Investment Rating - The investment rating for BYD is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - BYD's sales for 2025 are expected to increase year-on-year, continuing its push towards high-end products and exports [1] - The company is projected to achieve a total revenue of RMB 839.36 billion in 2025, reflecting an 8.01% year-on-year growth [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be RMB 35.01 billion in 2025, representing a decrease of 13.03% compared to the previous year [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is estimated at RMB 3.84 for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.55 [1] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for BYD from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: RMB 602.32 billion - 2024: RMB 777.10 billion - 2025: RMB 839.36 billion - 2026: RMB 962.02 billion - 2027: RMB 1,107.28 billion [1] - Net profit projections for the same period are: - 2023: RMB 30.04 billion - 2024: RMB 40.25 billion - 2025: RMB 35.01 billion - 2026: RMB 50.93 billion - 2027: RMB 66.39 billion [1] - The company expects to maintain a net profit margin of approximately 4.17% in 2025 [9] Sales and Market Performance - BYD's cumulative sales for 2025 are projected to reach 5.52 million units, a 20% increase year-on-year, with exports expected to account for 150,000 to 160,000 units [8] - The company has seen a significant increase in high-end vehicle sales, with December sales reaching 70,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 161% [8] - The company has established overseas production capacity exceeding 300,000 units per year, with factories in Brazil, Thailand, and Uzbekistan already operational [8] Battery and Energy Storage - BYD's battery installation for 2025 is expected to grow by 47%, with external battery supply also experiencing significant growth [8] - The company anticipates battery shipments for energy storage to exceed 50 GWh in 2025 and approximately 80 GWh in 2026 [8]

1月6日，特斯拉微博发布消息，特斯拉Model 3/Y/Y L推出7年超低息购车方案。其中，Model 3/Y首付 7.99万元起，月供可低至1918元；Model Y L首付9.99万元起，月供可低至2947元。 特斯拉还表示，Model Y L首次推出5年0息，首付9.99万元起，月供可低至3985元。 首付9.99万元起 1月2日晚间，特斯拉公布去年第四季度交付量为418227辆，同比下降16%，在全球电动车制造商排名中 明显被甩在中国比亚迪身后。 特斯拉在1月2日发布声明称，第四季度交付量下降16%至418,227辆，不仅低于分析师预期，也未达到 公司自身目标。 值得注意的是，就全年数据来看，特斯拉有史以来首次被中国汽车制造商比亚迪超越。数据显示，特斯 拉2025年全球交付汽车163.6万辆，同比下降约8.6%。同期，比亚迪纯电动汽车销量为225.67万辆。 可选5年0息方案®,月供可低至3985元® 或选7年超低息方案®,月供可低至2947元® ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is implementing various financing options and price adjustments to stimulate sales amid declining vehicle deliveries and increased competition from Chinese manufacturers. Group 1: Financing Options - Tesla has introduced a low-interest financing plan for the Model 3/Y/Y L, with down payments starting at 79,900 yuan and monthly payments as low as 1,918 yuan for Model 3/Y, and 99,900 yuan with monthly payments starting at 2,947 yuan for Model Y L [1] - The Model Y L also features a new 5-year 0% interest plan, with a down payment of 99,900 yuan and monthly payments starting at 3,985 yuan [1] Group 2: Price Adjustments - Recently, Tesla adjusted prices in other markets, including a reduction in South Korea where the price of the Model 3 and Model Y was lowered by up to 9.4 million won (approximately 6,490 USD) [3] - The high-performance all-wheel-drive version of Model 3 is now priced at 59.99 million won, down from 69.39 million won, while two Model Y variants saw a price drop of about 3 million won [3] Group 3: Sales Performance - Tesla is facing pressure from declining sales, with Q4 2025 production exceeding 434,000 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 5.5%, and deliveries over 418,000 vehicles, down approximately 16% year-on-year [5] - For the entire year of 2025, Tesla's global vehicle deliveries totaled 1.636 million, a decline of about 8.6%, marking the second consecutive year of falling delivery numbers [5] - Notably, Tesla's annual electric vehicle sales were surpassed by Chinese manufacturer BYD for the first time, with BYD reporting a total of 4,602,436 vehicles sold in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.73% [5] Group 4: Production and Growth in Other Segments - On December 30, 2025, Tesla announced the production of its 9 millionth electric vehicle at its Shanghai Gigafactory, which delivered over 97,100 units in December 2025, an 11% month-on-month increase [6] - The Shanghai factory accounted for 52% of Tesla's global deliveries, with approximately 851,000 units delivered in 2025 [6] - Despite the decline in vehicle sales, Tesla's energy storage business saw significant growth, with a total installation of 46.7 GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 48.7% [6]

Core Insights - BYD's 14 millionth electric vehicle was produced in Brazil, marking a significant milestone for Chinese automakers in the South American market [1] - In 2025, BYD's overseas sales of passenger cars and pickups exceeded 1.0496 million units, representing a 145% year-on-year increase, with a presence in over 119 countries and regions [1] - BYD's strategy focuses on local adaptation and deep market penetration, utilizing customized products, localized production, autonomous logistics, and brand contextualization to overcome market barriers [1] Group 1 - BYD's entry into the Brazilian market faced challenges such as consumer brand loyalty to established German, Japanese, and American automakers, as well as cultural and regulatory differences [1] - The company has built a localized industrial ecosystem in Brazil, integrating R&D, production, supply chain localization, and talent development to gain competitive advantages [1] - Approximately 80% of the nearly 1,000 employees at BYD's Brazilian passenger car factory are local hires, emphasizing the importance of local talent in the company's operations [1] Group 2 - BYD aims to transition from "product export" to "industrial export" and then to "ecological export" in Brazil, enhancing its market presence [2] - The company plans to increase its efforts in overseas market expansion and promote the adoption of electric vehicles and renewable energy products globally [2] - BYD will focus on advancing electric and intelligent technologies, investing in R&D to maintain its technological leadership and ensure effective market competitiveness [2]

Core Insights - Tesla has been a leader in the global EV market, but its dominance is now challenged by BYD, which has surpassed Tesla in sales as of 2026 [2] - BYD's growth has been characterized by consistent sales increases and a broad range of affordable EVs, while Tesla's vehicle deliveries have declined [2][6] - Investors are now considering whether to continue investing in Tesla or shift focus to BYD, the new leader in the EV market [3] Company Overview - BYD is the largest new-energy vehicle and battery manufacturer in China, offering a wide range of EVs and plug-in hybrids, from budget models to luxury vehicles [3] - The company has built significant manufacturing scale and expanded its global presence, contributing to its sales growth [2][3] Stock Performance - BYD's stock experienced volatility, with a notable rally of 74% in early 2025, but it has since given back much of those gains, resulting in a 10% return over the past year [4] - Berkshire Hathaway's exit from BYD shares in late 2025 indicates that even long-term investors are cautious as risks increase [3] Valuation Metrics - BYD's stock is trading at approximately 21 times trailing earnings, which is nearly double the auto industry average of around 11 times [5] - The price-to-sales ratio is near 1 times trailing revenue, aligning with large global automakers, while the price-to-book ratio of about 3.8 is considered elevated [5] Market Dynamics - Global EV sales increased by 28% in 2025, with BYD selling about 2.26 million battery EVs, a 28% YoY increase, compared to Tesla's 1.64 million, which saw an 8.5% decline [6] - Analysts suggest that BYD's milestone in sales may enhance its international expansion efforts and pressure Tesla to innovate its product lineup and improve margins [6]

转自：智通财经 【全球车企市值"大洗牌"：特斯拉、丰田、小米、比亚迪分列前四】智通财经1月5日电，汽车产业深度 变革背景下，全球车企市值排名的更新既是中国、外资车企行业地位与竞争格局的直观体现，亦为市场 对汽车企业全产业链价值的综合判断。截至2025年12月31日收盘，在全球车企TOP10中，新势力车企与 传统车企、海外车企与中国车企之间的市值排名竞争呈现两种局面——特斯拉、丰田、小米、比亚迪分 列前四，排名较一年前无变化的同时各自市值有所增长，且全球十大市值车企中依旧有两家中国公司； 五至十名位次发生"巨变"——宝马、奔驰、大众等排名全面提升，保时捷掉出前十，马鲁蒂铃木印 度"入替"位列第十名。（智通财经记者 张屹鹏） ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the performance of several A-share listed automotive companies in the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector for December 2025 and the entire year, with BYD leading the market in both monthly and annual sales [1][2] - BYD's total NEV sales reached 4.6024 million units in 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 7.73%, with pure electric vehicle sales at 2.2567 million units, up 27.86% [1] - In contrast, Tesla reported a total delivery of 1.64 million units for 2025, a decrease of 8.6% year-on-year, indicating that BYD has surpassed Tesla to become the world's top seller of electric vehicles [1] Summary by Company - **BYD** - December sales: 420,400 units, down 18.34% year-on-year - Annual sales: 4,602,400 units, up 7.73% year-on-year [2] - **SAIC Motor** - December sales: 143,800 units, down 6.65% year-on-year - Annual sales: 1,642,800 units, up 33.12% year-on-year [2] - **Changan Automobile** - December sales: 115,100 units, up 26.02% year-on-year - Annual sales: 1,110,000 units, up 51.10% year-on-year [2] - **Seres** - December sales: 61,000 units, up 63.40% year-on-year - Annual sales: 472,300 units, up 10.63% year-on-year [2] - **Great Wall Motors** - December sales: 38,900 units, down 7.91% year-on-year - Annual sales: 403,700 units, up 25.44% year-on-year [2] - **Beijing Automotive Blue Valley** - December sales: 35,200 units, up 114.56% year-on-year - Annual sales: 209,600 units, up 84.06% year-on-year [2]

（来源：票风笔记） 据媒体报道，比亚迪2025年四季度开始减少迪链的使用，增加现金和票据的支付比例。2025年10月，比亚迪汽车工业有限 公司单月签发了27亿元的商票，11月签发了23亿元，12月又签发了45亿元，连续三个月保持了较高的商票签发量，基本能 够印证比亚迪确实在增加票据的支付比例。 一、比亚迪应付款项情况 根据比亚迪财报披露，2025年9月末，比亚迪应付账款余额为2228亿元，其他应付款余额1348亿元，而应付票据余额仅为 22.2亿元，应付票据占比仅0.6%，应付票据中商票余额更低。可以说在2025年9月之前比亚迪票据的使用率极低。 假如应付票据占比能提升至20%，那应付票据余额就能增长至700亿元，包含银票和商票，作为对比，上汽集团应付票据 占比在25%左右。由于我们暂时无法获悉比亚迪银票最新签发数据，下文暂时就以商票视角来观察其票据使用情况。 二、比亚迪商票签发最新情况 比亚迪汽车工业有限公司作为比亚迪签发商票的主要主体，2025年上半年只承兑了9.1亿元商票，三季度承兑了6.8亿元商 票；10月以后开始商票承兑量显著上升，其中10月承兑27.5亿元，11月承兑23.1亿元，12月承兑44. ...

Industry Overview - In October 2025, China's new energy vehicle (NEV) sales reached approximately 1.715 million units, accounting for 51.6% of total new car sales, marking a significant shift in the market dynamics [1][11] - By November 2025, the penetration rate of NEVs further increased to 53.2%, indicating a transition from niche to mainstream consumer choice [1][11] - The automotive market is expected to face challenges as multiple consumer stimulus policies are set to exit, leading to a return to a demand-supply driven seasonal operation [1][12] New Entrants and Performance - Leap Motor emerged as the top new force with 596,600 units delivered, surpassing competitors like NIO, Xiaopeng, and Hongmeng Zhixing [3][14] - Xiaopeng Motors delivered 429,400 units, while Li Auto and NIO delivered 406,300 and 326,000 units respectively, with NIO experiencing a significant sales boost in Q4 due to the new ES8 model [3][14] - Xiaomi Auto achieved over 410,000 units, exceeding its target of 350,000 units, and plans to challenge a target of 550,000 units in 2026 [6][16] Established Brands Performance - BYD sold 4.6024 million vehicles globally, achieving its target and becoming the world's top seller of pure electric vehicles with 2.26 million units sold, a 28% year-on-year increase [7][17] - Geely and Changan both met their sales targets, with Geely selling 3.0246 million vehicles and Changan reaching 2.913 million, with significant growth in their NEV segments [8][18] - Great Wall Motors and Chery reported sales of 1.3237 million and 2.6314 million units respectively, with Chery's sales boosted by its collaboration with Huawei [8][18] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The competition among new entrants and established brands is intensifying, with the market expected to undergo significant changes as policy support diminishes [1][12] - The automotive industry is preparing for a challenging 2026, with various companies adjusting their strategies to maintain competitiveness [1][12]

【#小米稳居全球车企市值第三##保时捷掉出全球车企市值前十#】汽车产业深度变革背景下，全球车企 市值排名的更新既是中国、外资车企行业地位与竞争格局的直观体现，亦为市场对汽车企业全产业链价 值的综合判断。 截至2025年12月31日收盘，在全球车企TOP10中，新势力车企与传统车企、海外车企与中国车企之间的 市值排名竞争呈现两种局面——特斯拉、丰田、小米、比亚迪分列前四，排名较一年前无变化的同时各 自市值有所增长，且全球十大市值车企中依旧有两家中国公司；五至十名位次发生"巨变"——宝马、奔 驰、大众等排名全面提升，保时捷掉出前十，马鲁蒂铃木印度"入替"位列第十名。 1月3日，小米集团创始人、董事长、CEO雷军在直播中表示，2026年会将更多精力放在汽车业务上，年 交付目标定为55万辆。"希望2026年底能够超越这个成绩。"据其透露，小米汽车2025年交付超过41万 辆。 相较小米的加速"快跑"，比亚迪在过去一二年间年市值表现跌宕起伏——2024年6月，比亚迪全球市值 曾一度反超大众集团，成为全球车企市值季军；2024年底，比亚迪被当时入局汽车市场不足一年的小米 反超；2025年12月31日数据显示，比亚迪以13 ...