NAURA(002371)

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北方华创(002371):长期增长轨迹稳健,无惧季节性波动影响,维持“买入”评级
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-09-02 03:22
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price raised to 460 RMB, reflecting a potential upside of 23.5% from the current price of 372.50 RMB [1][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 79 billion RMB for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 22%, despite a quarter-on-quarter decline of 3% due to seasonal fluctuations [1]. - The gross margin decreased to 41.3%, down 6.0 percentage points year-on-year and 1.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to lower profit margins in the electronic components business [1]. - Net profit was 16 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year decline of 2% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3%, with a net profit margin improvement to 20.5% [1]. - The company is strategically positioned in the domestic semiconductor equipment market, benefiting from the trend of domestic substitution [1][7]. - Revenue is expected to grow by 32% and 26% year-on-year in 2025 and 2026, respectively [1]. Financial Summary - For FY25E, the company is projected to achieve sales revenue of 39,473 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 31.7% [2]. - The gross margin is expected to be 41.8% in FY25E, with net profit projected at 7,297 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.6% [2]. - The company’s return on equity is forecasted to be 21.2% in FY25E [2]. Market Position and Growth - The company is expected to capture over 5% market share in the domestic semiconductor equipment sector, with total sales exceeding 210 billion RMB for the year [7]. - The company has expanded its product offerings through R&D and acquisitions, including entering the ion implantation equipment market and acquiring a stake in ChipSource [7]. - The sales of semiconductor equipment are anticipated to grow by approximately 50% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [7]. Valuation Metrics - The target price of 460 RMB is based on a 35x P/E ratio for 2026, aligning with the historical average [7]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 268,945 million RMB [3].
小摩看好中国芯片“卖铲人”机会!上游设备商成投资新焦点
智通财经网· 2025-09-02 02:19
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Chinese semiconductor equipment suppliers are poised for structural opportunities despite local semiconductor companies reaching four-year stock highs, with a focus on upstream equipment benefiting from industry upgrades [1] - The manager of a $2.1 billion fund noted that the demand for equipment will continue regardless of changes in the competitive landscape of downstream chip manufacturers, supporting the "shovel seller" advantage of equipment suppliers [1] - The STAR 50 index, which focuses on local chip companies, surged 28% in August, reaching a historical high, driven by regulatory guidance encouraging reduced reliance on Nvidia's H20 chips, thus accelerating the domestic substitution process [1] Group 2 - Caution is advised regarding listed companies directly involved in chip production, as their valuations reflect expectations and face challenges related to demand sustainability and capacity targets [4] - An example is Cambrian Technology, whose stock price has doubled since December, with a P/E ratio exceeding 200, highlighting a significant shift in market capital flow from consumer stocks to technology stocks [4] - The focus is on equipment suppliers, with another fund holding shares in North China Technology Group, which saw a 30% increase in stock price this year, while semiconductor equipment stocks rose by 18% [4] Group 3 - In the AI sector, there is a distinction between beneficiaries of capital expenditure and AI application deployers, with Chinese cloud service providers investing approximately $50 billion this year, significantly less than the $330 billion by the top four U.S. firms, indicating room for capital expenditure growth [5] - Despite being years behind the U.S. in development, the launch of new models by companies like DeepSeek is seen as a positive signal for sustainable profit growth [5] - Regarding U.S.-China technology competition, a compromise may be reached where China continues to purchase older Nvidia chips while advancing its semiconductor self-sufficiency goals, creating a dynamic balance that benefits both international equipment suppliers and local equipment suppliers' technological iteration needs [5]
交银国际每日晨报-20250902
BOCOM International· 2025-09-02 02:07
Group 1 - Core viewpoint: North China Innovation's semiconductor equipment business lines continue to show growth, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price raised to RMB 430.00, indicating a potential upside of +13.8% from the closing price of RMB 377.84 [1][2] - 1H25 performance: Revenue reached RMB 16.14 billion, a year-on-year increase of 29.5%, with a gross margin of 42.2%, down 3.6 percentage points. Net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 3.21 billion, up 15.0% year-on-year [1] - Domestic substitution in equipment: Etching equipment revenue exceeded RMB 5 billion in 1H25, with projections of over RMB 8 billion in 2024 and over RMB 11 billion in 2025. Thin film deposition equipment revenue exceeded RMB 6.5 billion in 1H25, with forecasts of over RMB 10 billion in 2024 and over RMB 14 billion in 2025 [1] Group 2 - Core viewpoint: OmniVision's automotive business is growing rapidly, with expectations for new smartphone products next year, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of RMB 180.00, indicating a potential upside of +24.0% from the closing price of RMB 145.20 [3][4] - 1H25 performance: Revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were RMB 13.96 billion and RMB 2.03 billion, respectively, both exceeding expectations. The automotive image sensor contributed significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 30% to RMB 3.79 billion [3] - Future growth potential: The company expects to launch a 200-megapixel CIS product in 2026, which may help the smartphone business recover growth [4] Group 3 - Core viewpoint: Alibaba's cloud business exceeded expectations, supporting AI value, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of USD 165.00, indicating a potential upside of +22.2% from the closing price of USD 135.00 [8][9] - 1Q26 performance: Revenue grew by 2% year-on-year, with significant growth in cloud revenue at 26%. Adjusted EBITA decreased by 14% due to increased investment in instant retail [8] - Future outlook: The company anticipates losses in instant retail-related businesses to double quarter-on-quarter, negatively impacting profit margins in the Chinese e-commerce sector [9] Group 4 - Core viewpoint: Kuaishou's differentiated community positioning and focus on AI commercialization are expected to drive growth, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 90.00 [10][12] - 1H25 performance: The company reported significant improvements in monetization rates, with plans to integrate content and advertising for further revenue growth [10] - Long-term growth potential: The company is expected to maintain its leading position in the global video generation market, with AI expected to penetrate USD 20-30 billion in the next 2-3 years [10] Group 5 - Core viewpoint: Weichai Power's performance remains stable, with large-bore engines expected to become a new profit growth point, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 20.50 [18][20] - 1H25 performance: Revenue reached RMB 1131.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.6%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 5.64 billion, down 4.4% year-on-year [18] - Future growth drivers: The company is expected to benefit from subsidies driving demand for heavy trucks and strong growth in data center engines [20] Group 6 - Core viewpoint: Sany's strong performance in 1H25, with a significant increase in gross margin, maintaining a "Buy" rating with a target price of RMB 180.50 [21][22] - 1H25 performance: Net profit increased by 81.03% year-on-year to RMB 2.941 billion, with a gross margin of 28.93% [21] - Future growth potential: The company is expected to continue benefiting from high-end model sales and product structure optimization [21] Group 7 - Core viewpoint: China Pacific Insurance's earnings growth remains robust, with a target price raised to HKD 44.00, maintaining a "Buy" rating [30][31] - 1H25 performance: Net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 11.0%, with new business value growing by 32.3% [30] - Future outlook: The company is expected to achieve positive growth in earnings despite a high base from the previous year [31]
375股今日获机构买入评级 8股上涨空间超50%
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-09-01 09:41
| 872808 | 曙光数创 | 2 | 2.94 | | 计算机 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688777 | 中控技术 | 2 | -2.25 | | 机械设备 | | 601155 | 新城控股 | 2 | -0.88 | 18.53 | 房地产 | | 002568 | 百润股份 | 2 | -1.42 | 37.41 | 食品饮料 | | 601577 | 长沙银行 | 2 | 0.21 | 4.47 | 银行 | | 601225 | 陕西煤业 | 2 | -0.25 | 12.90 | 煤炭 | | 601633 | 长城汽车 | 2 | 0.89 | 17.61 | 汽车 | | 301236 | 软通动力 | 2 | 0.27 | | 计算机 | | 600027 | 华电国际 | 2 | 1.32 | 7.99 | 公用事业 | | 301061 | 匠心家居 | 2 | -2.47 | 25.84 | 轻工制造 | | 600887 | 伊利股份 | 2 | -1.05 | 12.42 | 食品饮料 | | 600900 | 长江 ...
研报掘金丨开源证券:维持北方华创“买入”评级,高端化+平台化战略持续推进
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-01 09:09
Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities highlights that Northern Huachuang achieved steady revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 29.51% [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 16.142 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.208 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.97% [1] - The company's R&D investment reached 2.915 billion yuan in H1 2025, marking a 30.01% increase year-on-year [1] Market Position and Strategy - Northern Huachuang remains the leader in the domestic integrated circuit equipment sector, with over 9,900 patent applications and 5,700 authorized patents [1] - The company experienced a slight decline in revenue in Q2 due to downstream acceptance rhythm, but it is expected that downstream capital expenditure will remain stable throughout the year [1] - The ongoing high-end and platform-based strategy is expected to support future growth [1] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve operating revenues of 39.5 billion yuan, 48.8 billion yuan, and 59 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 7.8 billion yuan, 9.9 billion yuan, and 12 billion yuan for the same years [1] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 34.3, 27.1, and 22.4 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [1]
研报掘金丨国海证券:维持北方华创“买入”评级,存货显着环增彰显业绩增长潜力
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-01 07:39
Core Viewpoint - Guohai Securities report indicates that Northern Huachuang achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.21 billion yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 15% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.63 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 1.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.9% [1] - As of the first half of 2025, the company's inventory amounted to 31.1 billion yuan, an increase of 23.5% compared to Q1 2025, indicating potential for future performance growth [1] Business Development - The company has a comprehensive layout in etching and thin film deposition equipment, continuously expanding into ion implantation and wet process equipment [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company officially entered the coating and developing equipment market through the acquisition of ChipSource Micro, a leading domestic manufacturer of front-end coating and developing machines and temporary bonding equipment [1] - ChipSource Micro's main products include front-end coating and developing machines, advanced packaging coating and developing machines, small-sized compound coating and developing machines, temporary bonding machines, and debonding machines [1] Market Position - The company is recognized as a leading domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturer and maintains a "buy" rating [1]
内地经济景气边际回升
citic securities· 2025-09-01 02:48
Market Overview - A-shares continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.37% to 3,857 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.99% and the ChiNext Index rose by 2.23%[14] - The U.S. PCE index for July showed a larger-than-expected increase, leading to a decrease in rate cut expectations and a drop in U.S. stock indices, with the Dow Jones down 0.2% and the Nasdaq down 1.2%[8][25] - European markets declined due to geopolitical tensions and political uncertainties in France, with the Stoxx 600 index falling by 0.64%[8][10] Economic Indicators - China's manufacturing PMI for August was 49.4, a slight increase of 0.1 from the previous month, while the non-manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3, up 0.2[4] - The U.S. core PCE inflation rate increased from 2.8% in June to 2.9% in July, indicating persistent inflationary pressures[8][25] - India's GDP growth for Q1 2026 was reported at 7.8%, exceeding expectations, driven by investment and fiscal spending[21] Sector Performance - In the U.S. market, six out of eleven sectors in the S&P 500 saw gains, with the healthcare sector leading at a 0.73% increase, while the information technology sector fell by 1.63%[8] - In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.32%, with significant gains in healthcare and materials sectors, while semiconductor stocks faced declines[10] - The semiconductor sector in A-shares experienced a pullback, with stocks like Hengxuan Technology dropping by 7.8%[14] Commodity and Currency Trends - Gold prices increased, nearing historical highs, amid rising geopolitical tensions and legal disputes surrounding the Federal Reserve[25] - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude down 0.9% to $64.01 per barrel, and Brent crude down 0.7% to $68.12 per barrel[25] - The U.S. dollar index remained stable at 97.77, with the dollar appreciating against the yuan and the euro[23]
北方华创(002371):公司信息更新报告:客户验收节奏影响Q2确收,全年收入增长趋势或依旧稳健
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-09-01 01:59
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue growth trend remains robust despite a sequential decline in Q2 due to customer acceptance rhythm. The outlook for performance recovery in the second half of the year is positive [4][5] - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 16.142 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.51%, driven by steady order growth [4] - The company continues to maintain high R&D investment, with R&D expenditure reaching 2.915 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 30.01% [4] Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 7.936 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.84% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.3% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company in Q2 was 1.627 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.47% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.95% [5] - The gross margin for Q2 was 41.29%, down 6.11 percentage points year-on-year and 1.73 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [5] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve operating revenues of 39.5 billion yuan, 48.8 billion yuan, and 59 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company is 7.84 billion yuan, 9.91 billion yuan, and 12.01 billion yuan for the same years [5] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 34.3, 27.1, and 22.4 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Market Position and Product Development - The company has established a comprehensive product matrix in the integrated circuit equipment sector, with significant revenue contributions from etching and thin film deposition equipment [6] - In H1 2025, the revenue from etching equipment exceeded 5 billion yuan, while thin film deposition equipment revenue surpassed 6.5 billion yuan [6] - The company is also expanding into the ion implantation equipment market and has launched several 12-inch ion implantation devices [6]
北方华创(002371):平台化战略持续拓宽 布局七大类核心半导体设备
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 00:39
Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2025 Q2 financial results, showing a revenue increase but a decline in net profit, primarily due to decreased gross margins and increased R&D expenses, while continuing to expand its platform strategy in the semiconductor equipment sector [1][5]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 7.936 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.84% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.3% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.627 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 1.47% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.95% [1] - The gross margin was 41.29%, down 6.11 percentage points year-on-year and 1.73 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The R&D expenses amounted to 1.051 billion yuan, an increase of 425 million yuan year-on-year, with an R&D expense ratio of 13.2%, up 3.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on a platform strategy, expanding into seven core categories of semiconductor equipment, and has made significant progress in product innovation [1] - The company completed the acquisition of ChipSource Micro on June 23, 2025, for 3.135 billion yuan, becoming the largest shareholder with a 17.87% stake, which is expected to enhance product coverage and R&D collaboration [4] Market Position and Growth Potential - The global semiconductor equipment market is projected to reach 116.1 billion USD in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 9.2%, while the Chinese market is expected to grow by 34.2% to 49.1 billion USD [5] - The company anticipates a revenue of 26.6 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 43.6%, capturing approximately 15% of the Chinese market share [5] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the expansion of domestic wafer fabs and the increasing share of domestic equipment orders [5]
北方华创_中国半导体资本支出推动订单稳健增长;2025 年第二季度营收_毛利率低于预期;买入
2025-08-31 16:21
Summary of NAURA (002371.SZ) Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: NAURA (002371.SZ) - **Industry**: Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturing Key Financial Highlights - **2Q25 Revenue**: Rmb7.936 billion, representing a 23% year-over-year growth but a 3% decline quarter-over-quarter, which was below expectations by 9% compared to estimates and consensus [1][3][4] - **Gross Margin**: Decreased to 41.3%, down 2.6 percentage points from estimates due to higher cost of goods sold (COGS) and an unfavorable product mix [3][4] - **Operating Income**: Reported at Rmb1.428 billion, missing estimates by 32% due to higher-than-expected operating expenses related to R&D [3][4] - **Net Income**: Rmb1.627 billion, a slight decrease of 2% year-over-year [4] Future Outlook - **3Q25 Revenue Projection**: Expected to rebound to Rmb10.7 billion, driven by order gains and increasing demand from Chinese semiconductor capital expenditure [1] - **Product Expansion**: The company is focusing on upgrading and expanding its product line, particularly in high aspect ratio etching tools and ion implantation equipment, with new products expected to ramp up from 2026 [2] Earnings Revision - **2025E Earnings**: Revised down by 13% due to lower revenue expectations and higher operating expenses [8] - **2026/27E Earnings**: Revised up by 1% mainly due to anticipated higher revenues from new products [8][9] Valuation and Price Target - **Target Price**: Revised up to Rmb492, based on a 34.4x 2026E P/E ratio, reflecting a 32.1% upside from the current price of Rmb372.50 [9][16] - **Investment Rating**: Maintained as "Buy" [9][14] Risks - **Key Risks**: 1. Potential US export restrictions on Chinese semiconductor firms could delay capacity expansion and reduce demand for NAURA's equipment [15] 2. Slower-than-expected capacity expansion at NAURA's matured nodes customers may lead to slower revenue growth [15] Additional Insights - **Management's Perspective**: Positive outlook on order momentum from Chinese foundries and IDM customers, indicating confidence in long-term growth [1] - **Market Position**: NAURA is positioned as a local leader in providing platform solutions, with expectations for a mix upgrade towards advanced node tools [1][2] This summary encapsulates the key points from the earnings call, highlighting the company's performance, future outlook, and associated risks.