Core Viewpoint - The company, Northern Huachuang, has responded on an interactive platform that the demand for storage market is growing, and the HBM technology is accelerating its penetration, leading to a continuous increase in the demand for related process equipment [1] Group 1: Company Capabilities - The company provides core process equipment for storage chip manufacturing, including etching, thin film deposition, cleaning, thermal treatment, ion implantation, and coating development, covering mainstream storage categories such as DRAM and NAND [1] - In the HBM field, the company offers multiple core equipment and process solutions, including TSV etching, debonding, wet cleaning, ALD, PVD, electroplating, and annealing [1] Group 2: Market Position - The company's related products have been delivered in bulk to mainstream storage and HBM customers, with several products becoming the baseline production machines on customer production lines [1]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rose to challenge a nine-day winning streak, with strength in computing chip sectors. The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) increased by 0.29%, with stocks like Cambricon and Liandong Technology rising over 4% [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has seen continuous capital inflow, with over 47 million yuan net inflow for two consecutive trading days [1] - According to a report by Chengtong Securities, semiconductor investments driven by AI should focus on two main lines: high-end logic chips and memory (HBM) that directly benefit from the surge in computing demand, and opportunities for domestic substitution in the semiconductor equipment sector [1] Group 2 - The storage market is experiencing price increases, with NAND flash wafer prices rising over 10% in December, and SSD prices increasing by 15% to 20%. Major suppliers like Samsung and SK Hynix have raised HBM3E prices by nearly 20% for 2026 [2] - Foundries are also raising prices, with SMIC implementing price increases of about 10% on some capacities [3] - The duration and magnitude of the storage price increase cycle have exceeded expectations, with projections for accelerated growth in domestic semiconductor equipment orders by 2026 due to AI demand driving global storage and advanced process capacity expansion [4] Group 3 - The global semiconductor equipment market is expected to grow significantly, with total sales projected to reach $133 billion by 2025, a 13.7% increase year-on-year, and further growth anticipated in the following years [5] - The domestic semiconductor equipment industry is seeing improvements in process coverage and market share, with domestic rates exceeding 50% in certain areas like etching and cleaning, while core high-end segments remain below 10%, indicating substantial room for domestic substitution [7] Group 4 - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI semiconductor index, with nearly 60% of its components in "equipment" and over 90% in upstream sectors of the chip industry, highlighting significant domestic substitution potential [11] - The index focuses on leading companies in the sector, with the top ten holdings accounting for nearly 80% of the index, showing high elasticity characteristics. As of December 24, the CSI semiconductor index has seen a year-to-date increase of over 63% [11]

Market Overview - The AI sentiment concerns have eased, leading to an overall increase in electronic technology stocks, with the electronic industry index rising by 4.71% and semiconductors up by 5.07% during the week of December 22-26, 2025 [1] - The consumer electronics sector saw a rise of 3.48%, while optical and optoelectronic stocks increased by 0.94% [1] - In the overseas market, the Christmas rally contributed to a general rise in tech stocks, with the Nasdaq increasing by 1.22% and the Hang Seng Tech index up by 0.37% [1] Industry Updates - The storage market continues to see price increases, with NAND flash wafer prices rising over 10% and SSD prices increasing by 15% to 20% in December [3] - Major storage suppliers like Samsung and SK Hynix have raised HBM3E prices by nearly 20% for 2026 [3] - Semiconductor manufacturers are also adjusting prices, with companies like Beijing Junzheng implementing new pricing for some storage and computing chips [3] Product Launches and Developments - Huawei launched the nova15 series, featuring the Kirin 9010S processor and advanced imaging systems [2] - Samsung introduced the Exynos 2600, the industry's first 2nm process smartphone application processor, claiming a performance improvement of up to 39% [2] - Groq and NVIDIA have signed a non-exclusive licensing agreement for inference technology, indicating ongoing collaboration in computing power [2] Investment Recommendations - The strong performance in the tech market and the acceleration of AI deployments by major companies suggest potential investment opportunities in firms like SMIC, Beijing Junzheng, and Huafeng Technology [4] - The ongoing price increases in storage and wafer production may benefit companies involved in these sectors [4]

Global Semiconductor Market Analysis - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $659.1 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.0%, and is expected to grow to $789.3 billion by 2025 [2][14] - Integrated circuits will account for the largest share at 73.9%, while artificial intelligence chips will see the fastest growth at 49.3% [2][14] - In 2023, the top ten companies in the global semiconductor market are primarily from the US, Taiwan, and South Korea, with no mainland Chinese companies in the top ranks [2][16] China Semiconductor Market Analysis - China's semiconductor market is expected to reach $176.9 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.9%, and is projected to reach $206.7 billion by 2025 [2][16] - Integrated circuits will dominate the Chinese market, accounting for $139.3 billion, or 78.7% of the total market, with artificial intelligence chips growing at 48.3% [2][16] Historical Development of the Semiconductor Industry - The global semiconductor industry has evolved through four major phases: the rise of personal computers and the internet (1986-1999), network communications and consumer electronics (2000-2010), the smartphone and 3G/4G/5G era (2010-2020), and the current AI technology and data center phase (2023-present) [3][21][24] Semiconductor Industry Chain Overview - The semiconductor industry chain consists of upstream (EDA/IP, semiconductor equipment, semiconductor materials), midstream (semiconductor design, wafer manufacturing, and packaging/testing), and downstream (packaging and testing) segments [6][62] - Upstream EDA/IP is dominated by companies like Synopsys and Cadence, while semiconductor equipment is led by ASML for EUV lithography, with high industry concentration [6][62] Future Development Directions in the Semiconductor Industry - Key future development areas in the semiconductor industry include third-generation semiconductor materials, computing chips, RF communication chips, and high-bandwidth memory [8][10] Investment Recommendations - The domestic semiconductor industry is expected to make breakthroughs in upstream core equipment, materials, and software, driven by national policies and international dynamics [9] - Investment opportunities are particularly promising in third-generation semiconductor materials, computing chips, RF communication chips, and high-bandwidth storage [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report rates the semiconductor industry as "Outperform" compared to the market [1] Core Insights - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach USD 659.1 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 20.0%, and is expected to grow to USD 789.3 billion in 2025 [2][13] - Integrated circuits will account for the largest share of the market at 73.9% in 2024, while artificial intelligence chips are anticipated to grow the fastest at 49.3% [2][13] - The report identifies four key future development directions for the semiconductor industry: third-generation semiconductor materials, computing chips, RF communication chips, and high-bandwidth memory [2] Summary by Sections 1. Semiconductor Market Analysis - The global semiconductor market is expected to grow significantly, with integrated circuits leading the market share [13][15] - The Chinese semiconductor market is projected to reach USD 1,769 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 15.9% [15][17] 2. Historical Development of the Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry has evolved through four major phases, driven by technological advancements and market demands [20][22] - The current phase is characterized by AI technology and data centers driving growth [22][23] 3. Semiconductor Industry Chain - The semiconductor industry chain consists of upstream (EDA/IP, semiconductor equipment, materials), midstream (design, wafer manufacturing, packaging), and downstream (packaging and testing) segments [64][73] - The report highlights the importance of domestic companies in advancing technology and achieving breakthroughs in core areas [2][64] 4. Future Development Directions - The report emphasizes the potential of third-generation semiconductor materials, computing chips, RF communication chips, and high-bandwidth memory as key growth areas [2][4]

北方华创 20251225 摘要 北方华创市值约 3,000 亿人民币，受益于 2026 年半导体设备资本开支 的快速增长，特别是存储龙头和逻辑厂商的扩产，预计新签订单将高速 增长，带来投资机会。 中国大陆晶圆制造产能占比持续提升，从 2021 年的 16%增至 2024 年 的 22%，但仍低于全球半导体销售额占比 30%，自主可控需求强烈， 看好后续扩产持续性。 中芯国际 2025 年第三季度产能利用率达 95.8%，预计全年资本开支 74 亿元人民币，反映出中国大陆半导体产业的积极扩张态势。 预计 2026 年存储器市场将大规模扩产，扩产量至少增加 10-12 万片， 长鑫和长存在全球 DRAM 市场份额提升空间巨大，目前市占率仅为 5%。 预计 2025 年全球半导体设备 Capex 约 8,000 亿人民币，中国区占比 约 45%，达 3,600 亿人民币；2026 年中国区预计增至 4,000 亿人民 币。 Q&A 当前全球及中国大陆在半导体设备市场中的地位如何？ 目前，中国大陆在全球晶圆制造产能中的占比仍然较低，但正在逐步提升。从 2021 年的 16%提高到 2024 年的 22%，但与中国大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chip 50 ETF (516920) opened at a decline of 0.48%, indicating a downward trend in the semiconductor sector on December 26 [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Chip 50 ETF (516920) opened at 1.035 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 0.48% [1] - Since its establishment on July 27, 2021, the fund has achieved a return of 3.96%, with a one-month return of 8.26% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Key stocks within the Chip 50 ETF include: - SMIC (中芯国际) down 0.41% - Cambricon (寒武纪) down 1.32% - Haiguang Information (海光信息) down 0.38% - Northern Huachuang (北方华创) down 0.23% - Lattice Semiconductor (澜起科技) down 0.71% - GigaDevice (兆易创新) down 0.45% - OmniVision (豪威集团) up 0.04% - Chipone (芯原股份) down 1.21% - JCET (长电科技) down 0.46% [1]

Summary of China Semiconductor Equipment Import Analysis Industry Overview - The report focuses on the semiconductor production equipment (SPE) industry in China, particularly analyzing import trends and demand dynamics in major cities like Shanghai and Beijing [1][4]. Key Highlights - **November 2025 SPE Imports**: Total SPE imports normalized to **US$2.1 billion**, reflecting a **10% YoY decrease** and a **29% MoM decline** from **US$2.98 billion** in October [1]. - **Year-to-Date (YTD) Performance**: Combined import demand for the first eleven months of 2025 reached **US$30.5 billion**, marking a **5% YoY increase** [1]. - **Regional Demand**: Shanghai and Beijing accounted for **67%** of total SPE imports in November, with Shanghai's imports at **US$902 million** (+179% YoY) and Beijing's at **US$525 million** (+41% YoY) [1]. Equipment Type Analysis - **Lithography Equipment**: - November litho imports totaled **US$707 million**, down **15% YoY** and **32% MoM**. However, litho accounted for **33%** of total imports, above the typical range of **20-25%** [2]. - Strong demand for litho suggests sustainable expansion activities in the long term [2]. - **Deposition Equipment**: Imports reached **US$414 million**, up **8% YoY**, driven by other deposition (+72% YoY) and CVD (+24% YoY) [2]. - **Etch Equipment**: Imports were **US$428 million**, down **32% YoY** [2]. Import Sources - The Netherlands and Japan were the top exporters to China, holding **29%** and **28%** market shares, respectively [2]. - Imports from the US accounted for only **4%** of total SPE imports [2]. Major Import Transactions - In November, Shanghai imported **nine litho tools** from the Netherlands for a total of **US$494 million** (average selling price of **US$55 million** per unit) [3]. - Accumulated litho imports from the Netherlands in Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangdong reached **US$3.2 billion**, with Shanghai showing a **71% YoY increase** [3]. Future Outlook - **WFE Spending Projections**: Expected growth of **10%** in 2026 and **1%** in 2027, following an **8%** growth in 2025, driven by advanced logic and memory capacity expansion projects [4]. - **Top Picks**: NAURA is highlighted as a key buy, with buy ratings also on AMEC and ACMR Shanghai [4]. Risks and Considerations - **Downside Risks**: Include potential macroeconomic downturns, geopolitical tensions, and slower-than-expected R&D progress [48]. - **Upside Risks**: Faster-than-expected demand recovery and aggressive capex plans from domestic fabs could enhance market conditions [48]. Conclusion - The analysis indicates a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook for the semiconductor equipment sector in China, with significant regional demand and potential for growth in WFE spending, despite existing risks.

Core Viewpoint - The chip ETF (159995) opened with a slight increase of 0.17%, indicating a stable market performance for semiconductor-related investments [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The chip ETF (159995) opened at 1.752 yuan [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index return rate [1] - Since its establishment on January 20, 2020, the ETF has achieved a return of 74.80%, with a recent one-month return of 9.46% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings Performance - Major holdings in the chip ETF include: - Cambrian (寒武纪) down 0.84% - SMIC (中芯国际) down 0.33% - Haiguang Information (海光信息) up 0.02% - Northern Huachuang (北方华创) down 0.23% - Lanke Technology (澜起科技) up 0.16% - Zhaoyi Innovation (兆易创新) down 0.49% - OmniVision (豪威集团) down 0.33% - Changdian Technology (长电科技) up 0.11% - Unisoc (紫光国微) down 0.05% [1]

Group 1 - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a resurgence, particularly in the upstream equipment sector, with notable increases in stock prices of key companies [1] - Morgan Stanley's recent report highlights the sustained "long-term bull market logic" for semiconductor stocks, driven by unprecedented AI infrastructure demand and a recovery in traditional chip demand [1] - The consensus in the industry emphasizes that despite the competitive landscape in AI chip design, the focus will ultimately return to manufacturing capabilities, which are reliant on advanced semiconductor equipment [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities indicates that since September 2025, the stock prices of leading semiconductor equipment companies have surged due to investments from downstream clients and price increases from storage manufacturers [2] - The global semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) market is expected to maintain high single-digit percentage growth year-on-year in 2025 and 2026, with an anticipated increase in the share of storage [2] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has a high concentration of leading companies in the sector, with over 90% of its index comprising semiconductor equipment, materials, and design segments, indicating strong industry representation and resilience [2]