RT unusual_whales (@unusual_whales)Nvidia, $NVDA, CEO: I want to be involved in nearly everything Elon Musk does. https://t.co/XUSGPJ1qZN ...

上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 今天市场明显跳水，一起找找原因吧。 A股下跌 12月15日，A股震荡调整，深成指、创业板指均跌超1%。截至收盘， 沪指跌0.55%，深成 指跌1.1%，创业板指跌1.77%。 市场共 2314个股上涨，65只个股涨停，2968只个股下跌。 | 880005 张跌家数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 其中 涨停 | | 65 | | 涨幅 | > 7% | 104 | | 张唱 | 5-7% 1 | 87 | | 涨幅 | 3-5% | 208 | | 涨幅 | 0-3% | 1915 | | 跌幅 | 0-3% | 2475 | | 跌幅 | 3-5% | 355 | | 跌幅 | 5-7% | 88 | | 跌幅 | > 7% | 50 | | 其中 跌停 | | 24 | | | | 2314 | | 上涨索数 下滑索数 新闻都 | | 2968 | | | | 175 | | | | 5457 | | 总成交额 | | 17944.20 乙 | | 总成交量 | | 113696.0万 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the semiconductor and semiconductor production equipment industry [7]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing fluctuations in various indices, with the overseas AI chip index dropping by 4.4% and the domestic AI chip index decreasing by 0.6% during the week of December 8-14, 2025. Notably, companies like Marvell and Broadcom saw significant declines in their stock prices [1][10]. - TSMC is projected to be the leading foundry for advanced process smartphone SoCs in 2025, with an expected shipment growth of 27%, capturing over 75% of the market share [2][27]. - The demand for ASICs is expected to surge, leading to a threefold increase in HBM shipments for Samsung in 2026, with an estimated total of 11.1 billion Gb, representing a 212% increase from 2025 [3][33]. Market Indices Summary - The overseas AI chip index fell by 4.4%, with significant declines in stocks of Marvell and Broadcom [1][10]. - The domestic AI chip index decreased by 0.6%, with notable gains from companies like Aojie Technology and Ruixin Micro [1][10]. - The server ODM index dropped by 3.5%, with Supermicro and Wiwynn experiencing the largest declines [1][10]. - The storage chip index increased by 6.3%, with Shannon Semiconductor and Jiangbo Long showing gains of over 11% [1][10]. - The power semiconductor index rose by 1.6%, indicating a relatively stable market [1][10]. Industry Data Summary - In Q3 2025, iPad shipments grew by 4% year-on-year, with high-end models playing a crucial role in this growth [2][24]. - TSMC is expected to dominate the advanced process smartphone SoC market in 2025, with a shipment increase of 27% [2][27]. Major Events Summary - Samsung is advancing its second-generation 2nm process for AMD, which could enhance its competitiveness against TSMC [3][31]. - TSMC's CoWoS advanced packaging capacity is projected to reach 125,000 units per month by the end of 2026, reflecting a year-on-year increase of over 70% [3][31]. - The HBM market is anticipated to grow significantly, with total market size expected to reach approximately $35 billion in 2025 [3][31]. - Apple is expected to launch its first foldable iPhone in 2026, potentially capturing over 22% of the global foldable phone market share in its first year [3][34].

The FT has picked Nvidia chief executive Jensen Hong as its person of the year for 2025. >> Anybody in here know what a GeForce is. >> Nobody has benefited from this year's artificial intelligence boom more than Hang, whose chipmaker became the first company ever to hit a $5 trillion valuation.NVIDIA's chips power Chat GPT and almost every other AI app that has come out of Silicon Valley this year. Choosing the FT's person of the year is a two-stage process. A call for nominations from staff which produces ...

近期，英伟达、甲骨文和博通等公司相继发布了强劲的季度业绩，但其股价却出现显著下跌。这一现象引发了市场对人工智能投资热潮可持续性的广泛关 注。 上周五，甲骨文、英伟达及博通等自2022年末以来深度参与AI投资的公司股价集体下挫。Callodine Capital Management的首席执行官Jim Morrow表示：市场 正处在"关键时刻"。"故事讲得很好，逻辑也通顺，但现在到了检验投资回报是否足够好的重要节点。"他说道。 这种焦虑情绪的核心在于，高昂的AI应用开发与训练成本，能否通过大规模落地产生足够的商业回报，以及企业和消费者是否愿意持续为相关服务买单。 甲骨文的情况尤为典型，该公司披露其剩余履约义务同比激增438%至5230亿美元，其中约3000亿美元来自与OpenAI的长期算力采购协议。然而，为支撑此 类订单所需的巨额资本开支，给公司现金流带来了压力。与此同时，衡量其信用风险的信用违约互换价格已升至2009年以来的最高水平。甲骨文发言人表 示，公司对履行义务和未来扩张计划的能力充满信心。 OpenAI自身的财务状况也加剧了市场的担忧。有报道称，该公司预计到2029年前将累计消耗1150亿美元资金，并 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of controlling drawdowns in investment funds to achieve long-term success, suggesting that lower volatility often correlates with higher returns [4][7][17]. Fund Performance Analysis - From January 1, 2020, to November 20, 2025, the median return of Chinese equity mutual funds was approximately 44.78%, with an annualized compound return of about 6.45% and a median drawdown of 45.12% [5][6]. - Funds with severe drawdowns (60-80%) accounted for 12.53% of the total, with an average return of 26.8%. In contrast, funds with smaller drawdowns (15-30%) represented 10.25% and achieved an average return of 72.25% [6][7]. - The data indicates that 81.28% of funds experienced drawdowns greater than 30%, with over 50.38% facing drawdowns exceeding 45% [6]. Drawdown and Return Relationship - There is an inverse relationship between drawdown magnitude and average return; larger drawdowns lead to lower average returns. For instance, a drawdown of over 30% requires a rebound of 43% to break even [7][8]. - Funds with drawdowns between 15% and 30% achieved the highest average returns, while those with minimal drawdowns (0-15%) had lower average returns [7]. Investor Behavior and Market Dynamics - Investors often struggle to profit from highly volatile funds due to emotional reactions, leading to premature buying and selling decisions [8][10]. - The case of "Wooden Sister" (Cathie Wood) illustrates how significant volatility can lead to substantial losses for latecomers who buy at market peaks [8][10]. Investment Philosophy - The article draws parallels between investment strategies and philosophical teachings from "Tao Te Ching," advocating for moderation and the avoidance of excessive greed [17][20]. - It highlights that enduring volatility is essential for long-term investment success, as evidenced by successful investment firms that manage to withstand significant drawdowns [15][16]. Conclusion - The key takeaway is that achieving a balance between risk and return is crucial in investment, and understanding the costs associated with pursuing higher returns is essential for long-term success [22][23].

友仑集团联合复旦大学国际金融学院等机构主办的"2025国际金融科技论坛"近日在上海科学会堂举行， 泉果基金董事总经理刚登峰应邀参与演讲讨论环节。 但这个技术相对于英伟达来说的话，坦白讲，依然存在代差，但是这方面的技术进展还是很快的，从我 们跟踪的情况来看，可能明年兑现节奏就开始要展开了。 【3】头部互联网企业：这也是我们在传统的投资里面最为关注的。比如头部的互联网企业，无论是在 AI的云服务层面，还是在他们自己业务的降本提效，包括广告更加精准有效的(投放)这一方面。无论是 从海外的Meta，还是我们国内的互联网厂商来看，报表上都有所体现，这个认可度应该也是比较高 的。 【4】真正杀手级的AI应用层面：我觉得可能也是最近大家最为关注的，就是真正的杀手级的AI应用层 面。 在讨论中，刚登峰结合"金融科技"的主题落点，主要分析了当前AI产业链条的几个投资重点。他特别提 到，当前，以英伟达为首的芯片的设计者和制造商、品牌商，所驱动的经济链条，是目前利润兑现最为 顺畅的环节之一，比如光模块龙头企业，甚至明年预测能达到两三百亿的利润体量。 "今年以来，AI也好，很多新兴的科技，在资本市场上的表现备受关注。这背后确实是有很 ...

软件ETF（515230）跟踪的是软件指数（H30202），该指数从市场中选取涉及软件开发、销售和服务等 业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，覆盖操作系统、应用软件、网络安全等领域的代表性企业，以反映 软件行业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数具有显著的成长性和技术导向性，能够较好地体现软件 行业的市场趋势和发展动态。 东吴证券表示，AI推理要求小数据块、高并发和大存储容量，现有以CPU为中心的传统架构难以满足需 求。因此，提出将控制和数据路径移至GPU，通过GPU直接连接SSD来提高存储量和传输速率，并利用 SCADA软件架构控制存储I/O。这促使底层硬件变革带动软件重构，形成以GPU为中心的新架构。预计 2027年初将推出首款搭载HBF技术的AI推理系统，同时Hammerspace和CloudianHyperStore已开始优化软 件性能。数据库产业有望因GPU直连SSD架构的创新迎来新的发展机遇。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

Market Analysis by covering: NVIDIA Corporation. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...

三年前，OpenAI发布了火爆一时的ChatGPT，引发了人们对人工智能（AI）的狂热。尽管资金仍在源 源不断地涌入，但人们也愈发质疑这股热潮能否持续下去。 从近期英伟达股票遭到抛售，到甲骨文公司在报告AI支出增加后的股价暴跌，再到围绕OpenAI相关公 司的市场情绪恶化，种种迹象表明，投资者对AI的怀疑情绪正在加剧。 展望2026年，华尔街上关于AI泡沫的激辩开始变得不同了。他们普遍确信那就是个泡沫，并开始争论 最终戳破泡沫的会是什么，以及是在潜在的泡沫破裂之前控制AI风险敞口，还是冒险加倍下注，利用 这项改变游戏规则的技术。 资本管理公司Callodine Capital Management首席执行官Jim Morrow表示："我们正处于经济周期的关键阶 段。这是一个很好的故事，但我们现在有点急于观望，看看投资回报是否会很好。" AI交易的令人不安之处包括它的商业化应用、开发它的巨大成本，以及消费者最终是否会为这些服务 付费。这些答案将对股市的未来产生重大影响。标普500指数近三年的牛市在很大程度上是由谷歌和微 软等科技巨头，以及芯片制造商英伟达和博通等受益于AI基础设施支出的公司推动的。如果它们停止 ...