Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the retail prices of the top ten Chinese liquor products have slightly weakened, with a total price of 9183 yuan, down 32 yuan from the previous day, marking a recent low [1][6][7] - Among the top ten products, six saw price declines, three increased, and one remained stable. The price increases were led by Xijiu Junpin, which rose by 7 yuan per bottle, and Guizhou Moutai Feitian, which increased by 6 yuan per bottle due to pre-holiday consumption and channel replenishment demand [1][6][7] - The report highlights that the market is experiencing high-level consolidation and structural differentiation, with some brands like Qinghua Lang and Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ dropping by 13 yuan per bottle, and Guojiao 1573 decreasing by 11 yuan per bottle, likely due to pre-holiday inventory adjustments [1][6][7] Group 2 - The data for the liquor prices is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets, aiming to provide an objective and traceable market price for well-known liquors [2][7] - The introduction of new sales channels for Guizhou Moutai Feitian at 1499 yuan per bottle and premium Moutai at 2299 yuan per bottle has begun to show a magnetic influence on the market retail prices of these products [2][7] - Dongwu Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Shanxi Fenjiu, noting its steady national expansion and significant growth potential in the clear liquor market, with projected revenues reaching 600-700 billion yuan in the medium to long term [2][7]

Core Viewpoint - A batch of A-share companies is distributing dividends before the Spring Festival, indicating a shift from financing to shareholder returns, responding positively to new policies [4][12] Summary by Sections Dividend Distribution - On February 10, 2026, eight A-share companies, including Jinhuijiu and Ruixinwei, announced dividend distributions, with Gujinggongjiu leading at over 500 million yuan [3][6] - A total of 35 companies are expected to distribute dividends during the last trading week before the Spring Festival, with a total payout exceeding 19 billion yuan [3][6] - The main sectors involved in this dividend distribution are electric power, food and beverage, and non-bank financial industries [3][6] Company Performance - Companies distributing dividends generally reported positive earnings, with significant revenue and profit growth. For instance, Citic Securities reported a revenue of 74.83 billion yuan and a net profit of 30.05 billion yuan, both showing over 20% growth [12] - Longjiang Electric also reported a revenue of 85.88 billion yuan and a net profit of 34.17 billion yuan, indicating slight growth [12] - Lixun Precision is expected to report a net profit of 16.52 billion to 17.19 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.59% to 28.59% [12] Dividend Sustainability - The trend of companies distributing dividends has become more frequent and substantial since the implementation of the new "National Nine Articles" policy, with a shift towards a more sustainable dividend culture [16][18] - Companies are encouraged to ensure that their cash flow and profitability can support dividend payments, avoiding excessive distributions that could hinder future growth [4][18] - The regulatory environment has improved transparency and stability among A-share companies, promoting a rational dividend culture aligned with corporate life cycles [16][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the food and beverage sector, suggesting investors take advantage of low prices to acquire quality leading companies [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for the food and beverage sector, driven by seasonal demand and improved sales performance during the Chinese New Year [1]. - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading brands with strong fundamentals, particularly in the liquor and dairy segments, as they are expected to outperform their peers [2][4]. Summary by Category Liquor - The liquor industry is experiencing a divergence in performance, with top brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye showing strong sales, while others face challenges [1]. - Kweichow Moutai benefits from marketing reforms and strong demand, with its product prices stabilizing above 1600 RMB [1]. - Recommendations include Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, and other leading brands for investment [1]. Dairy Products - Major dairy companies like Yili and Mengniu are expected to achieve strong sales during the Chinese New Year, with inventory levels remaining healthy [2]. - The report anticipates a turning point in the raw milk cycle, with prices expected to stabilize, benefiting leading dairy firms [2]. - Recommended stocks include Yili and Mengniu, which are expected to gain market share in 2026 [2]. Restaurant Supply Chain and Condiments - The report sees a recovery in the restaurant sector, supported by government policies and improved consumer confidence [3]. - Leading companies are adjusting pricing strategies to enhance profitability, with inventory levels remaining healthy [3]. - Key recommendations include Anjijia and Haitian Flavoring, which are expected to benefit from improved market conditions [3]. Snacks - The snack industry is poised for growth, with increased sales during the Chinese New Year and a shift towards efficient retail channels [4]. - Recommended stocks include Weilian and Qiaqia, which are expected to maintain high profitability levels [4].

Core Viewpoint - A group of A-share companies is distributing dividends before the Spring Festival, with a total payout exceeding 19 billion yuan, reflecting a shift from financing to shareholder returns [1][3][9] Dividend Distribution Overview - From February 9 to February 13, a total of 35 A-share companies announced dividend distributions, with a total cash payout of 19.027 billion yuan [3][9] - The highest dividend payout is from Changjiang Electric Power, proposing a distribution of 5.138 billion yuan, followed by CITIC Securities and Darentang with payouts of 4.298 billion yuan and 1.888 billion yuan respectively [3][9] - Six companies are distributing over 1 billion yuan, with the main sectors involved being electric power, food and beverage, and non-bank financial services [1][3] Company Performance and Dividend Sustainability - Many companies that are distributing dividends have reported positive earnings, with CITIC Securities and Changjiang Electric Power both showing revenue growth of over 20% [9] - The trend of companies announcing dividends, including those that are newly listed or have not previously issued interim dividends, indicates a growing emphasis on shareholder returns [1][5][11] - The sustainability of dividends is highlighted as a key concern, with investors advised to consider cash flow and profitability to support dividend payments [2][11] Industry Trends - The recent dividend announcements are part of a broader trend where A-share companies are increasingly adopting a culture of regular dividends, moving from "soft advocacy" to "hard constraints" under new regulations [11][12] - The distribution of dividends is seen as a reflection of company value rather than a mere financial maneuver, with a call for a rational dividend culture that aligns with the lifecycle of the business [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Gujinggong Liquor's stock price has experienced a decline, with a 2.13% drop on February 10, 2023, and a total market value of 67.671 billion yuan. The company has seen a year-to-date stock price decrease of 2.72% and a significant decline over the past 60 days of 20.29% [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Gujinggong Liquor reported a revenue of 16.425 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 13.87%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.960 billion yuan, down 16.57% compared to the previous year [2]. Shareholder Information - As of January 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Gujinggong Liquor increased to 57,000, marking a 2.32% rise. The average circulating shares per person remained at 0 [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 13.141 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 7.665 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Institutional Holdings - As of September 30, 2025, the second-largest circulating shareholder is the China Securities White Wine Index A, holding 15.9827 million shares, an increase of 2.3527 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include E Fund Consumer Industry Stock and Invesco Great Wall New Emerging Growth Mixed Fund, with varying changes in their holdings [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a slight decline in retail prices for the top ten products, indicating a structural differentiation while maintaining a high-level consolidation trend [1][6]. Price Movements - Among the top ten products, seven saw price declines while three experienced increases. The notable price increases include: - Qinghua Lang rose by 9 yuan per bottle - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ increased by 7 yuan per bottle, marking five consecutive days of price growth due to pre-festival consumption and channel replenishment support - Wuliangye Pu 58th generation saw a minor increase of 1 yuan per bottle [1][7] - Conversely, the price declines included: - Feitian Moutai decreased by 9 yuan per bottle - Premium Moutai fell by 4 yuan per bottle after a period of strong price increases - Guojiao 1573 and Qinghua Fen 20 both dropped by 3 yuan per bottle - Ancient Well Tribute 20 decreased by 2 yuan per bottle - Xijiu Junpin and Crystal Jian Nan Chun both saw minor declines of 1 yuan per bottle [1][7]. Data Collection Methodology - The daily data for liquor prices is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets. The aim is to provide an objective, real, and scientifically traceable dataset regarding well-known liquor market prices [2][7]. Market Dynamics - The introduction of new sales channels for Feitian Moutai and Premium Moutai has begun to show a magnetic influence on their market retail prices. The iMoutai platform started selling Feitian Moutai at 1499 yuan per bottle and Premium Moutai at 2299 yuan per bottle, which has contributed to price adjustments [2][7]. - Bernstein's recent report highlights a positive outlook on Moutai's RTM (Route to Market) channel reform, indicating a shift from passive pricing to active value chain control. Moutai has implemented dynamic contracts to replace fixed quotas, allowing for flexible price and volume adjustments [8]. Profitability and Inventory Management - Moutai's wholesale price has stabilized and rebounded, with the 500ml Feitian Moutai now priced approximately 28% higher than traditional wholesale channels, enhancing profit margins. The company has reduced the supply of high-end variants by 30%-50%, leading to a significant recovery in wholesale prices [8]. - The expected inventory of aged liquor by 2027 is projected to reach 64,000 tons, providing a solid foundation for price management. Currently, the channel profit margin for Feitian Moutai stands at 25%, significantly higher than competitors, ensuring channel loyalty and price system resilience [8].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a slight decline in retail prices for the top ten products, indicating a structural differentiation while maintaining a high-level consolidation trend [1][6]. Price Changes - The overall retail price for the top ten liquor products is 9,215 yuan, down 6 yuan from the previous day [1][6]. - Among the top ten products, seven saw price declines while three experienced increases [1][7]. - The price increases were led by Qinghua Lang, which rose by 9 yuan per bottle, and Yanghe Dream Blue M6+, which increased by 7 yuan per bottle, marking five consecutive days of price growth [1][7]. - Conversely, Feitian Moutai dropped by 9 yuan per bottle, and the premium Moutai decreased by 4 yuan per bottle, following a period of strong price increases [1][7]. Data Collection Methodology - The price data is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets, aiming to provide an objective and traceable overview of the liquor market [2][7]. Market Dynamics - The introduction of new sales channels for Feitian Moutai and premium Moutai has begun to show a magnetic influence on their retail prices [2][8]. - Bernstein's report highlights the successful channel reform of Kweichow Moutai, transitioning from passive pricing to active value chain control, which has led to a stabilization and rebound in wholesale prices [8]. - The implementation of dynamic contracts instead of fixed quotas allows for flexible price and volume adjustments, contributing to a significant increase in profit margins [8]. Future Outlook - The expected inventory of aged liquor by 2027 is projected to reach 64,000 tons, providing a solid foundation for price management [8]. - The profit margin for Feitian Moutai is currently at 25%, significantly higher than competitors, ensuring channel loyalty and resilience in the pricing system [8].

新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示，中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在2月9日延续 上行态势。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖，今日总售价为9221元，较昨日上涨29元，创下2025年 12月27日以来新高。头部酒品集体上行，中后部单品小幅回调，市场分化运行价格中枢走高。 | | 贵州茅台酒(精品) | 2410/瓶 | 7元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 53度/500ml | | | | | 五粮液普五八代 | 807/瓶 | 3元 - | | | 52度/500ml | | | | | 青花汾20 53度/500ml | 389/瓶 | 持平 | | | 国窖1573 | | | | | 52度/500ml | 900/瓶 | 7元 ▲ | | | 洋河梦之蓝M6+ | | | | | 52度/550ml | 636/瓶 | 13元 - | | | 古井贡古20 | 544/瓶 | 12元 - | | | 52度/500ml | | | | | 习酒君品 | 651/瓶 | -7元 | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 北 | 青花郎 | 720 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese white liquor market is experiencing a price increase, with the average retail price of the top ten products reaching a new high since December 27, 2025, at 9,221 yuan, up 29 yuan from the previous day [1] Group 1: Price Trends - The top ten products saw six price increases, three decreases, and one stable price, indicating a strong overall upward trend [1] - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ led the market with a price increase of 13 yuan per bottle, followed by Gujing Gong 20 with an increase of 12 yuan per bottle [1] - Moutai products, including Feitian Moutai, have shown strong performance due to high market demand before the Spring Festival, with Feitian Moutai achieving a five-day price increase [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - A recent survey indicated that the overall sales of the national white liquor market have declined by 10%-20%, with significant regional differences [2] - High-end liquor, particularly Feitian Moutai, has performed well, with some distributors reporting a year-on-year sales increase of over 40% [2] - The market is characterized by a significant polarization, with high-end products benefiting from gifting and banquet demands, while mid-range products face challenges due to economic conditions and competition [2] Group 3: Data Collection Methodology - The data for the price trends is collected from approximately 200 points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets [2] - The pricing data aims to provide an objective and traceable representation of the market prices for well-known white liquors [2]

Core Insights - The Chinese white liquor market is experiencing a price increase, with the average retail price of the top ten products reaching 9,221 yuan, marking a rise of 29 yuan since the previous day, the highest since December 27, 2025 [1] - The market shows a divergence in performance, with leading brands seeing price increases while mid-tier products experience slight declines [1] Price Movements - Six of the top ten products saw price increases, with Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ leading the market with a rise of 13 yuan per bottle, followed by Gujing Gong 20 with an increase of 12 yuan [1] - Other notable increases include Guojiao 1573 and Boutique Moutai, both up by 7 yuan, and Feitian Moutai, which rose by 5 yuan, achieving a one-month high [1] - Conversely, Qinghua Lang dropped by 10 yuan, Xijiu Junpin fell by 7 yuan, and Shuijing Jianan Spring saw a minor decrease of 1 yuan, while Qinghua Fen 20 remained stable [1] Market Dynamics - A recent survey indicated a 10%-20% decline in overall white liquor sales across the country, with significant regional variations; Shandong and Anhui saw declines of around 20%, while Henan and Sichuan experienced a 10% drop [3] - Despite the overall decline, over 30% of distributors reported stable or even growing performance, highlighting a significant market segmentation [3] - Premium products like Feitian Moutai are performing well, with some distributors reporting over a 40% increase in sales volume year-on-year [3] - The price dynamics show a clear bifurcation, with high-end products benefiting from gifting and banquet demands, while mid-range products face challenges due to economic conditions and competition [3]