周三盘后，Meta、微软和特斯拉发布最新业绩。 新年以来，随着投资者试图判断人工智能的应用将如何颠覆此前龙头企业的商业模式，大盘科技股、软 件股与芯片股内部的分化态势正持续加剧。因此这些热门赛道公司的业绩，特别是资本开支状况受到了 广泛关注。 按照日程安排，苹果周四将披露最新业绩。 Meta公布利好营收预测，盘后涨逾7% 脸书母公司Meta盘后涨逾7%，超市场预期的销售额业绩指引提振市场情绪。公司第四财季营收598.9亿 美元，同比增长24%，市场预期 585.9 亿美元。调整后每股收益EPS 8.88 美元，预期8.23美元。 Meta预计一季度营收将在535亿至565亿美元区间，高于分析师514.1亿美元的预期值。 微软盘后股价跌近7%。微软智能云业务板块（含 Azure 云基础设施）营收达329.1亿美元，同比增长近 29%，略好于市场预期，不过Azure 云服务及其他云业务营收同比增长39%，而该业务在财年第一季度 的同比增速为40%。生产力和商业流程业务板块营收341.2亿美元，同比增长约16%，个人计算业务板块 营收142.5亿美元，同比下跌约3%。 截至本财年末，微软的商业剩余履约义务金额达62 ...

大家早上好！这里是今天的早报，每天早上，我都会在这里跟你聊聊昨夜今晨发生了哪些大事儿。 昨夜今晨 【美联储宣布维持基准利率不变】 当地时间1月28日，美联储最新的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）货币政策会议纪要显示，美联储决定将联邦 基金利率目标区间继续维持在3.5%至3.75%之间。 会议纪要显示，现有指标表明，就业增长仍处于低位，失业率已显现出趋于稳定的迹象。通胀水平仍处于较高 水平。委员会致力于实现最大就业和长期通胀率达到2%的目标。经济前景的不确定性仍然很高。委员会密切 关注其双重使命面临的风险。为支持其目标，美联储决定将联邦基金利率目标区间继续维持在3.5%至3.75%之 间。 具体表决细节显示，美联储以10票赞成、2票反对的结果，决定将基准利率维持在3.5%至3.75%区间。美联储 理事沃勒以及米兰投下反对票，主张降息25个基点。 在此次利率政策出台前，市场普遍预期美联储将在本周政策会议上维持利率不变，此前该机构已在2025下半年 连续三次降息。 【微软、特斯拉、META公布最新"成绩单"】 微软公司第二财季营收812.7亿美元，预估803.1亿美元；第二季度智能云业务营收329.1亿美元，预估32 ...

苹果周四将发布业绩。 周三盘后，Meta、微软和特斯拉发布最新业绩。 微软发布第二财季财报显示，营收812.7亿美元，同比增长17%，市场预期802.7亿美元，净利润384.6亿 美元，合每股收益EPS 5.16 美元，较去年同期241.1 亿美元（合每股收益3.23 美元）大幅增长。 微软盘后股价跌近7%。微软智能云业务板块（含 Azure 云基础设施）营收达329.1亿美元，同比增长近 29%，略好于市场预期，不过Azure 云服务及其他云业务营收同比增长39%，而该业务在财年第一季度 的同比增速为40%。生产力和商业流程业务板块营收341.2亿美元，同比增长约16%，个人计算业务板块 营收142.5亿美元，同比下跌约3%。 新年以来，随着投资者试图判断人工智能的应用将如何颠覆此前龙头企业的商业模式，大盘科技股、软 件股与芯片股内部的分化态势正持续加剧。因此这些热门赛道公司的业绩，特别是资本开支状况受到了 广泛关注。 按照日程安排，苹果周四将披露最新业绩。 Meta公布利好营收预测，盘后涨逾7% 脸书母公司Meta盘后涨逾7%，超市场预期的销售额业绩指引提振市场情绪。公司第四财季营收598.9亿 美元，同 ...

Group 1 - 31 provinces in China have announced their economic growth rates for 2025, with nearly half exceeding last year's targets. Tibet leads with a growth rate of 7%, followed by Gansu at 5.8% and Hebei and Henan at 5.6% [4] - Shenzhen Metro Group has provided an additional loan of 2.36 billion yuan to Vanke for debt repayment, with a three-year term and an interest rate of 2.34% [4] - Hang Seng Bank has officially delisted from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, following a privatization plan by HSBC that was approved by the Hong Kong High Court [5] Group 2 - ByteDance has implemented new social media guidelines prohibiting employees from using company resources for personal profit, which is expected to significantly reduce the number of commercial accounts operated by employees [6] - Amazon announced a restructuring that will affect nearly 16,000 jobs, while continuing to recruit talent in key strategic areas [7] - Tesla plans to cease production of the Model S and Model X vehicles to focus on its "Optimus" robot production line, marking a shift towards a future based on autonomous driving [9] Group 3 - Meta reported fourth-quarter revenue of $59.89 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, with advertising revenue also up by 24% [17] - Microsoft announced second-quarter revenue of $81.27 billion, with significant contributions from its cloud and productivity segments [17] - Tesla's fourth-quarter revenue was $24.90 billion, a 3% year-over-year decline, with net profit down 61% to $840 million [17]

智通财经APP获悉，周三美股盘后，微软(MSFT.US)公布了2026财年第二季度财报。尽管其营收与利润 双双超出华尔街预期，且整体云业务营收首次突破500亿美元大关，但Azure云服务收入增速的放缓以及 创纪录的资本开支，引发了投资者对人工智能(AI)投资回报周期的忧虑，这导致其股价在盘后交易中大 幅下跌。 作为全球最大的软件企业，微软云计算业务此前实现快速增长，这在一定程度上得益于其与AI头部初 创企业OpenAI达成的里程碑式合作。但尽管在数据中心领域投入巨资，微软仍难以快速扩充足够的算 力产能以满足需求。 核心财务数据表现强劲 在截至12月31日的财年第二季度，微软营收达到812.7亿美元，同比增长约17%，高于市场普遍预期的 803亿美元。净利润为384.6亿美元，合每股收益5.16美元，远超市场预期的3.92美元。调整后每股收益 为4.14美元，同样高于预期。 值得注意的是，净利润的大幅跃升部分得益于对OpenAI投资会计处理的变更所带来的收益，这部分收 益为每股收益增厚1.02美元。 云业务营收创新高但增速微降 本季度，微软包含Azure在内的"智能云"部门营收为329.1亿美元，同比增长近29 ...

Group 1 - Jack Ma emphasizes the importance of teaching children how to effectively use AI rather than debating its necessity, highlighting curiosity, imagination, and creativity as key skills for the AI era [2] - The Ma Yun Rural Teacher Program, initiated by the Jack Ma Foundation in 2015, aims to enhance rural education quality through funding and professional training, selecting 100 teachers annually for support [2] Group 2 - Hunan Mingming Henbang, China's largest snack and beverage retail chain, saw its stock surge by 88.08% upon listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, closing with a market cap of HKD 86.204 billion [4] - The company issued 14.101 million H shares, with a subscription rate exceeding 1500 times, and anticipates net proceeds of over HKD 3 billion from the offering [4] Group 3 - Tesla plans to cease production of Model S and Model X vehicles to transition towards a fully autonomous future, utilizing the "Optimus" robot factory for production [8] - Elon Musk stated that this change is part of Tesla's overall shift towards automation, although support for existing Model S and Model X vehicles will continue [8] Group 4 - SoftBank is reportedly negotiating to invest up to $30 billion in OpenAI, which is seeking to raise up to $100 billion in new funding, potentially valuing the company at $830 billion [10] - OpenAI's largest shareholder, SoftBank, previously invested $22.5 billion in December, increasing its stake to approximately 11% [10] Group 5 - Meta reported Q4 revenue of $59.89 billion, a 24% year-over-year increase, with advertising revenue also rising by 24% to $58.14 billion [11] - The company expects Q1 sales to range between $53.5 billion and $56.5 billion, with a post-earnings stock increase of over 4% [11] Group 6 - Ideal Auto is restructuring its R&D framework, splitting the autonomous driving team into three main groups, with a focus on software and hardware integration [10] - The restructuring aims to enhance the efficiency of the development process and align with the company's strategic goals [10] Group 7 - Amazon announced a reduction of nearly 16,000 jobs as part of an organizational restructuring while continuing to invest in strategic areas [17] - The company aims to balance workforce adjustments with ongoing recruitment in critical functions [17] Group 8 - Longting Technology completed a new round of financing totaling 500 million yuan, with investors including national and local AI industry funds [18] - The funds will be used to accelerate product development and enhance the company's market position [18]

当地时间1月28日，据媒体援引知情人士称，马斯克正计划将SpaceX的IPO时间安排在6月中旬——正值 罕见的行星连珠现象与他的生日期间。SpaceX计划融资规模高达500亿美元，估值约1.5万亿美元，将打 破沙特阿美2019年创下的290亿美元IPO纪录。有分析称，SpaceX公司将IPO日期放在6月份的原因之 一，或许就是马斯克的生日在6月28日，这在一定程度上凸显了马斯克对SpaceX公司的个人影响。另据 知情人士透露，该公司瞄准6月中旬上市，届时木星和金星将出现三年多来首次近距离相合。 点评：SpaceX拟于六月启动巨额IPO，潜在估值创历史新高，将引发全球资本市场高度关注。 NO.3Meta第四季度营收同比增24%，盘后一度涨超11% Meta周三盘后公布财报显示，公司第四季度营收598.9亿美元，同比增长24%，预估584.2亿美元；第四 季度广告收入581.4亿美元，同比增长24%，预估567.9亿美元；第四季度每股收益8.88美元，上年同期 8.02美元；第四季度经营利润247.5亿美元，同比增长5.9%。Meta称全年资本支出将达1150亿美元至 1350亿美元，超过分析师平均预期的1106 ...

Federal Reserve Decision - The Federal Reserve decided to keep benchmark rates unchanged, with two dissenting votes and a slight upgrade in their view of the labor market [1][3] - The market reaction was muted, with the S&P 500 remaining largely unchanged and the dollar rising as measured by the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index [2] Market Reactions - Treasury yields showed little movement, while gold prices increased by approximately 4% [2] - Portfolio managers believe the Fed is likely to remain on hold until new data suggests otherwise, with potential rate cuts expected later in the year [4][5] Company Earnings Reports - Major companies like Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla are set to report earnings, with significant market capitalization implications [14] - Microsoft reported $81.27 billion in revenue, exceeding expectations of $80.3 billion, while its cloud revenue grew by 38% [18][32] - Meta's fourth-quarter revenue was $59.89 billion, better than estimates, with a focus on AI investments [19][20] Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to diversify their fixed income and equity portfolios, with a focus on shorter-duration credit markets [10][12] - The corporate credit markets are tight, with spreads approaching 250 basis points, indicating a cautious but stable investment environment [11] Tesla's Future Plans - Tesla plans to invest $2 billion in preferred shares of XAI, Elon Musk's AI venture, indicating a shift towards AI and robotics [36][59] - The company aims to deliver 20 million EVs by 2026, although there are concerns about the feasibility of these targets given recent revenue declines [62][70] Market Sentiment - Investor sentiment appears to be driven more by long-term narratives rather than short-term fundamentals, particularly for companies like Tesla [64][80] - Concerns exist regarding the sustainability of high valuations in the face of deteriorating economic fundamentals for some tech companies [73][74]

Tesla - Tesla's Q4 adjusted EPS was 0.50, beating the consensus estimate of 0.45 [1] - Q4 revenue was $24.90 billion, slightly below the estimate of $25.11 billion [1] - Q4 gross margins were 20.1%, exceeding the estimate of 17.1% [1] - Free cash flow for Q4 was $1.42 billion, compared to an estimate of $1.59 billion [1] - Tesla is utilizing 10,000 humanoid robots named Optimus in factories, with plans to ramp up production to 1 million units by 2027-2028 [1][3] - Each robot is expected to generate a profit of $20,000, potentially leading to $20 billion in profits from robot sales alone [1][3] - The humanoid robotics market is projected to grow from nearly $3 billion in 2025 to $15 billion by 2030, representing a 39% CAGR [1] - Tesla plans to unveil Optimus version 3 in Q1 of this year, with production expected to start by the end of the year [1][3] - The company is also preparing for production ramps of Tesla Semi and Cyber Cab [1] Meta - Meta's Q4 EPS was $8.88, with revenue of $59.89 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $58.42 billion [4] - Q4 ad revenue was $58.14 billion, exceeding the street estimate of $56.6 billion [4] - Meta's Q1 revenue forecast ranges from $53.5 billion to $56.5 billion, compared to a previous estimate of $51.27 billion [4] - The company plans capital expenditures of $115 to $135 billion for 2026, higher than the street estimate of $110.6 billion [4] - Meta is focusing on monetizing WhatsApp and has started selling ads on Reels, enhancing its revenue streams [4] - Analysts express confidence in Meta's long-term growth potential despite concerns over high capital expenditures [6][8] - Meta's stock trades at 18 times forward earnings, considered cheap for the growth it is achieving [9]

Federal Reserve Decision - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to maintain the Fed funds rate in the 3.50-3.75% range, following three consecutive cuts totaling 175 basis points since September 2024 [2][3] - The Fed noted that the economy is expanding at a solid pace, with unemployment stabilizing and inflation remaining somewhat elevated, leading to the decision not to cut rates further [3] Microsoft (MSFT) Earnings Report - Microsoft reported earnings of $4.14 per share on revenues of $81.27 billion, exceeding expectations of $3.88 per share and $80.23 billion in revenue [5] - The cloud business, Azure, generated $39.0 billion, slightly below the consensus of $39.4 billion, while Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) in AI surged by 110% to $625 billion, with 45% linked to OpenAI [6] - Capital expenditures rose by 66% to $37.5 billion, and commercial cloud revenue increased by 17% [7] Meta Platforms (META) Earnings Report - Meta reported earnings of $8.88 per share on revenues of $59.89 billion, surpassing estimates of $8.21 per share and $59.59 billion in revenue [8] - The company raised its current-quarter revenue guidance and projected capital expenditures for fiscal 2026 to be between $115-135 billion, up from the previous estimate of $110 billion [8] Tesla (TSLA) Earnings Report - Tesla's Q4 earnings were 50 cents per share, beating estimates by 5 cents, while revenues of $24.90 billion fell short of the anticipated $25.14 billion [9] - The company announced that its new Cybercab is on track for production in 2026, with shares rising by 3% following the news [10]