Search documents
苹果(AAPL.O):FY26Q1 业绩点评:iPhone 步入强劲周期,盈利保持韧性
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 10:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7]. Core Insights - The report highlights record growth in iPhone sales leading to new performance highs, with Apple expected to capture market share through supply chain advantages despite rising storage costs. High premium rates and ancillary service revenues provide a solid profit cushion [3][11]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for FY2026E, FY2027E, and FY2028E to $460.4 billion, $498.4 billion, and $523.4 billion respectively, with GAAP net profits projected at $123.4 billion, $136.3 billion, and $143.0 billion for the same periods [11]. Financial Summary - Revenue (in million USD): - 2023: 383,285 - 2024: 391,035 - 2025: 416,161 - 2026E: 460,409 - 2027E: 498,428 - 2028E: 523,360 - Year-on-Year Growth: - 2023: -2.8% - 2024: 2.0% - 2025: 6.4% - 2026E: 10.6% - 2027E: 8.3% - 2028E: 5.0% [5]. - Gross Profit (in million USD): - 2023: 169,148 - 2024: 180,683 - 2025: 195,201 - 2026E: 214,416 - 2027E: 232,340 - 2028E: 244,051 - Gross Margin: - 2023: 44.1% - 2024: 46.2% - 2025: 46.9% - 2026E: 46.6% - 2027E: 46.6% - 2028E: 46.6% [5]. - Net Profit (in million USD): - 2023: 96,995 - 2024: 93,736 - 2025: 112,010 - 2026E: 123,350 - 2027E: 136,252 - 2028E: 142,994 - Year-on-Year Growth: - 2023: -2.8% - 2024: -3.4% - 2025: 19.5% - 2026E: 10.1% - 2027E: 10.5% - 2028E: 4.9% [5]. Revenue and Profit Forecasts - The report indicates that the company expects to maintain strong demand for iPhones, with significant growth in key markets such as India and Greater China, where revenue increased by 38% year-on-year [11]. - The company anticipates a revenue guidance of +13% to +16% for the March quarter, despite challenges in supply chain and storage costs [11].
四方股份:网内外业务齐拓展,持续推进SST布局-20260210
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 10:30
网内外业务齐拓展,持续推进 SST 布局 四方股份(601126) | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 徐强(分析师) | 010-83939805 | xuqiang@gtht.com | S0880517040002 | 本报告导读: 公司是国内极少数能够提供数据中心交直流配电系统一二次关键设备及全套解决方 案的企业。针对 AIDC 特殊需求,公司加紧与客户建立深度合作关系。 投资要点: [Table_Summary] 盈利预测与投资评级。预计 2025-2027 年,公司归母净利润 8.43 亿 元、9.94 亿元、11.72 亿元,增速为 17.8%、17.9%、17.9%。对应 EPS 1.01 元、1.19 元、1.41 元。结合公司市场地位,以及同业估值,给 予公司 2026 年 40 倍 PE,目标价 47.6 元,维持"增持"评级。 网内、网外业务齐拓展: (1)主网业务:受益于二次设备招标规模的带动,公司中标规模明 显高于预期。 (2)配网业务:公司积极推进一二次融合、综合能源管理等技术和 产 ...
高频选股因子周报(20260202-20260206):高频因子分化,大单因子表现较好,多粒度因子继续稳定表现。AI 增强组合继续强势表现。
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 10:25
高频选股因子周报(20260202- 20260206) 高频因子分化,大单因子表现较好,多粒度因子继续稳定表 现。AI 增强组合继续强势表现。 本报告导读: 上周(20260202-20260206,下同)高频因子分化,大单因子表现较好,多粒度因子 继续稳定表现。AI 增强组合继续强势表现。 投资要点: | | 金融工程 | /[Table_Date] 2026.02.10 | | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_Authors] | | 郑雅斌(分析师) | | | 021-23219395 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyabin@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040105 | | | 余浩淼(分析师) | | | 021-23185650 | | | yuhaomiao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040013 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 量化择时和拥挤度预警周报(20260206) 2026.02.08 红利风格择时周报(0202-0206) 2026.02.07 低频选股因子周报(202 ...
高频选股因子周报(20260202-20260206):高频因子分化,大单因子表现较好,多粒度因子继续稳定表现。AI 增强组合继续强势表现。-20260210
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 09:25
高频选股因子周报(20260202- 20260206) 高频因子分化,大单因子表现较好,多粒度因子继续稳定表 现。AI 增强组合继续强势表现。 本报告导读: 上周(20260202-20260206,下同)高频因子分化,大单因子表现较好,多粒度因子 继续稳定表现。AI 增强组合继续强势表现。 投资要点: | | 金融工程 | /[Table_Date] 2026.02.10 | | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_Authors] | | 郑雅斌(分析师) | | | 021-23219395 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyabin@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040105 | | | 余浩淼(分析师) | | | 021-23185650 | | | yuhaomiao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040013 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 量化择时和拥挤度预警周报(20260206) 2026.02.08 红利风格择时周报(0202-0206) 2026.02.07 低频选股因子周报(202 ...
大额买入与资金流向跟踪(20260202-20260206)
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 08:59
Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: Large Order Transaction Amount Ratio **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor captures the buying behavior of large capital by analyzing the proportion of large order transaction amounts in the total daily transaction amount[8] **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Use tick-by-tick transaction data to identify buy and sell orders based on the sequence numbers of bids and asks 2. Filter transactions by order size to identify large orders 3. Calculate the proportion of large buy order transaction amounts in the total daily transaction amount **Formula**: $ \text{Large Order Transaction Amount Ratio} = \frac{\text{Large Buy Order Transaction Amount}}{\text{Total Daily Transaction Amount}} $ **Evaluation**: This factor effectively reflects the buying behavior of large capital[8] - **Factor Name**: Net Active Buy Transaction Amount Ratio **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the active buying behavior of investors by calculating the net active buy transaction amount as a proportion of the total daily transaction amount[8] **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Use tick-by-tick transaction data to classify each transaction as either active buy or active sell based on the buy/sell indicator 2. Subtract the active sell transaction amount from the active buy transaction amount to obtain the net active buy transaction amount 3. Calculate the proportion of the net active buy transaction amount in the total daily transaction amount **Formula**: $ \text{Net Active Buy Transaction Amount Ratio} = \frac{\text{Active Buy Transaction Amount} - \text{Active Sell Transaction Amount}}{\text{Total Daily Transaction Amount}} $ **Evaluation**: This factor provides insights into the active buying tendencies of investors[8] --- Factor Backtesting Results - **Large Order Transaction Amount Ratio**: - Top 10 stocks with the highest 5-day average values: 1. Hanjiang Heshan (603616.SH): 93.5%, 99.2% time-series percentile[10] 2. Minbao Optoelectronics (301362.SZ): 89.7%, 98.4% time-series percentile[10] 3. Hangdian Co., Ltd. (603618.SH): 86.1%, 99.6% time-series percentile[10] 4. Jinzhengda (002470.SZ): 85.2%, 83.9% time-series percentile[10] 5. Guofa Co., Ltd. (600538.SH): 84.9%, 92.4% time-series percentile[10] 6. Shunna Co., Ltd. (000533.SZ): 84.7%, 100.0% time-series percentile[10] 7. Quanzhu Co., Ltd. (603030.SH): 84.6%, 94.4% time-series percentile[10] 8. Beijing Investment Development (600683.SH): 84.5%, 96.0% time-series percentile[10] 9. Chongqing Steel (601005.SH): 84.3%, 52.2% time-series percentile[10] 10. Huadian International (600027.SH): 83.6%, 95.2% time-series percentile[10] - **Net Active Buy Transaction Amount Ratio**: - Top 10 stocks with the highest 5-day average values: 1. Minsheng Bank (600016.SH): 21.1%, 100.0% time-series percentile[11] 2. Kairuide (002072.SZ): 20.3%, 99.6% time-series percentile[11] 3. Intercontinental Oil & Gas (600759.SH): 19.5%, 100.0% time-series percentile[11] 4. Boen Group (001366.SZ): 17.8%, 100.0% time-series percentile[11] 5. Bowan Technology (600883.SH): 17.5%, 99.6% time-series percentile[11] 6. Xiangyou Technology (600476.SH): 16.8%, 99.2% time-series percentile[11] 7. Zhejiang Commercial Bank (601916.SH): 16.8%, 94.4% time-series percentile[11] 8. General Elevator (300931.SZ): 15.9%, 100.0% time-series percentile[11] 9. Weier Pharmaceutical (603351.SH): 15.3%, 94.0% time-series percentile[11] 10. Ruierte (002790.SZ): 15.2%, 98.4% time-series percentile[11]
四方股份(601126):网内外业务齐拓展,持续推进SST布局
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 08:37
网内外业务齐拓展,持续推进 SST 布局 四方股份(601126) | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 徐强(分析师) | 010-83939805 | xuqiang@gtht.com | S0880517040002 | 本报告导读: 公司是国内极少数能够提供数据中心交直流配电系统一二次关键设备及全套解决方 案的企业。针对 AIDC 特殊需求,公司加紧与客户建立深度合作关系。 投资要点: [Table_Summary] 盈利预测与投资评级。预计 2025-2027 年,公司归母净利润 8.43 亿 元、9.94 亿元、11.72 亿元,增速为 17.8%、17.9%、17.9%。对应 EPS 1.01 元、1.19 元、1.41 元。结合公司市场地位,以及同业估值,给 予公司 2026 年 40 倍 PE,目标价 47.6 元,维持"增持"评级。 网内、网外业务齐拓展: (1)主网业务:受益于二次设备招标规模的带动,公司中标规模明 显高于预期。 (2)配网业务:公司积极推进一二次融合、综合能源管理等技术和 产 ...
苹果(AAPL):FY26Q1 业绩点评:iPhone 步入强劲周期,盈利保持韧性
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 07:50
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Insights - The report highlights record growth in iPhone sales leading to new performance highs, with Apple expected to capture market share through supply chain capabilities despite rising storage costs. High premium rates and ancillary service revenues provide a solid profit cushion [3][11] - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for FY2026E, FY2027E, and FY2028E to $460.4 billion, $498.4 billion, and $523.4 billion respectively, with GAAP net profits projected at $123.4 billion, $136.3 billion, and $143.0 billion [11] Financial Summary - Revenue (in million USD): - 2023: 383,285 - 2024: 391,035 - 2025: 416,161 - 2026E: 460,409 - 2027E: 498,428 - 2028E: 523,360 - Year-on-year growth: - 2023: -2.8% - 2024: 2.0% - 2025: 6.4% - 2026E: 10.6% - 2027E: 8.3% - 2028E: 5.0% [5] - Gross profit (in million USD): - 2023: 169,148 - 2024: 180,683 - 2025: 195,201 - 2026E: 214,416 - 2027E: 232,340 - 2028E: 244,051 - Gross margin: - 2023: 44.1% - 2024: 46.2% - 2025: 46.9% - 2026E: 46.6% - 2027E: 46.6% - 2028E: 46.6% [5] Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report indicates that Apple is expected to leverage its supply chain advantages to expand market share, with a long-term positive outlook based on its data ecosystem and self-developed hardware and software collaboration. The target price for Apple has been adjusted to $321, maintaining a "Buy" rating [11]
IPO专题:新股精要:动力电池热失控防护零部件领先提供商固德电材
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 07:21
新股精要—动力电池热失控防护零部件领 先提供商固德电材 ——IPO 专题 本报告导读: 固德电材(301680.SZ)是新能源汽车动力电池热失控防护零部件领先提供商,在全 球电池系统云母材料安全防护市场份额约为 15%~20%。2024 年公司实现营收/归母 净利润 9.08/1.72 亿元。截至 2026 年 2 月 9 日,公司所在申万三级行业其他汽车零 部件 PE(TTM,剔除负值)为 39.97 倍,2025 和 2026 年预测 PE 分别为 42.83 倍和 36.00 倍。 投资要点: 新股研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.10 | [Table_Authors] | 王政之(分析师) | | --- | --- | | | 021-38674944 | | | wangzhengzhi@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880517060002 | | | 施怡昀(分析师) | | | 021-38032690 | | | shiyiyun@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880522060002 | | | 王思琪(分析师) | | | 021-3803 ...
国产军民机亮相新加坡航展,美将加速生产五种关键导弹
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 07:19
国产军民机亮相新加坡航展,美将加速生产五种关键导弹 [Table_Industry] 军工 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.10 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 周明頔(分析师) | 010-83939792 | zhoumingdi@gtht.com | S0880525080003 | | 杨天昊(分析师) | 010-83939791 | yangtianhao@gtht.com | S0880523080010 | 本报告导读: 上周军工板块上涨,国产军民机亮相新加坡航展,美将加速生产五种关 键导弹。大国博弈加剧是长期趋势,军工长期向好。 投资要点: [Table_Report] 相关报告 军工《福建舰训练计划顺利推进,多区域军事对 峙升温》2026.02.02 军工《火箭发射节奏持续加快,商业航天产业稳 步提速》2026.01.20 军工《两航天央企锚定"十五五"航天强国目 标,俄称打击乌军工设施》2026.01.19 军工《中国航天 2025 发射次数创新高,美军费或 将提至 ...
:三部门发文强化养老服务保障,我国湿地面积位居亚洲第一
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-02-10 02:35
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The report highlights significant policy initiatives aimed at enhancing the sustainability and efficiency of various sectors, particularly in elder care and green manufacturing [5][9][12] - It emphasizes the importance of ecological protection, with China leading in wetland area preservation, which is crucial for environmental sustainability [14][15] - The report discusses the growing trend of ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) practices among companies, indicating a shift towards integrating sustainability into core business strategies [12][13] Policy Developments - Three departments jointly issued measures to support the reform and development of elder care services, focusing on reducing costs and improving resource allocation [5][6] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment released 16 ecological standards to enhance environmental governance and data collection [7][8] - Sichuan Province introduced an action plan for a comprehensive green manufacturing system, aiming for significant milestones by 2027 and 2030 [9][10][11] Industry Trends - The 2025 Corporate Sustainability Index report indicates a steady improvement in sustainability practices across various industries, with notable differences in performance [12][13] - China's wetland area ranks first in Asia and fourth globally, reflecting ongoing efforts in ecological conservation and management [14][15] International Events - The IPSASB published the first global climate disclosure standard for the public sector, marking a significant advancement in climate reporting [16][17] - A power crisis in the U.S. has led to a shortage of gas turbines, potentially accelerating the shift towards renewable energy in Europe and Asia [18][19] - China and the United Nations have outlined a roadmap for cooperation over the next five years, focusing on sustainable development and environmental governance [20][21] Corporate Developments - Douyin released a report on its initiatives for protecting minors online, showcasing its commitment to social responsibility [22][23] - China Mobile achieved carbon neutrality for its headquarters, becoming a leader in the telecommunications sector for sustainability efforts [24][25]