Group 1 - The report highlights the initiation of the "National Low-altitude Traffic Network" project, which is expected to catalyze policies during the upcoming Two Sessions, with 2025 anticipated to be a pivotal year for the low-altitude economy [4][9][16] - The establishment of the low-altitude management rules and standards is expected to facilitate the orderly construction of infrastructure, ensuring the regular operation of drones and eVTOL aircraft [4][9][16] - The low-altitude economy has been included in the government work reports of 30 provinces as a key focus for 2025, indicating strong governmental support and potential for growth [4][9][16] Group 2 - The low-altitude economy index has increased by 5.63% over the past two weeks, outperforming the broader market indices, indicating positive market sentiment [10][11] - Notable stock performances include Changyuan Donggu (+37.57%), Shangong Shenbei (+28.02%), and Xinzhi Group (+25.10%), reflecting strong investor interest in the sector [10][11][13] - The report suggests a focus on companies across different segments: manufacturing (e.g., Zongshen Power, Wan Feng Aowei), infrastructure (e.g., Lais Information, Sichuan Jiuzhou), and operations (e.g., CITIC Haze, Xiyu Tourism) [5][21] Group 3 - Recent industry developments include the signing of 47 major low-altitude economic projects in Chengdu, with a total investment of 51.936 billion yuan, indicating robust investment activity in the sector [16][18] - The Suzhou General Airport is set to begin construction in 2025, with a projected completion by the end of 2026, further enhancing the infrastructure for low-altitude operations [16][17] - The launch of the "Purple East Long Sky" low-altitude model in Changchun aims to enhance urban low-altitude economic capabilities through advanced data processing and decision-making technologies [18][19]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Recommended" [2][4]. Core Insights - Multiple favorable policies are driving gold prices close to $3000, with expectations of high volatility in the short term [4][21]. - The demand for industrial metals is expected to improve, supported by recent data indicating a significant increase in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the non-ferrous metal mining sector [30]. Summary by Sections Recent Market Trends - From February 17 to February 21, 2025, the Shenwan Non-ferrous Metals Index fell by 1.52%, with industrial metals down by 2.93% and precious metals down by 4.38% [8]. - The top five gainers in individual stocks included Boqian New Materials (32%) and Liyuan Co. (24%), while the top five losers included Wanshun New Materials (-7%) and Zijin Mining (-6%) [9]. Precious Metals - President Trump announced plans to audit the gold reserves at Fort Knox, which holds approximately 147.3 million ounces of gold, valued at about $435 billion at a price of $2950 per ounce [21]. - As of February 23, 2025, COMEX gold closed at $2949.6 per ounce, remaining stable between $2900 and $3000, indicating strong support at high levels despite entering a period of consolidation [21]. Industrial Metals - According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the PPI for the non-ferrous metal mining sector increased by 18.9% year-on-year, while the PPI for the midstream non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry rose by 9.3% year-on-year [30]. - The data suggests that product prices in the non-ferrous industry have significantly increased, with upstream mining prices rising more than midstream smelting prices, indicating improving downstream demand expectations [30]. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - The report highlights key companies such as Zijin Mining (601899.SH), Shandong Gold (600547.SH), and Chifeng Jilong Gold (600988.SH) with varying earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025 [5]. - Shandong Gold's EPS is projected to be 1.12 yuan, while Chifeng Jilong Gold's is expected to be 0.8 yuan, indicating a potential for growth in the sector [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the computer industry, particularly highlighting Alibaba's strong revenue growth in AI-related products and its plans to significantly increase investments in AI and cloud infrastructure over the next three years [5][7][23]. Core Insights - Alibaba's Q4 2024 earnings report showed a revenue of 280.154 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8%, with net profit soaring by 333% to 46.434 billion yuan. The cloud intelligence group's revenue grew by 11%, driven by double-digit growth in public cloud services, while AI-related product revenue has seen triple-digit growth for six consecutive quarters [5][16][17]. - The report emphasizes the potential for domestic cloud providers to benefit from the AI boom, particularly following the release of OpenAI's ChatGPT, which has heightened global interest in AI. The report anticipates a "GPT moment" for domestic cloud companies as they increase capital expenditures in AI and cloud infrastructure [5][17][20]. - The report discusses the open-source strategies of domestic AI leaders, which are expected to foster a robust ecosystem for AI development in China. Recent initiatives include the release of significant open-source models by companies like DeepSeek and JUMP Star, which are aimed at enhancing AI capabilities and performance [5][20][23]. Summary by Sections Recent Trends - The computer industry index rose by 3.17% from February 17 to February 21, 2025, with notable stock performances from companies like Donghua Software and Hongjing Technology [11][12]. Industry News - Key developments include a meeting led by President Xi Jinping emphasizing the importance of private enterprises in the economy and a central enterprise meeting focused on advancing AI capabilities across industries [14][15]. Key Company Announcements - Notable announcements include a cash acquisition by Suocheng Technology and performance reports from companies like Yingzi Network, which reported a revenue increase of 12.41% but a net profit decline of 10.52% [15][16]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as iFLYTEK, Zhongke Shuguang, and Inspur Information, highlighting their potential for growth in the AI and cloud computing sectors [7][23].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The report indicates that inventory accumulation is slowing down while demand recovery is accelerating in the steel industry [1] - The report highlights that the construction site resumption rate is increasing, which is expected to support steel prices in the short term [5][54] - The report suggests that the industry is likely to maintain stability supported by the real estate sector and manufacturing [6] Supply Summary - As of February 21, 2025, the total output of five major steel products reached 8.36 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 2.63% and a year-on-year increase of 5.07% [4][14] - The average daily pig iron production of 247 steel enterprises was 2.2751 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 0.21% but a year-on-year increase of 1.79% [4][14] - The capacity utilization rate of blast furnaces was 85.41%, down 0.19 percentage points week-on-week but up 1.82 percentage points year-on-year [4][14] Demand Summary - The total consumption of five major steel products was 7.9437 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 19.77% and a year-on-year increase of 35.43% [20][22] - The daily transaction volume of construction steel by mainstream traders was 99,400 tons, a week-on-week increase of 40.41% [20][22] - The monthly export volume of steel products reached 9.727 million tons, with a year-on-year increase of 11.24% [20][22] Inventory Summary - As of February 21, 2025, the total social inventory of five major steel products was 13.1395 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 2.67% and a year-on-year decrease of 18.91% [29][30] - The total factory inventory was 5.5019 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 1.37% and a year-on-year decrease of 20.50% [29][30] Cost Summary - As of February 21, 2025, the price index for Australian iron ore (62% Fe) was 821 RMB/wet ton, a week-on-week increase of 1.26% [43][46] - The comprehensive price index for scrap steel was 2,554.59 RMB/ton, a week-on-week increase of 0.29% [43][46] - The price index for low-sulfur coking coal was 1,347.9 RMB/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 2.20% [44][46] Price Summary - As of February 21, 2025, the Mysteel ordinary steel absolute price index was 3,625.46 RMB/ton, a week-on-week increase of 1.29% [47][48] - The Mysteel special steel absolute price index was 9,486.08 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week change of -0.02% [47][48] - The global steel price index was 197.8 points, a week-on-week increase of 0.66% [47][48] Key Companies and Profit Forecast - Baosteel (600019.SH) is rated as "Increase" with an EPS forecast of 0.48 RMB for 2025 [6] - Nanjing Steel (600282.SH) and Hualing Steel (000932.SZ) are not rated but have EPS forecasts of 0.43 RMB and 0.53 RMB for 2025 respectively [6] - Jiu Li Special Materials (002318.SZ) and Wujin Stainless Steel (603878.SH) are also not rated but have EPS forecasts of 1.75 RMB and 0.60 RMB for 2025 respectively [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the retail and social services sectors, indicating a positive outlook for these industries [4][25]. Core Insights - The report highlights that recent government policies aimed at boosting consumption are expected to lead to a sustained recovery in consumer spending, particularly in the context of the growing elderly population and the introduction of new travel services [4][25]. - The integration of AI in the consumer sector is anticipated to create new growth opportunities, particularly in areas such as smart retail and human resource services [4][25]. - Traditional retail is undergoing transformation to adapt to online competition, with a focus on enhancing customer experience and emotional value, suggesting a potential stabilization in offline sales [4][25]. - The report emphasizes the significant market potential for overseas expansion of retail companies, driven by the rise of domestic brands and supportive policies [4][26]. Summary by Sections Recent Trends - From February 10 to February 21, 2025, the retail index increased by 2.79%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.59 percentage points, ranking 12th among primary industries [7]. - The social services index rose by 3.66%, exceeding the CSI 300 index by 1.45 percentage points, ranking 10th among primary industries [7]. Industry News - The Ministry of Commerce has initiated a plan to enhance service consumption by introducing new travel services for the elderly, which is expected to positively impact service supply [10]. - The service trade in China reached a record high, with total imports and exports surpassing $1 trillion in 2024, indicating robust growth in the tourism sector [11]. Key Companies and Earnings Forecast - Focus Technology, Kidswant, Core International, Miaow Exhibition, and Doctor Glasses are highlighted as companies to watch, with varying earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025 [5][29]. - Yonghui Supermarket and Small Commodity City are also noted for their potential in adapting to market changes and expanding their global presence [5][29]. Industry Data Updates - In January 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.5% year-on-year, with food prices increasing by 0.4% and service prices by 1.1% [19]. - The total retail sales of consumer goods in December 2024 reached 451.72 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [19].

证券研究报告 有色金属 报告日期：2025 年 02 月 23 日 美国多项政策变动推动黄金逼近 3000 美元，金价或高位震荡 ——有色金属行业周报 华龙证券研究所 投资评级：推荐（维持） 最近一年走势 执业证书编号：S0230523080001 邮箱：jingdy@hlzq.com 《多重利好推动金价续创新高，国内工 业金属需求预期向好—有色金属行业周 报》2025.02.11 工业金属需求—有色金属行业周报》 2025.01.08 《美联储降息预期转鹰，贵金属短期价 格波动可能加剧—有色金属行业周报》 2024.12.25 摘要： 请认真阅读文后免责条款 美国总统特朗普或推动黄金库存审计，黄金套利交易火热，推动 金价逼近 3000 美元，短期高位震荡。维持有色行业"推荐"评级。 分析师：景丹阳 贵金属：美国总统特朗普在采访中表示，将进入 Fort Knox 金库 进行检查，确保黄金储备安全。Fort Knox 共计储存了 1.473 亿盎 司黄金，是美国最大的金库之一，若按照金价 2950 美元/盎司来 估算，这部分黄金储备总价值约 4350 亿美元。在特朗普看重黄金 储备、重新审计黄金库存的担忧下，短 ...

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the importance of boosting confidence in private enterprises and enhancing development momentum, highlighted by the recent private enterprise symposium held on February 17, 2025, which aims to address challenges faced by the private sector and promote high-quality development [3][7][12] - The real estate market showed signs of improvement in January 2025, with first-tier cities experiencing a 0.1% month-on-month increase in new residential sales prices, while second-tier cities also saw a slight increase, indicating the effectiveness of real estate policies [3][11][20] - The technology sector, particularly TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), has been catalyzed by recent policies, with a notable 5.21% increase in the TMT sector, driven by favorable developments such as the DeepSeek application explosion and government support for AI initiatives [3][12][14] Group 2 - The report outlines a focus on several key industry directions: domestic demand, technology innovation, real estate, and capacity optimization, with specific sectors to watch including home appliances, automobiles, semiconductors, and power equipment [3][20][23] - The report indicates that the market is expected to maintain a steady pattern, supported by continuous policy backing and a stable market environment, with major indices showing positive performance over the past three weeks [3][15][17] - The report highlights the anticipated growth in the new energy vehicle market, with a projected 25% year-on-year increase in global sales in 2024, and China's market share expected to expand to 67% [20][21]

证券研究报告 传媒 报告日期：2025 年 02 月 22 日 AI 短剧创作迎来新机遇：昆仑万维 SkyReels-V1 模型 ——传媒行业周报 华龙证券研究所 投资评级：推荐（维持） 最近一年走势 执业证书编号：S0230523080004 邮箱：sunbw@hlzq.com 《腾讯系列产品接入 DeepSeek，持续拓 展应用新场景—传媒行业点评报告》 2025.02.21 火爆—传媒行业周报》2025.02.21 端侧落地—AI 产业系列跟踪专题研究 报告》2025.02.10 摘要： 请认真阅读文后免责条款 昆仑万维开源中国首个面向 AI 短剧创作的视频生成模型 SkyReels-V1。2 月 18 日，昆仑万维开源中国首个面向 AI 短剧创 作的视频生成模型 SkyReels-V1、中国首个 SOTA 级别基于视频 基座模型的表情动作可控算法 SkyReels-A1。SkyReels-V1 可实现 影视级人物微表情表演生成，支持 33 种细腻人物表情与 400+种 自然动作组合，高度还原真人情感表达。SkyReels-V1 不仅是全 球极少数开源的视频生成模型，还是围绕人物表演、开源视频生 成模型 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the media industry [2][5]. Core Insights - Kunlun Wanwei has launched the SkyReels-V1 model, the first open-source video generation model for AI short drama creation in China, which supports 33 detailed facial expressions and over 400 natural action combinations, significantly enhancing emotional expression in video content [4][25]. - The report emphasizes the potential for the media industry to transition from traditional content production to intelligent and efficient creation, driven by continuous advancements in AI technology and expanding application scenarios [33][31]. Summary by Sections Recent Market Performance - From February 17 to February 21, 2025, the Shenwan Media Index decreased by 4.20%, with notable gainers including Ciwen Media and ST Huatu, while Light Media and other companies faced significant declines [9][10]. Industry News - Baidu announced that its Wenxin Yiyan model will be fully free starting April 1, 2025, enhancing its search capabilities with DeepSeek integration [12]. - Tencent Cloud has integrated DeepSeek technology into over ten products, exploring new application scenarios [13]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main lines within the media sector: 1. Game and film sectors with performance recovery potential, recommending companies like 37 Interactive Entertainment and Perfect World. 2. High-dividend, low-valuation publishing companies, recommending Zhongnan Media and Changjiang Media. 3. Companies in the IP industry chain, recommending Pop Mart and CITIC Publishing [33][34].

Investment Rating - Investment rating is maintained as "Recommended" [2] Core Insights - Major technology companies are increasing investments in AI, which is expected to drive investment opportunities in the related communication sector. Alibaba plans to invest more in AI and cloud infrastructure over the next three years than in the past decade combined [3][6][20] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasizes the need for quality upgrades in key industries, promoting the integration of traditional and emerging industries [3][19] - Chengdu has signed significant projects in the low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace sectors, with a total investment of 51.936 billion yuan, indicating strong growth potential in this area [4][19] Summary by Sections Recent Market Performance - From February 17 to February 21, 2025, the Shenwan Communication Index rose by 8.09%, with sub-sectors such as communication network equipment and devices increasing by 10.03% [9] Industry News - The successful test flight of a low-altitude passenger route in the Yangtze River Delta marks a significant advancement in low-altitude economic development [14] - Alibaba's cloud revenue for Q3 2025 reached 31.742 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 13%, and AI-related revenue growing significantly [15] - Chengdu and China Mobile signed a strategic cooperation agreement to enhance collaboration in AI, 5G-A, and next-generation network infrastructure [16] - The launch of the "Purple East Sky" low-altitude industry model in Changchun aims to enhance data processing capabilities and support the low-altitude economy [17][18] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the following sectors: 1. Operators: China Mobile (600941.SH), China Unicom (600050.SH), China Telecom (601728.SH) 2. Light module demand driven by domestic large models: Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ), Tianfu Communication (300394.SZ), Guangxun Technology (002281.SZ) 3. Communication equipment manufacturers: ZTE Corporation (000063.SZ), Unisplendour Corporation (000938.SZ), Quectel Wireless Solutions (603236.SH) 4. Long-term opportunities in satellite communication: China Satellite Communications (601698.SH), China Satellite (600118.SH) [20]