Core Viewpoint - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a downturn, with the Huabao Food and Beverage ETF (515710) declining by 1.19% as of the close on February 12, 2026, reflecting weak performance in key stocks like liquor and consumer goods [1][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Huabao Food and Beverage ETF opened weakly and continued to fluctuate at low levels, closing down 1.19% [1][8]. - Key stocks in the sector, including Jinhe Industrial, Gujing Gongjiu, and Wuliangye, saw declines of over 2%, while major brands like Kweichow Moutai and Yanghe also fell by more than 1% [1][8]. Group 2: Liquor Pricing Trends - The price of Feitian Moutai has been rising, with the latest reported prices on February 12, 2026, showing the original box price at 1,700 yuan and the loose bottle price at 1,660 yuan [3][10]. - The liquor industry is showing a divergence in performance, with demand concentrating on leading brands, particularly Kweichow Moutai, which is benefiting from marketing reforms and strong customer engagement through the iMoutai app [3][10]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Analysts predict that the liquor channel has reached a bottom, with expectations for a rebound post-Spring Festival, marking a favorable time for annual investment [4][11]. - The industry is currently at a low valuation, with the Huabao ETF's price-to-earnings ratio at 20.58, placing it in the 9.2% percentile of the last decade, indicating a potential opportunity for long-term investment [3][11]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The Huabao Food and Beverage ETF is recommended for investors, with approximately 60% of its portfolio allocated to leading high-end and mid-range liquor brands, and nearly 40% to other segments like beverages and dairy [5][11]. - The ETF provides a way for investors to access core assets in the food and beverage sector, with a focus on companies with strong performance and dividend potential [4][11].

2026.02.10 35家公司春节前派现 本周以来，A股公司接连分红。先是在周一（2月9日），三峡水利（600116.SH）、兰州银行 （001227.SZ）等6家企业除权派息，次日（2月10日）又有8家公司分红，除前述古井贡酒等，还涉及至 正股份（603991.SH）、雅艺科技（301113.SZ）等。 到本周五（2月13日），还将有约20家企业实施分红，包括部分行业龙头，例如立讯精密 （002475.SZ）、华电新能等。据统计，2月9日至2月13日，35家A股公司已公告（将）实施分红，现金 分红总额达到190.27亿元。 本文字数：2584，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 周楠 赶在春节之前，一批A股公司要给投资者"发红包"。 根据公告，2月10日，金徽酒（603919.SH）、瑞芯微（603893.SH）、古井贡酒（000596.SZ）等8家A 股公司实施分红，分红金额最高的是古井贡酒，超5亿元。之后的三个交易日（2月11日至13日）还将有 20多家A股公司除权派息。 包括上述公司在内，Wind统计显示，春节前最后一个交易周（2月9日至13日），共计35家公司实施分 红，派现总额超过190亿元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for key companies in the industry, specifically Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, Shanxi Fenjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, and Gujing Gongjiu, while suggesting an increase in holdings for Yingjia Gongjiu [8][28]. Core Insights - The overall sales decline in the industry before the Spring Festival aligns with expectations, with Moutai showing leading performance. The industry is experiencing a double-digit sales decline, but demand is gradually recovering as the Spring Festival approaches. The pressure on channels is easing, and confidence in the industry is expected to improve [1][12]. - Moutai's sales volume and price have exceeded expectations, with a significant increase in demand from traditional channels. The report anticipates a net increase of over 2,000 tons in January [1][12]. - The report highlights a clear differentiation among brands, with Moutai, Wuliangye, and Fenjiu outperforming the industry, while other brands are experiencing varying degrees of decline. The next high-end price segment is under significant pressure [1][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Regional Sales Feedback - The report summarizes feedback from various regions, indicating that the overall sales decline is in line with expectations. Moutai's performance is notably strong, with double-digit growth in sales volume. Other brands, such as Wuliangye, show regional sales differentiation, particularly in areas like Sichuan, where sales have accelerated due to previous inventory control measures [1][12][15]. 2. Core Company Tracking - Guizhou Moutai's sales are expected to continue growing, with a current average delivery progress exceeding 30%. The report notes that Moutai's inventory is low, and the market remains in a supply-demand imbalance, supporting price stability [24][28]. - Wuliangye's sales are stable, with delivery progress around 35-40%. The report indicates that the brand's performance is slightly better than last year, particularly in regions like Sichuan and Anhui [24][28]. - Luzhou Laojiao is experiencing slower sales, with delivery progress below 20%. The brand's high-end products are facing a decline in demand, while lower-end products still show some demand [25][28]. - Shanxi Fenjiu's sales are performing better than the industry average, with a stable inventory situation and continued growth in certain products [25][28]. - Yingjia Gongjiu is expected to see a slight decline in sales, but certain products are performing relatively well [26][28]. 3. Industry Holdings Analysis - The report notes that institutional holdings in the liquor sector are at historical lows, with a significant decrease in the proportion of active fund holdings in the liquor sector. This trend indicates a potential for recovery as the market stabilizes [2][8].

Summary of Conference Call on Anhui Baijiu Market Company and Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the Anhui Baijiu market, specifically discussing brands such as Gujing, Yingjia, and Kouzi, along with their sales performance and market dynamics [1][2][4]. Key Points and Arguments Sales Performance - Gujing's sales in 2025 did not meet the initial target, achieving approximately 80% of the goal with actual sales around 90 million yuan. The target for 2026 is set at 90 million yuan, with 40% of this target already achieved during the Spring Festival [1][4]. - The overall sales in the Hefei market for 2025 are projected to decline to around 1.5 billion yuan, reflecting an 8% year-on-year decrease [2][19]. - Different product lines within Gujing experienced varying declines, with Gu Ba expected to drop over 10%, Gu Wu between 5%-8%, and Gu 16 potentially remaining stable or slightly increasing [1][6]. Market Dynamics - The market is currently facing challenges due to the ongoing alcohol prohibition policies, which have suppressed demand in high-end consumption scenarios. However, the enforcement of these policies has eased compared to earlier periods [12][13]. - The overall market for Baijiu is expected to see a 10% decline during the Spring Festival, influenced by factors such as public consumption checks and the prohibition [6][12]. Pricing and Inventory - Gujing's pricing structure has slightly decreased compared to last year, with high-end products like Gu 20 priced around 530 yuan, which is 20-30 yuan lower than the previous year [10]. - Inventory levels in the Hefei market are at historical highs, with expectations that 60%-70% of channel inventory will be consumed after the Spring Festival [20][14]. Promotional Strategies - Yingjia has implemented promotional measures during the Spring Festival, including adjusting prize ratios and increasing promotional expenses, which have led to a balanced overall expense rate [22][24]. - The company aims to achieve 45%-55% of its annual sales target during the Spring Festival, focusing on maintaining market balance rather than aggressive growth [16]. Consumer Behavior and Trends - There has been a notable shift in consumer behavior, with a decrease in the number of tables per banquet and reduced alcohol consumption per event, despite the number of banquets remaining stable [11][25]. - The return of migrant workers during the Spring Festival has positively impacted sales, with increased consumer activity noted in retail environments [26]. Other Important Insights - The competition among brands in the Hefei market has intensified, particularly between Yingjia and Gujing, with Yingjia's channel control increasing to 65% [15][24]. - The overall profit margins for distributors are under pressure, with many relying on sales rebates and promotional strategies to offset losses [18][24]. - Future product launches are being considered cautiously, with a focus on monitoring competitor responses in the market [27]. This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call regarding the Anhui Baijiu market, highlighting sales performance, market dynamics, pricing strategies, and consumer behavior trends.

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese white liquor market has shown a slight decline in retail prices for the top ten products, with the overall price dropping to 9183 yuan, marking a new low in four days, indicating a high-level consolidation and structural differentiation in the market [1][6][7]. Price Trends - Among the top ten products, six experienced price declines, three saw increases, and one remained stable. The price of Xijiu Junpin increased by 7 yuan per bottle, while Guizhou Moutai Feitian rose by 6 yuan per bottle due to pre-holiday consumption and channel replenishment demands. Other products like Gujing Gong 20 saw a minor increase of 2 yuan per bottle [1][6][7]. - Conversely, products such as Qinghua Lang and Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ both fell by 13 yuan per bottle, and Guojiao 1573 decreased by 11 yuan per bottle, likely due to pre-holiday inventory adjustments. Other declines included a 6 yuan drop for boutique Moutai, a 3 yuan decrease for Shuijing Jianan Chun, and a slight 1 yuan drop for Qinghua Fen 20. Wuliangye Pu 58 maintained its price stability [1][6][7]. Data Collection Methodology - The daily data for "Wine Price Reference" is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets. The data aims to provide an objective, real, and scientifically traceable representation of the market prices for well-known white liquors [2][7]. Market Impact of New Channels - The introduction of new sales channels for Guizhou Moutai Feitian at 1499 yuan per bottle and boutique Moutai at 2299 yuan per bottle has begun to show a magnetic influence on the market's terminal retail prices for these products [2][7]. Company Insights - Dongwu Securities has maintained a "buy" rating for Shanxi Fenjiu, highlighting its steady national expansion and significant growth potential in the clear aroma liquor market. The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 600-700 billion yuan in the medium to long term, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 being 122.5 billion yuan, 124.2 billion yuan, and 137.2 billion yuan respectively [2][7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the retail prices of the top ten Chinese liquor products have slightly weakened, with a total price of 9183 yuan, down 32 yuan from the previous day, marking a recent low [1][6][7] - Among the top ten products, six saw price declines, three increased, and one remained stable. The price increases were led by Xijiu Junpin, which rose by 7 yuan per bottle, and Guizhou Moutai Feitian, which increased by 6 yuan per bottle due to pre-holiday consumption and channel replenishment demand [1][6][7] - The report highlights that the market is experiencing high-level consolidation and structural differentiation, with some brands like Qinghua Lang and Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ dropping by 13 yuan per bottle, and Guojiao 1573 decreasing by 11 yuan per bottle, likely due to pre-holiday inventory adjustments [1][6][7] Group 2 - The data for the liquor prices is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets, aiming to provide an objective and traceable market price for well-known liquors [2][7] - The introduction of new sales channels for Guizhou Moutai Feitian at 1499 yuan per bottle and premium Moutai at 2299 yuan per bottle has begun to show a magnetic influence on the market retail prices of these products [2][7] - Dongwu Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Shanxi Fenjiu, noting its steady national expansion and significant growth potential in the clear liquor market, with projected revenues reaching 600-700 billion yuan in the medium to long term [2][7]

Core Viewpoint - A batch of A-share companies is distributing dividends before the Spring Festival, indicating a shift from financing to shareholder returns, responding positively to new policies [4][12] Summary by Sections Dividend Distribution - On February 10, 2026, eight A-share companies, including Jinhuijiu and Ruixinwei, announced dividend distributions, with Gujinggongjiu leading at over 500 million yuan [3][6] - A total of 35 companies are expected to distribute dividends during the last trading week before the Spring Festival, with a total payout exceeding 19 billion yuan [3][6] - The main sectors involved in this dividend distribution are electric power, food and beverage, and non-bank financial industries [3][6] Company Performance - Companies distributing dividends generally reported positive earnings, with significant revenue and profit growth. For instance, Citic Securities reported a revenue of 74.83 billion yuan and a net profit of 30.05 billion yuan, both showing over 20% growth [12] - Longjiang Electric also reported a revenue of 85.88 billion yuan and a net profit of 34.17 billion yuan, indicating slight growth [12] - Lixun Precision is expected to report a net profit of 16.52 billion to 17.19 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.59% to 28.59% [12] Dividend Sustainability - The trend of companies distributing dividends has become more frequent and substantial since the implementation of the new "National Nine Articles" policy, with a shift towards a more sustainable dividend culture [16][18] - Companies are encouraged to ensure that their cash flow and profitability can support dividend payments, avoiding excessive distributions that could hinder future growth [4][18] - The regulatory environment has improved transparency and stability among A-share companies, promoting a rational dividend culture aligned with corporate life cycles [16][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the food and beverage sector, suggesting investors take advantage of low prices to acquire quality leading companies [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for the food and beverage sector, driven by seasonal demand and improved sales performance during the Chinese New Year [1]. - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading brands with strong fundamentals, particularly in the liquor and dairy segments, as they are expected to outperform their peers [2][4]. Summary by Category Liquor - The liquor industry is experiencing a divergence in performance, with top brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye showing strong sales, while others face challenges [1]. - Kweichow Moutai benefits from marketing reforms and strong demand, with its product prices stabilizing above 1600 RMB [1]. - Recommendations include Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and other leading brands for investment [1]. Dairy Products - Major dairy companies like Yili and Mengniu are expected to achieve strong sales during the Chinese New Year, with inventory levels remaining healthy [2]. - The report anticipates a turning point in the raw milk cycle, with prices expected to stabilize, benefiting leading dairy firms [2]. - Recommended stocks include Yili and Mengniu, which are expected to gain market share in 2026 [2]. Restaurant Supply Chain and Condiments - The report sees a recovery in the restaurant sector, supported by government policies and improved consumer confidence [3]. - Leading companies are adjusting pricing strategies to enhance profitability, with inventory levels remaining healthy [3]. - Key recommendations include Anjijia and Haitian Flavoring, which are expected to benefit from improved market conditions [3]. Snacks - The snack industry is poised for growth, with increased sales during the Chinese New Year and a shift towards efficient retail channels [4]. - Recommended stocks include Weilian and Qiaqia, which are expected to maintain high profitability levels [4].

Core Viewpoint - A group of A-share companies is distributing dividends before the Spring Festival, with a total payout exceeding 19 billion yuan, reflecting a shift from financing to shareholder returns [1][3][9] Dividend Distribution Overview - From February 9 to February 13, a total of 35 A-share companies announced dividend distributions, with a total cash payout of 19.027 billion yuan [3][9] - The highest dividend payout is from Changjiang Electric Power, proposing a distribution of 5.138 billion yuan, followed by CITIC Securities and Darentang with payouts of 4.298 billion yuan and 1.888 billion yuan respectively [3][9] - Six companies are distributing over 1 billion yuan, with the main sectors involved being electric power, food and beverage, and non-bank financial services [1][3] Company Performance and Dividend Sustainability - Many companies that are distributing dividends have reported positive earnings, with CITIC Securities and Changjiang Electric Power both showing revenue growth of over 20% [9] - The trend of companies announcing dividends, including those that are newly listed or have not previously issued interim dividends, indicates a growing emphasis on shareholder returns [1][5][11] - The sustainability of dividends is highlighted as a key concern, with investors advised to consider cash flow and profitability to support dividend payments [2][11] Industry Trends - The recent dividend announcements are part of a broader trend where A-share companies are increasingly adopting a culture of regular dividends, moving from "soft advocacy" to "hard constraints" under new regulations [11][12] - The distribution of dividends is seen as a reflection of company value rather than a mere financial maneuver, with a call for a rational dividend culture that aligns with the lifecycle of the business [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Gujinggong Liquor's stock price has experienced a decline, with a 2.13% drop on February 10, 2023, and a total market value of 67.671 billion yuan. The company has seen a year-to-date stock price decrease of 2.72% and a significant decline over the past 60 days of 20.29% [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Gujinggong Liquor reported a revenue of 16.425 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 13.87%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.960 billion yuan, down 16.57% compared to the previous year [2]. Shareholder Information - As of January 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Gujinggong Liquor increased to 57,000, marking a 2.32% rise. The average circulating shares per person remained at 0 [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 13.141 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 7.665 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder is the China Securities White Wine Index A, holding 15.9827 million shares, an increase of 2.3527 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include E Fund Consumer Industry Stock and Invesco Great Wall New Emerging Growth Mixed Fund, with varying changes in their holdings [3].