Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant rise in the prices of non-ferrous metal stocks, driven by new policies from the National Development and Reform Commission aimed at optimizing traditional industries, particularly in alumina and copper smelting [1] - Ganfeng Lithium (01772) increased by 4.04% to HKD 54.05, China Hongqiao (01378) rose by 4.17% to HKD 33.98, Shandong Gold (01787) gained 4.1% to HKD 36.02, Luoyang Molybdenum (03993) went up by 3.9% to HKD 19.99, and Zijin Mining (02899) increased by 3.76% to HKD 37 [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that the new policies may restrict the planning of new alumina production capacity and expects capacity consolidation to benefit industry leaders, while lower annual copper concentrate processing and refining fees may lead to a reduction in refined copper output by 2026 [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities points out that insufficient capital expenditure, limited resource supply, strong AI demand prospects, expanding fiscal deficits, and declining interest rates are creating a new resource pricing paradigm globally, leading to a feast in the non-ferrous sector [2] - The article notes that the distribution of physical resources between the US and non-US regions is uneven due to threats from US tariffs on key minerals, resulting in liquidity shortages in certain markets and increased capital inflow to long positions [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant rise in non-ferrous metal stocks, driven by new policies from the National Development and Reform Commission aimed at optimizing traditional industries, particularly in alumina and copper smelting [1] - Ganfeng Lithium saw a rise of 4.04% to HKD 54.05, China Hongqiao increased by 4.17% to HKD 33.98, Shandong Gold rose by 4.1% to HKD 36.02, Luoyang Molybdenum increased by 3.9% to HKD 19.99, and Zijin Mining rose by 3.76% to HKD 37 [1] - Morgan Stanley suggests that the new policies may limit the planning of new alumina production capacity and that capacity consolidation will benefit industry leaders, while lower annual copper concentrate processing and refining fees may lead to a reduction in refined copper output by 2026 [1] Group 2 - CITIC Construction pointed out that insufficient capital expenditure, limited resource supply, strong AI demand prospects, expanding fiscal deficits, and declining interest rates are creating a new resource pricing paradigm globally, leading to a surge in non-ferrous metal investments [1] - The article indicates that the distribution of physical resources between the US and non-US regions is uneven due to threats from US tariffs on key minerals, resulting in liquidity issues in certain markets [1] - The combination of these factors is expected to support copper prices at high levels, with stable demand contributing to this trend [1]

紫金矿业新任董事长邹来昌发表新年致辞称，公司将加大战略性矿产资源获取力度，以金、铜为重点发 展矿种，全面形成具有全球竞争力的锂板块。邹来昌表示，紫金矿业将密切关注有重大影响力的超大型 矿产及中型矿业公司并购机会，并加大国内重点区域的资源投资开发力度。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant rise in the prices of non-ferrous metal stocks, driven by new policies from the National Development and Reform Commission aimed at optimizing traditional industries, particularly in alumina and copper smelting [1] - Major non-ferrous metal companies such as Ganfeng Lithium, China Hongqiao, Shandong Gold, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Zijin Mining have seen substantial stock price increases, with Ganfeng Lithium rising by 4.04% to HKD 54.05, and China Hongqiao increasing by 4.17% to HKD 33.98 [1] - Morgan Stanley anticipates that the new policies may limit the planning of new alumina production capacity and that capacity consolidation will benefit industry leaders, while lower annual copper concentrate processing and refining fees may lead to reduced refined copper output by 2026 [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities points out that insufficient capital expenditure, limited resource supply, strong AI demand prospects, expanding fiscal deficits, and declining interest rates are creating a new resource pricing paradigm globally, leading to a feast in the non-ferrous sector [2] - The article notes that the distribution of physical resources between the US and non-US regions is uneven due to threats from US tariffs on key minerals, resulting in liquidity shortages in certain markets and increased capital inflow to long positions [2]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining is expected to achieve a record net profit of approximately 51-52 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of about 59%-62% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's market value has been reassessed, reaching over 880 billion yuan, ranking among the top three global listed metal mining companies alongside BHP and Rio Tinto [1] - The growth is driven by both the increase in the quantity and price of mineral products and the continuous improvement in operational efficiency [1] Group 2: Production and Operations - In 2025, Zijin Mining aims to capitalize on the structural bull market for commodities like gold and copper, with gold production expected to increase by 23.5% to 90 tons and copper production by 2% to 1.09 million tons [1] - The company has successfully completed acquisitions that enhance production capacity, including the full acquisition of the Akim gold mine project, contributing an annual gold output of 5.8 tons [1] - The Kamoa smelter, operated by the company, has entered the trial production phase, which will transition sales from copper concentrate to anode plates, saving over 300 million USD in transportation costs annually [2] Group 3: Strategic Investments - The company has created a separate valuation system for its overseas gold mining assets by listing Zijin Gold International on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising 28.7 billion HKD [3] - Zijin Mining has made a record single investment by acquiring control of the A-share listed company Zangge Mining, significantly enhancing its copper and lithium resource reserves [3] - The current structure includes Zijin Mining as the parent company and Zijin Gold International, Zangge Mining, and Longjing Environmental Protection as its listed platforms, with a combined market value exceeding 1.3 trillion yuan [3]

Summary of Zijin Mining Group Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zijin Mining Group - **Industry**: Greater China Materials - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Market Capitalization**: US$125.471 billion - **Current Share Price (as of December 30, 2025)**: HK$35.36 - **Price Target**: HK$46.10, indicating a 30% upside potential Key Financial Highlights - **Preliminary Net Profit for 2025**: Rmb51-52 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 59-62% compared to the previous year [6][2] - **Consensus Estimate**: The preliminary result is in line with Morgan Stanley's estimate of Rmb52.4 billion [6] - **Fourth Quarter 2025 Profit**: Estimated at Rmb13.2-14.2 billion, showing a quarter-over-quarter decline from Rmb14.6 billion in Q3 2025, attributed to higher selling, general, and administrative expenses [6] - **Production Figures for 2025**: - Gold: 90 tons (up from 73 tons in 2024) - Copper: 1.09 million tons (up from 1.07 million tons in 2024) - Silver: 437 tons (slightly up from 436 tons in 2024) - Lithium Carbonate Equivalent (LCE): 25,000 tons (down from 261 tons in 2024) [6] Future Projections - **2026 Production Targets**: - Gold: 105 tons - Copper: 1.2 million tons - Silver: 520 tons - LCE: 120,000 tons [6] Valuation and Risks - **Valuation Methodology**: Based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model with a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 7.5% and a steady-state revenue growth rate of 3% per annum [7] - **Risks to Upside**: - Stronger copper prices due to robust demand or supply disruptions in key copper-producing countries - Volume increases from project ramp-ups and untapped resources [10] - **Risks to Downside**: - Weaker copper prices driven by economic downturns or lack of policy action in China - Potential misses on project executions and geopolitical risks leading to production disruptions [10] Analyst Insights - **Analyst Ratings**: The stock is rated as "Overweight," indicating expected performance above the average total return of the industry over the next 12-18 months [3][30] - **Industry View**: The materials sector is considered attractive, suggesting positive sentiment towards the industry as a whole [3][33] Additional Information - **Average Daily Trading Value**: US$178 million [3] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS) Estimates**: - 2025: Rmb1.97 - 2026: Rmb2.51 [3] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding Zijin Mining Group, highlighting financial performance, production targets, valuation methodologies, and associated risks.

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 510-520 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 59%-62% [1] - The company anticipates significant growth in mineral production for 2025, with gold production expected to increase by 23% and copper production by 2% [2] - The report highlights a favorable outlook for gold and copper prices due to a weakening US dollar and supply-demand dynamics, supporting the company's profitability [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a net profit of approximately 475-485 billion yuan after excluding non-recurring gains and losses for 2025, which is a year-on-year increase of about 50%-53% [1] - For Q4 2025, the estimated net profit attributable to shareholders is around 136 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 77% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.4% [1] Production Outlook - The company projects mineral production for 2026 to grow by 17% for gold, 10% for copper, 19% for silver, and 380% for lithium carbonate [2] - The planned production for 2026 includes 105 tons of gold, 1.2 million tons of copper, 12,000 tons of lithium carbonate, and 520 tons of silver [2] Price Trends - The average spot price of gold in London from October 1, 2025, to December 29, 2025, is expected to be 4,164 USD/ounce, a 56% increase from Q4 2024 and a 19% increase from Q3 2025 [2] - The average price of copper on the LME is projected to be 11,048 USD/ton, marking a 19% increase from Q4 2024 and a 12% increase from Q3 2025 [2] Profitability and Valuation - The report adjusts the company's profit forecast based on rising gold and copper prices, estimating net profits of 515.1 billion yuan, 755.0 billion yuan, and 815.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 61%, 47%, and 8% [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 17, 12, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining is positioned as a significant winner in 2025, with a projected net profit of approximately 51-52 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 189-199 billion yuan, or a growth rate of approximately 59%-62% [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The market remains optimistic about copper and gold prices, driven by the increasing demand for computing power from AI, with Goldman Sachs predicting an average copper price of $11,400 per ton in 2026 [2] - Gold prices are expected to continue rising, with Ed Yardeni forecasting that gold could reach $10,000 by the end of 2029, although the World Gold Council warns of potential price corrections of 5% to 20% under extreme scenarios [2] Group 2: Production Plans - Zijin Mining plans to increase production in 2026, targeting gold and copper output of 105 tons and 1.2 million tons, respectively, which represents a year-on-year increase of 15 tons and 110,000 tons [2] - The company's expansion strategy is supported by its global investments, with significant mining projects in 17 countries [2] Group 3: International Expansion Challenges - Zijin Mining faces challenges in cross-cultural communication during its overseas project expansions, including language barriers and differences in management philosophies [4] - Specific challenges have been noted in projects in Serbia and Africa, where cultural differences have impacted labor management [4] Group 4: Cultural Communication Strategies - To address these challenges, Zijin Mining has developed a cross-cultural labor communication system that includes respecting local customs and implementing localized employment strategies [5] - Initiatives such as adjusting work schedules for religious holidays and organizing family open days have been introduced to bridge cultural gaps [5] - The company has also focused on skill enhancement and cultural exchange through training programs and opportunities for employees from diverse backgrounds [5] Group 5: Performance Recognition - In 2025, Zijin Mining not only set new historical records for the company but also solidified its position as a leading player in the global mining industry [5]

紫金矿业（601899）(02899)发布公告，公司第九届董事会第一次会议于2025年12月31日在公司上杭总 部以现场方式召开，会议选举邹来昌先生为公司第九届董事会董事长，选举林泓富先生为公司第九届董 事会副董事长，任期均为三年。 陈景河先生不再担任公司董事长;邹来昌先生不再担任公司副董事长、总裁;林泓富先生不再担任公司常 务副总裁;林红英女士不再担任公司副总裁;郑友诚先生不再担任公司董事会秘书。 根据总裁林泓富先生的提名，聘任吴健辉先生为公司常务副总裁，聘任谢雄辉先生、沈绍阳先生、吴红 辉先生、龙翼先生、王春先生、廖元杭先生、丘国柱先生、简锡明先生、高文龙先生为公司副总裁;聘 任吴红辉先生为公司财务总监(兼)，聘任蔡雪琳女士为公司联席财务总监;聘任吴健辉先生为公司总工程 师(兼);任期均为三年。 根据董事长邹来昌先生的提名，聘任林泓富先生为公司总裁，聘任高文龙先生为公司董事会秘书，任期 均为三年。 ...

根据总裁林泓富先生的提名，聘任吴健辉先生为公司常务副总裁，聘任谢雄辉先生、沈绍阳先生、吴红 辉先生、龙翼先生、王春先生、廖元杭先生、丘国柱先生、简锡明先生、高文龙先生为公司副总裁;聘 任吴红辉先生为公司财务总监(兼)，聘任蔡雪琳女士为公司联席财务总监;聘任吴健辉先生为公司总工程 师(兼);任期均为三年。 陈景河先生不再担任公司董事长;邹来昌先生不再担任公司副董事长、总裁;林泓富先生不再担任公司常 务副总裁;林红英女士不再担任公司副总裁;郑友诚先生不再担任公司董事会秘书。 智通财经APP讯，紫金矿业(02899)发布公告，公司第九届董事会第一次会议于2025年12月31日在公司上 杭总部以现场方式召开，会议选举邹来昌先生为公司第九届董事会董事长，选举林泓富先生为公司第九 届董事会副董事长，任期均为三年。 根据董事长邹来昌先生的提名，聘任林泓富先生为公司总裁，聘任高文龙先生为公司董事会秘书，任期 均为三年。 ...