证券研究报告·行业研究·电力设备与新能源行业 需求强劲，价格弹性可期，开启新周期 --电动车2026年年度策略 首席证券分析师 ：曾朵红 执业证书编号：S0600516080001 联系邮箱：zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 联系电话：021-60199798 2025年12月14日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 备注：全文的"预计"如果没有特别说明，均为东吴证券研究所电新组预测 1 摘要： 2 ◆ 26年国内预计销量同增15%，欧洲销量持续高增，全球有望14%增长，考虑带电量提升，预计动力电池维持20%增长。25年国内 汽车消费政策持续+购置税退坡前抢装+出口强劲，全年预期30%增长至1676万辆，26年购置税退坡，预计Q1需求短期承压，且 我们预计26年"两会后"以旧换新补贴续力释放，有望托底26年销量，叠加重卡+出口强势高增，预计2026年新能源车销量1925 万辆，同增15%。欧洲补贴退坡消化完毕，叠加25H2起新车周期，预计全年34%增长至394万辆，26年英国、意大利等市场政策 加码，叠加新车刺激，预计维持30%增长。美国不确定性增加，短期需求放缓，新车型延期，预计25年销量增速放缓至4% ...

11 月新能源汽车表现强劲，动力电池产销同环比保持增长 [Table_Industry] 动力锂电 动力锂电《碳酸锂迎来上涨，钠电产业加速落 地》2025.11.20 动力锂电《电动重卡市场驶入增长快车道》 2025.10.22 动力锂电《再读固态电池投资机会》2025.09.11 动力锂电《再读固态电池投资机会》2025.08.29 动力锂电《固态电池正负极&集流体发展方向》 2025.08.26 股 票 研 究 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 徐强(分析师) | 010-83939805 | xuqiang@gtht.com | S0880517040002 | | 牟俊宇(分析师) | 0755-23976610 | moujunyu@gtht.com | S0880521080003 | | 余玫翰(分析师) | 021-23185617 | yumeihan@gtht.com | S0880525040090 | | 李依雯(研究助理) | 021-231 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.41% on December 12, with 21 out of the 28 sectors experiencing gains. The top-performing sectors were non-ferrous metals and electronics, with increases of 1.50% and 1.46% respectively. The power equipment sector ranked third in terms of gains [1] - The trading day saw a net outflow of 4.872 billion yuan from the main funds across the two markets. However, 14 sectors recorded net inflows, with the power equipment sector leading with a net inflow of 2.805 billion yuan, followed by the machinery equipment sector with a net inflow of 1.771 billion yuan [1] Power Equipment Sector Performance - The power equipment sector increased by 1.42%, with a total net inflow of 2.805 billion yuan. Out of 364 stocks in this sector, 263 stocks rose, including 19 that hit the daily limit, while 95 stocks fell, with 1 hitting the lower limit [2] - Among the stocks with significant net inflows, China Western Power topped the list with a net inflow of 621 million yuan, followed by Dongfang Electric and TBEA with net inflows of 581 million yuan and 543 million yuan respectively [2] - The sector also saw notable outflows, with 12 stocks experiencing net outflows exceeding 100 million yuan. The largest outflow was from Sungrow Power Supply, with a net outflow of 2.058 billion yuan, followed by Tianci Materials and Goldwind Technology with outflows of 436 million yuan and 296 million yuan respectively [4] Key Stocks in Power Equipment Sector - Top inflow stocks included: - China Western Power: +10.06%, turnover rate 4.89%, net inflow 620.6 million yuan - Dongfang Electric: +10.02%, turnover rate 6.10%, net inflow 581.1 million yuan - TBEA: +6.58%, turnover rate 8.08%, net inflow 543.1 million yuan [2] - Top outflow stocks included: - Sungrow Power Supply: +0.53%, turnover rate 5.13%, net outflow -2.058 billion yuan - Tianci Materials: -3.70%, turnover rate 7.01%, net outflow -436.6 million yuan - Goldwind Technology: 0.00%, turnover rate 7.89%, net outflow -296.6 million yuan [4]

Core Viewpoint - Changjiang Securities' research report indicates that Tianci Materials is deeply engaged in the new materials sector, unlocking mid-term value potential. The company's main business profitability continues to improve, and with the rise in 6F prices, there is expected to be significant market share growth. The company's iron phosphate business is anticipated to reach a supply-demand inflection point by 2026. Additionally, progress in solid-state battery business and high-value new materials like insulating adhesives further enhance the company's long-term market valuation. Under the expectation of rising 6F prices, Tianci Materials demonstrates strong cost-performance among its peers. The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 is estimated to be 1.2 billion and 5.1 billion respectively [1] Group 1 - The company is focusing on new materials, which is expected to unlock mid-term value [1] - The profitability of the company's main business is continuously improving [1] - The rise in 6F prices is expected to significantly enhance the company's market share [1] Group 2 - The company's iron phosphate business is projected to reach a supply-demand inflection point by 2026 [1] - Progress in solid-state battery business is positive [1] - New materials such as insulating adhesives have high value potential [1] Group 3 - The company is expected to show strong cost-performance under the rising 6F price expectation [1] - Projected net profit for 2025 is estimated at 1.2 billion [1] - Projected net profit for 2026 is estimated at 5.1 billion [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the global expansion of Chinese lithium battery manufacturers, particularly focusing on their investments in Europe and North America to adapt to changing market dynamics and regulatory environments [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Domestic battery production capacity utilization in China has dropped to a warning level, while overseas markets, particularly Europe and North America, show increasing demand for electric vehicles and energy storage [1][2]. - The average selling price of key battery products in China has decreased by over 35% in the past two years, while raw material costs have fluctuated significantly, squeezing profit margins [8][9]. Group 2: Strategic Investments - CATL's investment in a joint battery factory in Zaragoza, Spain, exceeds 30 billion RMB, with a planned capacity of 50GWh, focusing on cost-effective lithium iron phosphate batteries for Stellantis [3][4]. - EVE Energy's factory in Hungary is in the critical phase of mechanical and electrical installation, with a planned capacity of 28GWh, while Guoxuan High-Tech's factory in Slovakia has completed initial construction with a capacity of 20GWh [5][6][7]. Group 3: Regulatory Challenges - The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the EU's new battery law impose significant barriers, requiring local production and stringent carbon footprint regulations, which compel Chinese companies to establish manufacturing bases abroad [2][10][11]. - The EU's new battery law necessitates a comprehensive tracking system for the carbon footprint of battery components, increasing the operational complexity for Chinese manufacturers in Europe [14]. Group 4: Operational Challenges - Chinese companies face significant challenges in adapting to local supply chains and regulatory environments when establishing factories abroad, including longer approval processes and the need for local compliance [13][14]. - The transition from exporting battery products to building factories and hiring local workers represents a substantial shift in operational strategy for Chinese lithium battery firms [8][12]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The strategic decision to expand overseas is seen as essential for survival, with companies aiming for 40% of their production capacity to be located internationally by 2030 [12][17]. - The focus is shifting from merely being a cost-effective manufacturer in China to becoming a recognized provider of high-tech solutions in global markets [12][17].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strategic shift of Chinese lithium battery companies, such as CATL and EVE Energy, towards establishing manufacturing facilities overseas in response to domestic market saturation and increasing competition, aiming to become global manufacturers rather than just suppliers from China [2][11]. Group 1: Investment and Expansion - CATL is investing over 30 billion RMB in a joint battery factory with Stellantis in Zaragoza, Spain, with a planned capacity of 50 GWh, targeting production by the end of 2026 [3][6]. - EVE Energy's factory in Debrecen, Hungary, is in the critical phase of mechanical and electrical installation, with a planned capacity of 28 GWh [4][5]. - Guoxuan High-Tech is constructing a battery super factory in Slovakia with an initial capacity of 20 GWh, strategically located near major automotive clients [5][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Domestic battery capacity utilization has dropped to alarming levels, while overseas markets, particularly in Europe and North America, show strong demand for electric vehicles and energy storage [2][8]. - The gross profit margins for overseas operations of companies like CATL and EVE Energy are reportedly 5 to 10 percentage points higher than domestic margins, indicating a lucrative opportunity in international markets [2][8]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the EU's new battery regulations impose strict localization requirements, pushing Chinese companies to establish local production to remain competitive [9][10]. - The EU's regulations require comprehensive tracking of carbon footprints and recycling ratios for battery components, necessitating significant adjustments in supply chain management for Chinese firms [10][13]. Group 4: Challenges and Adaptation - Chinese companies face significant challenges in adapting to local regulations, labor laws, and supply chain logistics when establishing overseas factories [12][13]. - Despite these challenges, companies are committed to overcoming obstacles to become global players, indicating a long-term strategic vision [14][15].

据了解，天赐材料 2022年公开发行可转换公司债券募集资金投资项目，除了补充流动资金外共5个项目。 | 倒计时7天 | | | --- | --- | | 2025（第十届）起点锂电行业年会暨锂电金鼎奖颁奖典礼 | | | &起点研究十周年庆典 | | | 2025起点用户侧储能及电池技术论坛 | | | 活动主题： | 新周期 新技术 新生态 | | 活动时间： | 2025年12月18-19日 | | 活动地址： | 深圳市维纳斯皇家酒店（深圳国际会展中心京基百纳店）三楼维纳斯厅（深圳市宝安区沙井 | | 镇沙井路118号） | | | 主办单位： | 起点锂电、起点储能、起点研究院SPIR | | 赞助及演讲单位： | 惠州潼湖生态智慧区管理委员会/逸飞激光/小鲁锂电/派能科技/莫洛奇/融捷能源/远 | | 东电池/诺达智慧/奥鸿智能/中天和/超业精密/北测新能源/蓝京新能源/贤辰智享/东唐智能/达力智能/ | | | 亿鑫丰/爱签/和明机械/金力股份/孚悦科技/乾纳智能装备/多氟多/科迈罗/三合一体/果曼钠电/新能安/ | | | 弘正储能/亮见钠电/易事特/清陶云能/信宇人/星恒电源/昆仑化学/星翼 ...

证券日报网讯 12月10日晚间，天赐材料发布公告称，截至赎回登记日2025年12月2日收市，"天赐转 债"尚有29017张未转股，公司按100.29元/张（含当期应计利息，年利率1.50%）赎回全部未转股债券， 赎回款已于12月10日到达持有人账户，本次赎回完成后"天赐转债"将在深交所摘牌。 （编辑 丛可心） ...

关注公众号，点击公众号主页右上角" ··· "，设置星标 "⭐" ，关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ 如想了解更多关于锂电池行业信息，欢 迎订购《 2025-2029年全球锂电池应用市场运行趋势及竞争 策略研究报告 》，订购电话：18964001371（微信同）。 鑫椤会议： 会议主办：鑫椤资讯 会议时间：2026年3月19-20日 会议地点：江苏·常州 会议咨询： 13248122922(微信同） 本文来源： 氟化工 12月10日，天赐材料发布公告， 宣布对2022年可转债募投项目中"年产4.1万吨锂离子电池材料项目（一 期）"进行第二次延期， 项目完工时间由原计划的2025年12月31日调整至2026年7月31日，涉及募集资 金8.34亿元。 截至2025年11月30日，该项目已投入募集资金 8223.47 万元，占计划投入募集资金的9.86%。本次延 期后，建设周期延长至45个月，较原计划累计延长7个月。 据公告披露，项目已完成工艺创新升级及相关审批手续，目前处于车间建设及部分设备安装阶段。公告显 示，本次延期主要由于设备采购及到货周期超出预期。为推进项目实施，已成立专项工作组，建立月度进 度汇报机制，重点协调设 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [13] Core Views - The company's main business profitability continues to improve, with significant potential for market share increase due to rising 6F prices. The iron phosphate business is expected to reach a supply-demand inflection point by 2026, contributing to profitability recovery and enhancement. Additionally, the solid-state battery business is progressing positively, and new materials like insulating adhesives are expected to add substantial value, indicating a favorable outlook for future profit elasticity [3][12] Summary by Relevant Sections Solid-State Battery Materials - Sulfide electrolytes are becoming the mainstream technology due to their high ionic conductivity and low density. The company focuses on the core electrolyte segment of solid-state batteries, launching the LPSX series to address cost issues and support large-scale production while precisely controlling particle size distribution [6][34] - Lithium sulfide is a key cost-reduction point in the solid-state battery industry, with the company achieving breakthroughs in high-purity lithium sulfide production, which is essential for high-performance sulfide solid-state electrolytes [7][50] New Material Developments - The company is actively developing high-temperature, high-performance thermoplastic engineering plastics to meet market demands for lightweight materials, currently in the product trial verification stage with small batch orders already supplied [11] - The company has also applied for patents related to metal-organic framework (MOFs) materials, achieving kilogram-level production and customer testing, showcasing significant performance improvement potential for lithium battery technology [10] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.2 billion yuan and 5.1 billion yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, highlighting the cost-effectiveness of the company under the anticipated price increase of 6F [12][30]