Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Haier Smart Home (600690) and recommends "Increase" for Hisense Visual (600060) [4][20] Core Viewpoints - Despite underwhelming June export data for home appliances, actual exports are expected to meet forecasts when considering capacity transfer and high base disturbances. The report highlights numerous structural bright spots in home appliance exports, such as the potential increase in air conditioning penetration in Europe due to high temperatures, strong demand for refrigerators and washing machines in Africa and Latin America, and the growing global market for vacuum cleaners and robotic vacuums. The report anticipates continued growth in large-screen TVs and Mini LED penetration, with expectations for long-term benefits from sports events [4][20] Summary by Sections Export Performance - June home appliance export data was not impressive, but actual exports are projected to align with expectations when accounting for capacity transfer and high base effects. The report notes that high temperatures may drive increased air conditioning adoption in Europe, and there is strong growth potential for refrigerators and washing machines in Africa and Latin America, with exports of these categories to Africa increasing by 49% and 27% respectively in the first half of the year [4][20] Vacuum Cleaners - The global vacuum cleaner market is experiencing growth across multiple regions, with exports to the U.S. expected to be supported by capacity transfers. The report indicates that vacuum cleaner exports, including robotic vacuums, have shown sustained growth in Asia, Africa, Latin America, and Europe. The report also highlights that the structure of robotic vacuum cleaners is expected to continue improving [4][20] Television Market - The report emphasizes the importance of structural improvements in the television market, noting that TCL Electronics saw an 8.7% year-on-year increase in overseas TV shipments in the first half of 2025, with significant growth in larger screen sizes. The trend towards larger screens and Mini LED TVs is expected to continue, with TCL's overseas Mini LED TV shipments showing promising growth [4][20]

Core Viewpoint - Midea Group is navigating short-term challenges in overseas orders while leveraging its global capacity layout, flexible domestic market strategies, and strong brand performance to ensure resilient growth in a complex environment [6]. Group 1: Overseas Market - Midea's overseas business showed a significant fluctuation in the first half of the year, with a 30% increase in external sales in Q1 due to preemptive stocking by clients, followed by a decline in Q2 as orders from North America and Europe decreased [1]. - The company has successfully shifted 90% of its production capacity for exports to the U.S. to overseas factories, with a goal to increase overseas revenue contribution from over 20% to more than 30% in the next two years [2]. - Emerging markets, particularly India, are expected to drive growth due to their large, young populations and rapid economic growth, with Midea's overseas consumer business projected to outpace domestic growth post-2023 [2]. Group 2: Domestic Market - In the domestic market, Midea adopted a price promotion strategy to capture market share in the air conditioning sector, benefiting from policy subsidies and high temperatures [3]. - The company acknowledges the competitive threat from Xiaomi and other emerging brands, adjusting its strategy to focus on profit protection while maintaining its core technological advantages [3]. - Midea is optimizing its distribution channels and has eliminated the agent level since 2021, focusing on improving operational efficiency and maintaining significant revenue from offline channels [3]. Group 3: Growth Highlights - High-end brands, particularly COLMO, are showing strong growth, with a projected 35% increase in 2024 and a surge of approximately 50% in Q1 due to government subsidies [4]. - The To B business is showing signs of improvement, with a recovery in commercial ventilation and positive growth expected in the KUKA robotics segment [4]. Group 4: Financial Strategy - Midea maintains a high dividend payout ratio of 70% and is exploring innovative shareholder return methods, including potential buybacks and mid-term cash dividends [5]. - The company aims for a revenue growth target of 5%-10% and profit growth not less than revenue growth, while employing a neutral hedging strategy to manage currency and commodity risks [6].

Group 1 - Europe is experiencing unprecedented heat waves, with temperatures reaching up to 50°C in some areas, leading to a surge in demand for air conditioning units [3][6][10] - The traditional European aversion to air conditioning is changing rapidly, with many households now actively seeking portable air conditioning solutions due to extreme weather conditions [18][31][41] - Chinese air conditioning brands are seeing a significant increase in exports to Europe, with over 12.77 million units shipped in the first five months of 2025, marking a 31.5% year-on-year increase [22][24][29] Group 2 - The demand for portable air conditioning units has surged, with sales of specific models like Midea's PortaSplit reaching over 100,000 units in just three days on a Berlin e-commerce platform [22][24] - European governments are adjusting policies to accommodate the rising need for air conditioning, including subsidies for low-income families and new regulations for building designs to facilitate air conditioning installation [33][39] - The shift in consumer behavior towards air conditioning is expected to create a substantial market opportunity, with projections indicating that the number of air conditioning units in Europe could reach 275 million by 2050 [37][39]

Group 1 - The core index of the Consumer Durables and Apparel sector, represented by the CSI Consumer Durables and Apparel Index, has shown a monthly increase of 6.07%, a three-month increase of 7.11%, and a year-to-date increase of 4.61% [1] - The CSI Consumer Durables and Apparel Index is composed of listed companies that correspond to the durable consumer goods and apparel theme, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [1] - The index's top ten weighted companies include Gree Electric Appliances (10.27%), Midea Group (9.84%), Haier Smart Home (8.59%), and others, indicating a concentration in major players within the sector [1] Group 2 - The market capitalization distribution of the CSI Consumer Durables and Apparel Index shows that 59.16% of the holdings are from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, while 40.84% are from the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] - In terms of industry composition, home appliances account for 66.38%, textiles and apparel for 15.26%, and home furnishings for 8.54%, highlighting the dominance of home appliances in the index [2] - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with changes implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December, ensuring that the index remains reflective of the current market conditions [2]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report analyzes the regular reports of active equity funds from multiple perspectives, including scale, quantity, position, concentration, industry and sector allocation, and individual stock allocation, aiming to provide an overview of fund trading behavior characteristics and asset allocation [6]. Group 2: Scale and Quantity Analysis - As of 2Q2025, there were 4,385 active equity funds in the market, an increase of 44 compared to the end of the previous quarter. The total scale of active equity funds was 3.17 trillion yuan, a decrease of 30.472 billion yuan or 0.95pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [8]. - In 2Q2025, 71 active equity funds were established in the market, with a combined issuance share of 3.6593 billion shares, a significant increase of 139.18pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [10]. - In terms of fund scale distribution, in 2Q2025, the proportion of active equity funds with a scale of less than 100 million yuan was as high as 80.55%. The proportion of large - scale funds continued to decline. The proportion of funds with a scale of less than 200 million yuan was 46.51%, a 0.12pct increase compared to the end of the previous quarter [14]. Group 3: Position Analysis - In 2Q2025, the equity positions of active equity funds increased slightly. The equity positions of common stock - type, partial - stock hybrid, and flexible - allocation funds were 90.20%, 87.50%, and 72.58% respectively, an increase of 0.86pct, 1.14pct, and 1.12pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [16]. - The Hong Kong stock positions of active equity funds increased significantly. The Hong Kong stock positions of common stock - type, partial - stock hybrid, and flexible - allocation funds were 12.85%, 17.09%, and 4.08% respectively, an increase of 0.84pct, 1.61pct, and 0.36pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [18]. Group 4: Concentration Analysis - In 2Q2025, the concentration of individual stocks and industries of active equity funds decreased slightly. The concentration of the top 3, top 5, and top 10 individual stocks was 20.92%, 31.25%, and 51.77% respectively, a decrease of 0.43pct, 0.87pct, and 1.17pct compared to the end of the previous quarter. The concentration of the first, top 3, and top 5 industries was 18.24%, 37.31%, and 46.53% respectively, a decrease of 0.33pct, 1.07pct, and 1.13pct compared to the end of the previous quarter [21]. Group 5: Heavy - Positioned Sector Analysis - In the A - share market, in 2Q2025, the top three sectors with heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds were technology, manufacturing, and consumption, accounting for 27.89%, 23.84%, and 14.84% respectively. The sectors with increased positions were technology, financial real estate, and medicine, with an increase of 2.82pct, 1.83pct, and 0.38pct compared to the previous quarter [25]. - In the Hong Kong stock market, the top three sectors with heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds were technology, consumption, and medicine, accounting for 46.82%, 14.40%, and 13.42% respectively. The sectors with increased positions were medicine and financial real estate, with an increase of 4.94pct and 2.39pct compared to the previous quarter [26]. Group 6: Heavy - Positioned Industry Analysis 6.1 Active Equity Funds - In A - share allocation, in 2Q2025, the top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds in terms of market value were electronics, medicine, and power equipment and new energy, accounting for 18.11%, 11.47%, and 8.85% respectively. The industries with the top three active increases in positions were communication, banking, and non - banking finance, with an increase of 2.51pct, 0.76pct, and 0.74pct respectively [30][32]. - In Hong Kong stock allocation, the top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds in terms of market value were media, electronics, and medicine, accounting for 25.69%, 13.48%, and 13.42% respectively. The industries with the top three active increases in positions were medicine, non - banking finance, and computer, with an increase of 3.88pct, 1.48pct, and 0.88pct respectively [36][37]. 6.2 Performance - Excellent and Hundred - Billion Funds - In A - share allocation, in 2Q2025, the top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of performance - excellent funds in terms of market value were medicine, national defense and military industry, and communication, accounting for 64.66%, 9.03%, and 8.41% respectively. The top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of hundred - billion funds were food and beverage, electronics, and medicine, accounting for 19.55%, 19.52%, and 19.35% respectively [40]. - In Hong Kong stock allocation, the top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of performance - excellent funds in terms of market value were medicine, media, and commerce and retail, accounting for 91.45%, 2.40%, and 1.51% respectively. The top three industries with heavy - positioned stocks of hundred - billion funds were media, communication, and commerce and retail, accounting for 32.18%, 13.18%, and 12.03% respectively [41]. Group 7: Heavy - Positioned Individual Stock Analysis 7.1 Heavy - Positioned Individual Stock Market Value Analysis - In 2Q2025, the top three A - shares with the highest absolute market value of heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds were CATL, Kweichow Moutai, and Midea Group, with market values of 46.6 billion yuan, 26.213 billion yuan, and 25.094 billion yuan respectively. The top three A - shares in terms of allocation market - value ratio were InnoCare Pharma - U, Weichai Heavy Machinery, and BeiGene - U, with the proportion of shares held in the floating shares being 31.99%, 24.84%, and 24.50% respectively [47]. - The top three Hong Kong stocks with the highest absolute market value of heavy - positioned stocks of active equity funds were Tencent Holdings, Xiaomi Group - W, and Alibaba - W, with market values of 55.608 billion yuan, 19.662 billion yuan, and 18.9 billion yuan respectively. The top three Hong Kong stocks in terms of allocation market - value ratio were 3SBio, Kelun Botai Biopharma - B, and Shanghai Fudan, with the proportion of shares held in the floating shares being 12.56%, 10.57%, and 8.95% respectively [49]. 7.2 Heavy - Positioned Individual Stock Active Position - Adjustment Analysis - In 2Q2025, the top three A - shares with the highest active increase in positions of active equity funds compared to the end of the previous quarter were Zhongji Innolight, Hudian Co., Ltd., and Sinnet Technology, with an increase of 12.953 billion yuan, 7.642 billion yuan, and 7.506 billion yuan respectively. The top three A - shares with the highest active decrease in positions were BYD, Kweichow Moutai, and Wuliangye Yibin, with a decrease of 11.04 billion yuan, 5.527 billion yuan, and 5.021 billion yuan respectively [51]. - The top three Hong Kong stocks with the highest active increase in positions of active equity funds compared to the end of the previous quarter were 3SBio, Innovent Biologics, and JD Health, with an increase of 4.919 billion yuan, 4.07 billion yuan, and 2.793 billion yuan respectively. The top three Hong Kong stocks with the highest active decrease in positions were Tencent Holdings, Alibaba - W, and SMIC, with a decrease of 10.71 billion yuan, 8.463 billion yuan, and 3.235 billion yuan respectively [53].

Core Insights - The Chinese refrigerator industry is projected to reach a market size of approximately 160 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.37% over the past five years [1] - China leads the world in both refrigerator production and export volume, with Haier maintaining the top global sales position for 17 consecutive years [1] Market Trends - The average retail price of refrigerators in China is expected to exceed 3,670 yuan per unit in 2024, driven by rising prices of raw materials, increased adoption of high-end products, and the integration of smart technologies [2] - The market is witnessing a growing share of high-end and built-in refrigerators, contributing to the overall price increase [2] Competitive Landscape - The domestic refrigerator market features numerous leading manufacturers, including Haier, Midea, and Rongsheng, with specific strategic initiatives outlined as follows [3]: - **Haier**: Continues to lead in global retail volume, plans to launch an AI-powered refrigerator in 2025, and has received design awards for its innovative preservation technology [5] - **Midea**: Reports a 45% year-on-year increase in retail sales for its high-end brand COLMO, with a focus on smart and energy-efficient technologies [5] - **Rongsheng**: A core brand under Hisense, plans to introduce a new series of preservation refrigerators in 2025, emphasizing energy-saving and advanced preservation features [5] - **Other Brands**: Companies like Meiling and Eason Ping are also expanding their market presence with innovative products and significant growth in overseas sales [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the home appliance industry [11]. Core Insights - The 2025 national subsidy for home appliances is expected to boost industry performance, with a significant increase in subsidy duration and coverage, leading to sustained high industry sentiment [3][9]. - The report anticipates that the demand for home appliances will remain robust due to a large number of appliances reaching their safety usage limits that have not yet been replaced [3][9]. Policy Overview - The 2025 national subsidy program extends from 4 months to 12 months, covering the peak season for air conditioners and expanding the types of subsidized products to include small appliances and cleaning devices [6][17]. - The total subsidy amount for the "old for new" policy has increased from 150 billion to 300 billion yuan [6][17]. Performance Review - As of May 31, 2025, approximately 49.86 million consumers purchased 77.618 million units of 12 major categories of home appliances, with an estimated sales revenue of about 262 billion yuan [7][27]. - The home appliance retail sales growth from January to May 2025 was 30.2%, significantly outperforming the overall retail sales growth of consumer goods [7][27]. Future Outlook - Without subsidies, the expected growth rates for air conditioners, refrigerators, and washing machines in 2025 are projected at 2.0%, -0.8%, and 5.1%, respectively. However, with a conservative estimate of 80 billion yuan in subsidy funds, these growth rates could increase to 10.6%, 3.7%, and 7.7% [8][9]. - The report suggests that the impact of the subsidy on future demand will be limited due to the high number of appliances that have reached their replacement age [8][9]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality leading companies with certain growth prospects, such as Gree Electric Appliances, Midea Group, and Hisense Home Appliances, which are expected to benefit from domestic sales trends driven by subsidies [9][12]. - Companies with exposure to the U.S. market and strong brand power, such as Anker Innovations and Roborock, are also highlighted for their potential recovery [9][12].

Group 1 - The core index, the Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index, has decreased by 0.37% as of July 25, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks, including leading gains from companies like Lianxu Electronics and Huaren Health, while companies like Yaxiang Integration and Zhejiang Construction led the declines [1] - The Free Cash Flow ETF (159201) also fell by 0.37%, with the latest price at 1.07 yuan. Over the past week, the ETF has seen a cumulative increase of 3.47%, ranking first among comparable funds [1] - In terms of liquidity, the Free Cash Flow ETF had a turnover of 0.91% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 36.4183 million yuan. The average daily transaction volume over the past week reached 335 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - The Free Cash Flow ETF has attracted a total of 170 million yuan in the last five trading days, with its latest scale reaching 4.007 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception and ranking first among comparable funds [1] - The management fee for the Free Cash Flow ETF is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, making it the lowest among comparable funds [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index accounted for 57.97% of the index, including SAIC Motor, China National Offshore Oil, Midea Group, and Gree Electric [3][5]

Group 1 - The trade volume between China and the European Union has significantly increased, with Guangzhou Customs reporting an import and export trade of approximately 145.43 billion yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.9% [1] - Guangzhou Xinyi Vehicle Co., Ltd. has seen a notable increase in exports of lithium battery mountain bikes to Europe, with a value of nearly 28 million yuan in the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year increase of 35.6% [1] - The demand for cooling appliances such as air conditioners and refrigerators has surged in Europe due to high summer temperatures, leading to increased exports from the Shunde district, with an average of 600 containers of appliances shipped daily [1] Group 2 - Midea Group has capitalized on the rising demand for air conditioners in Europe by launching a wind-free air conditioner that utilizes AI technology to adjust airflow based on human positioning, resulting in nearly 10 billion yuan in exports of home appliances this year [2] - The local customs in Shunde are actively supporting home appliance companies in expanding their market in Europe by promoting the benefits of AEO policies and enhancing management standards [4] - Guangzhou Customs is implementing various facilitation measures such as "two-step declaration" and "online appointment customs clearance" to improve logistics channels between the Greater Bay Area and European countries [4]

Core Viewpoint - The kitchen small appliance market, particularly the wall-breaking machine segment, is facing significant challenges, with retail sales expected to decline from 10.3 billion yuan in 2020 to 5.56 billion yuan in 2024, primarily due to market saturation and increased competition from specialized alternatives [1][12]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The wall-breaking machine is a food processing device that utilizes high-speed rotating blades to break down plant cell walls, enhancing nutrient absorption [4]. - The market for wall-breaking machines is categorized into three main types: traditional, steam, and silent wall-breaking machines, each catering to different consumer needs and price points [4]. - The average online price of wall-breaking machines decreased from 341 yuan in the first half of 2023 to 307 yuan in the first half of 2024, driven by declining market demand and competitive pricing strategies [14]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The retail sales of wall-breaking machines are projected to decline significantly, with a drop from 10.3 billion yuan in 2020 to 5.56 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a saturated market and reduced new purchase demand [1][12]. - Despite the overall decline, there was a slight increase of 2.2% in retail sales in the first quarter of 2025, attributed to government subsidies for appliance replacements [1][12]. - The increase in disposable income and consumer spending in China, from 32,189 yuan in 2020 to 41,314 yuan in 2024, is expected to enhance the demand for high-quality kitchen appliances like wall-breaking machines [6]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - The wall-breaking machine industry is experiencing intense competition, with leading brands like Joyoung facing market share declines due to the rise of competitors such as Midea and Supor [16][17]. - New brands are entering the market, focusing on high cost-performance ratios and innovative designs to attract consumers, further intensifying competition [16][17]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards more diverse marketing strategies, leveraging online platforms and influencer marketing to enhance brand visibility and sales [22][23]. Group 4: Future Trends - The future of the wall-breaking machine industry is expected to be driven by technological innovations, focusing on smart features, multifunctionality, and noise reduction to improve user experience [21]. - Companies are increasingly adopting diverse marketing strategies, including collaborations with influencers and leveraging social media platforms to reach younger consumers [22][23]. - There is a noticeable trend towards international expansion, with Chinese manufacturers looking to tap into overseas markets to mitigate domestic competition [24].