"股神"巴菲特领导的伯克希尔.哈撒韦(BRK.A.US,BRK.B.US)在2024年第一季度对其股票投资组合进行 了显著调整。根据周四提交给美国证券交易委员会的13F文件，伯克希尔大幅减持了多家大型银行的股 份，清仓花旗集团(C.US)、减持美国银行(BAC.US)和第一资本信贷(COF.US)的持股。 文件显示，伯克希尔在一季度内抛售了14,639,502股花旗集团股票，完全退出了对该银行的投资。此 外，其还出售了48,660,056股美国银行股票，持股比例减少逾7%。尽管如此，截至3月31日，伯克希尔 仍持有超过6.315亿股美国银行股票，是该公司重要的大股东之一。与此同时，伯克希尔还减持了30万 股第一资本信贷股票，降幅约为4%。 | 2025-03-31 | | | --- | --- | | Top Sells (13F) | | | BY CHANGE IN % PORTFOLIO | BY LARGEST I > | | Name | % Change | | BAC Bank Of America Corp | 1% | | C Citigroup, Inc | 0.39% | | NU N ...

Group 1 - Berkshire Hathaway has more than doubled its stake in Constellation Brands, increasing its holdings from 5.6 million shares to approximately 12 million shares, representing a 6.6% ownership in the company [1][2][4] - The company has sold its holdings in Citigroup and Brazilian fintech lender Nu Holdings as part of its portfolio adjustments [1][2] - The quarterly disclosures do not specify whether individual trades were made by Warren Buffett, portfolio managers Todd Combs and Ted Weschler, or future CEO Greg Abel [3]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup shares have increased by approximately 21.2% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500, but there are concerns about whether this positive trend will continue leading up to the next earnings release [1] Estimates Movement - Estimates for Citigroup have trended downward over the past month, indicating a negative shift in expectations [2] VGM Scores - Citigroup currently holds a poor Growth Score of F, a Momentum Score of D, and a Value Score of D, placing it in the bottom 40% for the value investment strategy, resulting in an overall aggregate VGM Score of F [3] Outlook - The downward trend in estimates suggests a negative outlook for Citigroup, which holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [4] Industry Performance - Citigroup is part of the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry, where Wells Fargo has gained 19.2% over the past month, reporting revenues of $20.15 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 3.4% [5] - Wells Fargo's expected earnings for the current quarter are $1.42 per share, representing a year-over-year increase of 6.8%, with a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of F [6]

Group 1: Core Transaction Details - Citigroup Inc. has agreed to divest Citi Global Alternatives to iCapital, aiming to simplify its business operations [1] - Citi Global Alternatives manages over 180 funds globally, covering various alternative investment strategies such as private equity, venture capital, and hedge funds [2] - iCapital will take over the management and operation of the fund platform, while Citigroup will continue to distribute the funds and provide client supervision [3] Group 2: Strategic Implications - The acquisition will enhance iCapital's global sales capabilities with a dedicated team focused on alternative investments, providing more resources for advisors [4] - Citigroup's previous efforts to simplify its business include separating its institutional banking from consumer operations in Mexico and planning an IPO for its consumer banking segment [5] - In September 2024, Citigroup divested its Citi Trust business for $80 million, aligning with its strategy to concentrate resources on growth areas in wealth management [6] Group 3: Market Performance - Citigroup's stock has increased by 11.6% over the past six months, outperforming the industry growth of 4.6% [7]

智通财经APP获悉，随着贸易紧张局势的缓解，华尔街两家大行对美国股市做出了同样大胆的预测——大举买入今年跌幅最大的股票，以快速获得短期利 润。随着美国主要股指已基本收复年内跌幅，花旗和摩根大通认为，那些错过此前反弹的投机性买家和交易员将开始寻找机会，以便在下一轮关税引发的动 荡再次袭来之前迎头赶上。 花旗和摩根大通的股票交易主管表示，他们未来几周尤其看好小盘股、科技硬件类股和住宅建筑商类股，这些股票在最近一轮上涨中的表现都落后于标普 500指数。花旗美国股票交易策略主管Stuart Kaiser还表示，在当前环境下，他还青睐那些财务状况较弱的公司的股票。 Stuart Kaiser表示："系统性交易员和主观投资者将进行大量买入，他们没有抓住这波行情。现在他们仓位偏低，有大量资金可以用来买入这些表现落后的股 票。"他补充称，由于商品交易顾问(CTA)在过去几周大幅削减了股票敞口，标普500指数的上涨为他们重新入场扫清了障碍。此外，交易员平仓罗素2000指 数中的空头头寸，也可能在未来几周进一步推高小盘股。 不过，在利率仍处高位、经济增长放缓的情况下，长期资金管理者仍对小盘股以及财务状况脆弱的公司持谨慎态度。尽管 ...

Group 1 - Major Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs, Barclays, and Citigroup, have delayed their expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts to December, reflecting a significant change in market sentiment regarding monetary policy adjustments [3][8] - The latest interest rate swap contracts indicate that the Federal Reserve may only cut rates by approximately 55 basis points this year, down from previous expectations of 75 basis points, showcasing a cautious market outlook on economic conditions [4][8] Group 2 - The easing of trade tensions is expected to boost economic growth by enhancing business confidence and promoting investment and consumption, which has reduced the urgency for the Federal Reserve to implement rate cuts [5][8] - Concerns remain regarding inflationary pressures due to tariff policies, as indicated by Federal Reserve Governor Kugler, suggesting that even with improved trade relations, inflation could rise and impact the Fed's decision-making on rate cuts [6][7][8]

智通财经APP获悉，花旗策略师建议押注较长期美债表现不佳，理由是他们所说的"昂贵"美国财政账单 的风险。以Dirk Willer为首的策略师建议投资者通过六个月远期合约为5年期和30年期美国国债利差扩 大做准备，他们将利率目标是从目前的40个基点上调至90个基点。 这些策略师在5月8日的一份报告中写道："我们正从关税转向财政叙事，因为特朗普总统一直专注于把 减税写在账上。"他们写道，风险在于"美国国债收益率曲线将再次大幅变陡"。 本周末，共和党议员们即将就他们提出的大规模税改法案进行艰难的谈判。各主要委员会希望下星期早 些时候能推进这项法案。美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特正在推动共和党领导的国会在7月4日前完成该法 案。 策略师们写道："考虑到希望不让低收入美国人为贸易战付出代价，我们认为，在减税方面会有相对激 进的企图。这可能在财政上令人担忧，因为预算赤字不仅会很大，而且还可能依赖于激进的经济增长预 测、激进的成本削减估计和激进的关税收入。" 花旗预计，到2034年，美国平均预算赤字将达到国内生产总值(GDP)的6%至7%，公共债务占GDP的比 例将增加20%至118%。这一计算是基于平均经济名义增长率3.8% ...

Financial Performance - Citigroup reported net income of $4.1 billion, or $1.96 per share, representing a 21% increase compared to $3.4 billion, or $1.58 per share in the prior-year period[28]. - Revenues for the first quarter of 2025 were $21.6 billion, a 3% increase from the prior-year period, with no divestiture-related impacts in the current quarter[30]. - Operating expenses decreased by 5% to $13.4 billion, including divestiture-related impacts of $34 million and an FDIC special assessment of $20 million[32]. - Citigroup returned $2.8 billion to common shareholders through dividends of $1.1 billion and share repurchases of $1.75 billion[36]. - Income from continuing operations before income taxes grew by 20% to $5,448 million, leading to a net income of $4,064 million, up 21% from $3,371 million[76]. - Net income for Q1 2025 was $1.6 billion, a 7% increase from $1.49 billion in Q1 2024, driven by higher revenues and lower expenses[96]. - Net income for Q1 2025 was $543 million, a 4% increase from $524 million in Q1 2024, driven by higher revenues and lower expenses[130]. - Net income for Q1 2025 was $284 million, a 62% increase from $175 million in Q1 2024, driven by higher revenues and offset by increased credit costs[141]. Revenue Growth - Average loans increased by 2% to $691 billion, driven by growth in Retail Banking and Branded Cards in U.S. Personal Banking (USPB)[30]. - Services net income reached $1.6 billion, a 7% increase from the prior year, with revenues of $4.9 billion up 3% driven by Treasury and Trade Solutions[41]. - Markets net income increased by 27% to $1.8 billion, with revenues of $6.0 billion up 12%, driven by an 8% increase in Fixed Income Markets and a 23% increase in Equity Markets[45][46]. - Banking revenues increased by 12% to $2.0 billion, with Investment Banking revenues up 12% and Advisory fees soaring by 84%[49]. - Wealth revenues surged by 24% to $2.1 billion, with net interest income increasing by 30% to $1.3 billion[53]. - U.S. Personal Banking (USPB) net income rose by 115% to $745 million, with revenues of $5.2 billion up 2%[56][57]. - Total revenues increased by 3% to $4.889 billion, with net interest income rising 5% to $3.498 billion, while non-interest revenue decreased by 4% to $1.391 billion[97][98]. - Total revenues increased by 12% to $1.952 billion, compared to $1.736 billion in the prior year, reflecting higher Investment Banking revenues and a gain on loan hedges[131]. - Total revenues increased by 24% to $2,096 million in Q1 2025, compared to $1,687 million in Q1 2024, with net interest income rising 30%[142]. Credit and Provisions - Total provisions for credit losses were $2.7 billion, an increase from $2.4 billion in the prior-year period, driven by higher net credit losses in card portfolios[33]. - Net credit losses increased by 7% to $2.5 billion, with consumer net credit losses rising by 6% to $2.3 billion[34]. - Provisions for credit losses were $51 million, down from $64 million in the prior-year period, reflecting a lower net ACL build on loans[103]. - Provisions for credit losses were $214 million, compared to a benefit of $129 million in the prior year, driven by a net ACL build of $180 million[134]. - Provisions for credit losses increased to $359 million from $186 million in the prior-year period, reflecting a net ACL build due to macroeconomic uncertainties[179]. Capital and Ratios - The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Capital ratio was 13.4% as of March 31, 2025, approximately 130 basis points above the required regulatory minimum[36]. - Citi's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Capital ratio was 13.4% as of March 31, 2025, down from 13.6% as of December 31, 2024, exceeding the regulatory requirement of 12.1%[185]. - The CET1 Capital under the Advanced Approaches was 11.9% as of March 31, 2025, compared to 12.1% as of December 31, 2024, with a required regulatory ratio of 10.5%[188]. - Citi's CET1 Capital amounted to $155.8 billion as of March 31, 2025, compared to $155.4 billion as of December 31, 2024[193]. - The Total Capital under the Standardized Approach was $209.9 billion as of March 31, 2025, up from $205.8 billion as of December 31, 2024[193]. - The Tier 1 Capital ratio under the Standardized Approach was 13.4% as of March 31, 2025, compared to 13.6% as of December 31, 2024[190]. - Citi's leverage ratio was 7.08% as of March 31, 2025, slightly down from 7.17% as of December 31, 2024[190]. - Citi remains "well capitalized" under current federal bank regulatory definitions as of March 31, 2025[192]. Transformation and Strategy - Citigroup continued to advance its transformation strategy, including investments to modernize infrastructure and prepare for an IPO of its consumer banking operations in Mexico[36]. - Citigroup's transformation efforts include retiring or replacing 130 applications and expanding Generative AI tool adoption, with 385,000 utilizations logged[74]. - The company is focusing on enhancing data quality and regulatory compliance through its multiyear transformation initiatives[71]. Deposits and Loans - Average deposits were approximately $1.3 trillion, down 2% from the prior-year period, primarily due to lower deposits in All Other, USPB, Markets, and Wealth[31]. - Citigroup's total deposits increased by 1% to $1,316,410 million, while long-term debt rose by 4% to $295,684 million[79]. - Average deposits decreased by 2% to $89 billion, influenced by a shift to higher-yielding investments and client transfers to Citigold[144]. - Mexico Consumer/SBMM (Banamex) had end-of-period loans of $24.1 billion and deposits of $35.3 billion, reflecting a 7% and 14% decrease, respectively[174]. - Asia Consumer end-of-period loans were $4.5 billion, down 31% from the previous year, with deposits decreasing by 18% to $7.4 billion[174].

智通财经5月8日电，花旗将未来三个月的布兰特原油价格预测从60美元/桶下调至55美元/桶。花旗表 示，美伊协议和放松制裁可能会导致布伦特原油价格跌至每桶50美元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Most business clients of Wall Street banks believe they can manage U.S. tariffs of up to 10% on foreign countries, including China, but higher tariffs would pose significant challenges [1][2]. Group 1: Tariff Impact on Business - Companies are currently in a state of uncertainty regarding investments and hiring due to the fluctuating tariff situation [5][6]. - A 10% tariff is generally seen as manageable by clients, while a 25% tariff would be much more difficult to absorb [2]. - The Trump administration has imposed a 145% duty on imports from China, marking the beginning of a trade war, while other U.S. tariffs are currently on a 90-day pause [3]. Group 2: Economic Phases - The tariff agenda is unfolding in three phases: the first phase involves a pull-forward of spending from consumers and corporations [4]. - The second phase indicates that companies are hesitant to make investment and hiring decisions, leading to a "wait and see" approach [5]. - The third phase will occur once tariff decisions are finalized, clarifying their impact on consumer demand [5]. Group 3: Short-term Concerns - Recent weeks have seen rapid changes and announcements regarding tariffs, leading to a cautious outlook for the longer term [6]. - Some companies have paused capital investment and hiring decisions, which could negatively affect overall demand in the economy [6].