CEM(002980)
Search documents
光伏出口退税将取消,电池片价格持续上涨
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2026-01-22 01:37
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is experiencing a decline in production and demand, with significant decreases expected in December 2025, influenced by export tax policies and market conditions [1][2]. Production - PV module production in November 2025 decreased by 2.43% compared to October, with a further expected decline of 14.77% in December [2]. - Battery production for January 2026 is projected at 210 GWh in China, down 4.55% month-on-month, with significant reductions in second-tier companies, while energy storage battery production remains stable or slightly increases [2]. Prices - As of January 14, 2026, the price of polysilicon remained stable at 54.00 CNY/kg, while TOPCon dual-glass module prices increased by approximately 1.43% to 0.71 CNY/W [3]. - The average price for lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems in November 2025 was 0.5721 CNY/Wh, reflecting a 6.4% decrease [3]. Demand - In November 2025, the export value of PV modules was approximately $2.412 billion, a year-on-year increase of 34.08% and a month-on-month increase of 6.84% [4]. - Domestic PV installations in November 2025 reached 22.02 GW, a 74.76% increase month-on-month but an 11.92% decrease year-on-year [4]. Investment Recommendations - The expected cancellation of the export tax rebate for certain products in April 2026 may temporarily boost domestic PV product shipments, while also promoting the elimination of outdated production capacity [5]. - Companies to watch include Sungrow Power Supply (300274.SZ), Narada Power Source (300068.SZ), Tongrun Equipment (002150.SZ), Huashengchang (002980.SZ), and Shouhang New Energy (301658.SZ) [5].
光储行业跟踪:光伏出口退税将取消,电池片价格持续上涨
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2026-01-21 06:34
Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market [2][38]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in the demand for photovoltaic components, with exports reaching approximately $2.412 billion in November 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.08% and a month-on-month increase of 6.84% [2]. - The report anticipates a short-term boost in domestic photovoltaic product shipments due to the cancellation of the export tax rebate starting April 2026, which may lead to the optimization of production capacity in the long term [2]. - The report recommends focusing on companies related to energy storage and photovoltaic sectors, specifically mentioning Yangguang Electric (300274.SZ), Nandu Power (300068.SZ), Tongrun Equipment (002150.SZ), Huashengchang (002980.SZ), and Shouhang New Energy (301658.SZ) [2]. Summary by Sections Production - In November 2025, the overall production of photovoltaic components decreased by 2.43% compared to October, with a forecasted further decline of 14.77% in December due to returning to a period of weak terminal demand [2]. - The production forecast for January 2026 indicates a total of 210 GWh for the Chinese market in power, storage, and consumer batteries, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 4.55% [2]. Prices - As of January 14, 2026, the price of polysilicon remained stable at 54.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of TOPCon double-glass components increased by approximately 1.43% to 0.71 CNY/W [2][11]. - The average price for lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems in November 2025 was 0.5721 CNY/Wh, with a month-on-month decrease of 6.4% [2]. Domestic Demand - The domestic photovoltaic installation capacity in November 2025 was 22.02 GW, showing a month-on-month increase of 74.76% but a year-on-year decrease of 11.92% [2]. - Cumulative new photovoltaic installations from January to November 2025 reached 274.89 GW, marking a year-on-year growth of 33.25% [2]. Overseas Demand - The report notes that the export value of photovoltaic inverters in November 2025 was $767 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 25.91% and a month-on-month increase of 13.29% [2]. - The report indicates that the export of photovoltaic components to Australia saw a year-on-year growth rate exceeding 177%, suggesting new growth opportunities in emerging markets [2].
光储行业跟踪:光伏出口退税取消,硅料价格小幅上涨
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2026-01-13 10:01
Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in demand for photovoltaic components, with a notable year-on-year growth in domestic installations and exports [3][4]. - The cancellation of export tax rebates for photovoltaic products is expected to impact pricing and demand dynamics in the industry starting April 2026 [3]. - The report suggests a focus on energy storage-related companies as potential investment opportunities due to the increasing demand in the sector [3]. Production Summary - Photovoltaic module production in November 2025 decreased by 2.43% month-on-month, with domestic inventory levels rising as terminal installations fell short of expectations [3]. - Battery production for January 2026 is projected at 210 GWh, a decrease of 4.55% from the previous month, primarily driven by a reduction in production from second-tier companies [3]. Price Summary - As of January 7, 2026, the price of polysilicon increased by 3.85% to 54.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of 183N monocrystalline silicon wafers rose by 12.00% to 1.40 CNY/piece [3]. - The average price for lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems was reported at 0.5721 CNY/Wh, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 6.4% [3]. Domestic Demand Summary - In November 2025, domestic photovoltaic installations reached 22.02 GW, marking a 74.76% increase month-on-month but an 11.92% decrease year-on-year [3]. - Cumulative domestic photovoltaic installations from January to November 2025 totaled 274.89 GW, representing a year-on-year growth of 33.25% [3]. Overseas Demand Summary - In November 2025, photovoltaic component exports amounted to approximately 2.412 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 34.08% [3]. - The inverter export value for November 2025 was 767 million USD, showing a year-on-year increase of 25.91% [3].
华盛昌涨2.03%,成交额2589.72万元,主力资金净流入2.19万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 03:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that 华盛昌 has shown fluctuations in stock performance, with a year-to-date increase of 18.74% and a recent decline over the past 60 days of 14.95% [1] - As of December 31, 华盛昌's stock price was 21.16 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 4.008 billion yuan and a trading volume of 25.8972 million yuan [1] - The company reported a net inflow of 2.19 million yuan from main funds, with significant buying and selling activity [1] Group 2 - For the period from January to September 2025, 华盛昌 achieved operating revenue of 530 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 64.8943 million yuan, down 40.94% year-on-year [2] - The number of shareholders as of September 30 was 16,700, a decrease of 14.58% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 17.06% to 6,022 shares [2] - Since its A-share listing, 华盛昌 has distributed a total of 666 million yuan in dividends, with 245 million yuan distributed in the last three years [3]
光储行业跟踪:11月国内光伏装机同比增长,双玻组件价格小幅上涨
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2025-12-30 04:20
Investment Rating - The report suggests a "Strong Buy" rating for the solar and energy storage sectors, indicating a positive outlook for the industry based on current trends and demand forecasts [2][39]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the domestic solar installation capacity in November 2025 reached 22.02 GW, representing a month-on-month increase of 74.76% but a year-on-year decrease of 11.92% [2][3]. - The export value of solar modules in November 2025 was approximately $2.412 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 34.08% and a month-on-month increase of 6.84% [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing demand for energy storage systems, with the average price of lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems in November 2025 ranging from 0.4452 to 0.6828 CNY/Wh, with an average price of 0.5721 CNY/Wh [2][3]. Summary by Sections Production - Solar module production in November 2025 decreased by 2.43% compared to October, while battery production for January 2026 is projected to be 210 GWh, a decrease of 4.55% month-on-month [2][3]. Pricing - As of December 24, 2025, the price of multi-crystalline silicon remained stable at 52.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of 183N monocrystalline silicon wafers increased by 5.93% to 1.25 CNY/piece [2][3]. Domestic Demand - The cumulative newly installed solar capacity from January to November 2025 reached 274.89 GW, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 33.25% [2][3]. Overseas Demand - The report notes that the export value of inverters in November 2025 was $767 million, marking a year-on-year increase of 25.91% and a month-on-month increase of 13.29% [2][3].
研判2025!中国光伏检测设备行业相关政策、发展现状、企业分析及未来前景展望:光伏产业供过于求,导致行业内企业业绩短期承压[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-12-26 01:17
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic testing equipment industry is experiencing rapid growth driven by the expansion of photovoltaic cell and module production capacity, leading to increased demand for testing equipment and higher quality standards in production processes [1][3][6]. Industry Overview - Photovoltaic testing equipment is essential for assessing the performance, quality, safety, and reliability of photovoltaic components and systems, playing a crucial role in the development of the photovoltaic industry [3][4]. - The market size of China's photovoltaic testing equipment industry is projected to reach 2.101 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.9% [1][7]. Industry Policies - Recent government policies have been implemented to promote the development of the photovoltaic industry, including guidelines for updating and replacing equipment to improve efficiency standards [4][6]. - The 2024-2025 energy conservation and carbon reduction action plan emphasizes the construction of large-scale photovoltaic bases in desert areas, which will further drive the demand for testing equipment [4][6]. Market Dynamics - The cumulative installed capacity of photovoltaic systems in China increased from 204.2 GW in 2019 to 886.66 GW in 2024, with new installations rising from 30.1 GW to 277.17 GW during the same period [6]. - The rapid growth in installed capacity is expected to lead to increased demand for testing equipment to ensure quality control and operational efficiency [6][10]. Competitive Landscape - The photovoltaic testing equipment market is dominated by a few large manufacturers from Europe, the United States, and Japan, while domestic companies in China are rapidly improving their technology and quality [8][9]. - Key players in the Chinese market include Shanghai Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd., Shenzhen Huashengchang Technology Co., Ltd., and others, with varying performance and revenue trends [8][9]. Development Trends - The industry is moving towards greater automation and intelligence in testing processes, integrating visual defect detection systems to enhance production efficiency and reduce labor costs [10][11]. - As the focus shifts from quantity to quality, there is an increasing demand for high-performance testing equipment, prompting continuous technological innovation within the industry [11]. - Global expansion is accelerating, with Chinese companies establishing production bases in Southeast Asia and the Middle East to meet international market demands and comply with global testing standards [12].
11月光伏组件出口额同比高增,海外需求持续旺盛 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-12-23 03:05
Core Viewpoint - The report highlights a decline in the production and demand for photovoltaic components, with a notable decrease in both domestic and overseas markets, while also indicating a mixed performance in battery production and pricing trends across different segments [1][2]. Production - Photovoltaic component production in November 2025 decreased by 2.43% compared to October 2025, with domestic terminal installation progress falling short of expectations and rising component prices causing reluctance among downstream buyers [2] - In December 2025, the predicted production volume for power, storage, and consumer batteries in China is 220 GWh, reflecting a 5.3% month-on-month increase, with storage battery production accounting for approximately 35.3% [2] Pricing - As of December 17, 2025, the price of polysilicon remained stable at 52.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of 183N monocrystalline silicon wafers was 1.18 CNY/piece, and TOPCon double-glass components also held steady at 0.69 CNY/W [3] - In November 2025, the average price of lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems ranged from 0.4452 to 0.6828 CNY/Wh, with an average price of 0.5721 CNY/Wh, reflecting a 6.4% decrease month-on-month [3] Demand - In November 2025, the export value of photovoltaic components reached approximately 2.412 billion USD, marking a year-on-year increase of 34.08% and a month-on-month increase of 6.84% [4] - The cumulative export value from January to November 2025 was 25.885 billion USD, showing a year-on-year growth of 4.89% [4] - Domestic photovoltaic installations in October 2025 totaled 12.6 GW, representing a month-on-month increase of 30.4% but a year-on-year decrease of 38.3% [4] - The newly tendered capacity for EPC/PC (including DC-side equipment) and storage systems in November 2025 reached 21.8 GW/64 GWh, marking a monthly high for 2025 with a 65% increase month-on-month [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies related to the photovoltaic and storage sectors, recommending specific companies such as Sunshine Power, Nandu Power, Tongrun Equipment, Huashengchang, and Shouhang New Energy [5]
光储行业跟踪:11月光伏组件出口额同比高增,海外需求持续旺盛
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2025-12-22 08:01
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperforming the Market" based on the expected performance relative to the benchmark indices [2][32]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in overseas demand for photovoltaic components, with exports in November 2025 reaching approximately $2.412 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.08% and a month-on-month increase of 6.84% [2][24]. - Domestic production of photovoltaic components saw a month-on-month decline of 2.43% in November 2025, while the demand for energy storage remains robust, with a projected production of 220 GWh for December 2025, marking a 5.3% increase [2][10]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring companies involved in the solar and storage sectors, recommending specific stocks such as Sungrow Power (300274.SZ) and Nandu Power (300068.SZ) due to their potential growth in the current market environment [2][30]. Summary by Sections Production - In November 2025, the overall production of photovoltaic components decreased by 2.43% compared to October, while energy storage battery production is expected to grow significantly [2][10][11]. Prices - As of December 17, 2025, the price of polysilicon remained stable at 52.00 CNY/kg, while the average price for TOPCon double-glass modules was reported at 0.69 CNY/W [2][7][12]. Domestic Demand - The domestic photovoltaic installation in October 2025 was 12.6 GW, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 30.4% but a year-on-year decrease of 38.3%. Cumulatively, from January to October 2025, the total installed capacity reached 252.87 GW, up 39.5% year-on-year [2][22]. Overseas Demand - The report notes that the export value of photovoltaic components in November 2025 was approximately $2.412 billion, with a cumulative export value from January to November 2025 reaching $25.885 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.89% [2][26].
华盛昌:加强研发投入,努力提升盈利能力,实施稳健分红政策
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 07:40
Group 1 - The company has acknowledged recent significant fluctuations in its market value and is aware of investor concerns regarding this issue [1] - The company emphasizes its commitment to enhancing research and development investments to improve profitability and maintain a stable dividend policy to reward shareholders [1] - The company attributes stock price movements to various factors, including macroeconomic conditions, industry policies, and investor risk preferences [1]
盯上你的眼 苹果、谷歌也加入“百镜混战”
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-19 12:38
Group 1 - Major tech companies like Apple and Google are intensifying their focus on the smart glasses market, with Apple pausing its Vision Pro upgrade plans to accelerate AI smart glasses development, expected to launch in 2026 [1] - The competition in the smart glasses sector is heating up in China, with companies like Li Auto, Alibaba, Baidu, Huawei, and Xiaomi launching their own AI glasses, indicating a cross-industry battle involving tech, internet, and new energy sectors [1][2] - The entry of established tech giants and new players into the smart glasses market signifies a strategic move to capture the next generation of human-computer interaction, positioning smart glasses as a key hardware in the AI multimodal era [2][4] Group 2 - The smart glasses are seen as an extension of existing ecosystems and a means to leverage AI capabilities, with Li Auto's Livis glasses gaining significant consumer interest and sales [4] - Alibaba's Quark AI glasses have also seen strong sales due to their practical features, indicating that major internet companies are finding viable paths in this new market [4] - The industry is at a critical juncture, with startups needing to focus on niche markets or technological breakthroughs to survive amidst competition from larger firms [5][6] Group 3 - The relationship between smart glasses and smartphones is expected to be complementary rather than one replacing the other, as both technologies evolve together [7] - Current technological limitations in smart glasses, such as weight and battery life, indicate that the industry is still in its early stages, with significant growth potential ahead [7][8] - The global market for smart glasses is projected to grow significantly, with sales expected to reach 41.53 million units by 2029, potentially exceeding 100 billion yuan in market size [8] Group 4 - The influx of major players into the smart glasses market is expected to accelerate technological advancements and reshape industry standards, while also creating challenges for smaller brands [9] - The competitive landscape is shifting from price wars to technology-driven competition, emphasizing the importance of AI integration and user experience [9][11] - Key supply chain companies in the smart glasses sector have shown active stock performance, reflecting investor interest and market optimism [11]