来源：新浪基金∞工作室 12月16日，截止午间收盘，沪深300ETF中金（510320）跌1.23%，报1.208元，成交额144.57万元。沪深 300ETF中金（510320）重仓股方面，宁德时代截止午盘跌1.87%，贵州茅台跌0.63%，中国平安跌 0.52%，招商银行跌0.17%，紫金矿业跌3.66%，新易盛跌4.70%，中际旭创跌3.83%，美的集团跌 0.25%，东方财富跌1.01%，长江电力跌0.53%。 沪深300ETF中金（510320）业绩比较基准为沪深300指数收益率，管理人为中金基金管理有限公司，基 金经理为刘重晋，成立（2025-04-16）以来回报为22.37%，近一个月回报为-1.56%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the communication industry [9]. Core Insights - The communication sector has shown significant growth, with a 5.94% increase in the 50th week of 2025, leading the Yangtze primary industry rankings. Year-to-date, the sector has risen by 80.55% [2][4]. - Demand for optical chips, crucial for AI optical interconnects, remains strong, with overseas capacity expansion focusing on high-margin EML products. The commercialization pace of OCS and CPO is accelerating, driven by the scaling of AI clusters, which will further boost optical module demand [2][7]. - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a period of intensified activity, with core components like antennas and power supplies expected to see increased usage, enhancing their anti-deflationary characteristics [6][7]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - In the 50th week of 2025, the communication sector outperformed with a 5.94% increase, ranking first among primary industries. Since the beginning of the year, it has surged by 80.55% [2][4]. - Notable stock performances include Dekeli (+43.7%), Zhongci Electronics (+40.7%), and Huamao Technology (+28.5%) for gains, while Heertai (-12.6%), ZTE (-10.0%), and Nanjing Panda (-8.0%) faced declines [4]. Optical Chip Demand - Optical chips are in high demand, with Lumentum reporting that its EML production accounts for 50%-60% of the global market. The company has sold out its products until 2026 and has significant bookings for 2027, maintaining high prices [5]. - The company plans to increase EML capacity by approximately 40% over the next three quarters, although a 20% supply-demand gap currently exists, expected to widen to 30% by mid-2026 [5]. Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing a higher catalytic density, with potential applications in space data centers and a focus on rocket reusability tests expected to accelerate industry activity [6]. - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting stocks with high elasticity and anti-deflation characteristics, particularly in core components like antennas and power supplies [6]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended operators include China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom. For optical modules, suggested companies are Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Tianfu Communication, and Shijia Photon, with attention to Tai Chen Guang and Yuanjie Technology [7]. - Other recommendations include Invech for liquid cooling, and Fenghuo Communication, Hengtong Optic-Electric, and Zhongtian Technology for hollow-core fibers [7].

12 December 2025 Equity Research Report China Technology Equities Optical transceivers: TPU ramp brings new opportunity China TPUv7 and OCS are gaining traction with the debut of Google Gemini 3. Google's Gemini 3 has reset the bar for LLM performance, and it noted its success is rooted in its revolutionary infrastructure of the 9,216-chip TPUv7 (Ironwood) cluster. The massive scale interconnection is delivered by the optical circuit switch (OCS), an innovative technology that establishes dedicated, low-lat ...

随着2025年A股行情步入尾声，回溯近三年的市场结构，一个显著特征浮现：通信与电子行业已连续三 年（2023~2025年）跻身年度涨幅前五的一级行业之列（按申万一级行业统计，下同）。其中，通信行 业在2023年与2025年"摘冠"，表现尤为抢眼。这一持续性领涨态势，在A股历史上颇为罕见。 第一财经记者整理数据及行业表现，观测过去2000年以来的A股行业涨幅榜，市场素有"各领风骚两三 年"的周期规律，仅食品饮料行业曾在2016年至2020年实现连续五年涨幅排名前五，其他行业均未能突 破"领涨周期难超三年"的历史规律。如今，以AI算力硬件为核心的通信和以半导体、PCB等为代表的电 子行业，正试图挑战这一"历史牢笼"。 站在2025年末，投资者不禁要问：在即将到来的2026年，这场由科技革命驱动的"破笼"之战能否成功？ 通信与电子能否挣脱历史规律束缚，实现罕见的"四连强"？ AI虹吸效应，通信领涨全市场 2025.12.15 本文字数：2473，阅读时长大约5分钟 作者 |第一财经 魏中原 2025年，AI"虹吸效应"显著，全球高景气度共振催化AI业绩估值双双高增。年初至今（截至12月14 日），通信行业涨幅81. ...

随着2025年A股行情步入尾声，回溯近三年的市场结构，一个显著特征浮现：通信与电子行业已连续三 年（2023~2025年）跻身年度涨幅前五的一级行业之列（按申万一级行业统计，下同）。其中，通信行 业在2023年与2025年"摘冠"，表现尤为抢眼。这一持续性领涨态势，在A股历史上颇为罕见。 第一财经记者整理数据及行业表现，观测过去2000年以来的A股行业涨幅榜，市场素有"各领风骚两三 年"的周期规律，仅食品饮料行业曾在2016年至2020年实现连续五年涨幅排名前五，其他行业均未能突 破"领涨周期难超三年"的历史规律。如今，以AI算力硬件为核心的通信和以半导体、PCB等为代表的电 子行业，正试图挑战这一"历史牢笼"。 站在2025年末，投资者不禁要问：在即将到来的2026年，这场由科技革命驱动的"破笼"之战能否成功？ 通信与电子能否挣脱历史规律束缚，实现罕见的"四连强"？ 数据显示，2000年~2022年，通信行业只在2003年~2004年连续两年排进前五，其余年份甚至很少进入 前十名，2020年通信行业更是排名全市场倒数第二。2010年和2019年，电子行业摘得全市场第一名， 2022年该行业却垫底全市场。 通 ...

日前，A股市场两融交易仍保持了较高的热度，两融余额仍维持在2.5万亿元左右的规模，保持近年来的 高位。几天前的12月10日，两融余额规模甚至达25143亿元，再度刷新历史新高。 总的来看，今年12月以来，A股市场两融余额总体小幅增长，且多数行业获得融资资金青睐。数据显 示，若按照二级行业分类进行统计，今年12月初至12月12日期间，绝大多数行业板块实现融资净买入 （注：本文中"融资净买入额=融资买入额-融资偿还额"，下同）。其中硬件设备板块一骑绝尘，融资净 买入额逾百亿元居首；有色金属板块融资净买入额超过6亿元，居于第二位。半导体、国防军工、食品 饮料、银行、机械等行业融资净买入额也居于前列，均超过10亿元；与之相对应的是，化工、软件服 务、公用事业、建筑、家电、医药生物等行业则在上述期间融资净买入额为负，即期间融资偿还额超过 融资买入额。 A股两融交易仍保持较高热度，前几个交易日两融余额规模还一度刷新历史高点。 从个股上看，对于今年以来股价表现领跑A股市场的科技股，融资资金目前依然较为青睐，不过在具体 个股上，其动向则呈现较明显的分化。 A股两融交易仍保持较高热度 （002353）、中国铀业（001280） ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the semiconductor industry, highlighting four core investment themes for 2026: AI-driven structural growth, China's semiconductor self-sufficiency trend, high-yield defensive positioning, and industry consolidation through mergers and acquisitions [2][4]. Core Insights - The global semiconductor market is projected to grow by 26% year-on-year in 2026, reaching $975 billion, with AI-related segments leading this growth [4][48]. - Key recommended stocks include Zhongji Xuchuang (300308 CH), with a target price of RMB 707, and Shengyi Technology (600183 CH), with a target price of RMB 90, both expected to benefit significantly from AI infrastructure investments [3][5]. Summary by Themes Theme 1: AI-Driven Structural Growth - The AI supply chain is experiencing strong revenue growth and profit margin expansion, indicating a robust demand for infrastructure rather than a temporary investment craze [5]. - Capital expenditure from major cloud providers is expected to reach $367 billion in 2025, a 59% increase year-on-year, and further rise to $495 billion in 2026 [5][6]. - The demand for AI technology is expanding beyond large cloud service providers to include sovereign funds and enterprise clients [5][10]. Theme 2: China's Semiconductor Self-Sufficiency Trend - The self-sufficiency of the semiconductor supply chain in China is identified as a core theme with long-term growth potential, driven by geopolitical shifts and domestic policy support [3][38]. - Companies like Northern Huachuang (002371 CH) are positioned to benefit from this trend, with a target price of RMB 460 [39]. Theme 3: High-Yield Defensive Positioning - Major Chinese telecom operators are recommended as core defensive positions due to their strong balance sheets and attractive dividend yields, with China Mobile offering a yield of 6.0% [43][44]. Theme 4: Accelerating M&A Activity in the Semiconductor Industry - The report anticipates an acceleration in M&A activities within the semiconductor sector, with key players actively seeking to fill technology gaps and enhance supply chain resilience [46][47]. - Notable transactions in 2025 include Northern Huachuang's acquisition of Xinyuan Micro and other strategic consolidations aimed at strengthening market positions [47].

前十"门槛"达136.83% 年内仅剩十余个交易日，基金年终排名战的硝烟已进入最浓烈时刻！ Wind数据显示，截至12月12日，已有67只基金年内收益率突破100%，其中57只主动权益基金跻身"翻倍 俱乐部"。头部阵营中，永赢科技智选A以218%的收益率遥遥领跑，冠军宝座基本锁定。 永赢科技智选A的身后战况激烈，第三名之后的排位战更是悬念拉满，相邻名次差距甚小，终局随时可 能改写。不过，这些"尖子生"的制胜密码高度趋同，算力芯片、光模块（CPO）等标的近乎"标配"。在 当前市场震荡背景下，年内领涨的科技主线能否延续？ "光通信产业链的核心驱动力是来自下游需求的爆炸性增长，以及宏观政策与市场环境形成的有力共 振。"招商基金资深策略分析师汪洋说，今年的强势表现是技术、需求、资金共同作用的结果。明年该 板块仍将是科技投资图谱中的重要组成部分，但其内部或将显著分化。 观察这些业绩领先的基金持仓，一个显著特征是：投资组合"含科量"较高，大多重仓了人工智能相关概 念股，仅在具体席位排名与持仓比重上有所不同。尤其是算力芯片、光模块等AI产业链龙头公司，成 为这些基金的领跑"密码"。 第一财经根据三季报统计，目前主动权益基金 ...

沪深股通今日合计成交2122.06亿，其中中国平安和中际旭创分居沪股通和深股通个股成交额首位。板 块主力资金方面，国防军工板块主力资金净流入居首。ETF成交方面，银行ETF(512800)连续两周份额 大减，上周减少26亿份，十二月第一周份额减少19亿份。 龙虎榜方面，雷科防务今日探底回升成功涨停，获一家机构买入1.51亿，深股通席位买入1.99亿，一家 实力游资（国泰海通证券上海新闸路）买入2.3亿，一家量化席位（开源证券西安西大街）买入1.96亿。 一、沪深股通前十大成交 今日沪股通总成交金额为993.85亿，深股通总成交金额为1128.20亿。 | | | 沪股通( 12月15日 ) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排名 | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | 成交金额(亿元) | | 1 | 601318 | 中国平安 | 20.81 | | 2 | 688256 | 寒武纪 | 15.03 | | 3 | 601899 | 紫雯吐,亚 | 13.97 | | 4 | 600519 | 贵州茅台 | 13.75 | | 5 | 688012 | 中微公司 | 10.91 | | ...

今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 | 603011 | 合锻智能 | -4.35 | 19.78 | -6893.16 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603220 | 中贝通信 | -4.83 | 3.07 | -6886.66 | | 300757 | 罗博特科 | -6.07 | 3.17 | -6313.21 | | 688167 | 炬光科技 | -5.45 | 5.39 | -6006.31 | | 300408 | 三环集团 | -2.64 | 0.87 | -5951.72 | | 001267 | 汇绿生态 | -2.52 | 7.75 | -5809.86 | | 300913 | 兆龙互连 | -5.19 | 3.31 | -5562.82 | | 603228 | 景旺电子 | -3.56 | 2.46 | -5395.91 | | 000021 | 深科技 | -2.71 | 2.46 | -5380.55 | | 300252 | 金信诺 | -2.44 | 5.59 | -4808.54 | | 300303 | 聚飞光电 | -1.87 | 3. ...