公 司 研 国资入主理顺机制，增量项目打开空间 三特索道(002159) 三特索道首次覆盖报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | 许樱之(分析师) | 0755-82900465 | xuyingzhi@gtht.com | S0880525040012 | 本报告导读： 核心项目盈利强劲，国资入主理顺机制，新增项目及存量改造进一步打 开成长空间 社会服务业 [Table_Industry] /社会服务 | [Table_Invest] | 首次覆盖 | | --- | --- | | 评级 | 增持 | | 目标价格 | 28.80 | | | | [Table_Market] 交易数据 | 52 周内股价区间(元) | 14.13-18.71 | | --- | --- | | 总市值(百万元) | 3,190 | | 总股本/流通A股(百万股) | 177/138 | | 流 ...

红利风格择时周报（0209-0213） [Table_Authors] 郑雅斌(分析师) 本报告导读： 上周（20260209 至 20260213）红利风格择时模型综合因子值为 0.09，连续两周为正 值、发出正向信号，与前一周（20260202 至 20260206）的 0.09 持平。 投资要点： 金融工程 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.24 | | 021-23219395 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyabin@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040105 | | | 梁誉耀(分析师) | | | 021-38038665 | | | liangyuyao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524080003 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 金 融 工 程 金 融 工 程 量化择时和拥挤度预警周报（20260220） 2026.02.22 高频选股因子周报（20260209-20260213） 2026.02.16 低频选股因子周报（2026.02.06- ...

Market Pricing Status: Trading Activity Slightly Decreased, Profitability Increased - The trading turnover rate has decreased, with the average daily trading volume for the entire A-share market dropping to 2.1 trillion yuan, and the average number of daily limit-up stocks decreasing to 60.8 [8][12] - The proportion of stocks that increased in value rose to 47.6%, while the median weekly return for A-share stocks increased to -0.1% [12][15] - The trading concentration in both primary and secondary industries has declined, with six industries having turnover rates in the historical top 90% [12][19] A-Share Liquidity Tracking: Foreign Capital Slightly Inflows, ETF Capital Slightly Outflows - Foreign capital inflow amounted to approximately 3.67 million USD, with the northbound trading volume accounting for 34.6% of total trading [29][46] - The new issuance scale of equity funds increased to 43.63 billion yuan, indicating a rise in overall stock positions of public funds [29][31] - ETF funds experienced a net outflow of 44.18 billion yuan, with the proportion of passive trading decreasing to 6.6% [29][25] A-Share Industry Allocation Tracking: Divergence in Movements of Foreign Capital, ETF Capital, and Financing Capital - Foreign capital saw net inflows in the non-ferrous metals (+39.1 million USD) and banking (+21.4 million USD) sectors [29][43] - Financing capital showed net inflows in the media (+2.88 billion yuan) and environmental protection (+0.24 billion yuan) sectors, while there were significant outflows in power equipment (-6.5 billion yuan) and non-bank financials (-4.56 billion yuan) [29][19] - The ETF sector experienced widespread outflows, particularly in electronics (-11.47 billion yuan) and power equipment (-4.94 billion yuan) [29][19] Hong Kong Stock and Global Liquidity Tracking: Slowing Inflows from Southbound Funds, Marginal Inflows of Global Foreign Capital into Developed Markets - Southbound fund inflows decreased to 27.8 billion yuan, representing the 76th percentile since 2022 [29][4] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.6%, while global markets showed mixed performance, with South Korea leading with a 5.5% increase [29][4] - Global foreign capital saw marginal inflows into developed markets, particularly in the US (+8.13 billion USD), Japan (+3.9 billion USD), and the UK (+2.11 billion USD) [29][4]

红利风格择时周报（0209-0213） [Table_Authors] 郑雅斌(分析师) 本报告导读： 上周（20260209 至 20260213）红利风格择时模型综合因子值为 0.09，连续两周为正 值、发出正向信号，与前一周（20260202 至 20260206）的 0.09 持平。 投资要点： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 金 融 工 程 金 金融工程 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.24 | | 021-23219395 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyabin@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040105 | | | 梁誉耀(分析师) | | | 021-38038665 | | | liangyuyao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524080003 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 量化择时和拥挤度预警周报（20260220） 2026.02.22 高频选股因子周报（20260209-20260213） 2026.02.16 低频选股因子周报（2026.02.06-2026.02.13） 2026.0 ...

公 司 研 国资入主理顺机制，增量项目打开空间 三特索道(002159) 三特索道首次覆盖报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | 许樱之(分析师) | 0755-82900465 | xuyingzhi@gtht.com | S0880525040012 | 本报告导读： 核心项目盈利强劲，国资入主理顺机制，新增项目及存量改造进一步打 开成长空间 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 719 | 692 | 660 | 748 | 882 | | (+/-)% | 180.7% | -3.7% | -4.7% | 13.4% | 17.9% | | 净利润(归母) | 128 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" to the company with a target price of 79.10 CNY, based on its strong position in the refrigerant market and expected growth in revenue and profit [5][20]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in the refrigerant industry, particularly in the production of third-generation refrigerants, which are expected to see price increases due to growing downstream demand and supply constraints from quota management [2][12]. - The financial outlook is positive, with projected revenue growth from 3,334 million CNY in 2023 to 7,295 million CNY by 2027, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21.2% [4][18]. - The company is actively expanding its fluorine industry chain, with ongoing projects in lithium hexafluorophosphate and various fluoropolymer production lines, enhancing its integrated operations [12][36]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is expected to grow from 3,334 million CNY in 2023 to 7,295 million CNY by 2027, with a significant increase in net profit from 280 million CNY to 3,101 million CNY over the same period [4][18]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to improve significantly, with net profit margins reaching 39.5% by 2026 [4][30]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.46 CNY in 2023 to 5.08 CNY in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [4][20]. Business Overview - The company specializes in fluorinated refrigerants, with a significant market share in HFCs, which are crucial for air conditioning and refrigeration systems [22][24]. - The production quotas for HFCs are set to be managed starting in 2024, which will likely lead to price increases due to limited supply [22][34]. - The company holds a leading position in HFC production capacity, with substantial quotas for HFC-134a, HFC-125, HFC-32, and HFC-143a, accounting for significant portions of national production quotas [24][25]. Market Trends - The demand for third-generation refrigerants is expected to remain strong, driven by growth in the home appliance and automotive sectors, with air conditioning production projected to increase from 210 million units in 2020 to 267 million units by 2025 [32][33]. - The average market price for R32 is anticipated to rise from 13,472 CNY per ton in early 2023 to 63,000 CNY per ton by early 2026, reflecting a 368% increase [34][35]. - The automotive air conditioning market for R134a is also expected to see significant price increases, from 23,500 CNY per ton to 58,000 CNY per ton over the same period, marking a 146.81% rise [34][35].

票息行情未止：接续力量和可挖掘的标的 [Table_Authors] 张紫睿(分析师) 信用债市场周度回顾 260223 本报告导读： 下一步承接力量为配置盘打底+交易盘接力，短端和科创债值得挖掘。 投资要点： 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 | | 021-23185652 | | --- | --- | | | zhangzirui@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040068 | | | 王宇辰(分析师) | | | 010-83939801 | | | wangyuchen4@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880523020004 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 春节期间需关注的几件事 ——海外篇 2026.02.22 M2-社融、存贷款双背离，银行间资金宽松的长 期逻辑 2026.02.22 节后第一周地方债发行金额 2564 亿元，2 月实际 发行将超万亿 2026.02.22 震荡市宜因子动态均衡 2026.02.21 持 ETF 过春节，短信用债 ETF 获大量申购 2026.02.16 债 券 研 究 市 场 策 略 周 报 1. 票息行情 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" to the company with a target price of 79.10 CNY, based on its strong position in the refrigerant market and expected growth in revenue and profit [5][20]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in the refrigerant industry, particularly in the production of third-generation refrigerants, which are expected to see price increases due to growing downstream demand and supply constraints from quota management [2][12]. - The financial outlook is positive, with projected revenue growth from 3.33 billion CNY in 2023 to 7.30 billion CNY by 2027, and net profit expected to rise from 280 million CNY to over 3.10 billion CNY in the same period [4][28]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is forecasted to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 46.2% from 2024 to 2025 [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase dramatically, with a forecast of 2.03 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 161.3% compared to 2024 [4]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.46 CNY in 2023 to 5.08 CNY by 2027 [4]. Business Overview - The company specializes in fluorinated chemicals, with a significant focus on refrigerants, which are the main source of revenue and gross profit [22]. - The production capacity for key refrigerants such as HFC-134a, HFC-125, HFC-32, and HFC-143a is substantial, with the company holding a significant share of the national production quotas [24][25]. Market Trends - The price of R32 refrigerant is expected to rise from 13,472 CNY per ton in early 2023 to 63,000 CNY per ton by early 2026, marking an increase of 368% [34]. - The automotive air conditioning refrigerant R134a is projected to increase from 23,500 CNY per ton to 58,000 CNY per ton, a rise of 146.81% [34]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding its production capabilities and enhancing its supply chain integration, with several projects underway, including lithium hexafluorophosphate and various fluoropolymer production lines [36][37]. - The company emphasizes research and development, holding 125 authorized patents and continuing to innovate in environmentally friendly products [37][39].

关税压力有望释放，退税或将增厚利润 康耐特光学(2276) 康耐特光学公司事件点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | | | 范佳博(研究助理) | 021-38053328 | fanjiabo@gtht.com | S0880125120019 | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元)： | 64.80 | 本报告导读： 美最高法院裁定 IEEPA 关税违法， 关税压力有望释放，退税或将增厚 利润。 投资要点： 财务摘要(百万人民币) 2023A 2024A 2025E 2026E 2027E 营业总收入 1,760 2,061 2,375 2,800 3,265 (+/-)% 12.7% 17.1% 15.3% 17.9% 16.6% 毛利润 658 795 970 1,152 1,3 ...

关税压力有望释放，退税或将增厚利润 康耐特光学(2276) 康耐特光学公司事件点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | | | 范佳博(研究助理) | 021-38053328 | fanjiabo@gtht.com | S0880125120019 | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元)： | 64.80 | 本报告导读： 美最高法院裁定 IEEPA 关税违法， 关税压力有望释放，退税或将增厚 利润。 投资要点： 财务摘要(百万人民币) 2023A 2024A 2025E 2026E 2027E 营业总收入 1,760 2,061 2,375 2,800 3,265 (+/-)% 12.7% 17.1% 15.3% 17.9% 16.6% 毛利润 658 795 970 1,152 1,3 ...