Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price adjusted to 15.37 CNY, down by 1.80 CNY [3][5]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant improvement in performance, particularly in its grid business, with a notable reduction in losses from the "New Electric Path" business. The overall revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 2.699 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 3.8%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 160 million CNY, a decline of 21.83% [2][3]. - The energy digitalization business is experiencing robust growth, with a projected revenue increase of approximately 10% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2024. The company is focusing on new power system construction and has developed various solutions in energy big data, benefiting from the demand for digital transformation in the grid sector [3][13]. - The energy internet business is also expanding rapidly, with a year-on-year revenue growth of about 30% in the first three quarters. The "New Electric Path" charging platform has seen significant development, with over 1.4 million charging devices and more than 15 million registered users by the end of September 2024 [3][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 5.201 billion CNY in 2024, 5.986 billion CNY in 2025, and 6.892 billion CNY in 2026, with corresponding net profits of 584 million CNY, 698 million CNY, and 814 million CNY respectively. The EPS is projected to be 0.54 CNY, 0.64 CNY, and 0.75 CNY for the same years [14][16]. - The energy digitalization segment is anticipated to maintain a revenue growth rate of 10% in 2024, with a stable gross margin of around 40% [13][14]. - The energy internet segment is expected to grow at a rate of 30% in 2024, with a gross margin also projected to remain at 40% [13][14]. 2. Financial Summary - The company reported a total revenue of 4.727 billion CNY in 2023, with a projected increase to 5.201 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 10.03% [15]. - The gross margin for the overall business is expected to be around 39.54% in 2024, with specific segments like energy digitalization and energy internet maintaining margins of 40% [15][18]. 3. Valuation Methodology - The report employs both PE and PS valuation methods, with a target market value of 166.81 billion CNY based on a PE ratio of 28.56 for comparable companies in the energy digitalization sector [18][20]. - The PS valuation method suggests a market value of 235.78 billion CNY, reflecting the rapid growth in the energy internet business [20][21].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Cautious Accumulate" rating to the company, down from a previous "Accumulate" rating [5][17]. Core Views - The company's Q3 performance is under pressure, but the national subsidy for trade-in programs is expected to boost sales in Q4 2024 [2][17]. - The overall shaving business is facing short-term challenges, and sales expenses are rising quickly, leading to a decline in gross profit margin [3][17]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 3.321 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.85%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 466 million yuan, down 43.82% [11]. - Q3 2024 revenue was 1.002 billion yuan, a decline of 24.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of 149 million yuan, down 31.84% [11][12]. Revenue Analysis - The shaving product revenue is expected to decline by 15% year-on-year in Q3, with the main brand experiencing a 30% drop due to price reductions and weak demand [12][13]. - The high-speed hair dryer segment is projected to contribute approximately 120 to 150 million yuan in revenue, with a slight decline in overall hair dryer revenue due to competitive pricing strategies [13]. Profitability Insights - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 56%, a decrease of 1.71 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 13.99%, down 6.72 percentage points [14]. - The sales expense ratio is at a historical high, expected to remain above 35% for the year, impacting the efficiency of expense conversion [15][17]. Cash Flow and Financial Position - As of Q3 2024, the company had cash and cash equivalents plus trading financial assets totaling 1.618 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.65% [16]. - The net cash flow from operating activities for Q3 2024 was 19 million yuan, a significant decline of 94.51% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced sales collections [16]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2024-2026 are revised to 1.44, 1.77, and 1.93 yuan, reflecting a downward adjustment of 9%, 1%, and 4% respectively [3][17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an updated target price of 43.75 CNY [2][5]. Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 revenue and net profit growth rates are in line with expectations, with asset quality showing stability in corporate lending while retail lending faces pressure [2][3]. - The net profit growth forecast for 2024-2026 has been adjusted to 0.2%, 0.5%, and 3.8%, respectively, reflecting a cautious outlook due to economic conditions [3]. - The bank's net interest income and fee income have shown a narrowing decline, with wealth management income's year-on-year decline reducing from -32.6% in Q1 to -16% in Q3 2024 [3]. - The bank's asset quality remains robust, with corporate loan quality indicators improving, although retail non-performing loans have increased to 1.6% [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2022 was 344,783 million CNY, with a projected decline to 329,687 million CNY in 2024, representing a -2.8% change [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 138,012 million CNY in 2022, expected to reach 146,877 million CNY in 2024, reflecting a growth of 0.2% [4]. - The book value per share (BVPS) is projected to increase from 36.71 CNY in 2023 to 41.25 CNY in 2024 [4]. - The net asset return rate is expected to decline from 14.5% in 2023 to 13.1% in 2024 [4].

股 票 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 国泰君安版权所有发送给上海东方财富金融数据服务有限公司.东财接收研报邮箱.ybjieshou@eastmoney.com p1 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2024.11.02 ——水羊股份 2024 年三季报点评 战略调整致业绩承压，关注后续高端化进展 水羊股份(300740) 家庭及个人用品 [Table_Industry] /必需消费 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------|-----------------------------------|-------------------|-------|-------|----------------------|--------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | [table_Authors] 訾猛 ( 分析师 ) | 杨柳 ( 分析师 ) | | | 闫清徽 ( | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiamen Bank [2][4]. Core Views - Xiamen Bank's revenue growth in Q3 2024 met expectations, with a significant improvement in net profit growth compared to the mid-year report. The bank is optimizing its asset-liability structure and maintaining stable asset quality indicators [2][3]. - The target price has been raised to 6.05 CNY, reflecting a 0.62 times price-to-book ratio for 2024, driven by favorable economic policies that are expected to alleviate risks and restore credit demand [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - As of Q3 2024, total assets grew by 3.2% year-to-date, surpassing 400 billion CNY, while the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remains low among listed banks at 0.75% [3][6]. - The bank plans to distribute a mid-term dividend, with a payout ratio of 32.62% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2024, an increase of 1.9 percentage points from 2023 [3]. Revenue and Profitability - Q3 2024 revenue decreased by 5% year-on-year, with net interest income accounting for 77% of total revenue, which fell by 8.4% year-on-year. The net interest margin decline has narrowed to 20 basis points [3]. - The bank's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 13.4% year-on-year, aided by a slight reversal in impairment provisions [3]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio decreased by 1 basis point to 0.75% at the end of Q3 2024, but the attention ratio rose significantly by 65 basis points to 2.92%, indicating potential future uncertainties in asset quality [3][6]. - The provision coverage ratio decreased by 6 percentage points to 390%, suggesting a potential reduction in short-term risk resilience [3]. Future Outlook - The report adjusts the net profit growth forecast for 2024-2026 to -5.6%, 0.3%, and 1.8%, respectively, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) estimates of 9.71 CNY, 10.30 CNY, and 10.91 CNY [3][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qianhe Flavor Industry (603027) [3][5] Core Views - The company is experiencing temporary pressure on performance due to weak demand, but is expected to rebound in the medium to long term through product optimization and channel expansion [2][3] - The company's Q3 2024 results were below market expectations, with revenue of 2.288 billion yuan, down 1.85% year-on-year, and a net profit of 352 million yuan, down 9.19% year-on-year [3] - Despite short-term growth challenges, the company's brand positioning in healthy condiments aligns with long-term trends in health-conscious eating, which is expected to support future growth [3] Financial Summary - For Q3 2024, the company reported a single-quarter revenue of 699 million yuan, a decrease of 12.63% year-on-year, and a net profit of 101 million yuan, down 22.58% year-on-year [3] - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 37.54%, an increase of 0.67 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to declining costs, while the net margin was 14.45%, a decrease of 1.85 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company has revised its EPS forecasts for 2024-2026 to 0.49, 0.55, and 0.63 yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of -5.2%, +12.4%, and +15.3% respectively [3][4] Valuation - The target price for the company is set at 15.68 yuan, based on a 2025 PE ratio of 28.5x, referencing comparable companies such as Haitian Flavor Industry and Tianwei Food [3][5] - The current market capitalization of Qianhe Flavor Industry is approximately 12.477 billion yuan [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jiangsu Bank with an updated target price of 10.3 CNY per share, reflecting a valuation of 0.8 times the projected book value for 2024 [2][5]. Core Insights - Jiangsu Bank has transitioned from a high-growth phase to a stage of high-quality development, with enhanced operational resilience and stable performance expected to exceed industry averages. The net profit growth forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 10.1%, 9.0%, and 9.6% respectively, with corresponding book values per share (BVPS) of 12.97, 14.22, and 15.60 CNY [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, Jiangsu Bank reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 4.3%, with net interest income supported by volume despite a slight contraction in net interest margin due to declining asset yields. The cost-to-income ratio improved, decreasing by 5.2 percentage points to 15.6%, laying a solid foundation for profit growth [3][4]. - The bank's total revenue for 2024 is projected to reach 78.847 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 6.1% compared to the previous year. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 31.666 billion CNY, marking a 10.1% increase [4][11]. - As of Q3 2024, the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.89%, indicating strong asset quality, while the coverage ratio for provisions was at a robust 351% [3][4].

国泰君安版权所有发送给上海东方财富金融数据服务有限公司.东财接收研报邮箱.ybjieshou@eastmoney.com p1 股 票 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 ——3Q24 三季度业绩点评 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2024.11.02 [table_Authors]訾猛(分析师) 021-38676442 zimeng@gtjas.com 登记编号S0880513120002 | --- | --- | |---------------------|-------| | | | | 姚世佳 ( 分析师 ) | | | 021-38676912 | | | yaoshijia@gtjas.com | | | S0880520070001 | | 本报告导读： 业绩低于预期，中高端业务受挫，佛山工厂减值形成短期影响，目前股价对应 2024 年 22X。 投资要点： 公 司 更 新 报 告 [Table_Summary] 投资建议：业绩符合预期，基于对量价假设的调整，我们下调 2024/25/26 年 EPS 盈利预测至 2.72/2.69/2.66 元，原值 2.98/3.19/3.44 元 ...

Investment Rating - Maintains an "Overweight" rating for Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) with a target price of 7.11 yuan, representing a 0.69x PB for 2024 [5] Core Views - ICBC's Q3 2024 performance exceeded expectations, with both revenue and net profit growth turning positive [3] - The net interest margin (NIM) showed signs of stabilization, and asset quality remained stable [3] - The bank's Q3 revenue growth was 1.1% YoY, a significant improvement from Q2's -8.7% [4] - Net interest income declined by 1.1%, but the decrease narrowed, while non-interest income surged by 50.1%, driven by investment gains [4] - Net profit growth for Q3 rebounded to 3.8%, supported by a lower effective tax rate [4] Financial Performance - Total assets grew by 8.7% YoY, with loans increasing by 9% YoY by the end of Q3 2024 [4] - New loans in Q3 amounted to 258.4 billion yuan, with retail loans increasing by 12.7 billion yuan and corporate loans decreasing by 8.9 billion yuan [4] - The NIM for the first three quarters of 2024 was 1.43%, unchanged from the first half, with stabilization attributed to declining liability costs [4] - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.35%, while the provision coverage ratio increased to 220.3% [4] Earnings Forecast - Adjusted net profit growth forecasts for 2024-2026 are 0.57%, 1.54%, and 1.91%, respectively, with EPS estimates of 0.99, 1.00, and 1.02 yuan [4] - The bank's ROAE is expected to decline gradually from 10.7% in 2023 to 9.0% in 2026 [10] Valuation and Peer Comparison - ICBC's 2024E P/B ratio is 0.60x, lower than peers such as China Construction Bank (0.61x) and Agricultural Bank of China (0.63x) [13] - The bank's 2024E P/E ratio is 6.24x, slightly higher than some peers like Bank of Communications (6.08x) [13] Industry Context - The banking sector is expected to benefit from recent economic stabilization policies, which may alleviate credit risks and boost loan demand [4] - However, the NIM is still under pressure due to factors such as LPR cuts and adjustments to existing mortgage rates [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for 康龙化成 (300759) [4][3] Core Views - The company shows improvement in gross margin, a continuation of new order growth, and an optimized customer structure, indicating a positive long-term growth outlook [3] - Revenue for Q1-Q3 2024 reached 8.817 billion yuan, up 3.0% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 1.422 billion yuan, up 12.5% [3] - The report adjusts the EPS forecast for 2025-2026 to 1.10 yuan and 1.31 yuan respectively, down from previous estimates of 1.13 yuan and 1.35 yuan, while maintaining the 2024 EPS forecast at 0.98 yuan [3] - The target price is raised to 33.90 yuan from 27.16 yuan, reflecting a valuation premium based on comparable company valuations and the gradual ramp-up of backend business [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 2024 single-quarter revenue was 3.213 billion yuan, up 10.0%, with net profit at 308 million yuan, down 12.62% [3] - Laboratory services revenue for Q1-Q3 2024 was 5.219 billion yuan, up 2.95%, with a gross margin of 44.76% [3] - CMC revenue was 1.977 billion yuan, up 3.29%, with a gross margin of 30.82% [3] - Clinical research services revenue was 1.306 billion yuan, up 3.48%, with a gross margin of 13.20% [3] Order Growth and Customer Structure - New orders for Q1-Q3 2024 increased by over 18% year-on-year, with laboratory services and CMC new orders growing by over 12% and 30% respectively [3] - Revenue from the top 20 global pharmaceutical companies reached 1.293 billion yuan, accounting for 14.66% of total revenue [3] - Revenue from European clients grew by 15.74% to 1.527 billion yuan, while North American clients contributed 5.731 billion yuan, up 4.29% [3] Business Outlook - The report highlights improved operational efficiency and a favorable investment environment, suggesting that backend business development may exceed expectations [3]