index, focusing on innovative drugs while including traditional Chinese medicine and excluding medical and CXO sectors [1][6] - Major pharmaceutical companies like Heng Rui Medicine and Bai Jie Shen Zhou saw significant stock price increases, with Heng Rui Medicine rising by 7.1% and Bai Jie Shen Zhou by 1.48% [3][4] Group 2 - The pharmaceutical industry is currently supported by both policy and demand, with improved profitability expectations due to optimized medical insurance negotiation rules and a solid growth logic driven by aging population and consumption upgrades [4][5] - The innovative drug sector is expected to maintain high growth, driven by factors such as the "patent cliff" for multinational corporations and a declining interest rate cycle, as noted by financial analysts [5] - The drug ETF (562050) offers a diversified investment opportunity across chemical drugs, biological products, and traditional Chinese medicine, providing growth potential while mitigating index volatility [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the healthcare industry [9]. Core Insights - Chinese pharmaceutical companies are increasingly enhancing their original research capabilities, leading to a surge in high-quality innovative products gaining international recognition. This trend is facilitating the acceleration of domestic innovative drugs entering global markets through two primary pathways: "building ships" and "borrowing ships" [2][6]. - The total value of license-out transactions from China reached over $43 billion in 2024, accounting for nearly 20% of the global total, indicating a significant shift in the global pharmaceutical landscape as Chinese innovative drugs gain traction [6][17]. Summary by Sections Innovative Drug Globalization - Chinese innovative drug companies are transitioning from "following overseas" to "independent innovation," with a notable increase in original research capabilities. The number of Chinese companies participating in major international conferences like AACR and ASCO has reached historical highs, with 126 companies presenting nearly 300 new drug research results at the 2025 AACR conference [17][18]. - The number of original innovative drugs approved in China has increased from 11 in 2015 to 92 in 2024, with the proportion of globally developed first-in-class (FIC) drugs rising from 9% to 24% during the same period [21][22]. "Building Ships" and "Borrowing Ships" Models - "Building ships" refers to domestic companies independently conducting overseas clinical trials and obtaining market approvals. Notable examples include BeiGene's BTK inhibitor, which achieved over $2.6 billion in global sales, and Legend Biotech's CAR-T therapy, which reached $963 million in global sales in 2024 [25][26]. - "Borrowing ships" involves leveraging partnerships for international development and commercialization. The total value of license-out transactions in the Chinese innovative drug sector reached $51.9 billion in 2024, with over 50 transactions reported in the first half of 2025, totaling $48.4 billion [27][28]. Investment Perspective - The report emphasizes that the ongoing transformation in the healthcare sector, driven by innovative drug globalization, presents significant investment opportunities. Companies with strong cash flow, innovative capabilities, and established research platforms are particularly well-positioned for growth [43].

Group 1: Macro Strategy and Policy Analysis - The "Beautiful America Act" emphasizes tax cuts for residents and businesses while neglecting social welfare and healthcare sectors [3][21] - The rising U.S. fiscal deficit is attributed to the shift from "balanced finance" to "functional finance," driven by slowing economic output and increasing government spending [3][21] - Support for the new act is divided among social groups, with small business owners and manufacturers in favor, while healthcare and clean energy sectors express dissatisfaction [3][22] - The market's reaction to the fiscal deficit has become "dull," indicating that the narrative around the impact of the deficit on broad national credit has lessened [3][24] Group 2: Industry Insights and Company Analysis - Zhejiang Shibao is a leading player in the automotive steering system industry, focusing on electric power steering systems and line control steering technology [9][32] - The company has seen a recovery in gross margin and net profit due to increased production capacity and the introduction of high-margin products [9][34] - Forecasts for Zhejiang Shibao's revenue from 2025 to 2027 are projected at 35.1 billion, 43.7 billion, and 52.0 billion CNY, with net profits expected to grow significantly [9][36] - Zhonggu Logistics is experiencing high demand in the container shipping market, with domestic shipping rates expected to rise due to capacity shortages [16][39] - The company is projected to maintain high dividend payouts, with a forecasted dividend ratio of 90% in 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of around 10% [16][40] Group 3: Pharmaceutical Developments - BeiGene's CDK4 inhibitor BGB-43395 is on track to become the second CDK4 inhibitor to enter the registration clinical phase, showing promising early efficacy signals [11][41] - The drug demonstrates higher selectivity compared to existing CDK4/6 inhibitors and has shown strong pharmacokinetic data [11][42] - Revenue forecasts for BeiGene from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 375.17 billion, 450.24 billion, and 540.34 billion CNY, with significant growth in net profit anticipated [11][43]

2025 年 7 月 8 日 招银国际环球市场 | 睿智投资 | 行业研究 中国医药 理性看待创新药估值，寻找优秀公司的买点 MSCI中国医疗指数 2025年初至今累计上涨 41.4%，跑赢 MSCI 中国指数 25.2%。 短期来看，由于市场对于出海交易的频次和交易规模预期较高，创新药的估值持续 攀升，需理性看待股价上升空间。创新药属于高风险、长周期、高回报的行业。中 国创新药的研发实力具备全球竞争力，创新药出海趋势将长期持续。然而，由于创 新药的长周期特征，导致出海交易的达成往往需要较长时间的研发积累。 估值表 | | | | 市值 | 目标价 | 上行/ | P/E (x) | | P/B (x) | | ROE (%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公司名称 | 股份代码 | 评级 | (百万美元) | | | | (LC) 下行空间 FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E FY25E FY26E | | | | | | 三生制药 | 1530 HK | 买入 | ...

公司报告 | 公司专题研究 百济神州（688235） 证券研究报告 CDK4 抑制剂展现出优异早期疗效信号，后续将进入 注册临床研究阶段 CDK4 抑制剂 BGB-43395 具有更优抑制效力。目前 CDK4i 领域 FIC 的药物是 进入 III 期临床的辉瑞的 PF-07220060，在 MCF-7 增殖实验中，BGB-43395 的抑制细胞增殖效力IC₅₀为126 nM，比PF-07220060 更强（后者为544 nM）， 活性提升 4.3 倍，展现出卓越疗效。 后续随访时间延长，整体响应率有望大幅提升 从辉瑞披露的数据可以看到，CDK4 抑制剂 Atirmociclib 的中位起效时间是 3.6M。所以对同靶点药物，百济神州的 CDK4i 来说，3 个月的中位随访时 间还未到中位起效时间。过往数据提示 CDK4/6i 的应答率随时间延长逐 步提升，在 9 个月时达到最高应答概率。BGB-43395 在 3 个月的评估时间 看到 240mg、400mg、600mg BID 联用组 SD+PR 为 67%(8/12)，83%（5/6）， 75%（6/8），趋势较好。 盈利预测与投资评级 我们预计 202 ...

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 公司名稱: 百濟神州有限公司 (根據瑞士法律註冊成立的公司) 呈交日期: 2025年7月7日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 06160 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 9,500,000,000 | USD | | 0.0001 USD | | 950,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 9,500,000,000 | USD | | 0.0001 USD | | 950,000 | | 2. 股份分類 | 其他分類 (請註明) | 股份類別 | 其他類別 (請註明) | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The rise of the innovative drug sector in the first half of 2025 has become a significant highlight in the investment market, driven by policy support, technological breakthroughs, and market demand, leading to outstanding performance of related funds and marking a critical battle for active equity funds to prove their worth [1][15]. Group 1: Performance of Active Equity Funds - In the first half of 2025, active equity funds have outperformed broad-based indices, with the average return of equity mixed funds at 4.81% and 75% of these funds achieving positive returns [3]. - The top-performing funds in the first half of 2025 include 汇添富香港优势精选A with a return of 86.48%, 中信建投北交所精选两年定开A at 82.45%, and 长城医药产业精选A at 75.18% [5][6]. Group 2: Innovative Drug Sector Growth - The innovative drug sector has experienced explosive growth in the first half of 2025, with the 万得创新药概念指数 rising over 21% and the 恒生创新药指数 increasing by more than 66% [4]. - The top holdings of 汇添富香港优势精选 include stocks like 荣昌生物 and 科伦博泰生物-B, which have shown significant price increases, with 荣昌生物's stock price rising over 370% year-to-date [9][10]. Group 3: ETF Performance - The innovative drug sector has also played a crucial role in the performance of ETFs, with 汇添富国证港股通创新药ETF leading the market with a return of 68.98% [12][13]. - Other notable ETFs in the innovative drug space include 银华国证港股通创新药ETF and 华泰柏瑞恒生创新药ETF, both achieving returns above 67% [12]. Group 4: Long-term Investment Value - The innovative drug industry, after years of stagnation, is now recognized for its market value and commercial potential, highlighting the importance of long-term investment strategies [14][15]. - The historical context shows that since 2010, the A-share market has shifted towards structural opportunities, with sectors like healthcare, consumption, and technology becoming the main drivers of economic growth [20].