Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [2][30]. Core Insights - The demand for power and energy storage lithium batteries is increasing, while lithium material prices are showing differentiation [5]. - In November 2025, domestic battery production reached 176.3 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 49.66% and a month-on-month increase of 3.34% [2]. - The production of lithium iron phosphate (LFP) cathode materials in November 2025 was 268,900 tons, up 29.43% year-on-year and 0.75% month-on-month, with a capacity utilization rate of 62.53% [2]. - The average price of industrial-grade lithium carbonate rose to 94,000 CNY/ton, with a weekly decrease of 3.40% [2]. - The average price of LFP (power type) remained stable at 39,100 CNY/ton as of December 5, 2025 [2]. - The monthly installation of LFP batteries in November 2025 was 75.3 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 43.62% and a month-on-month increase of 11.56% [2]. - The export volume of Chinese power batteries in November 2025 was 21.2 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 69.60% and a month-on-month increase of 9.28% [2]. Summary by Sections Production - In November 2025, the production of positive materials for batteries showed significant growth compared to the same period in 2024 [2][3]. Prices - The prices of key raw materials for lithium batteries have stabilized, with various components showing different price trends [2][3]. Domestic Demand - The domestic demand for lithium batteries is on the rise, with significant increases in monthly installation and new bidding capacities for energy storage projects [2][3]. Overseas Demand - The export of power batteries from China has increased significantly compared to the previous year, indicating strong overseas demand [2][3].

Core Viewpoint - Zhongwei New Materials (02579.HK) has seen a significant decline in its stock price since its listing, currently trading at 26.44 HKD, marking a drop of 2.074% and reaching an all-time low of 26.08 HKD, with a cumulative decline of 22.24% since its IPO [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Zhongwei New Materials' stock is currently in a state of decline, with a trading price of 26.44 HKD and a drop of 2.074% [1] - The stock hit a record low of 26.08 HKD during trading today [1] - Since its listing, the stock has experienced a total decline of 22.24% [1] Group 2: IPO Details - Zhongwei New Materials was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 17, 2025, with a final offering price of 34.00 HKD [1] - The total number of shares issued in the IPO was 104,225,400, with 10,422,600 shares allocated for public offering in Hong Kong and 93,802,800 shares for international offering [1] - The total proceeds from the IPO amounted to 3,543,663,600 HKD, with a net amount of 3,432,609,775 HKD after deducting estimated listing expenses [1]

Event Overview - The 2025 (10th) Lithium Battery Industry Annual Conference and Lithium Battery Golden Ding Award Ceremony will be held on December 18-19, 2025, in Shenzhen, focusing on new cycles, technologies, and ecosystems [2] Company Developments - CATL signed a framework supply agreement with Vena Energy to provide 4GWh of EnerX battery energy storage systems, utilizing 530Ah cells with a capacity of 5.6MWh per 20-foot container [5] - XINWANDA established a new subsidiary in Zaozhuang with a registered capital of 300 million RMB, focusing on energy technology R&D, battery manufacturing, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure [6] - DEYI Energy launched a 20GWh power battery project in Dagang Economic Development Zone, with a fixed asset investment of approximately 4 billion RMB [7] - FULIN Technology announced price increases for some products due to rising raw material costs and expanding market demand [8] - DEGA Energy will raise battery prices by 15% starting December 16, 2025, in response to increased production costs [9] - Beijing Weilan New Energy submitted an IPO application to the Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau [10] - Samsung SDI secured a contract to supply lithium iron phosphate batteries worth over 2 trillion KRW (approximately 9.6 billion RMB) for an energy facility in the U.S. [12] - LG Energy signed a battery supply agreement with Mercedes-Benz valued at 2.06 trillion KRW (approximately 988.6 million RMB) [14] - Tianqi Materials announced a second delay for its lithium-ion battery materials project, extending the completion date to July 31, 2026 [16] - ENJIE signed a memorandum of understanding with Arkema to jointly develop next-generation battery separators [17] - FOSU Technology's acquisition of JINLI Co., Ltd. was approved, with a total transaction value of 5.08 billion RMB [18] - XINZHOUBANG plans to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global competitiveness [19] - GUOCHENG Technology intends to acquire FUYUE Technology for 241 million RMB [21] Industry Trends - In November, China's automotive production exceeded 3.5 million units for the first time, with a year-on-year growth of over 10% [31] - NEV exports reached 2.315 million units, doubling year-on-year [31] - The second-generation solid-state electrolyte from XINYUREN has entered battery-level testing [24] - New battery recycling projects are being initiated in Shandong and Anhui, indicating a growing focus on battery recycling and resource recovery [28][29]

证券研究报告·行业研究·电力设备与新能源行业 需求强劲，价格弹性可期，开启新周期 --电动车2026年年度策略 首席证券分析师 ：曾朵红 执业证书编号：S0600516080001 联系邮箱：zengdh@dwzq.com.cn 联系电话：021-60199798 2025年12月14日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 备注：全文的"预计"如果没有特别说明，均为东吴证券研究所电新组预测 1 摘要： 2 ◆ 26年国内预计销量同增15%，欧洲销量持续高增，全球有望14%增长，考虑带电量提升，预计动力电池维持20%增长。25年国内 汽车消费政策持续+购置税退坡前抢装+出口强劲，全年预期30%增长至1676万辆，26年购置税退坡，预计Q1需求短期承压，且 我们预计26年"两会后"以旧换新补贴续力释放，有望托底26年销量，叠加重卡+出口强势高增，预计2026年新能源车销量1925 万辆，同增15%。欧洲补贴退坡消化完毕，叠加25H2起新车周期，预计全年34%增长至394万辆，26年英国、意大利等市场政策 加码，叠加新车刺激，预计维持30%增长。美国不确定性增加，短期需求放缓，新车型延期，预计25年销量增速放缓至4% ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid development of the lithium battery industry in Zaozhuang High-tech Zone, driven by national "dual carbon" strategies and local government support, leading to significant advancements in both quantity and quality of the industry [1][3]. Industry Development - Zaozhuang High-tech Zone has attracted major investments, including a total investment of 20 billion yuan from XINWANDA, with the first phase of a 16GWh project already in production and a second phase of 24GWh under construction, fostering a "leading enterprise and symbiotic chain" effect [2]. - The region has successfully gathered nearly 40 key lithium battery-related enterprises, covering over 160 product categories, creating a complete ecosystem from battery materials to end applications [3]. Urban Integration and Infrastructure - The development of the "Zero Carbon Intelligence Valley" in Zaozhuang High-tech Zone is marked by significant construction activity and the establishment of multiple key projects, enhancing the area's industrial cluster [4]. - Infrastructure improvements, including upgraded transportation networks and energy facilities, are being implemented to support the growth of strategic emerging industries [4][6]. Community and Living Standards - The Zaozhuang High-tech Zone is focused on enhancing urban functions and improving the quality of life for residents, with developments like Yunxi Town showcasing a blend of new and traditional businesses [5]. - The area is also implementing innovative housing solutions to meet diverse residential needs, contributing to a more livable urban environment [6].

Core Insights - The article discusses the global expansion of Chinese lithium battery manufacturers, particularly focusing on their investments in Europe and North America to adapt to changing market dynamics and regulatory environments [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Domestic battery production capacity utilization in China has dropped to a warning level, while overseas markets, particularly Europe and North America, show increasing demand for electric vehicles and energy storage [1][2]. - The average selling price of key battery products in China has decreased by over 35% in the past two years, while raw material costs have fluctuated significantly, squeezing profit margins [8][9]. Group 2: Strategic Investments - CATL's investment in a joint battery factory in Zaragoza, Spain, exceeds 30 billion RMB, with a planned capacity of 50GWh, focusing on cost-effective lithium iron phosphate batteries for Stellantis [3][4]. - EVE Energy's factory in Hungary is in the critical phase of mechanical and electrical installation, with a planned capacity of 28GWh, while Guoxuan High-Tech's factory in Slovakia has completed initial construction with a capacity of 20GWh [5][6][7]. Group 3: Regulatory Challenges - The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the EU's new battery law impose significant barriers, requiring local production and stringent carbon footprint regulations, which compel Chinese companies to establish manufacturing bases abroad [2][10][11]. - The EU's new battery law necessitates a comprehensive tracking system for the carbon footprint of battery components, increasing the operational complexity for Chinese manufacturers in Europe [14]. Group 4: Operational Challenges - Chinese companies face significant challenges in adapting to local supply chains and regulatory environments when establishing factories abroad, including longer approval processes and the need for local compliance [13][14]. - The transition from exporting battery products to building factories and hiring local workers represents a substantial shift in operational strategy for Chinese lithium battery firms [8][12]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The strategic decision to expand overseas is seen as essential for survival, with companies aiming for 40% of their production capacity to be located internationally by 2030 [12][17]. - The focus is shifting from merely being a cost-effective manufacturer in China to becoming a recognized provider of high-tech solutions in global markets [12][17].

Group 1 - The conference aims to address the challenges of industrial upgrading and spatial quality improvement through customized spatial solutions, with over 300 hectares of industrial land and more than 20 million square meters of industrial space available [1] - The strategic development plan for Bao'an includes a comprehensive spatial development strategy, focusing on an air transport economic belt, urban centers, technology innovation zones, and advanced manufacturing parks [2] - Bao'an has established a full-chain spatial guarantee system to enhance efficiency in land supply and service levels, ensuring that enterprises can quickly secure land and start operations [4] Group 2 - The region hosts nearly 560,000 enterprises, with a significant portion being national high-tech companies, and has formed five trillion-yuan industrial clusters, indicating strong economic capabilities [3] - The "AI Smart Space" platform has been launched to facilitate efficient matching of industrial space needs, featuring over 1,880 parks and 820,000 square meters of available space [6] - Bao'an's commitment to creating a favorable business environment is reflected in its continuous recognition as a top district for investment, emphasizing a proactive approach to addressing enterprise needs [8]

Core Viewpoint - Chinese lithium battery giants are expanding globally to seek new growth opportunities and navigate through market cycles, with a focus on establishing manufacturing capabilities in Europe and Southeast Asia [2][4][12]. Group 1: Global Expansion Initiatives - CATL and Stellantis have initiated a joint battery factory in Zaragoza, Spain, with a planned capacity of 50 GWh, aiming for production by the end of 2026 [6]. - EVE Energy is advancing its factory construction in Debrecen, Hungary, with a planned capacity of 28 GWh, while Guoxuan High-Tech is establishing a 20 GWh battery factory in Slovakia [9]. - Aiming for a localized supply chain, companies like Xinwanda are also expanding in Thailand, with over 17.4 GWh of planned battery capacity [10]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Challenges - Domestic battery utilization rates are declining, leading to price wars that erode profits, while overseas markets, particularly in Europe and North America, show increasing demand for electric vehicles and energy storage [3][12]. - The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in the U.S. and the EU's new battery regulations impose significant barriers, necessitating local production to meet supply chain localization requirements [3][14]. Group 3: Profitability and Strategic Shifts - Despite domestic pressures, overseas operations for companies like CATL and EVE Energy show profit margins 5 to 10 percentage points higher than domestic margins [4][13]. - The shift from being "Chinese suppliers" to "global manufacturers" is crucial for survival, as companies aim to establish a competitive edge in international markets [4][12][15]. Group 4: Operational Challenges in Foreign Markets - Chinese companies face significant operational challenges in adapting to local conditions, including supply chain issues and regulatory compliance in Europe and the U.S. [18][20]. - The EU's stringent environmental regulations require companies to trace the carbon footprint of all battery components, adding complexity to operations [20]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The strategic focus for many Chinese lithium battery companies is to increase overseas production capacity to over 40% by 2030, aiming to become recognized as reliable high-tech solution providers in global markets [15][21]. - Despite the challenges, companies are committed to overcoming obstacles to establish themselves as global players in the lithium battery industry [21][22].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the strategic shift of Chinese lithium battery companies, such as CATL and EVE Energy, towards establishing manufacturing facilities overseas in response to domestic market saturation and increasing competition, aiming to become global manufacturers rather than just suppliers from China [2][11]. Group 1: Investment and Expansion - CATL is investing over 30 billion RMB in a joint battery factory with Stellantis in Zaragoza, Spain, with a planned capacity of 50 GWh, targeting production by the end of 2026 [3][6]. - EVE Energy's factory in Debrecen, Hungary, is in the critical phase of mechanical and electrical installation, with a planned capacity of 28 GWh [4][5]. - Guoxuan High-Tech is constructing a battery super factory in Slovakia with an initial capacity of 20 GWh, strategically located near major automotive clients [5][6]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Domestic battery capacity utilization has dropped to alarming levels, while overseas markets, particularly in Europe and North America, show strong demand for electric vehicles and energy storage [2][8]. - The gross profit margins for overseas operations of companies like CATL and EVE Energy are reportedly 5 to 10 percentage points higher than domestic margins, indicating a lucrative opportunity in international markets [2][8]. Group 3: Regulatory Environment - The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and the EU's new battery regulations impose strict localization requirements, pushing Chinese companies to establish local production to remain competitive [9][10]. - The EU's regulations require comprehensive tracking of carbon footprints and recycling ratios for battery components, necessitating significant adjustments in supply chain management for Chinese firms [10][13]. Group 4: Challenges and Adaptation - Chinese companies face significant challenges in adapting to local regulations, labor laws, and supply chain logistics when establishing overseas factories [12][13]. - Despite these challenges, companies are committed to overcoming obstacles to become global players, indicating a long-term strategic vision [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - XINWANDA's 314Ah energy storage cell has become the first product in the battery industry to receive EPD International environmental product declaration certification, indicating its leadership in lifecycle management and green low-carbon manufacturing [1][4]. Group 1: Product and Certification - The 314Ah energy storage cell is the core product of XINWANDA's energy storage cell family, recognized for its safety, high energy density, and long cycle life, contributing to the company's entry into the top ten global shipments of energy storage cells in China by 2025 [3][6]. - The EPD certification follows strict guidelines from the EPD International system, covering the entire environmental impact of the product from raw material acquisition to end-of-life [3][6]. - This certification serves as a recognition of the product's strength and reflects XINWANDA's commitment to ESG principles [3][6]. Group 2: Future Plans and ESG Commitment - XINWANDA plans to expand the coverage of the EPD system across its energy storage cell product matrix and promote the standardized application of environmental declarations in the industry [4][7]. - The company aims to contribute more value to the global energy transition and clean energy development through higher standards of green innovation and sustainable practices [4][7].