春节假期出行旺盛，航空票价升幅扩大 [Table_Industry] 航空 ——2026 年"春运"系列报告之（四） | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 岳鑫(分析师) | 0755-23976758 | yuexin@gtht.com | S0880514030006 | | 陈亦凡(研究助理) | 0755-23976151 | chenyifan2@gtht.com | S0880124070025 | 本报告导读： 2026 年春运需求旺盛，航空客流增幅领跑，且客座率票价同比上升。其中，春节假 期票价升幅扩大，节后趋势或继续向好。叠加油价降低，料春运航司盈利同比改善。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 航空《节前将现客流高峰，票价趋势有望向好》 2026.02.14 航空《春运客流逐步启动，官方预期再创新高》 2026.02.02 航空《航空春运预售启动，预计因私需求旺盛》 2026.01.23 航空《春运预售开始启动，预计需求保持旺盛》 2026.01.20 航空《预计元旦假期出游旺盛 ...

国泰海通晨报 2026 年 02 月 24 日 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 [Table_Summary] 1、【宏观研究】：春节期间，特朗普关税被判定违法，以及美伊军事冲突风险升温对全球资产价 格带来扰动，原油与黄金均有所上涨。美国经济韧性仍存，通胀回落进展或将较为颠簸，部分联 储官员提及加息可能。未来仍需关注特朗普关税政策的不确定性扰动。 2、【策略研究】：中国经济工作的重心正转向内需主导，并作为首要任务，内需复苏、物价回升 与地产企稳会推动经济预期上修。目前内需板块预期与交易出清，相信价值也会有春天。 3、【固定收益研究】：经济复苏节奏延续温和，呵护债市偏多环境，但需关注海外风险偏好回升 带来的扰动。 4、【纺织服装研究】纺织服装业：我们认为①截至 2.12 日的美棉周度出口放量、②2.19 日发布的 美国农业展望论坛明确新棉季全球供需收紧基调、③近期美国与东南亚国家关税互惠政策等多重 积极边际变化夯实美棉筑底并逐步打开中长期向上空间的趋势，持续重点推荐百隆东方、关注相 关标的天虹国际集团。 [汤蔚翔 Table_Authors] (分析师) 电话：021-38676172 邮箱：tangweix ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Buy" [5] Core Insights - The 2026 Spring Festival consumption exceeded expectations, with service consumption leading the growth, driven by a significant increase in dining and travel demand [2][7] - The report highlights a notable recovery in the travel sector, with an expected total of 9.5 billion people traveling during the Spring Festival, marking a historical high [10][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of quality and experience in consumer spending, with a shift towards premium products and services [7][19] Summary by Sections 1. Spring Festival Consumption Trends - The Spring Festival holiday from February 15 to 23, 2026, saw a "good start" in consumption, with key retail and dining enterprises reporting a 10.6% increase in average daily sales compared to the same period in 2025 [10][22] - The first four days of the holiday recorded an 8.6% increase in average daily sales for key retail and dining enterprises compared to the previous year [10][19] - Government initiatives, including a 20.5 billion yuan fund for consumer subsidies, significantly boosted consumer spending [11][10] 2. Baijiu (Chinese Liquor) Market - The Baijiu market showed signs of improvement, with a narrowing decline compared to previous major holidays, although brand differentiation became more pronounced [27][30] - High-end Baijiu brands like Moutai and Wuliangye continued to lead the market, with a focus on price elasticity and rational consumer behavior [27][30] - The report identifies three key changes in the Baijiu market: increased importance of personal consumption, a more relaxed approach from manufacturers regarding sales targets, and improved channel sentiment [30][31] 3. Snack and Food Market - The snack market is expected to benefit from an extended peak season, with a longer preparation and sales cycle compared to 2025 [33][34] - Offline channels, particularly membership-based supermarkets and discount stores, are performing better than online channels, with significant growth in sales during the holiday period [34][35] - The report notes a diversification in snack offerings, with strong performance in high-quality nut gift boxes and innovative packaging strategies enhancing brand visibility [35][36]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Increase" rating for the retail and wholesale trade industry, indicating an expected performance that exceeds the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index by over 15% [5]. Core Insights - The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) were illegal, leading to a proposed 5% reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods through the implementation of Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 [2][5]. - The Section 122 tariffs will have a broad exemption list, including critical minerals, energy products, certain agricultural products, pharmaceuticals, and vehicles, ensuring limited scope for the tariffs [4]. - The new tariffs will apply a uniform global rate of up to 15%, eliminating previous country-specific differences, thus impacting most trade partners similarly [4]. Summary by Sections Legal Context - The Supreme Court's decision on February 20, 2026, overturned the previous tariffs under IEEPA, stating that the power to impose taxes lies with Congress, not the President [5]. - The new tariffs under Section 122 are set to be temporary, with a maximum duration of 150 days unless extended by Congress [5]. Tariff Structure - The current tariff structure on Chinese goods includes four categories: 301 tariffs (7.5%-25%), 232 tariffs (25-50%), the new 122 tariffs (15%), and special taxes (e.g., fentanyl and reciprocal tariffs totaling 20%) [5]. - The ruling results in a net reduction of approximately 5% in tariffs on Chinese goods, alleviating some pressure on trade [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Anker Innovations, Ugreen Technology, Saiwei Times, Sumida, Jihong Co., and Zhiou Technology, all rated for "Increase" [5][6].

春节宠物消费增长快，关注宠物经济蓬勃之势 [Table_Industry] 农业 | | | | | | | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 王艳君(分析师) | 021-38674633 | wangyanjun2@gtht.com | S0880520100002 | | 林逸丹(分析师) | 021-38038436 | linyidan@gtht.com | S0880524090001 | | 巩健(分析师) | 021-23185702 | gongjian@gtht.com | S0880525040051 | 本报告导读： 养殖：春节后预期猪价进入淡季节奏。宠物: 春节宠物消费增长快，关注宠物经济 蓬勃之势。 投资要点： [宠物Table_Summary] : 春节宠物消费增长快，关注宠物经济蓬勃之势。 养殖：春节后预期猪价进入淡季节奏。 春节后预期猪价进入淡季节奏。春节后我们预计需求淡而供给多， 预期价格进入淡季节奏。事实上腊月小年后，春节备货已经开始逐 步下降，接下来节后的屠宰场正月初七和初八 ...

RWA 监管更加明晰，金融信息服务监管趋严 [Table_Industry] 综合金融 ——金融科技行业双周报第二十三期 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘欣琦(分析师) | 021-38676647 | liuxinqi@gtht.com | S0880515050001 | | 孙坤(分析师) | 021-38038260 | sunkun@gtht.com | S0880523030001 | 本报告导读： 国内大模型产品与营销均有亮点，带动金融科技相关标的受益，境外 RWA 监管明 细，金融信息监管趋严。合规金融机构更加受益。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 综合金融《权益市场火热，居民边际配置权益资 产》2026.02.09 综合金融《境内虚拟货币违法，境外 RWA 监管 明晰》2026.02.08 综合金融《支付牌照缩减，多家投资咨询公司暂 停新增》2026.02.01 综合金融《消金监管趋严，行业加速出清》 2026.01.25 综合金融《业绩基准新规落地，助推行业长期发 展 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the financial technology sector [4]. Core Insights - The domestic large model products and marketing have shown highlights, benefiting related financial technology stocks. The overseas RWA regulation has become clearer, and financial information regulation is tightening. Compliant financial institutions are expected to benefit more [2]. Summary by Sections 1. AI - From February 2 to February 20, 2026, the financial technology index decreased from 3116.08 to 3093.77, with a return of -0.72%. The Hong Kong financial technology index fell by 3.48% during the same period. Financial IT and third-party payment sectors performed well due to increased marketing efforts of major AI models and new regulations on virtual currencies [7][8]. 2. Overseas RWA Regulation - **2.1 Financial IT**: On February 6, the People's Bank of China and eight departments issued a notice to prevent risks related to virtual currencies and clarified the RWA regulatory framework for overseas issuance [12][13]. - **2.2 Financial Information Services**: On February 9, the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges announced optimized refinancing measures, benefiting high-quality R&D enterprises [14]. - **2.3 Third-party Payment**: New scenarios for digital currency have emerged, and the concentration of licenses in the third-party payment sector is accelerating [16]. - **2.4 Consumer Finance**: The head effect is evident, with a focus on promoting domestic demand through consumer finance [18]. 3. Individual Company News and Announcements - **3.1** Lakala is accelerating the development of intelligent payment through MOSS, while Tonghuashun's vertical model has gained high usage rates among brokers [19]. - **3.2** ST Rendo's net assets are expected to turn positive, and Jiufang Zhitu has initiated a stock buyback [21]. 4. Investment Recommendations - Digital RMB is expanding its application scenarios, indicating significant growth potential. AI is driving the upgrade of financial services, presenting new investment opportunities. Recommended core companies include: 1. Financial IT firms benefiting from digital currency upgrades: Changliang Technology, Yuxin Technology, Zhongke Software, and New Zhiyuan Software [24][28]. 2. Financial information service companies focusing on intelligent investment research: Jiufang Zhitu, Tonghuashun, and Dongfang Caifu [24][28]. 3. Payment institutions adapting to digital currency functionalities: Lakala, Yika, and Lianlian Digital [24][28]. 4. Consumer finance companies leveraging intelligent customer service and marketing: Yixin Group and Qifu Technology [24][28].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the banking sector [4]. Core Insights - The banking sector's net profit growth has turned positive, with a year-on-year increase of 2.33% in Q4 2025, showing an improvement compared to the previous quarters [4][10]. - The net interest margin has stabilized at 1.42%, with expectations of a narrowing decline in 2026 due to the re-pricing of high-cost long-term deposits and a slowdown in the reduction of new loan rates [4][10]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased to 1.50%, indicating a positive trend in asset quality [4][10]. - The capital adequacy ratio improved slightly to 15.5%, reflecting a marginal increase in capital levels [4][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Key Regulatory Indicators for Q4 2025 - Total assets of commercial banks grew by 9.0% year-on-year, with large banks showing a growth rate of 10.8% [7]. - The average capital return rate was 7.78%, and the average asset return rate was 0.60% [10]. 2. Industry and Company Dynamics - The report highlights the ongoing implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy by the central bank, aimed at stabilizing economic growth and ensuring adequate liquidity [10]. - The banking sector's focus for 2026 includes identifying banks with potential for performance growth, particularly recommending Ningbo Bank, China Merchants Bank, and Nanjing Bank [4][10]. 3. Weekly Data Tracking - The report includes weekly tracking of stock performance, with notable fluctuations in bank stock prices, indicating market volatility [18].

节前蓄势，节后可期 [Table_Authors] 刘玉(分析师) REIT 策略周报 本报告导读： 建议把握市场震荡过程中的配置机会，静待下一轮行情催化。 投资要点： 债券研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.23 | | 021-38038263 | | --- | --- | | | liuyu6@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880523050002 | | | 汤志宇(分析师) | | | 021-38031036 | | | tangzhiyu@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525070031 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 春节期间需关注的几件事 ——海外篇 2026.02.22 M2-社融、存贷款双背离，银行间资金宽松的长 期逻辑 2026.02.22 节后第一周地方债发行金额 2564 亿元，2 月实际 发行将超万亿 2026.02.22 震荡市宜因子动态均衡 2026.02.21 持 ETF 过春节，短信用债 ETF 获大量申购 2026.02.16 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 债 券 研 究 | 1. ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - A shares rose, and the TMT sector performed well. It is recommended to have a balanced style allocation, emphasize technology - growth style funds, and also consider domestic - demand value assets [1][3][17] - For stock - hybrid funds, it is optimistic about the technology - growth and domestic - demand directions benefiting from incremental policies and industry event catalysts; for bond funds, it is suggested to focus on medium - duration interest - rate bond products [3][17] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Past Two - Week Market Review - **A - share Market**: During the pre - holiday week (20260209 - 20260213), A shares continued the previous upward trend. The TMT sector represented by AI applications performed well. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.41%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.39%. The growth style outperformed the value style. The trading volume of the two markets decreased by about 146.82 billion yuan compared with the previous week. Among the industries, 18 out of 31 industries rose, with the top - performing industries being comprehensive, computer, etc., and the bottom - performing being textile and apparel, food and beverage, etc. [6] - **Bond Market**: In the pre - holiday week, due to loose funds and increased demand for holding bonds during the holiday, the bond market rose. The yields of 1 - year and 10 - year treasury bonds and national development bonds generally decreased, and the spreads of corporate bonds and urban investment bonds changed. The main bond indexes rose, and the convertible bond index rose 1.08% [7] - **Overseas Market**: In the past two weeks (20260209 - 20260220), the US stocks fell due to factors such as the Fed official's adjustment of the expected interest - rate cut and concerns about private loans. European markets rose, and Asian - Pacific markets showed mixed performance. The US dollar index fell, and commodity prices such as oil and precious metals rose. [8] Pre - holiday Week Fund Market Review - **Stock - type Funds**: Stock - type funds rose 1.27% overall, with active stock - open funds rising 1.42%, outperforming the index. Some funds heavily invested in artificial intelligence, chip semiconductors and other sectors performed well. Index funds tracking artificial intelligence and film and television themes also performed well [9][10] - **Bond - type Funds**: Bond - type funds rose 0.15% overall, with active bond - open funds rising 0.16%, outperforming the index. Partial - debt bond funds and convertible - bond funds with equity assets in chip semiconductors, media and other sectors performed well, and some pure - bond funds with heavy allocation of medium - short - duration interest - rate bonds also performed well [10] - **QDII Funds**: Equity - type QDII funds rose 1.02% overall, and some funds mainly investing in markets such as Japan and South Korea performed well. QDII bond - type funds rose 0.35% [11] - **Other Funds**: The annualized yield of money funds was 1.20%. Gold ETFs and their linked funds rose 1.40%, and commodity - type funds rose 1.65% [10][12] Future Investment Strategy - **Macro - economy**: In January 2026, the social financing stock growth rate was 8.2%, with government bonds being the main contributor. The credit showed a phenomenon of short - term debt. M1 and M2 growth rates both increased, with M2 reaching a two - year high. The financial data at the beginning of the year showed stable credit and strong currency. In the future, corporate foreign exchange settlement and fiscal efforts are expected to promote domestic liquidity expansion [13][14] - **Stock Market**: The trading heat of hot topics declined, and the space - photovoltaic - related topics strengthened. With the convening of local two sessions and the approaching Spring Festival, the technology - growth and domestic - demand directions are favored [15] - **Bond Market**: There are three possible scenarios for the Fed's subsequent policies. Currently, the risk of US long - term bonds may be accumulating, and the allocation strategy should focus on medium - duration varieties [16] - **Fund Investment**: For stock - hybrid funds, a balanced style allocation is recommended, emphasizing technology - growth style funds and considering domestic - demand value assets; for bond funds, it is suggested to focus on medium - duration interest - rate bond products; money funds have no trending investment opportunities; for commodity funds, gold ETFs can be appropriately allocated [17] Fund Market Latest Developments - **Fund Investment Advisers' Adjustment**: Since the beginning of 2026, fund investment advisers have accelerated the pace of portfolio adjustment. Nearly 178 out of 650 portfolios have been adjusted, increasing the allocation of low - valuation value - type funds. The positions of A - shares and bonds have been increased, and cash, US stocks and Hong Kong stocks have been reduced [18] - **New Fund Issuance**: Since the beginning of 2026, new fund issuance has been booming. In January, 169 new funds were issued, reaching the highest level since March 2023. Many funds were sold out in one day, and a 7 - billion - level active equity new product appeared. Institutions are preparing for the post - holiday market [19][20] - **Newly Established Funds in the Past Two Weeks**: A total of 64 new funds were established, with an average subscription period of about 16 days and an average raised share of 911 million. The total raised share was 58.33 billion, with Peng'an Antai Interest - rate Bond raising the largest share of 6 billion [21] - **Next Week's Fund Dividends**: 20 funds will conduct equity registration. Tianhong CSI Central - State - owned Enterprises' Dividend 50 Index is worth noting, with a dividend of 0.1 yuan per 10 shares [22]