Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" indicating an expected performance that will exceed the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [27]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the Chinese liquor market, particularly in Chengdu, is showing signs of recovery as the Spring Festival approaches, with increased sales velocity for major brands like Guojiao and Wuliangye [6][8]. - The seasoning market is also experiencing improved sales, with brands like Qianhe and Haitian gaining market share, and promotional activities increasing in supermarkets [11][12]. - The report suggests a positive outlook for the liquor sector in 2026, with recommendations for key stocks including Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Kweichow Moutai among others [2][4]. Summary by Sections Chengdu Liquor Market Tracking - Sales velocity for Wuliangye and Guojiao has accelerated as the Spring Festival approaches, with Wuliangye's current batch price at 790 CNY per bottle and Guojiao at 850 CNY per bottle [7][9]. - Feedback from distributors indicates that inventory levels are healthy, with a focus on maintaining good stock levels to avoid excess [8][9]. Chengdu Seasoning Market Tracking - Soy sauce sales have improved year-on-year, with Qianhe and Haitian leading in market share, and promotional activities in supermarkets have increased significantly [11][12]. - The overall health of inventory levels in the seasoning market is noted, with major brands maintaining shorter inventory ages, indicating strong sales performance [11][15]. Investment Recommendations - For the liquor sector, the report recommends stocks such as Luzhou Laojiao, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Kweichow Moutai, anticipating a new growth cycle starting in 2026 [2][4]. - In the consumer goods sector, companies like Anjuke Foods and Yanjing Beer are highlighted as having potential for outperforming the market due to new products and channels [2][4].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the trend of A-share listed companies implementing cash dividends ahead of the Spring Festival, indicating a shift towards a "return-focused" market environment driven by regulatory policies and improved corporate governance [2][6]. Group 1: Cash Dividends Overview - As of February 11, 57 A-share listed companies have implemented cash dividends totaling 409.11 billion yuan since February [2]. - Notable companies such as Changjiang Electric Power and Darentang have announced significant cash dividends, with Changjiang Electric Power distributing over 51 billion yuan [3][4]. - From December 1, 2025, to February 11, 2026, 289 A-share companies have distributed cash dividends amounting to 3,896.83 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 13% [4]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The financial and consumer sectors continue to dominate cash dividends, with banks accounting for 8 out of the top 10 companies by total dividend amount [4]. - The total cash dividends from 19 listed banks reached 2,627.34 billion yuan, representing 67% of the total dividends during the specified period [4]. - In the food and beverage sector, 23 listed companies have distributed cash dividends totaling 494.84 billion yuan, with leading firms like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye contributing significantly [5]. Group 3: Regulatory Influence - Recent policies, including the new "National Nine Articles," have emphasized the importance of cash dividends, encouraging companies to enhance dividend stability and predictability [6][7]. - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has advocated for multiple dividends per year and pre-dividend announcements to improve investor returns [6]. - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges are promoting initiatives to enhance cash dividend policies and increase the frequency of cash distributions [7].

Core Viewpoint - The "Wine Price Reference" by Sina Finance has launched, providing real-time data on the retail prices of major Chinese liquor brands, indicating a structurally differentiated price trend in the market as of February 13, 2026 [1][8]. Price Trends - The average retail price of the top ten liquor products is 9,189 yuan, showing a slight increase of 3 yuan from the previous day [1][8]. - Among the top ten products, four saw price increases while six experienced declines, highlighting significant price differentiation [4][10]. Specific Product Price Changes - Guizhou Moutai (Flying Moutai) increased by 32 yuan to 1,790 yuan per bottle, reaching a one-month high due to tight supply and limited availability [4][10]. - Other products with price increases include: - Ancient Well Tribute Wine 20: up 3 yuan to 538 yuan [4][10] - Crystal Jian Nan Chun: up 3 yuan to 406 yuan [3][10] - Qinghua Fen 20: up 1 yuan to 384 yuan [4][10] - Products with price declines include: - Qinghua Lang: down 12 yuan to 698 yuan [4][10] - Boutique Moutai: down 9 yuan to 2,415 yuan [4][10] - Wuliangye Pu 58: down 7 yuan to 808 yuan [4][10] - Guojiao 1573: down 5 yuan to 885 yuan [4][10] - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+: down 2 yuan to 613 yuan [4][10] - Xijiu Junpin: down 1 yuan to 652 yuan [4][10] Market Analysis - The data for "Wine Price Reference" is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across major regions, including designated distributors and retail outlets, ensuring objective and traceable pricing information [5][11]. - A recent report from招商证券 indicates a double-digit decline in liquor sales before the Spring Festival, aligning with expectations. Guizhou Moutai shows strong performance with a price recovery to the range of 1,600 to 1,700 yuan, while other brands like Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu are experiencing varying degrees of sales decline [6][11].

Core Viewpoint - The "Wine Price Reference" by Sina Finance has launched, providing real-time data on the retail prices of major Chinese liquor brands, indicating a structurally differentiated price trend in the market as of February 13, 2026 [1][8]. Price Trends - The average retail price of the top ten liquor products is 9,189 yuan, showing a slight increase of 3 yuan from the previous day [1][8]. - Among the top ten products, four saw price increases while six experienced declines, highlighting significant price differentiation [4][10]. Specific Product Price Changes - Guizhou Moutai (Flying Moutai) increased by 32 yuan to 1,790 yuan per bottle, reaching a one-month high due to tight supply and limited availability [4][10]. - Other products with price increases include: - Ancient Well Tribute Wine 20: up 3 yuan to 538 yuan [4][10] - Crystal Jian Nan Chun: up 3 yuan to 406 yuan [4][10] - Qinghua Fen 20: up 1 yuan to 384 yuan [4][10] - Products with price declines include: - Qinghua Lang: down 12 yuan to 698 yuan [4][10] - Boutique Moutai: down 9 yuan to 2,415 yuan [4][10] - Wuliangye Pu 58: down 7 yuan to 808 yuan [4][10] - Guojiao 1573: down 5 yuan to 885 yuan [4][10] - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+: down 2 yuan to 613 yuan [4][10] - Xijiu Junpin: down 1 yuan to 652 yuan [4][10]. Market Analysis - A recent report from招商证券 indicates that the liquor industry is experiencing a double-digit decline in sales leading up to the Spring Festival, which aligns with expectations [6][11]. - Guizhou Moutai is showing strong performance with a significant increase in sales volume and price recovery, while other brands like Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu are facing varying degrees of decline [6][11]. - The report suggests that the liquor sector may see a recovery in both performance and valuation as cyclical constraints gradually diminish [6][11].

Core Insights - The article highlights the launch of "Wine Price Reference" by Sina Finance, which provides real-time data on the retail prices of major Chinese liquor brands, indicating a structurally differentiated price trend in the market as of February 13, 2026 [1][8]. Price Trends - The average retail price of the top ten liquor products in China is reported at 9,189 yuan, showing a slight increase of 3 yuan from the previous day [1][8]. - Among the top ten products, four saw price increases while six experienced declines, indicating a clear price differentiation [4][10]. Specific Product Price Changes - Notable price changes include: - Guizhou Moutai (Flying Moutai) increased by 32 yuan to 1,790 yuan per bottle, reaching a one-month high due to tight supply and limited availability [4][10]. - Other products that increased include: - Gujing Gongjiu 20: up 3 yuan to 538 yuan [4][10]. - Shuijing Jian Nan Chun: up 3 yuan to 406 yuan [10]. - Qinghua Fen 20: up 1 yuan to 384 yuan [4][10]. - Products that decreased include: - Qinghua Lang: down 12 yuan to 698 yuan, marking a significant drop over three consecutive days [4][10]. - Boutique Moutai: down 9 yuan to 2,415 yuan [4][10]. - Wuliangye and Guojiao 1573: down 7 yuan to 808 yuan and 5 yuan to 885 yuan respectively [4][10]. Market Analysis - The data for "Wine Price Reference" is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors and major retail platforms, ensuring a comprehensive and objective price tracking [5][11]. - A recent report from招商证券 indicates a double-digit decline in liquor sales leading up to the Spring Festival, with Guizhou Moutai showing strong performance and a price recovery in the range of 1,600 to 1,700 yuan [6][11]. - The report also notes that the proportion of mass consumption has increased to 20%, and a supply-demand imbalance is expected to persist in the first quarter [6][11].

Core Viewpoint - The "Wine Price Reference" by Sina Finance has launched, providing real-time data on the retail prices of major Chinese liquor brands, indicating a structurally differentiated price trend in the market as of February 13, 2026, with a slight overall increase in prices [1][8]. Price Trends - The average retail price of the top ten liquor products is 9,189 yuan, reflecting a minor increase of 3 yuan from the previous day [1][8]. - Among the top ten products, four saw price increases while six experienced declines, showcasing significant price differentiation [4][10]. Specific Product Price Changes - Notable price increases include: - Guizhou Moutai (Flying Moutai) rose by 32 yuan to 1,790 yuan per bottle, reaching a one-month high due to tight supply and limited availability [4][10]. - Ancient Well Tribute Wine and Crystal Jian Nan Chun both increased by 3 yuan, while Qinghua Fen 20 saw a slight rise of 1 yuan [4][10]. - Price declines were observed in: - Qinghua Lang dropped by 12 yuan, marking a significant three-day decline [4][10]. - Boutique Moutai decreased by 9 yuan, following a peak price in the previous 30 days [4][10]. - Other declines included Wuliangye and Guojiao 1573, which fell by 7 yuan and 5 yuan respectively, while Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ and Xijiu Junpin decreased by 2 yuan and 1 yuan [4][10]. Market Analysis - The data for "Wine Price Reference" is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors and major retail platforms, aiming to provide an objective and traceable market price reference [5][11]. - A recent report from招商证券 indicates a double-digit decline in liquor sales leading up to the Spring Festival, with Guizhou Moutai showing strong performance and a price rebound in the 1,600 to 1,700 yuan range, while other brands like Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu experienced varying degrees of sales decline [6][11].

Core Viewpoint - The food and beverage sector is experiencing a downturn, with the Huabao Food and Beverage ETF (515710) declining by 1.19% as of the close on February 12, 2026, reflecting weak performance in key stocks like liquor and consumer goods [1][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Huabao Food and Beverage ETF opened weakly and continued to fluctuate at low levels, closing down 1.19% [1][8]. - Key stocks in the sector, including Jinhe Industrial, Gujing Gongjiu, and Wuliangye, saw declines of over 2%, while major brands like Kweichow Moutai and Yanghe also fell by more than 1% [1][8]. Group 2: Liquor Pricing Trends - The price of Feitian Moutai has been rising, with the latest reported prices on February 12, 2026, showing the original box price at 1,700 yuan and the loose bottle price at 1,660 yuan [3][10]. - The liquor industry is showing a divergence in performance, with demand concentrating on leading brands, particularly Kweichow Moutai, which is benefiting from marketing reforms and strong customer engagement through the iMoutai app [3][10]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Analysts predict that the liquor channel has reached a bottom, with expectations for a rebound post-Spring Festival, marking a favorable time for annual investment [4][11]. - The industry is currently at a low valuation, with the Huabao ETF's price-to-earnings ratio at 20.58, placing it in the 9.2% percentile of the last decade, indicating a potential opportunity for long-term investment [3][11]. Group 4: Investment Strategy - The Huabao Food and Beverage ETF is recommended for investors, with approximately 60% of its portfolio allocated to leading high-end and mid-range liquor brands, and nearly 40% to other segments like beverages and dairy [5][11]. - The ETF provides a way for investors to access core assets in the food and beverage sector, with a focus on companies with strong performance and dividend potential [4][11].

2026.02.10 35家公司春节前派现 本周以来，A股公司接连分红。先是在周一（2月9日），三峡水利（600116.SH）、兰州银行 （001227.SZ）等6家企业除权派息，次日（2月10日）又有8家公司分红，除前述古井贡酒等，还涉及至 正股份（603991.SH）、雅艺科技（301113.SZ）等。 到本周五（2月13日），还将有约20家企业实施分红，包括部分行业龙头，例如立讯精密 （002475.SZ）、华电新能等。据统计，2月9日至2月13日，35家A股公司已公告（将）实施分红，现金 分红总额达到190.27亿元。 本文字数：2584，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 周楠 赶在春节之前，一批A股公司要给投资者"发红包"。 根据公告，2月10日，金徽酒（603919.SH）、瑞芯微（603893.SH）、古井贡酒（000596.SZ）等8家A 股公司实施分红，分红金额最高的是古井贡酒，超5亿元。之后的三个交易日（2月11日至13日）还将有 20多家A股公司除权派息。 包括上述公司在内，Wind统计显示，春节前最后一个交易周（2月9日至13日），共计35家公司实施分 红，派现总额超过190亿元 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for key companies in the industry, specifically Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, Shanxi Fenjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, and Gujing Gongjiu, while suggesting an increase in holdings for Yingjia Gongjiu [8][28]. Core Insights - The overall sales decline in the industry before the Spring Festival aligns with expectations, with Moutai showing leading performance. The industry is experiencing a double-digit sales decline, but demand is gradually recovering as the Spring Festival approaches. The pressure on channels is easing, and confidence in the industry is expected to improve [1][12]. - Moutai's sales volume and price have exceeded expectations, with a significant increase in demand from traditional channels. The report anticipates a net increase of over 2,000 tons in January [1][12]. - The report highlights a clear differentiation among brands, with Moutai, Wuliangye, and Fenjiu outperforming the industry, while other brands are experiencing varying degrees of decline. The next high-end price segment is under significant pressure [1][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Regional Sales Feedback - The report summarizes feedback from various regions, indicating that the overall sales decline is in line with expectations. Moutai's performance is notably strong, with double-digit growth in sales volume. Other brands, such as Wuliangye, show regional sales differentiation, particularly in areas like Sichuan, where sales have accelerated due to previous inventory control measures [1][12][15]. 2. Core Company Tracking - Guizhou Moutai's sales are expected to continue growing, with a current average delivery progress exceeding 30%. The report notes that Moutai's inventory is low, and the market remains in a supply-demand imbalance, supporting price stability [24][28]. - Wuliangye's sales are stable, with delivery progress around 35-40%. The report indicates that the brand's performance is slightly better than last year, particularly in regions like Sichuan and Anhui [24][28]. - Luzhou Laojiao is experiencing slower sales, with delivery progress below 20%. The brand's high-end products are facing a decline in demand, while lower-end products still show some demand [25][28]. - Shanxi Fenjiu's sales are performing better than the industry average, with a stable inventory situation and continued growth in certain products [25][28]. - Yingjia Gongjiu is expected to see a slight decline in sales, but certain products are performing relatively well [26][28]. 3. Industry Holdings Analysis - The report notes that institutional holdings in the liquor sector are at historical lows, with a significant decrease in the proportion of active fund holdings in the liquor sector. This trend indicates a potential for recovery as the market stabilizes [2][8].

Summary of Conference Call on Anhui Baijiu Market Company and Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the Anhui Baijiu market, specifically discussing brands such as Gujing, Yingjia, and Kouzi, along with their sales performance and market dynamics [1][2][4]. Key Points and Arguments Sales Performance - Gujing's sales in 2025 did not meet the initial target, achieving approximately 80% of the goal with actual sales around 90 million yuan. The target for 2026 is set at 90 million yuan, with 40% of this target already achieved during the Spring Festival [1][4]. - The overall sales in the Hefei market for 2025 are projected to decline to around 1.5 billion yuan, reflecting an 8% year-on-year decrease [2][19]. - Different product lines within Gujing experienced varying declines, with Gu Ba expected to drop over 10%, Gu Wu between 5%-8%, and Gu 16 potentially remaining stable or slightly increasing [1][6]. Market Dynamics - The market is currently facing challenges due to the ongoing alcohol prohibition policies, which have suppressed demand in high-end consumption scenarios. However, the enforcement of these policies has eased compared to earlier periods [12][13]. - The overall market for Baijiu is expected to see a 10% decline during the Spring Festival, influenced by factors such as public consumption checks and the prohibition [6][12]. Pricing and Inventory - Gujing's pricing structure has slightly decreased compared to last year, with high-end products like Gu 20 priced around 530 yuan, which is 20-30 yuan lower than the previous year [10]. - Inventory levels in the Hefei market are at historical highs, with expectations that 60%-70% of channel inventory will be consumed after the Spring Festival [20][14]. Promotional Strategies - Yingjia has implemented promotional measures during the Spring Festival, including adjusting prize ratios and increasing promotional expenses, which have led to a balanced overall expense rate [22][24]. - The company aims to achieve 45%-55% of its annual sales target during the Spring Festival, focusing on maintaining market balance rather than aggressive growth [16]. Consumer Behavior and Trends - There has been a notable shift in consumer behavior, with a decrease in the number of tables per banquet and reduced alcohol consumption per event, despite the number of banquets remaining stable [11][25]. - The return of migrant workers during the Spring Festival has positively impacted sales, with increased consumer activity noted in retail environments [26]. Other Important Insights - The competition among brands in the Hefei market has intensified, particularly between Yingjia and Gujing, with Yingjia's channel control increasing to 65% [15][24]. - The overall profit margins for distributors are under pressure, with many relying on sales rebates and promotional strategies to offset losses [18][24]. - Future product launches are being considered cautiously, with a focus on monitoring competitor responses in the market [27]. This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call regarding the Anhui Baijiu market, highlighting sales performance, market dynamics, pricing strategies, and consumer behavior trends.