Market Performance - US stock market saw a significant rise with the Nasdaq Composite Index increasing by over 1% during intraday trading, closing with a gain of 0.82% [1] - Major US indices closed higher: Dow Jones up 0.67%, S&P 500 up 0.69%, and Nasdaq up 0.82% [1] - Technology stocks performed well, with Oracle rising over 4%, AMD over 3%, and other major companies like Nvidia, Tesla, Netflix, and Microsoft increasing by over 1% [1] International Indices - European stock indices also experienced gains, with the Euro Stoxx 50 rising nearly 1.5%, FTSE 100 up over 0.8%, CAC 40 up 0.88%, DAX 30 up about 1%, and FTSE MIB up 1.01% [1] Gold Prices - International gold prices increased, with spot gold surpassing $4160 per ounce [2] Economic Indicators - Recent economic data showed a decline in initial jobless claims to 216,000, which was below expectations [3] - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book report indicated slight declines in employment and moderate price increases [4] Federal Reserve Outlook - Analysts suggest that Federal Reserve officials will need to wait until after the December meeting to assess most labor market and inflation data from October and November [5] - According to CME's FedWatch, there is an 84.9% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December, with a 15.1% chance of maintaining current rates [5]

华见早安之声 市场概述 感恩节前，科技股力挺三大美股指四连涨。标普和纳指收创两周新高；上调全年业绩及AI服务器指引的 戴尔收涨近6%；英伟达链反弹，英伟达涨超2%， Coreweave涨超4%；谷歌回落1%、跌落纪录高位，但 博通涨超3%创历史新高。芯片股领涨欧股，ASML涨近6%。 中概指数止步三连涨； 阿里和百度盘中分别 "闪跌"4.5%和3.6%。 英国财政预算受关注，长期英债收益率跳水超10个基点；美国失业数据公布后，美债收益率刷新日高，但此后十年期美债收益率转降，重回4.0%下方。 降息预期升温之际，美元指数三连跌至一周低位；英镑五连涨，英国财政预算公布后创近一个月新高； 离岸人民币盘中涨超百点 再创逾一年新高、13个月 来首次 盘中涨破7.07； 加密货币反弹， 比特币盘中 涨近5%、近一周来首次盘中涨破9万美元。 大宗 商品普涨。原油告别一个月低位，盘中涨超1%。黄金期货四连涨，收创近两周新高。 亚洲时段，创业板涨超2%，中际旭创新高，万科债临停，地产股冲高回落，港股美团涨超5%。 要闻 中国工信部等六部门：有序发展直播电商、即时零售等新业态， 推动人工智能在消费品全行业全领域全过程应用。 中国 ...

Market Performance - US stock market opened high and closed higher, with all three major indices rising for four consecutive days [1] - Dow Jones increased by 0.67% to 47,427.12 points, S&P 500 rose by 0.69% to 6,812.61 points, and Nasdaq Composite climbed by 0.82% to 23,214.69 points [1] - Market volatility eased, with the S&P 500 volatility index (VIX) dropping approximately 35% over four days, marking the largest decline since mid-April [1] Technology Sector - Mixed performance among large tech stocks: Nvidia up 1.37%, Apple up 0.21%, Google C down 1.04%, Microsoft up 1.78%, Amazon down 0.22%, Broadcom up 3.26%, Meta down 0.41%, and Tesla up 1.71% [1] - Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose by 2.76%, with all 30 component stocks closing higher [1] - Notable gains in semiconductor stocks: Teradyne up 6.98%, Marvell Technology up 5.14%, AMD up 3.93%, ASML up 3.76%, and Micron Technology up 2.55% [1] Chinese Stocks - Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index slightly declined by 0.03% [2] - Most popular Chinese stocks saw gains: Vipshop up 2.54%, Pinduoduo up 1.58%, JD.com up 0.96%, Li Auto up 0.6%, New Oriental up 0.39%, and Alibaba up 0.38% [2] - Declines were noted in some Chinese stocks: Hesai down 7.37%, Tencent Music down 2.33%, Xpeng down 2.22%, Baidu down 1.31%, and NIO down 0.73% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the ongoing bullish trend in the US stock market, particularly driven by AI-related stocks, with optimistic projections for future growth in both the market and specific companies like OpenAI and Nvidia [2][4][8]. Market Performance - US stock indices opened slightly higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.53%, S&P 500 up 0.47%, and Nasdaq up 0.53% [3]. - Nvidia's stock saw a near 3% increase initially, reflecting positive sentiment in the tech sector [4]. AI Sector Insights - OpenAI's recent announcement predicts that by 2028, the number of paid subscribers for ChatGPT will exceed 220 million, generating nearly $200 billion in annual subscription revenue [2][5]. - CoreWeave and Oracle, both associated with OpenAI, experienced significant stock price increases, with CoreWeave rising over 7% and Oracle over 6% [2][5]. Economic Outlook - Morgan Stanley's report expresses optimism about the US economy's resilience and the ongoing AI supercycle, suggesting that the S&P 500 could surpass 8000 points by 2026 under certain conditions [2][8]. - The report anticipates a 34% increase in capital expenditure for 30 major AI stocks next year, driven by a "fear of becoming obsolete" mentality among businesses and governments [9]. Federal Reserve Expectations - Market expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December are around 85% [6]. - Recent labor market data shows a decrease in initial jobless claims, indicating a resilient job market despite concerns about employment prospects [6][7]. Investment Strategy - Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish stance on technology, media, telecommunications, utilities, and defense sectors, while expecting the banking and pharmaceutical sectors to outperform the market [9]. - The report emphasizes that the potential for profit growth related to deregulation and AI productivity gains remains underestimated by investors [9].

新浪科技欧洲站站长 郝倩 发自瑞士洛桑 新浪科技日前对话洛桑国际管理发展学院IMD管理学教授、未来准备度中心主任俞昊（Howard Yu）。 对于科技领域的国际竞争，他提出，地缘政治给科技发展带来不确定性，但人工智能领域的整合正在模 糊不同行业的界限。 "硬件公司，软件公司和服务业的边界感正在快速消失，每一个公司都在自己努力，或者至少是和其他 公司一起努力，以给客户提供完整的用户体验。无论你是科技公司、家电公司还是手机公司，行业边界 正在变得模糊。"俞昊对新浪科技明确表示。 "以往旧的细分式商业模式广受推崇，比如一家公司专注于硬件，另一家则是软件，术业有专攻。但在 科技领域旧的模式行不通了。现在，新的商业模式则是关于交互界面，关于数据，关于工作流。" 洛桑国际管理发展学院IMD刚发布的《2025 年未来准备度指标（Future Readiness Indicator）》显示，在 经济政策动荡、创新周期加速、监管收紧与消费者期望不断提升的环境下，全球共有 49 家科技公司、 27 家制药企业和 41 家时尚品牌被纳入评估，检验它们在剧烈变化中的应对能力。 该指标从七大维度评估企业的长期竞争力，包括：财务基础、投 ...

Industry News - The China Insurance Industry Association issued a risk warning regarding the "Anwo Stock Insurance" business, stating that it is not an approved insurance product and that stock investment losses are not insurable. The platform's activities may involve illegal financial operations [6]. - Beijing's Internet Information Office and the Beijing Financial Regulatory Bureau launched a three-month campaign to address six types of online financial misconduct, focusing on misleading public information and illegal financial services [7]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments released a plan to enhance the adaptability of supply and demand for consumer goods, aiming for a significant optimization of the supply structure by 2027, with three trillion-level consumption sectors and ten hundred-billion-level consumption hotspots [7]. - The Ministry of Natural Resources announced breakthroughs in the efficient extraction of low-grade rare metals from coal, aluminum, copper, lead, and zinc ores, with significant improvements in recovery rates for various metals [7]. - The first hydrogen refueling station in China utilizing underground hydrogen storage technology has been operational for over 1500 days, supplying over 400 tons of hydrogen, marking a significant advancement in high-pressure underground hydrogen storage technology [8]. Company News - Dongwei Technology announced a significant increase in PCB plating equipment orders, driven by rapid growth in the PCB and memory sectors, with expected record-high order amounts this year [11]. - North University Pharmaceutical stated that related flu medications have not yet been produced or sold, and this will not impact the company's performance for a considerable time [12]. - *ST Dongtong disclosed that its annual reports from 2019 to 2022 contained false records and has received a notice of termination of listing [13]. - Debang Technology's largest shareholder, the National Big Fund, reduced its stake by 2% between September 11 and October 16, completing its reduction plan [13]. - Muxi Co., Ltd. plans to issue 40.1 million shares, with the initial strategic placement of 8.02 million shares, and the subscription date set for December 5, 2025 [15].

Core Insights - The letter discusses the ongoing exploration of intriguing investment opportunities for the upcoming year, emphasizing a proactive and opportunistic investment approach [2][3] - The firm expresses a long-standing bullish stance on AI, particularly in companies like Nvidia, while acknowledging a more selective investment strategy due to recent market developments [6][7] Investment Performance - The fund's annualized return since inception in November 2020 stands at +21.30%, significantly outperforming the South African Consumer Price Index (CPI) of +10.44% [4] - The fund's performance over the years shows fluctuations, with a notable recovery in 2023 at +30.82% after a decline of -34.25% in 2022 [4] AI Infrastructure and Market Dynamics - There is a growing skepticism regarding the AI infrastructure investments, particularly concerning the balance between capital expenditure and actual returns, leading to questions about over-capacity and potential market bubbles [5][7] - The current profit pool in the AI industry is unevenly distributed, with companies like TSMC and Nvidia capturing most of the value, while the overall industry returns on capital remain respectable [8][9] Credit Market Insights - Credit markets are seen as a crucial source of capital for AI infrastructure development, with major tech platforms tapping into these markets, indicating that the cycle is still in its early stages [14][15] - The firm notes that despite equity investor skepticism, credit investors remain optimistic, which may signal a favorable environment for continued investment in AI infrastructure [15][16] Currency Impact - A strong South African Rand is identified as a headwind for reported returns, as the fund has approximately 80% of its assets offshore, which could negatively impact returns when converted back to local currency [17] Administrative Changes - The fund administrator has undergone consolidation, but the investment strategy and philosophy remain unchanged, with only operational adjustments being made [18][19]

周三（11月26日），美股高开高收，三大指数均连涨四日。 截至收盘，道琼斯指数涨0.67%，报47427.12点；标普500指数涨0.69%，报6812.61点；纳斯达克综合指数涨0.82%，报23214.69点。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌额 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | .DJI | 道琼斯指数 | 47427.12 | +314.67 | 0.67% | | .SPX | 标普500指数 | 6812.61 | +46.73 | 0.69% | | .IXIC | 纳斯达克综合指数 | ○ 23214.69 | +189.10 | 0.82% | 市场波动性也有所缓解，有"恐慌指数"之称的标普500波动率指数（VIX）在四天内下跌约35%，为4月中旬以来最大跌幅。 与GPU相关的一系列公司股价反弹，德意志银行分析师Brad Zelnick维持甲骨文"买入"评级，该股涨超4%，英伟达、微软涨逾1%，提振了整体市场的涨幅。 The Wealth Alliance总裁兼董事总经理Eric Diton评论道，"这只是对过去一两周避险情绪的一次快 ...

Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce of China and the European Commission discussed semiconductor supply chain issues, emphasizing the need for constructive communication between ASML Netherlands and ASML China to stabilize the global semiconductor supply chain [2] - Vanke faced a significant decline in both stock and bond markets, with some bonds dropping over 35% and the stock price nearing historical lows, prompting a meeting regarding bond extension [2] - The Chinese government instructed domestic airlines to reduce flights to Japan before March 2026, reflecting ongoing diplomatic tensions [3] Group 2 - Six departments in China released a plan to enhance the adaptability of consumer goods supply and demand, aiming for a significant optimization of the supply structure by 2027 [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced a new management method for credit repair, effective from April 2026, categorizing dishonest information into three levels [3] - The A-share market saw fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing down 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index recorded gains [4] Group 3 - Li Auto reported a 36.2% year-on-year decline in Q3 revenue, with an adjusted net loss of 360 million yuan, and projected a further decline in Q4 revenue [5] - The insurance sector welcomed new funds into long-term investment trials, with a new private equity fund entering operation [4] - The Chinese Nonferrous Metals Industry Association opposed the zero or negative processing fees in the copper smelting industry, calling for better management of copper smelting capacity [8] Group 4 - The medical device market in China is expected to reach 1.22 trillion yuan by 2025, with a significant increase in the number of production enterprises [9] - The financial support plan in Guangdong aims to facilitate industry chain integration and improve the quality of listed companies [8] - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net sell-off of 39.52 billion HKD by southbound funds, with notable movements in major tech stocks [4]

Group 1 - Calpers has made significant adjustments to its investment portfolio, increasing its focus on artificial intelligence and clean energy [1][2] - The pension fund established a new position in Bloom Energy, purchasing 361,883 shares valued at approximately $30.6 million, which has since appreciated to about $341 million, reflecting a 326% increase in stock price this year [1] - Calpers also initiated a position in AeroVironment, acquiring 50,332 shares valued at around $15.8 million, with the current valuation slightly above $14 million, marking an 80% increase in stock price year-to-date [1] Group 2 - Calpers has significantly increased its holdings in Oracle, adding over 250,000 shares to reach a total of 3,021,454 shares, indicating confidence in the company's long-term competitiveness amid concerns over AI infrastructure spending [2] - The pension fund expanded its investments in major tech and AI beneficiary stocks, including increased holdings in Meta, Amazon, and Alphabet [2] - Notably, Calpers raised its stake in Nvidia from 64,728,856 shares to 66,062,378 shares, solidifying its position in a leading company in the AI sector [2] Group 3 - Calpers manages over $500 billion in assets for more than 2 million members, with a total portfolio value of $592.37 billion as of November 25, further establishing its status as a key long-term investor globally [3]