Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the banking sector Core Insights - The banking wealth management market showed stable growth in the first half of 2025, with a total scale of 30.67 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.53% [1] - Cash management products continued to decline, with a scale of 6.4 trillion yuan, down 14.55% year-on-year, attributed to lower deposit rates and regulatory policies [1] - The market share of wealth management companies increased, with 32 companies holding 89.61% of the market by the end of Q2 2025, up 1.8 percentage points from the end of the previous year [2] - The asset allocation in wealth management products shifted, with a decrease in credit bond allocation and a notable increase in public fund allocation, which rose to 4.2% [3] - The average annualized yield of wealth management products was 2.12%, a decrease of 53 basis points compared to 2024, indicating a low-interest-rate environment [4] - The proportion of sales through parent banks has decreased to around 65%, as companies expand their distribution channels [5][8] Summary by Sections 1. Wealth Management Market Overview - As of the end of Q2 2025, the total scale of wealth management products reached 30.67 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.53% [1] - Cash management products saw a significant decline, with a scale of 6.4 trillion yuan, down 14.55% year-on-year [1] 2. Market Structure - The market share of wealth management companies increased to 89.61%, reflecting a concentration of market power among leading firms [2] 3. Asset Allocation - The allocation to credit bonds decreased, while public funds saw a significant increase, indicating a shift in investment strategy [3] 4. Yield Trends - The average annualized yield of wealth management products fell to 2.12%, continuing a downward trend since 2023 [4] 5. Distribution Channels - The share of sales through parent banks has decreased to approximately 65%, as firms diversify their distribution strategies [5][8] 6. Sector Outlook - The banking sector is expected to benefit from policy catalysts, with specific banks like Ningbo Bank, Postal Savings Bank, and others highlighted as potential investment opportunities [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the electric equipment sector [6] Core Views - The global photovoltaic installation forecast for 2025 has been revised upwards to 570-630 GW, indicating potential demand exceeding expectations in the second half of the year [14] - The recent draft amendment to the Price Law aims to promote healthy industry development and return to normal profit levels, emphasizing product quality and service [14] - Key investment opportunities are identified in three areas: supply-side reform leading to price increases, long-term growth opportunities from new technologies, and industrialization opportunities from perovskite GW-level layouts [14] Summary by Sections New Energy Generation - **Photovoltaics**: The global installation forecast for 2025 has been revised to 570-630 GW, with the potential for higher-than-expected demand in the second half of the year. The Price Law amendment focuses on clarifying standards for unfair pricing behavior, promoting healthy competition and quality [14] - **Wind Power & Grid**: The Hainan CZ7 project, a 1500 MW offshore wind project, is set to begin construction by September 30, 2025. The State Grid's fixed asset investment exceeded 270 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.7% [15][16] - **Hydrogen & Energy Storage**: A 10 million ton green methanol project in Gansu has been announced with a total investment of 1.05 billion yuan. The report recommends focusing on leading equipment manufacturers and hydrogen compression companies [20][28] New Energy Vehicles - Recent fluctuations in lithium carbonate prices are attributed to resource disruptions and anti-involution policy expectations. The price reached 80,500 yuan per ton, with potential impacts on global production due to strict scrutiny of non-compliant mining operations [29][30][31] Energy Storage - The average bid price for energy storage systems in July was 0.4985 yuan/Wh, with a range of 0.5635 to 1.6912 yuan/Wh for EPC bids. The report suggests focusing on domestic and international large-scale storage opportunities [23][28] Market Performance - The electric equipment and new energy sector saw a 3.0% increase from July 21 to July 25, 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 7.8% [10] - Specific sub-sectors such as photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment also experienced positive growth during this period [12][13]

Revenue Insights - In the first half of 2025, general fiscal revenue totaled 11.56 trillion, down 0.3% year-on-year, with June revenue at 1.89 trillion, also down 0.31% year-on-year[1][2] - Government fund revenue in June was 395.9 billion, a significant increase of 20.8% year-on-year, driven mainly by land transfer income[9][10] Expenditure Trends - Total general fiscal expenditure in the first half reached 14.13 trillion, up 3.4% year-on-year, with June expenditure at 2.83 trillion, a mere 0.38% increase year-on-year[1][2] - Central fiscal expenditure grew by 9% year-on-year, significantly outpacing local expenditure growth of 2.6%[2][8] Economic Outlook - The GDP growth rate for the first half of 2025 was 5.3%, suggesting a potential slowdown to around 4.7% in the second half, still maintaining a target of "around 5%"[4][5] - New policies are expected from the Political Bureau by the end of July, but strong stimulus measures are unlikely, with a focus on gradual support[4][5] Fiscal Policy Considerations - The fiscal policy approach is expected to be a "two-step" process, focusing first on the implementation of existing policies and then adjusting based on economic conditions[5][6] - Key areas of focus include the pace of government bond issuance and the actual progress of physical work projects[5][6]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided about the industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core View of the Report The central bank first withdrew and then injected funds, leading to a situation where the funds were initially tight and then loosened. It is expected that the central bank will continue to support the market. [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog I. Funds - **Fund prices and bill rates**: The R001 closed at 1.55% (previous value: 1.49%), DR001 at 1.52% (previous value: 1.46%), R007 at 1.69% (previous value: 1.51%), and DR007 at 1.65% (previous value: 1.51%). The 6M national stock bank draft transfer and discount rate closed at 0.72% (previous value: 0.81%). [1] - **Central bank's open - market operations**: The central bank had a net injection of 1095 billion yuan this week. It continuously withdrew funds in the first four days, with a cumulative net withdrawal of 6923 billion yuan, and then made a large - scale net injection of 8018 billion yuan on Friday. [1] - **Bond yields**: The 10 - year treasury bond yield increased by 7.24bp in the first four days and 6.72bp for the whole week to 1.73%; the 30 - year treasury bond yield increased by 9.05bp in the first four days and 8.40bp for the whole week to 1.97%. [1][2] II. Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - **Maturity yields**: The 3M, 6M, and 1Y maturity yields of certificates of deposit increased by 4.69bp, 6.16bp, and 5.75bp respectively. The 1Y - 3M term spread widened. [2] - **Net financing and issuance**: The net financing of certificates of deposit was - 5598 billion yuan this week (previous value: 1444 billion yuan). The issuance interest rates of 1 - year certificates of deposit for state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks increased. The weighted average issuance term shortened to 7.3M (previous value: 8.3M). [2] III. Institutional Behavior - **Government bond issuance and payment**: This week, the net issuance of government bonds was 3031 billion yuan, and the net payment was 3472 billion yuan. Next week, the expected net issuance is 4030 billion yuan, and the net payment is 2947 billion yuan. [3] - **Repurchase trading volume and leverage ratio**: The pledged repurchase trading volume first rose to 8.0 trillion and then fell to 7.1 trillion, with an average daily volume of 7.70 trillion yuan (previous value: 7.24 trillion yuan). The inter - bank market leverage ratio first rose to 109.10% and then fell to 108.39%, with an average daily ratio of 108.85% (previous value: 108.65%). [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the pharmaceutical index increased by 1.90% during the week of July 21-25, underperforming the ChiNext index but outperforming the CSI 300 index [11]. - The focus of the market has shifted towards anti-involution sectors, with low-position innovative drugs performing relatively well, particularly in the latter half of the week [12]. - The report expresses optimism for innovative drugs in 2025, emphasizing the importance of identifying low-position assets with changes while continuing to explore innovative drugs [13]. Summary by Sections 1. Recent Performance - The pharmaceutical sector ranked in the middle of the market performance, with CXO and low-position innovative drugs showing better results [12]. - The report notes that the market's focus has been on anti-involution sectors, with innovative drugs facing temporary pressure but still holding long-term potential [12][13]. 2. Fund Holdings Analysis - As of Q2 2025, the number of A-share pharmaceutical companies held by public funds decreased to 283, while the market value of these holdings increased to 235 billion yuan [21]. - Non-pharmaceutical active funds have shifted from underweight to overweight positions in pharmaceuticals, indicating potential for further allocation [23][27]. 3. Investment Strategy - The report outlines a strategy focusing on innovative drugs, including overseas major pharmaceuticals and small-cap technology revolutions [14]. - Specific companies highlighted for investment include Innovent Biologics, 3SBio, and others in the innovative drug space [14][15]. 4. Sector Allocation - The report indicates that chemical preparations have the highest allocation among sub-sectors, with significant increases in holdings for innovative drug-related companies [19][31]. - The report also notes a preference for other biological products and medical devices among non-pharmaceutical active funds [31][32]. 5. Future Outlook - The report anticipates continued optimism for innovative drugs in 2025, with a focus on new technologies such as brain-computer interfaces and AI in healthcare [13][15]. - The report suggests that the market environment is conducive to asset rotation, particularly for low-position assets that show changes [12][13].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading player in the outbound group travel industry, with ongoing business recovery and an expanding layout [3][14]. - The domestic and outbound/inbound tourism industries are experiencing steady growth, with significant recovery following unconventional cycles [10][34]. - The company benefits from a robust supply chain, strong cash reserves, and a comprehensive online and offline channel strategy [3][10]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The outbound tourism penetration rate in China has been increasing, reaching 11.0% in 2019, but still lags behind developed countries like the US and South Korea [2]. - The outbound tourism market is characterized by a predominance of young, highly educated travelers who prefer personalized and customized experiences [2][10]. - The inbound tourism sector is supported by favorable policies and increased payment facilitation measures, enhancing the willingness of foreign tourists to visit China [1][10]. Company Positioning - The company operates in the midstream of the outbound tourism industry, primarily benefiting from industry growth and its leading market position [2][10]. - The company has maintained its core team and supply chain, enabling a swift recovery post-pandemic [3][10]. - The company has a strong brand value and resource integration capability, with plans to expand its retail business through a franchise model [3][10]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of CNY 75.00 billion, CNY 87.35 billion, and CNY 103.39 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][8]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of CNY 1.16 billion, CNY 1.55 billion, and CNY 1.94 billion for the same years, reflecting a strong recovery trajectory [3][8]. - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 67.2X, 50.4X, and 40.2X respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [3][8].

Core Insights - The report discusses the recently published draft amendment to the pricing law, emphasizing the concept of "anti-involution" and prohibiting dumping prices below cost [2] - The focus is on the recovery of prices within the photovoltaic industry, with expectations for polysilicon prices to return above industry cost levels due to supply-side reforms [2] - The report highlights potential price recovery opportunities across various segments of the photovoltaic supply chain, including silicon materials, solar glass, wafers, cells, and modules [2] Industry Performance - The report provides a performance overview of different industries, noting that the steel industry saw a 20.7% increase in January, 19.1% in March, and 38.2% over the past year [1] - The construction materials sector experienced increases of 18.5% in January, 15.5% in March, and 33.0% year-on-year [1] - The non-ferrous metals industry reported a 14.7% increase in January, 22.1% in March, and 40.3% over the past year [1] - The telecommunications sector had a performance of 13.0% in January, 29.1% in March, and 51.5% year-on-year [1] - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector saw increases of 11.6% in January, 18.7% in March, and 33.0% over the past year [1] Key Focus Areas - The report identifies three main focus areas for investment opportunities: 1. Price recovery opportunities in the supply chain driven by supply-side reforms, particularly in polysilicon, solar glass, wafers, cells, and modules [2] 2. Long-term growth opportunities arising from new technologies, specifically monitoring the progress of perovskite GW-level production lines and the expansion of BC [2] 3. The recovery trends in profitability for lithium battery components, including lithium iron phosphate, lithium hexafluorophosphate, and copper foil [2]

Group 1: Fund Positioning Insights - In Q2 2025, the scale of actively managed funds declined again, with redemption pressure remaining high [3] - Hong Kong stock positions reached a new high, but the pace of increase slowed and divergences emerged [3] - The configuration of innovation and entrepreneurship showed a reversal, with the ChiNext index's position regaining upward momentum [3] - There was a noticeable increase in allocation towards growth sectors and large financials, while dividend configurations narrowed [3] - The trend of diversification and market capitalization sinking continued [3] Group 2: Industry Performance - The steel industry showed a performance increase of 34.0% over the past year, leading among industries [1] - The communication sector experienced a significant annual growth of 51.5%, indicating strong market dynamics [1] - The banking sector lagged with a slight decline of -0.2% in January, but showed a recovery of 30.3% over the year [1] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Kuaishou (01024.HK) is expected to achieve revenues of 140.6 billion, 154.5 billion, and 166.6 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, with a net profit growth of 11%, 27%, and 14% respectively [5] - Bilibili (09626.HK) is projected to generate revenues of 30 billion, 32.9 billion, and 36.2 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, with a year-on-year growth of 12%, 9%, and 10% [8] - GoerTek (002241.SZ) plans to acquire two precision manufacturing companies for approximately 95 billion RMB, enhancing its vertical integration capabilities [9] - Kingsoft (03888.HK) is forecasted to have revenues of 11.4 billion, 12.9 billion, and 14.6 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, driven by dual growth from office and gaming sectors [10] - Chow Tai Fook (01929.HK) reported a 1.9% decline in same-store sales for FY2026Q1, with expectations for improvement due to strong e-commerce growth [11]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The recent rise in commodity prices and the stock market is mainly driven by expectations. The increase in commodity prices has a limited impact on bond market funds due to the limited scale of the commodity market and large differences among investors. The focus is on the impact of the stock market rise on the bond market [4][12]. - The flow of funds from the bond market to the stock market is limited. The impact of the stock market on the bond market through changes in residents' asset allocation and financial institutions' asset structure is not significant, and the bond market does not face direct capital outflow pressure [4][6][7]. - The risk of further significant adjustment in the bond market is limited. It is recommended to hold bonds for observation. The stock market rise is more driven by valuation recovery and requires a low - interest - rate environment, making a simultaneous rise in stocks and bonds more likely [7][40]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Impact of Stock Market on Residents' Asset Allocation - **New Savings**: There is no significant correlation between the residents' savings rate and the stock market. The stock market has neither an obvious wealth effect nor a significant crowding - out effect on consumption. For example, during the 2014 - 2015 bull market and the stock market rally from September to October last year, the residents' savings rate did not decrease significantly [4][13]. - **Stock of Assets**: In the distribution of residents' financial and non - financial assets, the stock market bull market generally does not significantly squeeze non - financial assets such as real estate. The stock market trend and the sales volume of commercial housing are often positively correlated, indicating that there is no obvious behavior of selling real estate to invest in stocks [5][13]. - **Financial Asset Structure**: During the stock market bull market, funds may flow from residents' deposits to the stock market. There is a significant negative correlation between residents' deposits and the rise and fall of the Shanghai Composite Index. For every 1000 - point increase in the Shanghai Composite Index, the growth rate of residents' deposits drops by 3.5 percentage points. However, this is just a change in the form of deposits, not a net decrease in deposits, so it does not bring direct pressure on bond market capital outflow [6]. 3.2 Impact of Stock Market on Financial Institutions' Asset Allocation - **Funds**: When the stock market is strong, funds will increase the proportion of equity assets, and institutions will increase the subscription of equity - linked funds and reduce the subscription of pure - bond funds. In the past, during stock market rallies, bond funds faced certain redemption pressure. For example, during the stock market rally from September to October last year, the bond fund share decreased by 700 billion shares. But this time, the pressure on bond fund scale may be less than last year [7][16]. - **Insurance**: The rise of the stock market has limited impact on insurance premium income. It mainly affects the asset allocation structure of insurance. Although the investment in stocks increases, the investment in bonds does not necessarily decrease. For example, during the stock market rally from September to October last year, the stock investment of life insurance in the fourth quarter of last year increased by 84.1 billion yuan, while the bond investment increased by 822.6 billion yuan [7][20]. - **Wealth Management**: The scale of funds transferred from wealth management products to the stock market is relatively limited due to the inconsistent risk preferences of investors. The proportion of equity assets in wealth management assets decreased in the second half of last year, while the proportion of bond assets increased significantly. The share of equity assets decreased from 2.8% in June last year to 2.6% in December, and the share of bond assets increased from 55.6% to 57.9% [26]. 3.3 Market Negative Feedback Redemption Pressure Currently, funds and wealth management products do not show obvious redemption pressure. Wealth management products did not experience large - scale net - value breakage, and in March 2025, about 23% of wealth management assets were in cash and deposits, with strong redemption - coping ability. Bond funds are mainly held by institutional investors, and if their liabilities are stable, the redemption pressure is relatively limited [7][38].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company is set to enhance its vertical integration capabilities through the acquisition of precision manufacturing firms, which aligns with its strategic development needs [1] - The XR field is positioned for growth, particularly with the integration of AI and AR technologies, indicating a promising market outlook [2] - The TWS earphone market is expected to see significant growth, driven by advancements in AI technology, which will enhance user interaction experiences [3] - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 101.1 billion, 115.1 billion, and 130 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 101,051 million RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 0.1% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 3,306 million RMB in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.0% [5] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 25, 20, and 17 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [4][5]