证券代码：002468 证券简称：申通快递 公告编号：2025-051 审议通过了《关于调整 2025 年限制性股票激励计划相关事项的议案》 表决结果：同意票3票，反对票0票，弃权票0票，回避票0票。 经审核，监事会认为：本次调整符合《上市公司股权激励管理办法》、公司《2025年限制性 股票激励计划（草案）》（以下简称"《激励计划》"）及其摘要的相关规定，不存在损害股东 利益的情况，同意公司对本次激励计划限制性股票的授予价格进行的调整。 申通快递股份有限公司 第六届监事会第十次会议决议公告 本公司及监事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，不存在虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏。 一、监事会会议召开情况 申通快递股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 6 月 6 日以邮件、电话等方式发出召 开第六届监事会第十次会议的通知，会议于 2025 年 6 月 10 日在上海市青浦区重达路 58 号公司会 议室以现场结合通讯表决的方式召开，应出席会议的监事 3 名，实际出席会议的监事 3 名。会议 由监事会主席顾利娟女士主持，本次会议的召开符合《中华人民共和国公司法》等有关法律法规、 规范性文件及《公司 ...

证券代码：002468 证券简称：申通快递 公告编号：2025-050 申通快递股份有限公司 第六届董事会第十一次会议决议公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，不存在虚假记载、误导性 陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、董事会会议召开情况 鉴于公司 2024 年度权益分派方案已于 2025 年 6 月 5 日实施完毕，根据《2025 年限制性股票 激励计划（草案）》及公司 2024 年度股东大会的授权，董事会对本次激励计划限制性股票的授予 价格进行相应调整。限制性股票的授予价格由 5.42 元/股调整为 5.353 元/股。 本议案已经公司第六届董事会薪酬与考核委员会第四次会议审议通过。 关联董事王文彬、韩永彦及路遥对上述议案回避表决。 具体内容详见公司于同日在《中国证券报》《证券日报》《证券时报》《上海证券报》及巨 潮资讯网（www.cninfo.com.cn）上披露的《关于调整 2025 年限制性股票激励计划相关事项的公 告》（公告编号：2025-052）。 三、备查文件 申通快递股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 6 月 6 日以邮件、电话等方式发出召开 第六届董事会第十一次会议 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The shipping rates on the Asia-Brazil route have surged by 100% due to a shortage of available vessels and containers, with rates reaching $3,300 per container [2][12] - The global new ship order volume has dropped to a four-year low, with only 439 vessels ordered in the first four months of 2025, a significant decrease from 980 vessels in the same period of 2024 [2][13] - During the Dragon Boat Festival in 2025, civil aviation passenger volume reached 5.63 million, with a total of 101 new international air cargo routes opened in the first five months [2][14] - The express delivery industry saw a 15.4% year-on-year increase in package volume during the Dragon Boat Festival, with a total of 1.511 billion packages collected nationwide [2][21] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Hot Events - The Asia-Brazil shipping rates increased by 100% due to a shortage of vessels and containers, influenced by trade policies and seasonal demand [12] - The civil aviation passenger volume during the Dragon Boat Festival reached 5.63 million, with 101 new international air cargo routes opened [14] - The express delivery industry experienced a 15.4% year-on-year growth in package volume during the Dragon Boat Festival [21] 2. High-Frequency Data Tracking - In May 2025, domestic cargo flight operations decreased by 6.76%, while international flights increased by 26.98% [33] - The shipping price index for domestic trade decreased, while dry bulk freight rates increased [41] - The express delivery business volume in April 2025 rose by 19.10% year-on-year, with revenue increasing by 10.80% [52] 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [4] - Attention to low-altitude economy investment opportunities, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [4] - Investment opportunities in the cruise and ferry sectors, recommending Bohai Ferry and Haixia Co [4] - E-commerce and express delivery investment opportunities, recommending SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda [4] - Investment opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending China National Aviation, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [4]

Core Insights - The Chinese e-commerce logistics market is experiencing rapid growth, becoming a key driver for industrial upgrades and consumption growth in the digital economy era, with a projected market size of 1.4 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.8% [1][14] E-commerce Logistics Overview - E-commerce logistics refers to the supply chain system that provides comprehensive services such as warehousing, sorting, transportation, delivery, and returns for e-commerce transactions, aiming to efficiently connect sellers and consumers [1] E-commerce Logistics Classification - E-commerce logistics can be classified based on service objects (B2C, B2B, C2C), operational models (self-operated, third-party, crowdsourced, cross-border), and delivery timeliness (instant delivery, same-day/next-day delivery, standard delivery) [2][3] Development History of E-commerce Logistics in China - The industry has evolved from traditional delivery methods to intelligent services, with significant growth from 2008 to 2015 due to the explosion of e-commerce platforms, followed by a consolidation phase from 2016 to 2020, and entering a high-quality development phase driven by innovation since 2021 [4] Relevant Policies for E-commerce Logistics - Various policies have been introduced to support the e-commerce logistics sector, focusing on digital empowerment, network optimization, and green transformation, which are essential for the industry's high-quality development [6][7] E-commerce Logistics Industry Chain - The industry has formed a complete value chain, including upstream logistics infrastructure, intelligent devices, and technology service providers, with core operational links involving comprehensive logistics service providers and specialized service providers [8] Current Status of E-commerce Logistics Industry - The online retail market in China has shown steady growth, with online retail sales projected to reach 15.52 trillion yuan by 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 7.19% [10] Competitive Landscape of E-commerce Logistics Industry - The industry features a tiered competitive structure, with leading companies like JD Logistics and SF Express dominating the high-end market, while the second tier includes the "Tongda" system (ZTO, Yunda, YTO) focusing on cost advantages [16][17] Key Enterprises - SF Express reported a revenue of 284.4 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 10.1%, while JD Logistics achieved a revenue of 182.8 billion yuan, reflecting a 10% increase [18][20] Future Trends in E-commerce Logistics - The industry is expected to focus on service quality enhancement, accelerated digital transformation, green low-carbon initiatives, and deeper global supply chain integration, driven by technological innovation and evolving consumer demands [22][25][26]

Group 1 - The first second-hand multi-category circular warehouse store "Super Turn" opened in Beijing, covering over 3000 square meters and offering a variety of second-hand products, marking a strategic move by the company in a competitive second-hand market [1] - The AI startup SiliconFlow completed a Series A financing round of several hundred million yuan, led by Alibaba Cloud, indicating its growth potential and industry value as it lowers the barrier for developers to use advanced AI models [2] - Kudi Coffee signed a strategic cooperation memorandum with the Rwandan Ministry of Agriculture to invest in a coffee plantation, which includes various demonstration parks, leveraging Rwanda's quality coffee resources for competitive advantage [3] Group 2 - ProLogis announced the operation of an energy storage project tailored for Shentong Express, with a total capacity of 2.75MW/5.83MWh, marking a significant step in energy optimization within the logistics industry [4] - The collaboration between ProLogis and Shentong Express aims to provide comprehensive energy services across the country, reflecting a forward-looking approach in response to rising electricity costs and stricter environmental requirements in the logistics sector [4]

Group 1 - ProLogis has launched a user-end energy storage project for Shentong Express, with a total capacity of 2.75MW/5.83MWh, located at Shentong's Shanghai transfer center [1] - The project aims to enhance operational stability for Shentong Express and serves as an innovative model for the logistics industry to transition towards efficient and low-carbon operations [1] - The energy storage system is designed with both grid-connected and off-grid modes, providing reliable emergency power support during power outages, ensuring uninterrupted core operations at the logistics hub [1] Group 2 - ProLogis's new energy business focuses on investments and asset management in renewable energy infrastructure, including solar, wind, and energy storage, with a cumulative development scale exceeding 2GW [2] - The company is committed to providing comprehensive solutions for industry clients, including green energy and carbon management, promoting the decarbonization transformation of the industry [2]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Aviation Industry - Boeing's aircraft delivery suspension has a limited impact on the Chinese aviation industry, with three previously suspended aircraft set to be delivered to Xiamen Airlines and China Southern Airlines. China Eastern Airlines plans to introduce 46 Boeing aircraft by 2025, with about 10 already delivered in Q1. These new aircraft represent less than 1% of the total industry fleet of 4,300 aircraft [2][4] - Market expectations suggest that tax rebates may compensate airlines for the delivery suspension, which has not significantly affected stock prices [4] - The summer 2025 aviation market is expected to see good pre-sales, with non-fuel ticket prices projected to achieve double-digit growth, although current seat occupancy rates are lower than last year [5] Express Delivery Industry - The express delivery sector is experiencing price increases, particularly in Yiwu, while intense price wars among major companies have not yielded expected results. The growth rate for Zhongtong's parcel volume in Q1 was only 19%, compared to the industry average of 22% [6] - The price war may reach a temporary bottom if price increases continue, presenting a good opportunity for investment in companies like Zhongtong, Jitu, YTO, and Shentong [6] - The application of unmanned vehicles in the last-mile delivery is rapidly advancing, with SF Express increasing its investment in unmanned vehicles, significantly reducing per-package costs [7][8] Chemical Industry - The CCPI price index has decreased due to oil price fluctuations and the seasonal decline in consumption. The index currently stands at 44,033 points, down one percentage point from the previous week [9] - U.S. inventory growth in March was 3.47%, indicating potential future demand decline, which may affect chemical product exports [10] - OPEC's decision to increase production may impact the chemical industry, with a focus on supply-constrained products [11] Fertilizer Market - Potash fertilizer contract prices have risen, with ongoing tight supply and demand conditions expected to maintain high prices. The price for potash contracts in India is $349 per ton, up $70 year-on-year [13][14] Refrigerant and Vitamin Markets - Refrigerant prices are rising due to increased downstream demand, with R32 reaching 51,000 yuan per ton. Vitamin E prices are expected to rise due to low inventory levels and production halts among leading companies [15] Precious Metals Market - Silver prices are rising due to increased tariffs on copper and aluminum, while platinum and palladium prices are influenced by industrial demand fluctuations. The gold market is currently volatile, with attention on potential risks to the U.S. dollar's credibility [18][19] Oil Market - Brent crude oil prices have risen to $66.65 per barrel, with expectations of fluctuations between $63 and $67 in June. Despite OPEC's production increase, global demand remains tight [20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for integrated players such as SF Holding, JD Logistics (JDL), and the leader ZTO, while adopting a "Neutral" rating for others like STO, Yunda, and J&T, and a "Sell" rating for YTO and Sinotrans-A/H [7][21]. Core Insights - The express delivery sector in China is experiencing intense price competition, leading to a decline in average selling prices (ASPs) and profitability across franchise-based players, while integrated logistics providers show resilience [1][21]. - The report revises the expected industry volume growth for 2025E from 18% to 20% year-on-year, driven by a shift towards lightweight and small parcels, and the growth of emerging eCommerce platforms [2][21]. - The report highlights that the competitive landscape will depend on strategic adjustments by incumbents and potential policy interventions to stabilize pricing [1][21]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The express delivery sector concluded 1Q25 with a 22% year-on-year volume growth but faced a 6-10% decline in ASPs across major players [21][22]. - The ongoing price competition is attributed to a trade-down trend in eCommerce goods and the need for express players to maintain capacity utilization [22][23]. Financial Performance - The report indicates that the group operating profit for Tongda players is expected to decline by approximately 12% year-on-year in 2025E, with SF being the only player projected to see double-digit profit growth [6][7]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for franchise-based players are revised downwards by 9% to 19% below Bloomberg consensus [7][21]. Company-Specific Insights - SF Holding is noted for its strong performance, with a 20% year-on-year EBIT growth in 1Q25, benefiting from cost optimization and a diversified revenue stream [1][40]. - ZTO is highlighted as the only Buy-rated franchise-based express delivery name, expected to stabilize its market share despite near-term earnings weakness [7][21]. - Yunda and YTO are projected to experience low-to-mid teens year-on-year profit declines, while STO and J&T China are expected to see flat earnings [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The report anticipates continued competition in 2Q-3Q25, with potential for strategic adjustments or industry consolidation to mitigate pricing pressures [1][21]. - The ASP for express delivery services is forecasted to decline by 6% to 8% across major players in 2Q25E, reflecting a slightly easier base compared to 1Q [22][23]. Volume and Revenue Estimates - The report raises the industry volume estimate for 2025E to 20% year-on-year, factoring in strong growth momentum and a shift in parcel mix [2][21]. - Revenue estimates for ZTO are cut by 6% due to less-than-expected impacts from gross revenue bookings, while Yunda and YTO see slight revenue increases [2][6]. Valuation - The report continues to value China express delivery companies based on a 1-year forward EV/EBITDA multiple, which remains unchanged at an average of 7X [13][15].

Group 1: Market Performance - Major indices experienced a rebound on June 4, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.42%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.87%, and the ChiNext Index by 1.11% [2] - Over 3,700 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets saw gains, with a total trading volume of approximately 1.15 trillion yuan [2] Group 2: Beauty and Personal Care Sector - The beauty and personal care sector showed strong performance, with companies like Haoyue Care rising by 10% and Jinbo Biological by 7.36% [2] - A report from China Merchants Securities indicated that the cosmetics sector will continue to see performance differentiation in 2024 and Q1 2025, with leading domestic brands benefiting from competitive pricing and differentiated products [2] Group 3: AI and CPO Technology - Companies involved in AI and CPO technology saw significant gains, with Taicheng Light rising by 14.88% and Xinyi Sheng by over 7% [2][3] - Yole's report predicts that the CPO market will grow from $46 million in 2024 to $8.1 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 137% [3] Group 4: Beer Industry - The beer sector also showed strength, with companies like Pinwo Food rising by 12.84% and Huichuan Beer by over 7% [3] - Analysts noted that the beer industry is in the late stage of capital expenditure, with potential for increased dividend payouts from state-owned enterprises [3] Group 5: Battery and Solid-State Battery Sector - The battery and solid-state battery sectors were active, with Keheng Co. rising by 20% and Nord Co. by 10% [4] - Solid-state batteries are expected to start vehicle verification by 2027 and achieve mass production by 2030, with projected shipments exceeding 65 GWh by that year [4] Group 6: Declining Sectors - The logistics and airport shipping sectors faced declines, with companies like China Eastern Airlines and Shentong Express experiencing downturns [5]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the logistics and transportation industry, particularly the integration of unmanned vehicles and the profitability of airlines [1][2]. Key Points on Unmanned Vehicles - Unmanned vehicle procurement is expected to more than double, leading to cost reductions in the last-mile delivery segment [1]. - Forecasted unmanned vehicle scales for 2024 are as follows: - SF Express: 800 units - ZTO Express: over 1000 units - YTO Express: 500 units - Shentong Express: 200-300 units - By 2025, leading express companies are anticipated to see unmanned vehicle scales double [1]. - The price of the E-series unmanned logistics vehicle from Jiushi Intelligent has dropped to 19,800 yuan, with a monthly subscription service for FSD starting at 1,800 yuan [1]. - Different procurement strategies are being adopted by express companies: - SF Express is utilizing a leasing model for quicker deployment. - The Tongda system is supporting franchisees in procuring unmanned vehicles to reduce costs [1]. - There is an expectation for further opening of road rights, which would enhance cost reductions in last-mile delivery through unmanned vehicles [1]. Key Points on Airline Profitability - The domestic airline revenue management strategy has begun to show effects, with domestic ticket prices experiencing year-on-year growth [3]. - It is projected that the year-on-year decline in seat revenue for listed airlines in Q2 will narrow to 3%-4% [3]. - Due to OPEC+ continuing to increase production unexpectedly from May to July, it is anticipated that airline unit fuel costs will decrease by approximately 18% year-on-year by Q2 2025 [3]. - The correlation between ticket prices and fuel costs suggests that the three major airlines are likely to achieve positive profits in Q2, with private airlines also expected to show year-on-year growth [3]. - There may be a decline in volume and price data following the exam period and the Dragon Boat Festival, which could present a reverse layout opportunity [3]. - Recommendations include: - Juneyao Airlines - Huaxia Airlines - Spring Airlines - Air China H - China Southern Airlines H [3]. Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the profitability turning point for airlines and the potential for unmanned vehicles to significantly impact cost structures in logistics [1][3].