Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Global Energy Storage** industry, particularly the **electricity demand and supply dynamics in China**. [1][10] Key Insights and Arguments 1. **Electricity Demand Growth**: - China's power demand surpassed **1,000 TWh** last month, with annual demand reaching approximately **10,000 TWh** last year, projected to grow to **13,500 TWh by 2030** and **25,000 TWh by 2050**. This growth is driven by sectors such as AI, EVs, air conditioning, and high-tech manufacturing automation. [1][10] - Expected **CAGR** for electricity demand is **5.6%** through 2030 and **3.2%** through 2050, outpacing GDP growth. By 2050, electricity will account for over **50%** of final energy consumption. [1][10] 2. **Renewable Energy Capacity**: - China is positioned to add over **500 GW** of power capacity annually, having added over **400 GW** last year, which accounted for **70%** of global power capacity additions. [1][10] - Solar and wind power generation could increase **10x** to **18,000 TWh** by 2050 at current installation rates, with expectations for solar and wind to account for **70%** of power generation by 2050. [2] 3. **Energy Storage Needs**: - With rising renewable penetration, China will require **3,300 GW** or approximately **12,000 GWh (12 TWh)** of installed energy storage capacity, representing a **30x** increase from current levels. [3] 4. **Grid Infrastructure Investment**: - Significant investment in grid infrastructure is necessary to match demand with renewable power supply, particularly in central and western China. Investment in grid infrastructure reached **RMB 600 billion** last year, growing by **15%** year-over-year. [4] 5. **Nuclear Power's Role**: - Nuclear power is expected to play a significant role as a baseload alternative to coal, with investment growing by **42%** last year to **RMB 142 billion**. However, it is projected to remain less than **10%** of the power generation mix. [5] 6. **Fossil Fuels Outlook**: - Coal and oil are expected to decline as China electrifies its economy, with coal-fired power generation declining by **2.5%** in the first half of 2025. Oil consumption is likely to peak before 2030 due to the growth of EVs. [6] Additional Important Insights - The rise of AI and EVs is significantly increasing power demand, with electricity consumption growth expected to continue outpacing GDP growth. [10] - The electrification ratio in China is projected to rise to **35%** by 2030 and **55%** by 2050, driven by new sources of power demand such as data centers and EV charging. [18] - The power multiplier, which indicates the ratio of electricity consumption growth to GDP growth, is expected to increase from **1.3** to **1.4** over the next five years. [32] Investment Implications - Companies like **CATL** are highlighted as top picks due to their strategic positioning in the energy storage market, which is critical for supporting the growth of solar and wind energy. [10]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - **Industry**: New Materials in China - **Key Focus Areas**: Lithium, Uranium, Rare Earths, Solar Glass Key Points and Arguments Lithium Market - **Demand**: Year-to-date lithium demand has exceeded market expectations, driven by strong demand from Energy Storage Systems (ESS) and ongoing electric vehicle (EV) trade-in programs [2] - **Supply Risks**: Yichun lepidolite mines are undergoing resource reclassification, which may lead to temporary shutdowns. These mines collectively produce approximately 150,000 tons of Lithium Carbonate Equivalent (LCE) annually [2] - **Cost Dynamics**: The cost curve for lepidolite mines is expected to rise due to increased royalties and fees, with cost support estimated at around RMB 70,000 per ton [2] Uranium Market - **Price Momentum**: Strong momentum in uranium prices is anticipated, supported by major investment vehicles like SPUT and Yellow Cake purchasing in the spot market. Long-term prices are expected to rise post-World Nuclear Symposium, with current spot prices around US$83 per pound [3] - **Supply Adjustments**: Production cuts from Kazatomprom and Cameco highlight ongoing supply risks, benefiting CGN Mining, which has increased its spot price exposure to 70% from 60% due to a renewed three-year contract [3] Rare Earths and Magnets - **Price Strength**: Rare earth prices are robust due to strong downstream demand and China's supply-side controls. Magnet producers are expected to pass price increases to customers, improving gross profit margins [4] - **Export Recovery**: Export volumes for magnet producers are normalizing, with anticipated improvements in shipment volumes and earnings in the second half of the year [4] Solar Glass Market - **Demand Decline**: Demand for solar glass has softened in October and is expected to weaken further into winter, leading to inventory build-up and downward pressure on prices [5] - **Earnings Impact**: The anticipated decline in solar glass prices could negatively affect company earnings if no supply-side controls are implemented [5] Additional Insights - **Equity Ratings**: Various companies within the new materials sector have been rated with "Overweight" or "Equal-weight" based on their market positions and expected performance [10][11] - **Price Target Adjustments**: Price targets for several companies have been adjusted based on updated earnings forecasts and market conditions, reflecting changes in commodity prices and company performance [19][20] - **Market Sentiment**: The overall sentiment in the new materials sector remains attractive, with potential upside from uranium recovery and stable demand in rare earths, despite challenges in lithium and solar glass markets [1][7] Conclusion The new materials sector in China is experiencing mixed dynamics, with strong demand in lithium and uranium markets, while facing challenges in solar glass. Companies are adjusting their strategies and forecasts in response to evolving market conditions, highlighting the importance of monitoring supply risks and price movements in this sector.

Core Insights - Tianqi Lithium Industries saw a 2.43% increase in stock price on September 30, with a trading volume of 4.036 billion yuan [1] - The company reported a financing buy-in of 521 million yuan and a net financing outflow of 21.76 million yuan on the same day [1][2] - As of June 30, 2025, Tianqi Lithium's revenue decreased by 24.71% year-on-year, while net profit increased by 101.62% [2] Financing and Trading Activity - On September 30, Tianqi Lithium's total financing and securities lending balance reached 3.019 billion yuan, with financing balance accounting for 4.29% of the circulating market value [1] - The company had a high financing balance, exceeding the 90th percentile of the past year [1] - The securities lending activity included a repayment of 24,100 shares and a sale of 6,500 shares, with a remaining securities lending balance of 849.6 million yuan [1] Shareholder and Dividend Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 6.08% to 270,800, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 6.45% to 5,451 shares [2] - Since its A-share listing, Tianqi Lithium has distributed a total of 7.868 billion yuan in dividends, with 7.137 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] - Major institutional shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable increases in holdings among several funds [3]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 天齊鋰業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月8日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09696 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 164,122,200 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 164,122,200 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 164,122,200 | RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 164,122,200 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 ...

HKEX 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 l. 法定/註冊股本變動 □ 不適用 | 1.股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | 於香港聯交所上市(註1) | | 是 | + | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 09696 | 説明 | | | | | | | 增加多櫃檯證券代號 | | | | | | | | | □ 手動填寫 | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面値 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 164,122,200 RMB | | 1 RMB | | 164,122,200 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 164,122,200 RMB | | 1 RMB | | 164,122,200 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | 於香港聯交所上市(註 ...

Core Viewpoint - Lithium battery concept stocks have risen, driven by a breakthrough in solid-state lithium battery technology from a team at the Institute of Metal Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, which addresses issues of interface resistance and ion transmission efficiency [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Ganfeng Lithium has increased by over 4% [1] - Tianqi Lithium has risen nearly 3% [1] - BYD has gained approximately 1.5% [1] - CATL has seen a rise of 1% [1] Group 2: Technological Breakthrough - The research team has made significant advancements in solid-state lithium battery technology [1] - The findings provide new pathways to solve problems related to high interface resistance and low ion transmission efficiency [1] - The results have been published in the academic journal "Advanced Materials" [1]

主办单位： 起点固态电池、起点锂电、SSBA固态电池联盟 协办单位及固态年会总冠名： 茹天科技 倒计时30天 CINE2025固态电池展暨固态电池行业年会 活动时间： 2025年11月6-8日 活动地点： 广州南沙国际会展中心（2楼船厅及广州厅） 活动规模： 展商规模200+、参会企业2000+、专业观众20000+ 同期活动： 2025起点固态电池金鼎奖颁奖典礼、SSBA固态电池产业联盟理事会 第一批展商及赞助商： 金钠科技/茹天科技/海四达钠星/融捷能源/易事特钠电/泰和科技/隐功科技/科迈罗/国科炭美/晟钠新能/中钠能源/乔岳智能/津工能源/科达新能 源/时代思康/富钠能源/极电特能/华普森/瑞扬新能源/亮见钠电/叁星飞荣/珠海纳甘新能源/皓升新能源/扬广科技/银川苏银产业园/兆钠新能源/精诚模具/儒特股份/希 倍动力/先导干燥/瓦时动力/博粤新材料/苏州翼动新能/亿隆能源/钠创新能源/瑞森新材料/海裕百特/凯德利/长篙新材/清研电子 /孚悦科技 等 长三角和珠三角地区为中国锂电产业链两大重要根据地，江苏省则是长三角锂电圈最重要的组成部分。 江苏省锂电产业有技术创新引领、全链条覆盖、规模化制造三大特征， ...

Core Insights - The 2025 11th Qidian Lithium Battery Industry Annual Conference aims to address technological advancements and challenges in the lithium battery sector, celebrating the 10th anniversary of Qidian Research [2][3] - The event will feature discussions on the latest trends in battery technology, including large cylindrical batteries, full-tab batteries, and solid-state batteries, which are expected to see increased application in various fields [2][3] - The conference will also explore the implications of policy changes, such as the cancellation of mandatory storage policies, and the impact of tariffs on the global energy storage industry [2][3] Event Background and Significance - In early 2025, BMW announced the upcoming deployment of large cylindrical batteries, prompting a surge in industry interest [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released new safety standards for electric vehicle batteries, sparking widespread discussion on battery performance [2] - Several companies have begun mass production of full-tab cylindrical batteries, which are anticipated to be widely used in electric vehicles and other applications [2] - Solid-state batteries are gaining attention for their high safety and energy density, maintaining high interest levels in 2025 [2] Event Theme and Structure - The event is themed "Breaking Through the New Cycle of Technological Iteration, Building a New Era of Safety for Ten Years" and will take place from December 17-19, 2025, in Shenzhen [3] - The conference will host over 2000 attendees and feature more than 60 prominent speakers discussing core issues and technological breakthroughs [4][5] Highlights of the Event - The event will include the 11th Lithium Battery Golden Tripod Award ceremony, recognizing outstanding contributions to the lithium battery industry [5][9] - It will also feature the 2025 China New Energy Entrepreneurs Club Council meeting, facilitating direct interactions among industry leaders [5] - Over 50 exhibitors will showcase solutions across the entire lithium battery supply chain, including materials, equipment, and components [5] Specialized Sessions and Topics - The agenda includes specialized sessions focusing on various aspects of battery technology, such as high-nickel ternary cathodes, silicon-based anodes, and battery safety [7][8] - Topics will cover the commercialization of lithium metal anodes, recycling technologies, and advancements in battery manufacturing processes [7][8] Award Details - The Golden Tripod Award will recognize various categories, including technology innovation in lithium battery cells, energy storage, and safety technology [11] - The award aims to encourage innovation and provide procurement references for the lithium battery industry [9][11]

Group 1 - The research team from the Chinese Academy of Sciences has made a breakthrough in solid-state lithium batteries, addressing key issues such as high interfacial resistance and low ionic conductivity [1] - Solid-state batteries are considered a significant development direction for next-generation energy storage technology due to their high safety and energy density [1] - The new material developed by the research team integrates ionic conductive ethoxy groups and electrochemically active short sulfur chains, achieving interfacial integration at the molecular level [1] Group 2 - The integrated flexible battery based on the new material exhibits excellent bending resistance, capable of withstanding 20,000 cycles of bending [1] - When used as a polymer electrolyte in composite cathodes, the energy density of the composite cathode increases by 86% [1] - The research provides new material design ideas and research paradigms for the development of high-performance and high-safety solid-state batteries [1] Group 3 - CICC reports that solid-state batteries are expected to become the next generation of lithium battery technology, with accelerated industrialization driven by material innovation and process iteration [2] - The solid-state battery supply chain is anticipated to open up mainline investment opportunities, particularly for battery, material, and equipment manufacturers [2] - GF Securities highlights that in 2024, profits in the new energy vehicle supply chain will remain highly concentrated in the battery segment, with leading companies maintaining stable profitability even in downturns [2] Group 4 - Related Hong Kong stocks in the solid-state battery supply chain include CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, Longpan Technology, Ruipu Lanjun, Zhongchuang Xinhang, BYD, GAC Group, and Shuangdeng Co [3]

回望十四五，锂电产业上演了一场从狂热到理性的完整周期。 碳酸锂价格从每吨不足 5万元一路狂飙至近60万元，又在短短一年内跌破10万元，这条惊心动魄的价格曲线，正是产业内卷最直观的体温计。 摘要 锂电告别内卷，开启高质量发展新周期。 2025年，中国站在新一轮五年规划的门槛上。 十四五收官的余音与十五五序曲交织之际， "反内卷"正成为行业整顿秩序、重塑新能源发展战略的关键抓手。 通过这一过程，市场将 进一步 筛选并培育出具备全球竞争力的领先企业。 尤其是对于经历了数年爆发式增长的锂电产业而言，这场由反内卷开启的转场，不仅是对过去一个周期的总结与清算，更是通往下一个高质量发展五 年的资格赛。 曲线的背后，实质上折射的，正是产业链上游锂盐环节的深度失衡：既是整个周期波动的直接放大器，也是 "反内卷"最迫切需要切入的突破口。 这场内卷的根源，在于供需两端的严重错配与市场预期偏差引发的盲目扩产。 需求端，新能源汽车与储能市场在 2020年后迎来历史性增长拐点，引来资本蜂拥而入，一场拥锂为王的产业竞速就此展开。 然而，供给端的扩张却显得粗放而失序。 例如， 高工产业研究院（ GGII）监测数据显示， 2020年，国内磷酸 ...