Investment Rating - The steel industry is rated as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The market performance for the steel sector showed a 0.20% increase, outperforming the broader market, with specific segments like special steel and long products experiencing slight declines [2][10] - Supply conditions indicate a high furnace capacity utilization rate of 86.6%, with an increase of 1.10 percentage points week-on-week [2][25] - Demand for the five major steel products rose to 888.0 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 19.49 million tons, or 2.24% [2][34] - Social inventory of the five major steel products decreased by 23.33 million tons week-on-week, a decline of 1.65% [2][40] - The average price index for common steel increased to 3450.8 CNY/ton, with a slight week-on-week rise of 2.86 CNY/ton [2][47] Supply Summary - As of March 27, the average daily pig iron output was 2.3109 million tons, showing a week-on-week increase of 2.94 million tons [2][25] - The capacity utilization for electric furnaces reached 58.9%, up by 2.30 percentage points week-on-week [2][25] - The total production of the five major steel products was 743.9 million tons, a slight decrease of 0.21 million tons week-on-week [2][25] Demand Summary - The consumption of the five major steel products reached 888.0 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 19.49 million tons [2][34] - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 95,000 tons, reflecting a minor increase of 0.01 million tons week-on-week [2][34] - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities increased to 208.8 million square meters, up by 39.2 million square meters week-on-week [34] Inventory Summary - Social inventory of the five major steel products stood at 1387.7 million tons, down by 23.33 million tons week-on-week [2][40] - Factory inventory for the five major steel products was 510.2 million tons, a decrease of 25.06 million tons week-on-week [2][40] Price & Profit Summary - The comprehensive index for common steel was 3450.8 CNY/ton, with a year-on-year decline of 3.14% [2][47] - The profit for rebar from blast furnaces was 55 CNY/ton, down by 4.0 CNY/ton week-on-week [2][54] - The average cost of pig iron was 2369 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 11.0 CNY/ton [2][54] Raw Material Summary - The spot price index for Australian iron ore (62% Fe) was 776 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.0 CNY/ton [2][70] - The price for main coking coal at Jingtang Port was 1720 CNY/ton, up by 120.0 CNY/ton week-on-week [2][70] - The price for first-grade metallurgical coke remained stable at 1715 CNY/ton [2][70] Company Valuation Summary - Key companies in the steel sector include Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Shougang, with projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios indicating potential growth [2][71]

旺季供需改善，成本扰动与情绪回暖并存 【】【】 钢铁 [Table_Industry] [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 3 月 29 日 证券研究报告 行业研究——周报 [Tabl 行业周报 e_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 钢铁 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 [高Table_Author] 升 煤炭、钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524100002 邮 箱：gaosheng@cindasc.com 刘 波 煤炭、钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525070001 邮 箱：liubo1@cindasc.com 李 睿 煤炭、钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525040002 邮箱：lirui@cindasc.com 本期内容提要： 请阅读最后一页免责声明及信息披露 http://www.cindasc.com 2 ➢ 本周市场表现：本周钢铁板块上涨 0.20%，表现优于大盘；其中，特 钢板块下跌 0.53%，长材板块下跌 0.24%，板材板块下跌 1.02%；铁 矿石板块上涨 7.48%，钢铁耗材板块下跌 0.31%，贸易流通板块上涨 ...

Investment Rating - The steel industry maintains an investment rating of "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The steel sector experienced a decline of 10.03% this week, underperforming the broader market, with specific segments such as special steel down 9.18% and iron ore down 10.96% [10][12] - Supply conditions show an increase in high furnace capacity utilization to 85.5%, while electric furnace utilization rose to 56.6% [24] - Demand for the five major steel products increased to 868.5 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 8.82% [34] - Social inventory of the five major steel products decreased by 12.26 million tons week-on-week, while factory inventory fell by 16.40 million tons [41] - The average price index for common steel is 3448.0 yuan/ton, with a slight week-on-week increase, while special steel is at 6622.7 yuan/ton [47] - Profit margins for rebar steel decreased to 59 yuan/ton, while electric furnace profit margins for construction steel fell to -86 yuan/ton [55] Supply Summary - As of March 20, the average daily pig iron production was 2.2815 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 6.95% [24] - The total production of the five major steel products reached 744.1 million tons, marking a week-on-week increase of 2.41% [24] Demand Summary - The consumption of the five major steel products reached 868.5 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 70.40 million tons [34] - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 94,000 tons, showing a slight decline [34] Inventory Summary - Social inventory of the five major steel products stood at 14.11 million tons, down 0.86% week-on-week [41] - Factory inventory of the five major steel products was 5.352 million tons, also down 2.97% week-on-week [41] Price & Profit Summary - The common steel price index increased by 2.56 yuan/ton week-on-week, while the special steel price index rose by 5.93 yuan/ton [47] - The profit for rebar steel decreased by 5.0 yuan/ton week-on-week, while the electric furnace profit for construction steel decreased by 8.0 yuan/ton [55] Raw Material Prices Summary - The spot price index for Australian iron ore (62% Fe) was 776 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.0 yuan/ton [73] - The price for coking coal at the port was 1600 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 10.0 yuan/ton [73] Company Valuation Summary - Key companies in the steel sector include Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Shougang, with projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios indicating potential growth [74]

Investment Rating - The steel industry is rated as "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The steel sector experienced a decline of 10.03% this week, underperforming the broader market, with specific segments such as special steel down 9.18% and iron ore down 10.96% [10][12] - Supply conditions show an increase in high furnace capacity utilization to 85.5%, while electric furnace utilization rose to 56.6% [24] - Demand for the five major steel products increased to 868.5 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 8.82% [34] - Social inventory of the five major steel products decreased by 0.86% week-on-week, while factory inventory fell by 2.97% [41] - The average price index for common steel is 3448.0 yuan/ton, with a slight week-on-week increase [47] - The report anticipates a long-term improvement in supply-demand dynamics, supported by cost factors and low valuations in the steel sector [3] Supply Summary - As of March 20, the average daily pig iron production was 2.2815 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 6.95% [24] - High furnace capacity utilization increased by 2.61 percentage points to 85.5% [24] - Electric furnace capacity utilization rose by 6.13 percentage points to 56.6% [24] - Total production of the five major steel products reached 7.441 million tons, up 2.41% week-on-week [24] Demand Summary - Consumption of the five major steel products reached 8.685 million tons, with a week-on-week increase of 8.82% [34] - The transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 94,000 tons, showing a slight decline of 3.17% [34] - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities increased to 1.696 million square meters, reflecting a week-on-week rise [34] Inventory Summary - Social inventory of the five major steel products was 14.11 million tons, down 0.86% week-on-week [41] - Factory inventory of the five major steel products was 5.352 million tons, down 2.97% week-on-week [41] Price & Profit Summary - The common steel price index is 3448.0 yuan/ton, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.78% [47] - The special steel price index is 6622.7 yuan/ton, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.30% [47] - The profit for rebar production was 59 yuan/ton, down 7.81% week-on-week [55] - The profit for electric furnace construction steel was -86 yuan/ton, down 10.26% week-on-week [55] Raw Material Summary - The spot price index for Australian iron ore (62% Fe) was 776 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.0 yuan [73] - The price of coking coal at the port was 1600 yuan/ton, up 10.0 yuan week-on-week [73] - The price of first-grade metallurgical coke remained stable at 1715 yuan/ton [73] Company Valuation Summary - Key companies in the steel sector include Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Shougang, with projected earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios indicating potential for growth [74]

证券代码：000923 证券简称：河钢资源 公告编号：2026-07 河钢资源股份有限公司 关于南非子公司井下采矿复产进展的公告 因露天坑及周边汇水涌入公司矿井，导致铜一期、铜二期部分巷道积水，造 成部分关键设施受淹（无人员伤亡）。PC 公司于灾害发生初期暂停了厂区地下 矿的生产与建设活动，集中力量开展井下排水、设备检修及安全隐患排查工作。 截至目前，铜一期井下排水作业已完成，现已恢复生产。鉴于井下曾受水淹 影响，为确保生产安全，当前实行低负荷运行，产量将根据现场安全状况稳步、 逐步提升。铜二期因作业区域位于更深水平，排水进度相对较慢，目前仍在开展 排水作业，预计于四月初完成排水。 截至本公告日，公司地表堆存磁铁矿约 1 亿吨。目前，地面磁铁矿的生产与 发运工作正常，预计全年销售量 1000 万吨。鉴于本次事件对井下开采作业造成 干扰，预计将对公司年度铜产品产销计划产生不利影响，具体影响程度尚需结合 后续复产情况综合评估。公司将持续督导 PC 公司在确保安全前提下有序推进铜 产品复产，并根据相关规定，在定期报告或临时公告中及时披露相关进展。敬请 广大投资者理性投资，注意投资风险。 特此公告 河钢资源股份有限公 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the steel industry, indicating that leading companies are expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics and enhanced profitability in the medium to long term [4][21]. Core Insights - The steel sector has shown strong performance in sub-segments such as plate and special steel, with year-to-date increases of 10.37%, 9.31%, and 8.85% for plate, special steel, and pipe segments respectively [4][6]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has initiated an "Industrial Data Foundation Action" aimed at constructing high-quality industry data sets to empower artificial intelligence applications, with the steel industry identified as a key focus area [4][10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of optimizing product structures and highlights the potential for stable high dividends from leading companies such as Baosteel, Shougang, and CITIC Special Steel [21]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The steel sector has seen a mixed performance with 19 companies rising in stock value, while 57.78% of stocks experienced declines during the week of March 8 to March 15, 2026 [8]. - The top five performers in the steel sector during this week were Jiugang Hongxing, Hainan Mining, Dazhong Mining, Zhongnan Co., and Anyang Steel, with increases of 17.46%, 10.33%, 10.30%, 3.65%, and 3.44% respectively [8][9]. Industry Events - The MIIT's notification on March 10 outlines a plan to establish a collaborative framework among leading companies in the steel sector to enhance data collection and utilization, aiming for breakthroughs in industrial data bottlenecks by the end of 2026 [10][11]. - The initiative includes the creation of a trusted interconnection platform for industry data, which will facilitate the development of high-quality, standardized, and shareable industry data sets [10][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with optimized product structures and stable high dividends, such as Baosteel, Shougang, CITIC Special Steel, and Hualing Steel [21]. - It also highlights companies with high technical barriers that can withstand market pressures, suggesting attention to Fangda Special Steel, New Steel, and Jiuli Special Materials [21]. - Additionally, it points to upstream resource companies that may benefit from improved supply dynamics, recommending Baotou Steel, Hainan Mining, Hebei Steel Resources, and Jinling Mining [21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [4]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, and supply-side adjustments are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals [2]. - The report highlights that approximately 60% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, indicating a market-driven supply clearance is beginning to occur [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of balancing supply and demand, optimizing product structure, and the necessity for structural reforms in the steel industry during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period [4]. Summary by Sections Demand and Supply - Demand is projected to stabilize, with a decrease in the real estate sector's contribution to steel demand becoming less impactful. Growth in steel demand from infrastructure and manufacturing is expected to be steady [4]. - The total social inventory of major steel products reached 14.23 million tons, an increase of 200,000 tons week-on-week. Steel mill inventories also rose to 5.52 million tons, up by 30,000 tons [9][29]. Profitability - The report notes a rebound in production profits for rebar and hot-rolled steel, with average gross margins for hot-rolled steel increasing by 2 CNY/ton to 46 CNY/ton, and for rebar, the average gross margin rose by 34 CNY/ton to 182 CNY/ton [33][39]. Price Trends - Steel prices have shown a week-on-week increase, with Shanghai rebar prices rising by 60 CNY/ton to 3,260 CNY/ton, and hot-rolled coil prices increasing by 60 CNY/ton to 3,310 CNY/ton [7][39]. - International steel prices have decreased, with U.S. rebar prices dropping by 19 USD/ton to 1,026 USD/ton, and European prices falling by 58 USD/ton to 715 USD/ton [36]. Raw Material Prices - Iron ore spot prices have rebounded, with the price at Rizhao Port increasing by 20 CNY/ton to 799 CNY/ton, while futures prices rose by 21.5 CNY/ton to 772 CNY/ton [39][46]. - The report indicates an increase in iron ore port inventories, which rose by 700,000 tons to 17.182 million tons [46]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies with technological and product structure advantages, such as Baosteel, Hualing Steel, and Shougang, as well as low-cost and flexible steel companies like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [4].

2026 年 3 月 10 日│中国内地 专题研究 证券研究报告 钢铁 钢铁："地缘+双碳"助景气重塑 华泰研究 2025 年或为全球钢铁供需格局的拐点。据 WSA，2025 年全球钢铁供给过 剩率预计持续收窄至 5.74%。其中，海外供需缺口在 25 年将延续 24 年短 缺趋势，扩大至-2.3%；中国钢铁供需格局虽然过剩但是过剩率开始收敛。 展望 2026 年，中国钢铁产能天花板、反内卷和碳双控政策确立供给持续收 缩趋势，地产需求拖累或接近尾声（2026 年地产占比降至 13.2%），需求 趋于稳定；而海外或继续实现需求正增长，供给仍然短缺。海外的结构性短 缺将不得不依赖中国出口补给，因此中国供给侧持续收敛的趋势将对全球钢 铁行业的供需改善起到重要的边际影响。 | | | 2026-2030 年全球钢铁：供减需增，景气持续上行 | 李斌 | 研究员 | | --- | --- | | SAC No. S0570517050001 | libin@htsc.com | | SFC No. BPN269 | +(86) 10 6321 1166 | 我们测算全球钢铁行业供需平衡表，或于 2029 年由过剩转为 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the steel industry, indicating a potential improvement in profitability and a favorable supply-demand balance for leading companies [4][20]. Core Insights - The steel industry is undergoing a transformation with the introduction of the "Regulatory and Leading Enterprises" classification, which aims to optimize the industry structure and enhance competitiveness [4][12]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has published a list of 230 enterprises that meet the new regulatory conditions, including 35 leading enterprises, which will benefit from preferential policies and financing opportunities [4][11]. - The report highlights significant price increases in various steel sub-sectors, with notable gains in plate and special steel segments, indicating a robust market performance [6][8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of technological innovation and digital transformation in the steel industry, with companies like Fangda Special Steel and Zhangxuan Technology implementing smart systems to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs [14][16][17]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Performance - The steel sub-sectors, including plates, special steels, and pipes, saw price increases of 12.77%, 11.42%, and 4.44% respectively for the week ending March 1, 2026 [6][7]. - Year-to-date, special steel, plate, and pipe sectors have increased by 17.23%, 16.43%, and 15.27% respectively [6][7]. Important Industry Events - The first batch of enterprises meeting the 2025 regulatory conditions was announced, which includes 230 companies categorized into regulatory and leading enterprises [11][12]. - During the Two Sessions, some steel companies were instructed to reduce furnace loads by 30% to improve air quality [13]. Key Company Announcements - Notable transactions and shareholder meetings were reported for companies such as Baogang Group and Chongqing Steel, indicating active corporate governance and market engagement [19]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies with stable dividends, high technical barriers, and those in the upstream resource sector, suggesting specific companies for potential investment [20].

Investment Rating - The steel industry is rated as "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The steel sector has shown a recovery in valuation, with the market performance this week indicating an 11.80% increase, outperforming the broader market [2][11] - The report highlights that the supply pressure is limited, with the overall inventory at a relatively low historical level, and the profit margins for common steel are improving [4][40] - The investment suggestion emphasizes the potential for long-term strategic opportunities in the steel sector, particularly for high-quality steel companies [4] Supply Situation - As of February 27, the capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces among sample steel companies is 87.5%, an increase of 1.04 percentage points week-on-week [3][22] - The production of five major steel products reached 6.984 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 79,400 tons, or 1.12% [3][22] - Daily average pig iron production is 2.3328 million tons, which is an increase of 27,900 tons week-on-week and 57,700 tons year-on-year [3][22] Demand Situation - The consumption of five major steel products was 5.647 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 688,400 tons, or 10.87% [3][32] - The transaction volume of construction steel among mainstream traders was 35,000 tons, down 3.25% week-on-week and 48.24% year-on-year [3][32] Inventory Situation - Social inventory of five major steel products reached 12.958 million tons, an increase of 1.1378 million tons week-on-week, or 9.63% [40] - Factory inventory of five major steel products was 5.504 million tons, an increase of 20.49% week-on-week [40] Price & Profit Situation - The comprehensive index for common steel is 3,406.0 CNY/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 3.56 CNY/ton [46] - The profit for rebar produced in blast furnaces is 83 CNY/ton, an increase of 15.0 CNY/ton week-on-week [54] - The average cost of pig iron is 2,332 CNY/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 11.0 CNY/ton [54] Investment Recommendations - Focus on regional leading companies with advanced equipment and environmental standards such as Hualing Steel, Shougang, and Shandong Steel [4] - Consider companies with excellent growth potential and restructuring plans like Baosteel and Nanjing Steel [4] - Pay attention to special steel companies benefiting from the new energy cycle such as CITIC Special Steel and Jiuli Special Materials [4]