Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][12]. Core Insights - The company is a global leader in wide-body trucks, with steady growth expected in its performance due to the ongoing penetration of new energy and autonomous driving models [1]. - The revenue CAGR from 2018 to 2024 is projected to be 21%, while the net profit CAGR for the same period is expected to be 31% [1][29]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2005, is a pioneer in non-road wide-body trucks and aims to be a leading supplier of engineering transportation solutions [19]. - The company has diversified its product offerings, including fuel, electric, and hybrid models, with a market share of approximately 30% in the non-road wide-body truck segment [19][26]. Market Analysis - The domestic market for fuel wide-body trucks is stabilizing, while overseas markets present new growth opportunities [2]. - The market for new energy wide-body trucks is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of 25 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 149 billion yuan by 2029, reflecting a CAGR of 43% [3][66]. - The autonomous driving market for wide-body trucks is also expanding, with a forecasted market size of 20 billion yuan in 2024, expected to reach 301 billion yuan by 2030, representing a CAGR of 57.4% [4][66]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 67.8 billion yuan, 76.4 billion yuan, and 86.2 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 12.8% [5][12]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 8.9 billion yuan, 9.9 billion yuan, and 11.4 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 13.1% [5][12]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape for new energy wide-body trucks is concentrated, with the top three companies holding a combined market share of 68% [3]. - The company is positioned as the second-largest player in the autonomous driving segment, benefiting from partnerships with leading technology firms [4][66].

Group 1 - Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided in the report [1][2] Group 2 - Core Views of the Report - Convertible bond high valuation and limited bond selection space weaken the elasticity of convertible bonds, showing weak Sharpe characteristics. In a strong bullish atmosphere in the equity market, it is recommended to maintain convertible bond positions, balance style allocation, and use a trading mindset for individual bonds. Select balanced convertible bonds with strong underlying stock logic, where high stock price volatility can quickly digest the high premium of convertible bonds, and high - quality convertible bonds in non - callable equity - biased varieties with low premium rates [1][2] - The convertible bond index has been oscillating upwards recently but is weaker than equities. The convertible bond elasticity is weak, and it shows weak Sharpe characteristics. The high valuation of convertible bonds and limited bond selection space have weakened their elasticity. The convertible bond market lacks incremental capital inflows, and most institutional convertible bond positions have decreased [2] Group 3 - Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Convertible Bond Weekly Thinking - The convertible bond index has been oscillating upwards, but it is weaker than equities. The median of convertible bond prices has reached 133 yuan, still some distance from the August high. Convertible bond elasticity is weak, and internal styles lack a clear trend, increasing trading difficulty [7] - High convertible bond valuations and limited bond selection space weaken elasticity. The valuations of convertible bonds are oscillating at a high level. The premium rates of debt - biased, balanced, and equity - biased convertible bonds are about 85%, 24%, and 9.6% respectively. The convertible bond return space has decreased compared to the third quarter [7] - Funds represented by ETFs have been flowing out slightly, and the convertible bond market lacks incremental capital inflows. Except for QFII, the convertible bond positions of institutions have decreased, with public funds reducing their holdings by 3.65 billion yuan [8] - In a strong bullish atmosphere in the equity market, it is recommended to maintain convertible bond positions, balance style allocation, and use a trading mindset for individual bonds. Select balanced convertible bonds with strong underlying stock logic and low - premium targets among non - callable equity - biased varieties [8][9] 2. Convertible Bond Market Tracking 2.1 Convertible Bond Market Conditions - The report provides the performance data of various convertible bond indexes such as the Wind Convertible Bond Energy Index, Wind Convertible Bond Materials Index, etc. in different time periods including the recent week, two weeks, since September, etc. [12] 2.2 Individual Convertible Bonds - The report shows the top ten and bottom ten individual convertible bonds in terms of price increase and decrease in the recent week [13][15] 2.3 Convertible Bond Valuations - The report presents the valuation trends of debt - biased, balanced, and equity - biased convertible bonds, as well as the valuation trends of convertible bonds with different parities [19][21][26] 2.4 Convertible Bond Prices - The report shows the proportion trend of high - priced bonds and the median trend of convertible bond prices [23][30] 3. November Convertible Bond Recommendations - It is recommended to pay attention to convertible bonds such as Shangyin Convertible Bond, Shouhua Convertible Bond, etc. [11]

- The report highlights the reversal of the momentum style factor observed after the US-China summit, indicating a shift in market narrative and the end of the previous technology-driven bull market [14] - The leverage factor has shown significant upward movement since late September, reflecting market pricing of earnings recovery expectations [14] - The BARRA style factor analysis reveals that fundamental factors remain mixed, with value-oriented assets outperforming growth-oriented ones. High BP value stocks and those with strong investment quality and profitability are expected to deliver higher excess returns [23] - Transaction-related factors show that short-term momentum stocks performed well this week, while high volatility and high turnover stocks faced potential pullbacks. High beta stocks have recovered strongly from recent corrections [23] - Market capitalization factors, including size and non-linear size, experienced synchronized pullbacks, with non-linear size showing larger declines. The market may exhibit a barbell allocation pattern, favoring small-cap stocks in the short term [23]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - Currently, the spread between 1 - 2 year "China Development Bank bonds - Treasury bonds" remains stable, while the spread between 3 - 5 year "China Development Bank bonds - Treasury bonds" has widened rapidly, and the 5 - year spread has exceeded the level during the central bank's bond - buying period last year, indicating that the central bank's main bond - buying tenor is currently 3 - 5 years [1][4][13]. - The widening spread of 7 - 10 year "China Development Bank bonds - Treasury bonds" more reflects the impact of the new regulations on the redemption of public bond funds and the change in the allocation power of China Development Bank bonds and Treasury bonds [1][4][19]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Current Key Information Implied by Spreads between China Development Bank Bonds and Treasury Bonds of Different Tenors - Before 2024, the spread (or implicit tax rate) between China Development Bank bonds and Treasury bonds mainly reflected the changes in the bond - buying power of configuration - type investors such as bank self - operations and trading - type investors such as bond funds under the tax difference, with obvious characteristics of "narrowing in bull markets and widening in bear markets" [2][11]. - Currently, using the "China Development Bank bonds - Treasury bonds" spread can better reflect the change in the demand structure. After August 8, 2024, the "continuity" of the implicit tax rate is worse than the spread due to the resumption of value - added tax on the interest income of financial bonds [3][12]. - From August to December 2024, the central bank continuously net - bought Treasury bonds worth 1 trillion yuan, during which the spreads of 1 - year and 2 - year "China Development Bank bonds - Treasury bonds" widened significantly. The "claims on the government" item in the central bank's balance sheet decreased by about 660 billion yuan in 2025, indicating that the tenors of Treasury bonds purchased by the central bank in 2024 were relatively short [3][12]. 3.2 Narrow - Sense Liquidity 3.2.1 Central Bank Operations: Restart Treasury Bond Trading to Inject Base Money - Short - term liquidity: In the past week (November 3 - 7), the central bank's net repurchase of pledged reverse repurchase was 1572.2 billion yuan. As of November 7, the central bank's reverse repurchase balance was 495.8 billion yuan, seasonally at a low level at the beginning of the month [20]. - Medium - term liquidity: In November, the maturity amount of outright reverse repurchase was 1000 billion yuan (700 billion yuan for 3 - month and 300 billion yuan for 6 - month), and the maturity of MLF was 900 billion yuan. On November 5, the central bank renewed 700 billion yuan of 3 - month outright reverse repurchase [21][22]. 3.2.2 Institutions' Fund Lending and Borrowing Situation: Sufficient Supply in the Upper and Middle Reaches - Fund supply (lenders): On November 7, the net lending of large - scale banks was 3.9 trillion yuan, an increase of about 730.2 billion yuan compared with October 31. The net lending balance of large - scale banks was 4.4 trillion yuan, an increase of about 280.5 billion yuan compared with October 31. The net lending balance of money market funds was 1.3 trillion yuan, a decrease of about 183.3 billion yuan compared with October 31. The net lending of joint - stock banks was 114.1 billion yuan, an increase of about 116.7 billion yuan compared with October 31 [25]. - Fund demand (borrowers): On November 7, the balance of bonds to be repurchased in the inter - bank pledged repurchase market was about 11.6 trillion yuan, an increase of 202.4 billion yuan compared with October 31. The inter - bank market leverage ratio was 107%, an increase of 0.03 percentage points compared with October 31 [34]. 3.2.3 Repo Market Transaction Situation: Stable in Both Volume and Price - In the past week, the volume and price of the inter - bank pledged repo market were stable. The median daily trading volume was about 7.9 trillion yuan, an increase of 996.8 billion yuan compared with October 27 - 31. The median of R001 was 1.36%, a decrease of 4bp compared with last week [36]. 3.2.4 Interest Rate Swaps: Basically Flat - The 1 - year FR007 IRS rate and the 1 - year SHIBOR 3 - month IRS rate were basically flat compared with last week. The median of the 1 - year FR007 IRS this week was 1.54%, and the median of the 1 - year SHIBOR 3 - month IRS was 1.59% [44]. 3.3 Government Bonds: Rising Net Payment Pressure for Government Bonds in the Coming Week - **Next Week's Net Payment of Government Bonds**: In the past week, the net payment of government bonds was 36.8 billion yuan. In the coming week, it is expected to be 369.2 billion yuan, with relatively high pressure on Monday and Friday [46]. - **Current Issuance Progress of Government Bonds**: As of November 7, the net financing progress of Treasury bonds was 87.8%, with about 810.3 billion yuan of remaining net financing space in 2025. The issuance progress of new local bonds was 90.4%, with 500.2 billion yuan of remaining issuance space [48]. 3.4 Inter - Bank Certificates of Deposit: Decreasing in Volume and Stable in Price - **Absolute Yield**: On November 7, most SHIBOR quotes of different tenors decreased compared with October 31, except for the overnight tenor which increased by 1bp. The yields of AAA - rated inter - bank certificates of deposit of 1 - month and above tenors increased compared with October 31 [52]. - **Issuance and Stock Situation**: In the past week, the total issuance volume of inter - bank certificates of deposit was 527.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 207.1 billion yuan compared with October 27 - 31. In terms of issuance tenors, the proportions of 6 - month and 9 - month increased, while those of 1 - month, 3 - month, and 1 - year decreased [54]. - **Relative Valuation**: On November 7, the spread between the 1 - year AAA - rated inter - bank certificate of deposit yield and R007 was 16bp, at the 35th percentile since 2020; the spread between the 10 - year Treasury bond yield and the 1 - year AAA - rated inter - bank certificate of deposit yield was 18bp, at the 42nd percentile since 2020 [57].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 15% year-on-year for Q3 2025 and plans to establish a robotics subsidiary to expand into the robotics business [2][11] - The acquisition of a 70% stake in Anhui Ruiqi Automotive Parts Co., which specializes in automotive seats, is expected to open new growth opportunities [3] - The company aims to leverage its existing customer base, including major automotive manufacturers, to enter the robotics industry [3] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 163 billion, 197 billion, and 236 billion CNY, with year-on-year growth rates of 23%, 21%, and 20% respectively, resulting in a CAGR of 21% [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 10.3 billion, 13.0 billion, and 17.1 billion CNY, with growth rates of 5%, 27%, and 31% respectively, also achieving a CAGR of 21% [4] - The company’s P/E ratios are projected to be 38X, 30X, and 23X for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Recent Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 39.5 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%, while net profit decreased by 27.1% to 2.0 billion CNY due to price reductions and increased management and R&D expenses [11] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 15.6%, down 5.7 percentage points year-on-year [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The company has shown a turning point in performance with a positive contribution from the consolidation of Dingwei Thai, leading to a recovery in its main business [1][5] - The company achieved a revenue of 11.37 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 0.95 billion yuan, down 9.3% [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.77 billion yuan, an increase of 6.6%, with Dingwei Thai contributing 0.16 billion yuan [1] Revenue Breakdown - For the first three quarters of 2025, revenue from various product categories was as follows: - Frozen prepared foods: 5.67 billion yuan (+0.7%) - Frozen dishes: 3.64 billion yuan (+9.2%) - Frozen noodles and rice products: 1.73 billion yuan (-5.4%) - Agricultural products and others: 0.29 billion yuan (+8.2%) - Bakery products: 0.03 billion yuan (not comparable) - Other foods: 0.01 billion yuan (-39.0%) [2] - In Q3 2025, revenue from these categories was: - Frozen prepared foods: 1.91 billion yuan (+6.4%) - Frozen dishes: 1.23 billion yuan (+8.8%) - Frozen noodles and rice products: 0.48 billion yuan (-9.1%) - Agricultural products and others: 0.11 billion yuan (+38.8%) - Bakery products: 0.03 billion yuan (not comparable) - Other foods: 0.01 billion yuan (+632.4%) [2] Sales Model Analysis - Revenue by sales model for the first three quarters of 2025 was: - Distributors: 9.00 billion yuan (-1.0%) - Direct sales: 0.87 billion yuan (+23.5%) - New retail and e-commerce: 0.85 billion yuan (+25.9%) - Supermarkets: 0.64 billion yuan (+6.7%) [3] - In Q3 2025, revenue by sales model was: - Distributors: 2.96 billion yuan (-0.6%) - Direct sales: 0.32 billion yuan (+68.1%) - New retail and e-commerce: 0.27 billion yuan (+38.1%) - Supermarkets: 0.22 billion yuan (+28.1%) [3] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 20.3%, a decrease of 2.3 percentage points, while the net margin was 8.4%, down 1.2 percentage points [4] - In Q3 2025, the gross margin improved slightly to 20.0% (+0.1 percentage points), and the net margin increased to 7.3% (+0.3 percentage points) [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see a positive trend in revenue for Q4 and 2026, with projected revenues of 15.78 billion yuan, 16.94 billion yuan, and 18.16 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 4.4%, 7.3%, and 7.2% [5] - The forecasted net profit attributable to the parent company for the same years is 1.39 billion yuan, 1.57 billion yuan, and 1.73 billion yuan, with a projected decline of 6.5% in 2025 followed by growth of 12.7% and 10.6% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company is expected to leverage AI technology to enhance product payment rates, driving significant revenue growth [1] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 1.821 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 12.34% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.93% [1] - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 467 million RMB, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 71.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 56.60% [1] - Monthly active users reached 280 million, showing an 8.5% year-on-year increase, with the payment penetration rate rising to 5.5% in the first half of 2025 [2] - The company has formed a strategic partnership with Alibaba to promote new AI productivity products [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.113 billion, 5.125 billion, and 6.404 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 23%, 25%, and 25% respectively [4] - Expected net profit for the same period is 843 million, 1.168 billion, and 1.579 billion RMB, with growth rates of 5%, 39%, and 35% respectively [4] - The company is valued at a target price of 11.1 HKD per share, based on a 60x PE ratio, leading to a target market capitalization of 55.1 billion HKD [4]

Group 1: Market Dynamics - The equity market can temporarily operate independently of the real economy due to policies, liquidity, and market sentiment, but long-term sustainability requires fundamental support[1] - Historical analysis shows that markets can deviate from fundamentals during specific periods, but ultimately return to fundamental values[1] - In the 2003-2005 bear market, despite strong GDP growth (cumulative increase of 69% from 2001 to 2005), the Shanghai Composite Index fell from 2245 points to 998 points, indicating a significant disconnect between market performance and economic growth[9][11] Group 2: Policy and Economic Conditions - The 2014-2015 bull market was driven by loose monetary policy and capital market reforms, despite weak economic fundamentals, with the A-share market rising by 52% in 2014[22][25] - In 2025, the market is expected to experience a "technology bull" phase, driven by structural transformation and risk preference improvements, despite potential challenges from US-China relations[35] - The report anticipates that by 2026, "extraordinary counter-cyclical policies" may gradually decline, focusing on high-quality development, while still supporting a bull market driven by risk preferences[35] Group 3: Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected US-China tensions that could disrupt market risk preferences, and external trade pressures that may lead to preemptive domestic demand policies[37] - A shift in monetary policy towards tightening could significantly suppress market liquidity, negatively impacting the bull market environment[37]

Market Overview - On Thursday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.0%, the CSI 300 increased by 1.4%, the STAR Market 50 surged by 3.3%, the CSI 1000 climbed by 1.2%, the ChiNext Index went up by 1.8%, and the Hang Seng Index gained 2.1% [5][6] - The best-performing sectors on Thursday included non-ferrous metals (+3.1%), electronics (+3.0%), telecommunications (+2.4%), basic chemicals (+2.0%), and automobiles (+1.8%). The worst-performing sectors were media (-1.4%), social services (-1.1%), retail (-1.0%), beauty and personal care (-0.5%), and banking (-0.4%) [5][6] - The total transaction amount in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets on Thursday was 20,553 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 5.48 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [6] Important Recommendations Company Analysis: *ST He (002816) - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation and diversification, anticipating a recovery in profitability. The leading position in cleaning equipment is expected to benefit from the semiconductor business expansion [7] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 273 million, 419 million, and 543 million yuan, with growth rates of 1010%, 54%, and 29% respectively. Net profit forecasts are 11.77 million, 53.39 million, and 87.16 million yuan, with growth rates of -354%, 63% [7] - Catalysts include the delivery of maskless lithography equipment and new equipment orders [7] Company Analysis: Jianfa Co. (600153) - Jianfa Co. is expected to experience a turnaround, with previously pessimistic market expectations regarding its joint venture and home furnishing business being challenged by new operational changes [8] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 652,563 million, 672,826 million, and 697,093 million yuan, with growth rates of -6.95%, 3.11%, and 3.61%. Net profit projections are 2,286 million, 3,076 million, and 4,560 million yuan, with growth rates of -22.39%, 34.55%, and 48.26% [8] - Key drivers include changes in management and operational strategy [8] Important Insights Fixed Income Credit Bonds - The financial bond market has become the largest sector for non-bank institutional investment, showcasing higher market value due to its safety compared to interest rate bonds and liquidity of public bonds [10] - The likelihood of unexpected credit events in the future is considered low, and there is a detailed analysis of the investment value in niche financial sectors such as AMC, financial leasing, and commercial leasing [10] Media Industry Analysis - The proportion of heavy positions in media stocks rose to 4.66% in Q3 2025, an increase of 0.55 percentage points, significantly above the industry standard of 2.88% [11] - The top ten media heavy positions include Tencent, Kuaishou, Giant Network, and ST Huasheng, with notable increases in holdings for gaming-related stocks [11] - Investment opportunities are highlighted for ST Huasheng, which may expand significantly if it completes its delisting process [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [11] Core Insights - The company reported a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 31.45%, achieving a total revenue of 1.726 billion yuan in Q3 2025, along with a net profit of 162 million yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [2] - The improvement in revenue and profitability is attributed to the successful launch of multiple new games and a growing esports business, with notable titles like "Zhu Xian World" and "Persona: Nightshade" set to release in the coming years [2][4] - The company's film and television segment also saw substantial growth, with a revenue increase of 433% year-on-year, totaling 920 million yuan in the first three quarters [2] Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of 64.83%, an increase of 13.06 percentage points year-on-year, while all three major expense ratios (sales, management, and R&D) decreased [3] - Forecasted revenues for 2025-2027 are estimated at 6.715 billion, 10.767 billion, and 9.888 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 632 million, 1.711 billion, and 1.820 billion yuan [5][11] Future Focus - The company is focusing on the testing schedule for "Eternal Ring," which is expected to enhance its market position with innovative gameplay and technology [4] - The game is anticipated to generate approximately 1.4 billion yuan in profit for the company in 2026, based on its expected performance compared to similar titles [5]