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Prediction: This Will Be the Top-Performing Semiconductor Stock Over the Next 10 Years (Hint: It's Not Nvidia)
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-04 19:30
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is positioned for long-term growth in the AI chip market, potentially outperforming Nvidia in the coming decade [3][15]. Group 1: TSMC's Market Position - TSMC holds over 60% of the foundry market and serves major clients like Nvidia, AMD, and Qualcomm, making it a critical player in the semiconductor industry [9][5]. - The AI semiconductor market is projected to reach a size of $233 billion by 2034, indicating significant growth potential for TSMC [9]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, TSMC reported sales of $88.3 billion and earnings per share of $6.81, with expectations for continued rapid growth and healthy profitability [7]. - TSMC currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 21, consistent with its 10-year average, suggesting it is a bargain compared to historical valuations [10][15]. Group 3: Valuation and Market Sentiment - Recent valuation compression is attributed to uncertainties surrounding U.S. trade policies, which may have led to an overestimation of short-term impacts on TSMC's business [12][13]. - The company's long-term growth prospects remain strong, as it benefits from overall chip demand and AI infrastructure spending, regardless of specific company performance [14][15].
Meet the Critical Artificial Intelligence (AI) Chip Stock Your S&P 500 ETF Doesn't Include (but Every Tech Portfolio Needs)
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-04 09:15
Group 1: Investment Opportunity in TSMC - TSMC is the largest chip manufacturer in the world and plays a crucial role in the advancement of AI technology [6][7] - The company has a significant technological lead, being one of only three manufacturers capable of producing 3 nm chips, which are essential for AI applications [7][8] - TSMC's sales increased by 35% last quarter, with advanced 5 nm and 3 nm nodes accounting for 58% of total revenue, indicating strong demand for AI chips [9] Group 2: Financial Performance and Growth Outlook - TSMC is investing $38 billion to $42 billion in capital expenditures this year, a 34% increase from the previous year, to meet the growing demand for AI chips [11] - The company expects mid-20% revenue growth this year and over 20% average annual revenue growth over the next five years, while maintaining a gross margin above 53% [13] - TSMC shares are currently trading at less than 19 times the analysts' consensus estimate for 2025 earnings, making it an attractive investment compared to the S&P 500's aggregate P/E ratio [12] Group 3: Market Position and Competitive Advantage - TSMC has built a substantial moat that makes it difficult for competitors to gain market share, attracting major clients like Nvidia and Apple [10] - The company is planning to spend $100 billion over the next few years to expand manufacturing capacity in the United States, further solidifying its market position [11] - If included in the S&P 500, TSMC would account for approximately 1.8% of the index, highlighting its significant market capitalization [16]
3 Semiconductor Stocks That Could Help Make You a Fortune
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-04 09:05
TSMC, ASML, and Arm still look like a great long-term plays in the growing market.Many semiconductor stocks slumped this year as President Donald Trump's tariffs, the escalating trade wars, and fears of a recession cast dark clouds over the booming sector. However, that pullback has also been creating attractive buying opportunities for investors who expect the semiconductor market to continue growing over the next few decades.Below, I'll take a look at three of those stocks: TSMC (TSM 3.68%), ASML (ASML 3. ...
1.4nm,巅峰之争
半导体行业观察· 2025-05-03 02:05
来源:内容来自 Source:编辑部,谢谢。 如果您希望可以时常见面,欢迎标星收藏哦~ 在日前英特尔推出了A14工艺之后,两大晶圆厂巨头正式入局这个巅峰之争。从目前的资料看来,总体而言,他们在 架构、EUV光刻和晶体管设计上展开了激烈竞争。 首先看台积电,据该公司执行副总裁兼联席首席运营官Yuh-Jier Mii (米玉杰)博士介绍,当前的发展方向是从 FinFET到Nanosheet。除了这些技术之外,垂直堆叠的NFET和PFET器件(称为CFET)也可能是实现器件微缩的候选 方案。除了CFET之外,沟道材料方面也取得了突破,可以进一步实现尺寸微缩和降低功耗。上图总结了这些进展。 米博士报告称,台积电一直在积极构建硅基CFET器件,以实现更高水平的微缩。台积电在2023年IEDM上展示了其首 款栅极间距为48纳米的CFET晶体管。今年在IEDM上,台积电展示了最小的CFET反相器。下图展示了该器件在高达 1.2V电压下均衡的性能特征。 英特尔将推出的 14A 工艺节点(计划于 2027 年进行风险生产)的性能指标,宣称其功耗将降低高达 35%。英特尔还 展示了其全新的 Turbo Cell 技术,这是一种可 ...
人工智能,如何影响芯片
半导体行业观察· 2025-05-03 02:05
如果您希望可以时常见面,欢迎标星收藏哦~ 来源:内容来自 Source:编译自麦肯锡,谢谢。 半导体行业的经济利润增长(即该行业公司产生的收益超过其资本成本的比例)一直强劲。相对于平均经济利润率排 名前30的其他行业,半导体行业取得了显著进步,从2000-2004年的第15位跃升至2016-2020年的第4位 ,再到2020-24 年的第3位。 麦肯锡分析显示,半导体行业在其第一个十年创造了相对温和的经济利润,约为380亿美元,其中大部分来自英特 尔。除英特尔外,其他行业参与者的经济利润微乎其微甚至为负。在第二个十年,这个日趋成熟的行业经历了显著整 合,并扩大了代工模式;智能手机等新技术的出现,为计算机以外的领域开辟了新的增长途径。因此,盈利能力大幅 提升,2010年至2019年期间,该行业创造了4500亿美元的经济利润。 2020 年至 2024 年间,该行业创造的总经济利润价值为 4,730 亿美元,超过了之前整个十年创造的利润(图 1)。 2020 年至 2024 年,半导体行业创造的经济利润将超过前十年 经济利润的飙升主要得益于人工智能的爆炸式增长,以及半导体在汽车、工业等市场的新应用。此外,疫情导致 ...
台积电带头,日月光、汉唐等几十家企业,都向美国“投降”了?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-02 03:24
Group 1 - TSMC is the first company to respond to pressure from Trump by committing to invest an additional $100 billion, bringing total investment in the U.S. to $165 billion [1] - TSMC plans to increase its factory count from 3 to 6 chip factories, along with 2 packaging centers and a research center, with approximately 30% of its capacity allocated to the U.S. [3] - Other Taiwanese companies are following TSMC's lead, with over 20 suppliers indicating plans to establish operations in the U.S. to support TSMC [3] Group 2 - ASE, the world's largest chip packaging and testing company, is evaluating opportunities to build a factory in the U.S. to support its clients, showing significant interest in the move [5] - The rapid response of these companies is largely driven by their relationship with TSMC, as they fear losing business if they do not follow suit [7] - Companies are also motivated by the desire to avoid taxes and to align themselves with U.S. interests, indicating a strategic shift in the semiconductor industry [7]
Taiwan Semiconductor Making Excellent Progress Reducing the Biggest Risk to Investors
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-30 14:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the investment position of Parkev Tatevosian, CFA, and highlights the involvement of The Motley Fool in recommending Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing [1] Group 1 - Parkev Tatevosian has no position in any of the stocks mentioned [1] - The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing [1] - Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may receive compensation for promoting its services [1]
Taiwan Semiconductor Is Navigating Unprecedented Circumstances Effectively
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-30 12:15
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is diversifying its manufacturing base while addressing the increasing demand for its manufacturing services [1] Group 1 - The company is experiencing a booming demand for its manufacturing services [1] - TSM is actively working on diversifying its manufacturing capabilities [1]
风暴中的英特尔,正在发生一场史无前例的改革
虎嗅APP· 2025-04-30 10:38
以下文章来源于AGI接口 ,作者丸都山 AGI接口 . AI卷起的财富风暴。 编辑 | 苗正卿 头图 | 虎嗅拍摄 "我将全力确保代工业务的成功。" 在4月30日举办的英特尔代工大会上,66岁的陈立武在开场时,抛出了这样一句掷地有声的表态。 5周前,当陈立武被任命为英特尔CEO的消息传出时,部分业内人士认为,考虑到他长期从事于投资行业的背景,可能会削减调晶圆代工业 务,以帮助财务报表恢复到健康的状态。 如今看来,陈立武的态度非常明确,晶圆代工业务不仅要继续做,而且还要将其置于更高的优先级上。 不过,一个无法忽略的问题在于,英特尔近4年花掉900亿美元投资晶圆厂,本质上是为了IDM 2.0的落地,现在的英特尔是否还要遵循这个 框架? 在今天的会议上,陈立武并没有提到IDM 2.0的相关问题,甚至没有过多渲染代工业务对于自家产品的帮助,而是反复提到一句话"获得客 户信任"。 对于一般公司来说,这似乎是一句"正确的废话",但对于素来崇尚"工程师文化"的英特尔而言,这样的表述从未被如此密集地提到过。 出品 | 虎嗅科技组 作者 | 丸都山 这句话背后,或许暗藏着英特尔当下正在发生的一场"文化变革"。 01 华裔老将, ...
风暴中的英特尔,正在发生一场史无前例的改革
Hu Xiu· 2025-04-30 09:44
"我将全力确保代工业务的成功。" 在4月30日举办的英特尔代工大会上,66岁的陈立武在开场时,抛出了这样一句掷地有声的表态。 5周前,当陈立武被任命为英特尔CEO的消息传出时,部分业内人士认为,考虑到他长期从事于投资行业的背景,可能会削减调晶圆代工业务,以帮助财务 报表恢复到健康的状态。 如今看来,陈立武的态度非常明确,晶圆代工业务不仅要继续做,而且还要将其置于更高的优先级上。 不过,一个无法忽略的问题在于,英特尔近4年花掉900亿美元投资晶圆厂,本质上是为了IDM 2.0的落地,现在的英特尔是否还要遵循这个框架? 在今天的会议上,陈立武并没有提到IDM 2.0的相关问题,甚至没有过多渲染代工业务对于自家产品的帮助,而是反复提到一句话"获得客户信任"。 对于一般公司来说,这似乎是一句"正确的废话",但对于素来崇尚"工程师文化"的英特尔而言,这样的表述从未被如此密集地提到过。 在陈立武就职时发布的全员信上,他曾提到将切实推动工程师文化的复兴,但虎嗅认为,相比于宏大叙事,这位华裔老将可能更倾向于以目标为导向的务实 路线。 一个能够看到的变化是,在本次英特尔代工大会上,陈立武和一众高管在"秀肌肉"之余,都在强调这些 ...