经营质量持续改善，AI 业务落地迅速 汉得信息(300170) 汉得信息跟踪报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 杨林(分析师) | 021-23183969 | yanglin2@gtht.com | S0880525040027 | | 杨蒙(分析师) | 021-23185700 | yangmeng@gtht.com | S0880525040072 | 本报告导读： AI 业务推动公司向产品型、数智解决方案供应商逐步转型，AI 生态圈不断扩大，看 好公司在 AI 时代的发展潜力。 | 52 周内股价区间(元) | 11.15-25.22 | | --- | --- | | 总市值(百万元) | 18,973 | | 总股本/流通A股(百万股) | 1,022/977 | | 流通 B 股/H 股(百万股) | 0/0 | [Table_Balance] 资产负债表摘要(LF) | 股东权益(百万元) | 5,508 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产(元) | 5.39 | | 市净率( ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [2][4]. Core Views - The report indicates a significant decline in net profit attributable to the parent company, which decreased by 36.9% year-on-year for Q1 to Q3 of 2025. The company is actively seeking investment opportunities in new productive forces and hard technology sectors to secure long-term returns [3][4]. - The company has initiated the construction of the AIAgent platform for the construction industry, aiming to provide intelligent solutions for the entire architectural design process [3][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 to Q3 of 2025, the company's revenue reached 889 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.1%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 70 million yuan, down 36.9% year-on-year [4]. - The gross profit margin decreased by 3.1 percentage points to 25.9%, while the net profit margin fell by 5.9 percentage points to 7.9% [4]. - The company has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.54, 0.61, and 0.64 yuan, representing changes of -15.2%, 12.6%, and 4.7% respectively [4][7]. Investment Opportunities - The company is focusing on expanding its international business along the "Belt and Road" initiative while consolidating its domestic market presence [5]. - It has made investments in Shenzhen's Zhongtou Xinyao No.1 Technology Investment Partnership to leverage resources and advantages in equity investment for long-term returns [5]. Digital Transformation Initiatives - The company is advancing its digital transformation by exploring data value and applying artificial intelligence in architectural design and engineering cost consulting [6]. - The AIAgent platform, which integrates large model technology, aims to reshape the architectural design process and provide intelligent solutions throughout the design workflow [6].

股 票 研 究 英美烟草：Glo Hilo 反馈亮眼，新型烟草加速扩张 [Table_Industry] 耐用消费品 证 券 研 究 报 新型烟草行业专题更新 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘佳昆(分析师) | 021-38038184 | liujiakun@gtht.com | S0880524040004 | | 毛宇翔(分析师) | 021-38038672 | maoyuxiang@gtht.com | S0880524080013 | 本报告导读： 2025 年下半年英美烟草新型烟草业务增长提速，产业链有望受益高景气。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 耐用消费品《业绩分化加速，龙头韧性凸显》 2025.11.03 耐用消费品《家具板块：底部确立，后势可期》 2025.09.09 耐用消费品《景气度分化，关注细分赛道投资机 会》2025.09.03 耐用消费品《新型烟草行业增长提速，新品市场 表现可期》2025.08.05 耐用消费品《AI 眼镜新品百花齐放，产品加速破 圈》2 ...

稳中求进，修炼内功 [Table_Authors] 刘姜枫(分析师) 政策基调总体温和，下调对外风险评价，重视短期的扩大内需和中长期的"内功" 修炼。 投资要点： | 021-38031032 | | --- | | liujiangfeng@gtht.com | | | 邵睿思(研究助理) | | --- | --- | | | 010-83939827 | | | shaoruisi@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880125070011 | | | 梁中华(分析师) | | | 021-23219820 | | | liangzhonghua@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040019 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 核心 CPI 同比维持高位 2025.12.10 出口：动能修复，但基数将升 2025.12.08 内需主导，提质增效 2025.12.08 美联储降息：或踩刹车 2025.11.21 收入增速升，支出需加码 2025.11.17 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 宏 ——2025 年 12 月中央经济工作会议学习体会 ...

电价长协临近，买卖双方最后博弈 [Table_Industry] 公用事业 | | | | | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | | | 吴杰(分析师) | 021-23183818 | wujie3@gtht.com | S0880525040109 | | | | 阎石(分析师) | 021-23185741 | yanshi@gtht.com | S0880525070005 | | | 本报告导读： 电力需求仍在上升趋势，长期看好火电。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 公用事业《公用事业数据周报_20251208》 2025.12.08 公用事业《公用事业数据周报_20251202》 2025.12.02 公用事业《26 年长协电比例预计将降低》 2025.12.01 公用事业《国泰海通公用事业月度电力数据库》 2025.11.26 公用事业《各地新政限制售电盈利，有利电价企 稳》2025.11.26 股 票 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector [7]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the significant improvement in the cost of liabilities for banks in 2025, with a notable decrease of 28 basis points (bp) in the first half of the year, compared to only 4 bp in the same period last year. This improvement is primarily driven by reductions in deposit and interbank liabilities costs, contributing 19 bp and 7 bp respectively [3][11]. - The net interest margin (NIM) is expected to decline by approximately 5 bp in 2026, with the downward pressure on margins continuing to ease marginally, suggesting that some banks may stabilize their NIMs [2][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Liability Cost Improvement in 2025 - The first half of 2025 saw a significant reduction in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities, with the cost rate dropping to 1.70%, a decrease of 28 bp from 2024. This was supported by improvements in both deposit and interbank liability costs [11]. 2. Liability Side: Deposit Maturity and Repricing Benefits 1) **Term Structure**: The proportion of long-term deposits entering the repricing cycle has increased, with the share of deposits with a remaining maturity of 1-5 years declining by 1.5 percentage points (pct) to 22.6% by the end of Q2 2025. Some banks, such as those in Ningbo and Chongqing, experienced declines exceeding 10 pct [4]. 2) **Price Factors**: Regulatory focus on maintaining reasonable NIM levels has increased, with expectations of further interest rate cuts. The maximum reduction for three-year deposits could exceed 100 bp, indicating substantial room for cost improvement [5]. 3. Asset Side: Yield Pressure Expected to be Better than 2025 1) **Loans**: The repricing pressure on loans is expected to ease, with the five-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) declining by only 10 bp in 2025, significantly less than the 50 bp drop the previous year [6]. 2) **Debt Replacement**: The shift from high-interest to low-interest debt is anticipated to have a limited impact on net interest margins, estimated to drag down margins by about 4 bp [6]. 3) **Bond Maturity**: The widening gap between new bond issuance rates and existing bond yields is expected to exert downward pressure on investment yields, with an estimated drag of 6 bp on margins from the reallocation of bonds maturing within one year [6]. 4. NIM Projections - The report forecasts a 5 bp decline in NIM for 2026, with the downward trend continuing to converge. The asset yield is expected to decrease by 17 bp, while the cost of liabilities is projected to improve by 13 bp, with deposit costs improving by 17 bp [7][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for China Pacific Insurance (2328) [8] Core Views - The report suggests that short-term personnel changes will not affect the long-term operational stability of the company, with a positive outlook on the clear strategic planning for both auto and non-auto insurance, which is expected to drive continuous improvement in underwriting profitability [3][12] - The report forecasts EPS for 2025-2027 to be 2.14, 2.40, and 2.55 RMB respectively, with a target price of 22.82 HKD for 2025 [12] Financial Summary - **Insurance Service Revenue (Million RMB)**: - 2023A: 457,203 - 2024A: 485,223 (+6%) - 2025E: 507,552 (+5%) - 2026E: 532,082 (+5%) - 2027E: 559,006 (+5%) [6] - **Net Profit (Attributable to Parent) (Million RMB)**: - 2023A: 24,585 - 2024A: 32,173 (+30.9%) - 2025E: 47,582 (+47.9%) - 2026E: 53,294 (+12.0%) - 2027E: 56,609 (+6.2%) [6] - **Price-to-Earnings (PE) Ratio**: - 2023A: 13.97 - 2024A: 10.67 - 2025E: 7.22 - 2026E: 6.44 - 2027E: 6.07 [6] - **Price-to-Book (PB) Ratio**: - 2023A: 1.48 - 2024A: 1.33 - 2025E: 1.19 - 2026E: 1.05 - 2027E: 0.94 [6] Strategic Insights - The company is expected to maintain stable operations in its core business despite recent personnel changes, with the appointment of Zhang Daoming as the interim head, who has 27 years of management experience in the insurance industry [12] - The report highlights a clear strategic plan that is expected to enhance both premium income and profitability in the long term, particularly through the optimization of the auto insurance cost structure and the governance of non-auto insurance [12] - The company is actively responding to national policies to develop overseas business models, focusing on serving "Chinese enterprises" and "Chinese products," with significant progress in underwriting key projects along the Belt and Road Initiative [12]

宏 观 研 究 美联储如期降息，开启技术性扩表 [Table_Authors] 汪浩(分析师) ——2025 年 12 月美联储议息会议点评 本报告导读： 2025 年 12 月美联储降息 25BP，基本符合预期，但是内部分歧加大，表态上后续降 息更为谨慎，同时开启准备金管理购买的技术性扩表。在劳动力市场结构性变化和 美联储主席换届的背景下，我们预计 2026 年可能还有 2-3 次降息，美债利率先下后 上，美股仍有进一步支撑。 投资要点： 宏观研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.12.11 | | 0755-23976659 | | --- | --- | | | wanghao8@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880521120002 | | | 梁中华(分析师) | | | 021-23219820 | | | liangzhonghua@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040019 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 通胀能否回升 2025.12.01 外需修复，推升供给 2025.11.30 同比转负，有待需求提振 2025.11.27 弱就业、 ...

[Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 江珅(分析师) | 021-23185638 | jiangshen@gtht.com | S0880525090001 | | 赵峻峰(分析师) | 0755-23976629 | zhaojunfeng@gtht.com | S0880519080017 | | 余文心(分析师) | 021-38676666 | yuwenxin@gtht.com | S0880525040111 | 本报告导读： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 股 票 研 究 政策拉动国内市场有效复苏，医疗设备招 采保持快速增长 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 医疗器械《政策拉动国内市场有效复苏，设备类 企业迎来业绩拐点》2025.11.11 医疗器械《政策资本多重共振，脑机商业化有望 加速》2025.10.22 医疗器械《医疗设备招投标规模保持增长，25 年 新一轮医疗设备更新有望来临》2025.10.13 医疗器械《设备更新政策持续落 ...

股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.12.10 11 月乘用车市场优惠力度持续减弱 [Table_Industry] 汽车 ——汽车行业跟踪报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘一鸣(分析师) | 021-23154145 | liuyiming@gtht.com | S0880525040050 | | 张觉尹(分析师) | 021-23185705 | zhangjueyin@gtht.com | S0880525040057 | | 潘若婵(分析师) | 021-23154145 | panruochan@gtht.com | S0880525110006 | 本报告导读： 11 月市场优惠力度持续减弱，行业内部结构性分化加剧。我们维持行业"增持"评 级。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 汽车《优必选与卓世科技达成战略合作，众擎发 布 T800》2025.12.08 汽车《线控转向相关国标发布，产业迎来重要助 推》2025.12.07 汽车《零跑 Lafa 5 上市，海 ...