Group 1 - The semiconductor ETF Southern (159325) opened with a gain of 0.79%, priced at 1.660 yuan [1] - Key holdings in the semiconductor ETF include: Cambrian rising by 1.05%, SMIC by 1.39%, Haiguang Information by 1.94%, Northern Huachuang by 1.05%, Zhaoyi Innovation by 3.75%, Lanke Technology by 3.86%, Zhongwei Company by 2.41%, OmniVision by 1.49%, Tuojing Technology by 2.02%, and Unisoc by 1.65% [1] - The performance benchmark for the semiconductor ETF is the CSI Semiconductor Industry Selected Index return, managed by Southern Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] Group 2 - Since its establishment on October 31, 2024, the fund has achieved a return of 63.66%, with a monthly return of 9.52% [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [4] Core Insights - The demand for AI computing power is driving a persistent shortage in storage [2][8] - Major storage companies are experiencing strong performance, with AI demand expected to continue creating incremental opportunities [6] - The supply of niche storage is under pressure from mainstream storage, leading to a sustained tight supply situation [7] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Key investment targets include domestic storage chip design companies such as Zhaoyi Innovation, Puran, Jucheng, Dongxin, Beijing Junzheng, and Hengsuo [2][8] - Domestic storage module manufacturers like Jiangbolong, Demingli, and Baiwei Storage are also highlighted [2] - Companies benefiting from storage technology iterations include Lanke Technology, Lianyun Technology, and Aojie Technology [2] - Semiconductor equipment firms such as Zhongwei Company, Jingzhida, and Beifang Huachuang are recommended [2] - Domestic packaging and testing companies like Shentek, Huicheng, and Tongfu Microelectronics are included in the investment targets [2] Market Dynamics - TrendForce has revised upward the price growth rates for DRAM and NAND Flash products for the first quarter, with DRAM contract prices expected to rise by 90-95% and NAND Flash by 55-60% [7] - AI computing demand is becoming the dominant factor in storage demand, with significant price increases anticipated for Server DRAM and Enterprise SSDs [7] - The AI inference process is expected to significantly alter data center storage structures, leading to increased demand for active data storage [7] Niche Storage Supply - Niche storage products like NOR Flash and MLC/SLC NAND Flash are expected to remain in tight supply due to reduced production from major suppliers focusing on mainstream products [7] - The global capacity for MLC NAND Flash is projected to decrease by 41.7% in 2026 due to supply constraints [7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [4] Core Insights - The demand for AI computing power is driving a persistent shortage in storage [2][8] - Major storage companies are showing strong performance, with AI demand expected to continue creating incremental opportunities [6] - The supply of niche storage is expected to remain tight due to pressure from mainstream storage products [7] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Key investment targets include domestic storage chip design companies such as Zhaoyi Innovation, Puran, Jucheng, Dongxin, Beijing Junzheng, and Hengsuo [2][8] - Domestic storage module manufacturers like Jiangbolong, Demingli, and Baiwei Storage are also highlighted [2] - Companies benefiting from storage technology iterations include Lanke Technology, Lianyun Technology, and Aojie Technology [2] - Semiconductor equipment firms such as Zhongwei Company, Jingzhida, and Beifang Huachuang are recommended [2] - Domestic packaging and testing companies like Shentek, Huicheng, and Tongfu Microelectronics are included [2] - Supporting logic chip manufacturers such as Jinghe Integration are also mentioned [2] Market Dynamics - TrendForce has revised upward the price growth rates for DRAM and NAND Flash products for the first quarter, with DRAM contract prices expected to increase by 90-95% and NAND Flash by 55-60% [7] - AI computing demand is becoming the dominant factor in storage demand, with significant price increases expected for server DRAM and Enterprise SSDs [7] - The AI inference process is anticipated to change data center storage structures, leading to increased demand for active data storage [7] Niche Storage Outlook - Niche storage products like NOR Flash and MLC/SLC NAND Flash are expected to remain in short supply due to reduced production from major suppliers focusing on mainstream products [7] - The global capacity for MLC NAND Flash is projected to decrease by 41.7% in 2026 due to supply constraints [7]

Group 1 - The chip ETF (159995) opened down 1.49% at 1.980 yuan on February 2 [1] - Major holdings in the chip ETF include companies like SMIC, Haiguang Information, and Cambrian, with declines ranging from 0.47% to 4.47% [1] - The performance benchmark for the chip ETF is the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index, managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., with a return of 100.82% since its inception on January 20, 2020, and a recent one-month return of 14.61% [1]

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report highlights that the recent volatility in gold and silver prices is primarily driven by market momentum reversals, with silver attracting high leverage and speculative funds since November 2025 [2][5] - The report anticipates that after the appointment of the new Federal Reserve Chairman, there will be more interest rate cuts than the market expects, with short-term U.S. Treasury yields likely to decline [2][4] - The report notes that the recent decline in the manufacturing PMI does not indicate a weakening economy, as it reflects a temporary fluctuation rather than a downward trend [10] Group 2: Commodity Market Analysis - The report indicates that the recent crash in silver prices has led to liquidity risks that may spread to other commodities, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector [5][6] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the support levels for gold prices, particularly the 60-day moving average, which is currently at $4,400 per ounce [5] - The report suggests that the Shanghai Futures Exchange has implemented measures to manage the risk of a one-sided market in silver futures [5] Group 3: Equity Market Outlook - The report predicts a rebound in the A-share market following the Spring Festival, driven by positive sentiment from performance forecasts and new developments in sectors like AI applications and commercial aerospace [6][10] - It advises a balanced ETF allocation in domestic equities, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the market [11] Group 4: Bond Market Perspective - The report notes that the bond market is expected to see increased buying activity due to risk aversion and expectations of monetary easing, with 10-year yields projected to decline to around 1.80% [7][10] - It highlights that the recent adjustments in risk appetite have created trading opportunities in government bonds as a hedge against stock market volatility [4][7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the chip ETF Guangfa (159801), which opened down by 1.50% at 0.982 yuan on February 2 [1] - Major holdings in the chip ETF experienced declines, with notable drops including ZTE International down 1.28%, Haiguang Information down 1.68%, and GigaDevice down 4.47% [1] - The performance benchmark for the chip ETF is the yield of the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index, managed by Guangfa Fund Management Co., with a return of 99.10% since its inception on January 20, 2020, and a return of 14.65% over the past month [1]

Core Viewpoint - The global etching machine market is experiencing growth, with a projected market size of approximately $14.82 billion in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 5.93%, and expected to reach $16.48 billion by 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Definition and Classification - Etching machines are essential tools in semiconductor manufacturing, combining chemical reactants and physical energy to remove material from surfaces to create microstructures [2]. - The etching machines are categorized into wet etching machines (chemical and electrochemical) and dry etching machines (ion milling, plasma etching, and reactive ion etching) [2]. Group 2: Industry Development Status - The etching machine market is primarily used for manufacturing semiconductor devices, photovoltaic cells, and micro-mechanical systems, showing a consistent growth trend [2][3]. - The market size is projected to be approximately $15.65 billion in 2024 and $16.48 billion in 2025 [1][2]. Group 3: Industry Chain - The upstream of the etching machine industry includes semiconductor materials and components such as pre-vacuum chambers, etching chambers, gas supply systems, and vacuum systems [3]. - The midstream involves the manufacturing and system integration of etching machines, while the downstream applications include micro-electromechanical systems (MEMS), advanced packaging, and nanotechnology in semiconductor, optical, and electronic industries [3]. Group 4: Industry Development Environment - Related Policies - The government places significant emphasis on the development of the etching machine industry, implementing various supportive policies to enhance its growth [4]. Group 5: Industry Barriers - The etching machine industry has high entry barriers, primarily due to technological, financial, and customer recognition challenges [5]. Group 6: Industry Competitive Landscape - The etching machine market is characterized by high concentration and intense competition, dominated by international companies such as Lam Research, TEL, and AMAT [6]. - Domestic companies like North Huachuang, Zhongwei Company, and Yitang Semiconductor are emerging as leaders in the etching machine sector, leveraging their R&D and innovation capabilities [6][8]. Group 7: Industry Development Trends - As a core process in semiconductor manufacturing, etching technology is crucial for transferring patterns onto wafer surfaces, with the market evolving towards platform-based and atomic-level manufacturing [9]. - The Chinese etching machine industry is experiencing explosive growth, supported by national policies, and is diversifying and making significant progress in various segments [9].

"短期来看，日美欧企业在中国市场将面临更激烈的竞争。"国际半导体产业协会（SEMI）数据显示， 2024年中国芯片制造设备销售额同比增长35%，达到495亿美元，成为全球最大市场。长期来看，随着 中国供应链不断完善，西方和日本企业的技术领先地位将受到挑战。 中关村信息消费联盟理事长项立刚2月1日在接受《环球时报》记者采访时表示，中国半导体产业正处于 政策、市场、技术与资本多重驱动的黄金发展期。AI 算力建设、新能源汽车、数据中心、工业互联网 等新兴场景爆发，催生中国半导体产业全产业链进一步完善。加上资金支持与人才红利等有利因素，将 促使中国半导体国产替代进一步加速。 报道提到，先进半导体设备生产涉及千余道工序，每道工序均需专用设备，一家向中国制造商供应零部 件的贸易公司高管称："中国企业现已能覆盖所有工艺环节，包括沉积、蚀刻和清洗。"日本Techno Systems Research高级分析师大森哲夫表示，"中国半导体设备国产化率已达20%—30%，较三年前约 10%的水平实现快速增长。" 来源：环球 【环球时报报道 记者 倪浩】"中国芯片制造设备供应商在全球市场的地位显著提升"，《日经亚洲评 论》1月31日 ...

据《日经亚洲》援引日本研究机构Global Net数据显示，2025年全球半导体设备市场规模向1680亿美元 冲刺，行业竞争格局迎来显著调整。 整体来看，美日荷企业仍主导全球市场，凭借核心技术壁垒把控先进制程关键环节；中国企业实现跨越 式发展，在刻蚀、光刻等领域从跟跑到并跑，成为国产替代核心力量，推动全球竞争版图多元化。 TOP20榜单清晰呈现两大梯队格局，头部企业垄断高端市场，中坚企业深耕细分赛道，中国三强的突围 成为最大亮点。 | 头部梯队 榜单前10名基本被美日荷企业包揽，仅北方华创作为中国企业跻身其中，这类企业覆盖从成熟制程到 3nm、2nm先进制程，是全球半导体制造的核心支撑。 荷兰阿斯麦（ASML） 仍是光刻领域绝对龙头，凭借EUV极紫外光刻技术垄断7nm以下先进制程市场， 高NA EUV设备更是3nm、2nm制程的核心装备，DUV领域亦保持技术领先。 美国应用材料（AMAT） 作为平台型巨头，产品覆盖沉积、刻蚀、检测等多环节，其Selectra5000选择性沉积设备领跑先进制程 市场； 泛林（LAM） 主导刻蚀赛道，同时在清洗、沉积领域稳居前列，是先进制程核心供应商； 科 磊（KLA） 掌控检测 ...

北方华创官网显示，公司创立于2001年，现有2万名员工，130余种产品，涵盖半导体装备、真空及锂电 装备、精密元器件业务，为半导体、新能源、新材料等领域提供解决方案。 与2022年相比，新进入榜单、排名第13位的是中微半导体设备（上海）股份有限公司（以下简称"中微 公司"）。该公司由曾在泛林集团和应用材料公司任职的工程师创立，其核心刻蚀设备据报已被用于5纳 米芯片生产，距离全球最先进水平并不遥远。 报道对日本研究机构Global Net的半导体设备销售数据进行分析发现，从销售上看，北方华创科技集团 股份有限公司从2022年的全球排名第八位跃升至2025年的第五位，仅次于荷兰半导体设备制造商阿斯麦 公司、美国应用材料公司、美国半导体设备制造商泛林集团和日本东京电子。 若将范围扩大至排名前30名的企业，还将新增两家中国企业——盛美半导体设备（上海）股份有限公司 和华海清科股份有限公司。 报道分析认为，中国正通过国家基金牵头、地方政府配套投入的方式，加大力度推进半导体产业自主 化，在设备和材料领域持续加码投资，促使设备厂商数量快速增加，新进入者不断涌现。而美国的出口 限制进一步加速了这一趋势，倒逼中国加快实现芯片和 ...