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2026年大类资产配置展望:动能切换,增长扩散
Guohai Securities· 2025-12-18 13:32
Group 1 - The report identifies four macro clues for 2025: TACO trading, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut rhythm, AI commercialization, and China's export resilience [8] - It suggests that in 2026, the domestic GDP growth is expected to shift from external demand to investment driven by central finance, alongside a price recovery leading to a restocking cycle [8] - The report emphasizes that the main industry themes for 2026 will focus on "anti-involution" and "hard technology" sectors, highlighting coal, chemicals, construction materials, and power equipment as key areas for potential profit recovery [8] Group 2 - The asset allocation outlook for 2026 recommends a diversified approach, favoring equities and commodities over interest rate bonds, with an overweight on A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [8] - The report notes that the current market is driven by institutional funds rather than retail investors, indicating a preference for sectors with high profitability and fundamental improvements [8] - It highlights that the active equity funds are heavily concentrated in the TMT sector, with over 40% of holdings, leaving room for "anti-involution" and domestic demand recovery sectors [8] Group 3 - The report discusses the performance of various asset classes in 2025, noting that precious metals and Asia-Pacific equities led the gains, while bonds showed lackluster performance [10][11] - It indicates that the dollar index weakened by approximately 8.3%, and the USD/CNY exchange rate decreased by about 3.01% [11] - The report also highlights that the VIX index experienced significant fluctuations due to trade policy uncertainties, impacting market sentiment and asset performance [20]
股票市场概览:资讯日报:大型科技股拖累标普500指数四连跌-20251218
Guoxin Securities Hongkong· 2025-12-18 13:17
Market Overview - The S&P 500 index has experienced four consecutive declines, primarily driven by large technology stocks[1] - Major U.S. indices collectively fell, with the Nasdaq down nearly 2%[9] - The S&P 500 closed at 6,800, reflecting a decline of 1.16% for the day and a year-to-date increase of 14.28%[3] Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed a significant recovery in the afternoon, with major indices rebounding after two consecutive days of decline[9] - Large technology stocks such as Meituan and Kuaishou rose nearly 2%, while Tencent and Alibaba increased over 1%[9] - The financial sector saw a collective rise, with China Life Insurance up over 4% and CITIC Securities up over 3%[9] Sector Highlights - Precious metals stocks strengthened, with China Silver Group rising over 7% due to a weaker dollar and expectations of interest rate cuts, pushing silver prices above $66 per ounce[9] - The aviation sector saw gains, with China Southern Airlines up over 5% as ticket bookings surged ahead of the New Year holiday[9] - The lithium battery sector also rose, driven by a significant increase in lithium carbonate futures prices, with Tianqi Lithium up 5.83%[9] Economic Indicators - Japan's November exports grew by 6.1% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations, with a trade surplus of 322.2 billion yen[13] - The U.S. Treasury yields have shown fluctuations, impacting market sentiment and investment strategies[18]
Can NBIS AI Cloud 3.1's Blackwell Ultra Launch Trigger Growth Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-12-18 13:16
Key Takeaways Nebius AI Cloud 3.1 adds NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra, the first in Europe to run it in production.NBIS adds Capacity Blocks, real-time dashboards and tighter quotas to manage GPU supply and costs.NBIS lifted 2025 revenue to $500-$550M, flagging power, supply-chain and competition risks.As AI initiatives grow, enterprises face new operational challenges regarding GPU availability across regions, planning capacity for multiple teams and ensuring predictable access to resources. Nebius Group N.V. (NBI ...
2 Unstoppable Stocks to Buy No Matter What Happens in 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 12:35
Key Points These two tech leaders had a challenging year but have demonstrated their resilience. They also boast strong prospects and economic moats, making them excellent long-term investments. 10 stocks we like better than Amazon › In 2025, tariff threats and trade wars rocked equities and nearly triggered a full-blown bear market. Despite all that, stocks have performed pretty well this year. What's in store for 2026? Nobody knows. However, some companies can navigate the challenges ahead -- w ...
今日财经要闻TOP10|2025年12月18日
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 12:06
1、中国光伏行业协会名誉理事长王勃华:多晶硅产量12年来首次下降 在2025光伏行业年度大会上,中国光伏行业协会名誉理事长王勃华在报告中表示,多晶硅自2013年 以来产量首次同比下降,硅片自2009年以来首次同比下降。其给出的数据显示,2025年1-10月,多晶硅 产量约111.3万吨,同比下降29.6%;硅片产量约567GW,同比下降6.7%。电池片产量约560GW,同比 增长9.8%,光伏组件产量约514GW,同比增长13.5%。 证券时报推出"落实会议部署问答中国经济"系列述评,鉴于央行正逐步淡化量化目标,更加注重价 格型调控工具的作用,新的一年,央行还可能进一步推动收窄利率走廊、稳定国债收益率曲线、改革贷 款市场报价利率(LPR)报价等工作,加强各项利率之间的协同性和联动性,持续提升货币政策的传导 效果。加强财政政策和货币政策协调配合同样有助于扩大政策效能,在贷款贴息、风险补偿、信用增 进、国债发行等多个领域,财政、货币政策仍有深化合作空间。 4、美股三大股指收盘普跌 特斯拉跌超4% 周三美股三大股指收盘普跌,道指跌0.47%,纳指跌1.79%,标普跌1.14%。英伟达跌超3%,苹果 跌近1%,亚马逊 ...
中国美妆出海新战事:在系统化竞争中谋求长期主义
晚点LatePost· 2025-12-18 11:56
将电商的系统化能力,转化为品牌的全球市场竞争力。 文 丨 Leo 这标志着中国美妆出海进入了 "系统化与长期主义" 的新阶段。 过去十年,韩国美妆(K-Beauty)凭借水光肌、气垫等标志性产品,在强大的韩流文化助推下建立全 球影响力。如今,中国美妆(C-Beauty)正凭借极致的产品设计、敏捷的数字化营销和成熟的电商操 盘经验快速追赶。 随着国内美妆市场步入存量竞争,出海已成为中国品牌寻求增长的确定性路径。 经过几年的探索,中国美妆(C-Beauty)的出海叙事已超越了单纯的商品输出,拥有鲜明视觉语言和 文化内核的新一代品牌,不再满足于扮演国际巨头的平替,也不愿局限于新兴市场的性价比竞争,而 是开始向全球市场输出独特的品牌美学,争夺审美话语权。 2022 年,花知晓在欧美市场重构了独立站,并完成了一次关键的品牌主张转译,将 "少女心" 转译为 更具普世意义的 "Live Your Fairytales"。与此同时,其风格鲜明的产品在 Instagram 和 TikTok 上,迅 速引发 Coquette 等亚文化圈层的狂热,甚至一度引来美妆顶流 Jeffree Star 点赞,花知晓在欧美市场 斩获的热度和 ...
美股异动|科技七巨头盘前反弹 美光业绩提振AI相关情绪
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-12-18 11:22
格隆汇12月18日|美国科技七巨头盘前多数反弹,美光财报显示内存芯片需求强劲,缓解了投资者对数 据中心建设可能放缓的担忧。英伟达盘前涨1.35%,特斯拉涨1.41%,谷歌涨1%,亚马逊涨0.74%, Meta涨0.65%,微软涨0.70%,苹果微跌。 ...
AMZN and AMD: Cowen Calls These 2 AI Stock Giants Its Best Ideas for 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 11:07
Amazon hasn’t stood still on its retail business, even though that makes up approximately 80% of its revenue stream. The company is also well-known for its work with AI, cloud computing, and the combination of the two. AWS, Amazon’s subscription cloud platform, is a major revenue generator – with quarterly revenue of well over $30 billion in recent reports – and is also a key driver of Amazon’s AI work. Through AWS, Amazon offers a range of AI-powered features, including automation tools and apps, graphic d ...
新亚电子:公司产品高频高速铜缆连接线已通过安费诺进入戴尔、惠普、谷歌等知名服务器制造商供应链
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-18 10:51
(记者 张明双) 每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:公司从"内部线"核心供应商向"外部线"(如DAC、 AEC)市场拓展的战略规划和具体时间表? 新亚电子(605277.SH)12月18日在投资者互动平台表示,公司产品高频高速铜缆连接线已通过安费诺 进入戴尔、惠普、谷歌、亚马逊、微软、甲骨文、Meta、浪潮、新华三、中科曙光等知名服务器制造 商供应链。伴随算力持续提升,人工智能服务器更新换代浪潮愈发迅猛,公司在稳步推进高频高速铜缆 内部线业务稳健发展的同时,积极开拓高频高速铜缆外部线市场领域。 ...