深夜，GitHub官宣大变身！全球两大编程AI Claude和Codex集体入驻，再加上Copilot，正式开启AI编程「三足鼎立」的时代。三个「AI码农」集体卖 命，人类开发者狂喜。 GitHub要变天了！ 凌晨，微软GitHub宣布重磅更新：正式集成全球「最强编程大脑」——Claude和Codex。 地表最强编程三剑客——Copilot、Claude、Codex，终于迎来史诗级合体！ 开发者只需一个指令，三个AI任你差遣，瞬间完成编码、修Bug、提交PR等复杂任务。 这标志着，GitHub正从一个单纯的代码托管平台，进化为多智能体协同的「AI战场」。 这一切，都通过一个「指挥中心」Agent HQ实现。软件开发中，最耗神的就是「上下文切换」。 如今通过Agent HQ，无需切换工具，丝滑完成构思到落地的全过程，极大地降低了摩擦感。 最关键的是，Copilot、Claude、Codex三个AI，可以在IDE、GitHub，以及移动端一键调用。 微软这一步棋，是希望通过GitHub，让AI智能体成为开发者们原生的核心配置。 2023年，GitHub开发者数量突破1亿大关，如今平台有超1.8亿人 目前，订阅Co ...

Core Insights - Amazon's upcoming earnings report is a focal point for investors seeking insights into the growth prospects of the cloud computing industry, especially following Microsoft's stock decline due to Azure's slowing growth [1][3] - Concerns are rising about whether Microsoft's issues are company-specific or indicative of a broader slowdown in the cloud services sector, which could have lasting impacts [3] - Analysts expect Amazon's AWS to report a 21% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $34.8 billion, as investors look for catalysts to boost Amazon's stock price [3][6] Valuation and Market Expectations - Amazon's stock has underperformed, rising only 5.2% over the past year, compared to a 20% increase in the Nasdaq 100 index [4] - The expected price-to-earnings ratio for Amazon is around 24 times, significantly lower than its 10-year average of 46 times, indicating a relatively cheap valuation [4] - Post-earnings report, Amazon's stock is anticipated to experience about a 7% volatility, as investors seek high growth rates to meet market expectations [4] Key Financial Data Outlook - Analysts project Amazon's total revenue for Q4 to grow by 13% to $211.5 billion, with adjusted earnings per share expected to rise by 8% to $2.40 [6] - The previous earnings report saw a nearly 10% stock surge due to better-than-expected AWS revenue, but current market sentiment is cautious due to a broader "anti-software" sentiment affecting the tech sector [6] Capital Expenditure and AI Investment Strategy - Investors will closely monitor Amazon's future capital expenditure guidance and its specific investments in artificial intelligence, especially in light of Microsoft's aggressive AI spending [7] - Amazon's investment in Anthropic PBC, amounting to $8 billion, and potential $50 billion investment in OpenAI are key points of interest, as these could enhance Amazon's earnings [7] - The performance of Amazon's AI chatbot "Rufus" in the retail business will also be scrutinized to assess the effectiveness of AI technology in core operations [7] Cloud Business as a Core Indicator - Despite Amazon's diversified revenue streams, the cloud business remains the primary focus for investors, with AWS being described as the "crown jewel" of the company [8] - A stable and clear outlook for AWS is essential for maintaining investor confidence, as it is the focal point of Amazon's growth narrative [8]

The last time I wrote about Microsoft Corporation ( MSFT ), in October 2025, I analysed the company’s Q1 numbers and the overall report in detail to identify the factors that could have drivenAn independent investor in the Indian and US equity markets with a CFA Charter and a PhD in Finance from University of Durham, U.K. I hold an Honorary Associate Professor in Finance and Corporate Governance title at Brunel University London. I have a YouTube and a Podcast channel, titled The Stock Doctor,' where I disc ...

Core Insights - The article discusses Microsoft Corporation's (MSFT) performance and analysis of its Q1 numbers, focusing on factors that may have influenced its results [1]. Group 1: Company Performance - The analysis includes a detailed examination of Microsoft's Q1 financial results, highlighting key drivers behind the company's performance [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - The author has extensive experience in investment banking and holds a CFA Charter and a PhD in Finance, indicating a strong analytical background [1]. - The author is also an Honorary Associate Professor in Finance and Corporate Governance, further emphasizing expertise in the field [1]. Group 3: Research Focus - The author actively engages in quantitative research across various domains, including US equities, Behavioral Finance, Corporate Governance, Activist Hedge Funds, Cryptocurrencies, and M&A [1]. - Publications in top-ranked peer-reviewed journals suggest a high level of credibility and knowledge in financial analysis [1].

硬·AI 作者 | 张雅琦 编辑 | 硬 AI 华尔街对OpenAI的态度正在经历戏剧性逆转。曾经被市场追捧的OpenAI合作概念股如今遭遇抛售，微 软、Oracle等公司股价大幅下挫，而与OpenAI竞争的谷歌母公司Alphabet则凭借AI业务的强劲财务回报 成为最大赢家，股价自去年10月以来飙升约36%。 市场逻辑的转变在华尔街分析师口中体现得淋漓尽致。Freedom Capital Markets科技研究主管Paul Meeks表示： "市场正在形成一种叙事，即更青睐谷歌而非OpenAI。去年这个时候，OpenAI每一次宣布与某家公 司合作都会受到掌声。 但到了2025年底，人们开始说，'天哪，我的收入积压或AI基础设施支出有 太多来自OpenAI。 '" 华尔街对OpenAI的态度从追捧转向担忧，受其亏损及履约能力质疑影响，深度绑定的微软与Oracle股价剧烈下挫。与此 同时，谷歌凭借Gemini 3带动的全线财务回报及云业务48%的营收增速脱颖而出，以4万亿美元市值支撑起指数繁荣，或 成为AI下半场角逐的赢家。 这种情绪转变在股价上表现明显。Oracle股价自去年10月以来已暴跌约49%，其超过5 ...

业 研 究 2026 年 02 月 05 日 谷歌云发展超预期，资本开支高速增长，继续看好 AI 算力全链条 谷歌云营收增速超预期，谷歌、Meta、微软资本开支指引乐观 谷歌：根据谷歌最新财报，谷歌云 2025Q4 营收达 177 亿美元，同比增长 48%， 高于分析师预期的 162 亿美元，同时，2025Q4 Gemini App 月活超 7.5 亿，高于 2025Q3 的 6.5 亿。资本开支方面，2025Q4 达 279 亿美元，同比增长 95%，全年 资本开支实现 914 亿美元，同比增长 74%，预计 2026 年资本支出为 1750-1850 亿美元，中值为 1800 亿美元，同比增长 97%。 ——行业点评报告 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -29% 0% 29% 58% 86% 115% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 通信 沪深300 相关研究报告 《Meta、康宁、微软财报亮眼，重视 硅光 CPO、光纤、液冷投资机会—行 业周报》-2026.2.1 《超节点：光、液冷、供电、芯片的 全面升级—行业深度报告》-2026.1.28 《重视通信涨价方向：AI 云 IAAS 和 光纤 ...

50 年前的本周，一封名为《致电脑爱好者的一封公开信》在刚兴起的计算机爱好者圈子中流传开来。这封由 20 岁的比尔・盖茨撰写的信件，因非常直白 地炮轰"软件盗版"问题，在当时掀起轩然大波，其彼时抱怨道："你们这样做就是在偷窃。" 如今恰逢发布 50 周年，这封至今保存在《纽约时报》档案中的内容再次展现在大众视野上，随即也冲上了 HN 热榜，引发了新一轮讨论。 时代背景，Altair 8800 开启个人电脑革命 时间拉回 1975 年，搭载了 Intel 8080 CPU 和 S-100 总线卡的 Altair 8800 横空出世。 这款没有键盘、没有显示器，甚至默认仅为简陋套件的机器，却意外开启了桌面个人电脑革命，它催生了早期 PC 社区与生态的形成。 正是这款机器，让 20 岁的比尔・盖茨与 22 岁的保罗・艾伦找到了合作契机。两人便主动联系 Altair 开发商 MITS，声称已经为这台微型计算机完成了一 套 BASIC 解释器。 时任 MITS 公司负责人 Ed Roberts 很快同意了这次合作，邀请其二人为 Altair 编写软件。随后，艾伦前往 MITS 公司，全职参与与 MITS 的对接与支持； ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The narrative of "Software-mageddon" is gaining traction among global investors, with debates on whether to initiate bullish calls on recently battered software stocks [1] - Large institutional investors are beginning to enter the market to buy the dip in software stocks that have experienced significant declines, with some supporting optimistic views on AI-focused software giants [1][3] - The S&P 500 Software and Services Index has dropped approximately 25% since its recent peak at the end of October, while the overall S&P 500 index has remained relatively stable [3][4] Group 2: Impact of AI Tools - The launch of Anthropic's AI programming tool, Claude Cowork, has intensified fears of AI agents disrupting the SaaS software industry, leading to a collective sell-off in software stocks [2] - The S&P 500 Software and Services Index experienced its worst performance since May 2002, with a significant market cap loss exceeding $800 billion [4] Group 3: Investor Reactions and Divergence - Institutional investors are showing mixed reactions, with some cautiously buying while others remain hesitant, indicating a divide in sentiment regarding the software sector [8] - Some portfolio managers are starting to see long-term value in certain software stocks, while others are waiting for stronger catalysts, such as robust AI-related revenue reports, before making aggressive purchases [8][9] Group 4: Future Outlook and AI Integration - The market is reassessing the value chain in the software industry, with AI potentially redistributing profits rather than completely replacing existing software infrastructure [11][12] - The current sell-off is seen as a response to the question of how much profit pools will be redistributed among SaaS vendors due to AI advancements, with a focus on real deployment and revenue growth from AI-related products [12][13]

水皮杂谈 一家之言 兼听则明 偏听则暗 围魏救赵 盘面消息 A股三大指数今日集体回调，截止收盘，沪指跌0.64%，收报4075.92点；深证成指跌 1.44%，收报13952.71点；创业板指跌1.55%，收报3260.28点。 沪深京三市成交额仅有 21945亿，较昨日缩量3090亿。 老水看盘 上证指数今天呈现缩量回调态势，走出浅 V 形态，K 线图收出一根阳十字星。 特别值得关注的是港股的走势，今天恒生指数、恒生科技指数同样呈现探底回升走势，特别是 恒生指数收盘上涨 0.14%，成交金额 3151 亿港币，处于放量水平。资金面方面，北水南下 态势显著，今天净买入金额达 249 亿港币，较昨天翻了一倍。 个股方面，此前遭刻意做空的腾讯控股从下跌 3% 一路反弹至红盘报收，宣布 50 亿美元回 购计划的百度高开高走，阿里巴巴盘中一度下跌 3%，最终亦红盘收盘。恒生科技指数的探底 回升，与 A 股调整后有望反身向上的方向保持一致。（本文数据来自：choice数据） 一句话点评：围魏救赵 。 截至收盘，上证指数下跌 0.64%，深证成指跌幅更大，达 1.44%。个股表现普遍回落，下跌 个股数量达 3553 家， ...

从信贷市场表现来看，目前尚未出现大规模恐慌情绪，相关企业的循环信贷额度尚未被动用。随着多家 软件公司即将发布最新财报，市场情绪或迎来阶段性转变。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 本文源自：市场资讯 作者：观察君 2026年以来，美股软件行业遭遇持续抛售，板块总市值累计蒸发1万亿美元。金融分析公司S3 Partners 的数据显示，对冲基金同期通过做空软件股已获得240亿美元收益。 据华尔街两家大型基金的消息人士透露，对冲基金正加大对软件股的做空力度，成为该板块抛售潮的主 要推手之一。其做空目标具有明确指向性，集中于为客户提供基础自动化服务的公司——这类业务极易 被新的人工智能工具取代。在软件板块相关目标个股遭遇抛售的背景下，做空者并未选择收手，反而将 股价下跌视作加码押注的机会。当前部分软件个股做空集中度较高，Asana有超过25%的流通股被做 空，Dropbox的流通股做空比例为19%。 此次抛售潮并未局限于中小型软件公司，行业巨头同样面临下行压力。微软、甲骨文、Salesforce、 Adobe等头部企业年内均出现显著跌幅，税务软件制造商Intu ...