港股公司报告 | 公司点评 中石化炼化工程（02386） 证券研究报告 年报点评：业绩符合预期，新签合同表现亮眼 公司发布 2024 年业绩 2024 年公司实现营业收入 641.98 亿元，同比+13.9%；归母净利润 24.66 亿 元，同比+5.5%。毛利率 8.3%、净利率 3.9%、资产回报率 3%。2024 全年 派息每股 0.358 元，派息率 65%，全年派息金额为公司上市以来新高。资 本开支 10.21 亿，同比-4.4%。 市场开发再获历史突破，境外订单大超预期 2024 全年新签订单总量连续三年保持两位数增长，达到 1,006.13 亿元，同 比增长 25.4%。其中，境内新签订合同额约人民币 621.02 亿元，同比增长 5.6%；境外新签订合同量约 53.49 亿美元，同比+79.6%，大超预期（2023 年报中展望为 30 亿美金）。2025 年公司新签合同展望为境内 630 亿人民币， 境外 50 亿美元。 海外新签订单在新市场、新品种、新领域屡获突破。在境外市场，公司加 大与国际同业伙伴强强联合，加强与战略客户的高层互访和推介交流，海 外市场开发持续做强做大做优。2024 年签 ...

2025 年 3 月 17 日 强烈推荐/维持 越秀交通基建 公司报告 事件：公司发布 24 年年报，全年实现收入 38.7 亿元，同比下降 2.5%，其中路 费收入 37.9 亿元，同比下降 1.4%。归母净利润 6.57 亿元，同比下降 14.2%， 公司业绩符合预期。 越秀交通基建（01052.HK）：平临高速将增厚 25 年业绩，收费权摊销略高于预期 极端天气和部分路段的路网分流导致报告期收入端有所下降：24 年公司路费收 入下降的原因主要系：1. 我国中东部地区受 24 年春节前后大范围雨雪低温冰冻 天气影响；2. 报告期节假日免费通行天数较 23 年多 3 天；3. 部分项目受路网分 流影响。 路网分流方面，具体到各个路产：1. 公司核心路产广州北二环高速收入同比下降 6.2%，主要系 23 年 10 月开始与北二环高速相连的从浦高速开通，导致部分车 流行驶路径缩短；2. 湖北汉蔡高速收入同比下降 8.3%，除了极端天气影响外， 23 年平行路段封闭施工导致基数较高也是 24 年收入下降的因素；3. 湖北汉鄂高 速和大广南高速收入分别同比增长 58.1%和下降 11.9%，主要系武黄高速封闭施 工 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an OUTPERFORM rating for MMG Limited [2][5] Core Views - The company has shown significant profit improvement, with a net profit increase of 200% year-on-year in 2024, reaching US$366 million [3][14] - The production of copper and zinc has steadily increased, with copper production at 400,000 tons in 2024, up 15% year-on-year, and zinc production at 220,000 tons, up 8% year-on-year [3][14] - Major projects are progressing well, including the Chalcobamba development and Kinsevere expansion, which is expected to ramp up production in 2025 [15][17] - The company plans to enhance its production capacity at Khoemacau to 60,000 tons/year by 2026-2027 and aims for a target of 130,000 tons/year by 2028 [15][17] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 was US$4.479 billion, a 3% increase year-on-year, with EBITDA rising by 40% to US$2.049 billion [3][14] - The company expects revenues to grow to US$5.334 billion in 2025, with net profit projected to reach US$472 million [5][12] - The projected EPS for 2025-2027 is US$0.04, US$0.05, and US$0.05 respectively, translating to HK$0.31, HK$0.39, and HK$0.39 [5][18] Production Guidance - For 2025, copper production is expected to be between 360,000 and 400,000 tons, with C1 costs ranging from US$1.5 to US$1.7 per pound [4][16] - Zinc production is projected to be between 310,000 and 340,000 tons [9] Acquisition Plans - The company announced the acquisition of Brazilian Nickel for up to US$500 million, expected to close by Q3 2025, which will enhance its nickel production capacity significantly [17]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, indicating an expected total return over the next 12-18 months that exceeds the relevant market benchmark [11]. Core Insights - Leapmotor achieved a revenue of RMB 32.16 billion in 2024, a 92% year-over-year increase, and a net loss of RMB 2.82 billion, significantly narrowing from the previous year [11]. - The company reported a quarterly revenue of RMB 13.46 billion in Q4 2024, marking a 155% year-over-year increase and a net profit of RMB 80 million, turning positive ahead of schedule [11]. - The gross profit margin for the year was 8.4%, up 7.9 percentage points year-over-year, with Q4 gross profit margin reaching 13.3% [11]. - Leapmotor's strategic partnerships and international expansion efforts are accelerating, with over 400 sales service outlets established and a target of 550 by 2025 [11]. - The company launched the B10 model, featuring advanced intelligent driving technology, with pre-sale orders reaching 31,688 units within 48 hours [11]. Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 55.3 billion in 2025, RMB 86.5 billion in 2026, and RMB 100 billion in 2027, with net profits expected to be RMB 400 million, RMB 1.7 billion, and RMB 4.4 billion respectively [11]. - The report estimates a price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 1.1 for 2025, with a target price of HKD 59.07 based on the current market conditions [11]. - The company is expected to benefit from the expansion of the economic smart car market in the RMB 100,000-200,000 range [11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [2][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to leverage its unique content and community engagement to capitalize on the AI era, enhancing its content recommendation and creation tools, which will unlock significant commercial value from its content library [3]. - The company has entered a commercialization phase, transitioning from game revenue to advertising revenue, with a notable increase in both sectors. The revenue structure has improved, with advertising and game revenues projected to grow by 28% and 40% year-on-year, respectively, in 2024 [4]. - The company is anticipated to continue its growth trajectory, driven by a strong sense of community and user engagement, which will enhance its monetization potential in the evolving digital landscape [5]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company are projected at 298.8 billion, 332.5 billion, and 358.5 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.93, 4.01, and 5.74 yuan for the same years [9]. - The company is expected to achieve a significant turnaround in profitability, with a projected net profit of 812 million yuan in 2025, followed by 1.688 billion yuan in 2026 and 2.417 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a robust growth rate [11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3][7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a rare "makeup artist IP," reshaping the high-end beauty ecosystem with a unique pricing strategy and personalized consultation services [3]. - The company achieved impressive sales performance during the "3·8" promotional event, ranking first in the makeup and fragrance category on Douyin with a GMV of 50-70 million yuan, reflecting a 7-place increase year-on-year [5]. - Following its inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, the company is expected to see a significant increase in liquidity, benefiting from both southbound capital and passive index fund investments [6]. - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are projected at 38.44 billion, 50.83 billion, and 63.98 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.77, 2.36, and 2.98 yuan [7][10]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The brand founder, Mao Geping, is a prominent figure in the makeup aesthetics field, leveraging his influence to enhance brand recognition and market positioning [3]. Market Performance - The company has shown strong online sales performance, with effective promotional strategies such as live streaming expected to further boost its growth [5]. Financial Projections - The company anticipates significant revenue growth, with a projected increase of 57.8% in 2023, followed by growth rates of 33.2%, 32.2%, and 25.9% in the subsequent years [10]. - The net profit is expected to grow from 662 million yuan in 2023 to 1.458 billion yuan by 2026, indicating a robust growth trajectory [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [4]. Core Views - The report highlights that the gross profit margin is temporarily affected by preferential policies, but the upcoming new vehicle cycle is expected to contribute to incremental growth [4]. - In Q4 2024, the company achieved sales of 159,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 20.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.8%, generating revenue of 44.27 billion yuan, which is a 6.1% increase year-on-year and a 3.3% increase quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The vehicle gross margin reached 19.7%, down 3.0 percentage points year-on-year and 1.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to the impact of a December interest-free car purchase policy [4]. Summary by Sections Sales and Revenue - In Q4 2024, the average selling price per vehicle was approximately 269,000 yuan, with total vehicle sales revenue of 42.64 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.2% [4]. - The company expects Q1 2025 delivery volumes to be between 88,000 and 93,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.5% to 15.7% [4]. Profitability - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.52 billion yuan in Q4 2024, a decrease of 37.7% year-on-year [4]. - The net profit margin was 9.1%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the profit per vehicle was 25,000 yuan, a decrease of 9,000 yuan year-on-year [4]. Product Strategy - The company has a clear product planning strategy with a lineup of "four range-extended electric vehicle models and one high-voltage pure electric model," covering the market above 200,000 yuan [4]. - The company has optimized its direct sales channel structure, with 500 retail centers across 150 cities as of the end of February 2025 [4]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates strong new vehicle cycles starting in 2025, which will open up sales opportunities for the company [4]. - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 9.77 billion, 14.18 billion, and 19.65 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 22.7X, 15.6X, and 11.3X [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3][7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a rare "makeup artist IP," reshaping the high-end beauty ecosystem with a unique pricing strategy and personalized consultation services [3]. - The sales performance during the "3·8" promotional event was impressive, with significant online sales growth, particularly on platforms like Douyin and Tmall [5][6]. - The inclusion in the Hong Kong Stock Connect is expected to enhance liquidity and attract capital, aligning with the new consumption trends in the market [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected at 38.44 billion, 50.83 billion, and 63.98 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.77, 2.36, and 2.98 yuan [7][10]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with revenue growth rates of 33.2%, 32.2%, and 25.9% for the next three years [10]. - The projected net profit for the same years is 868 million, 1.155 billion, and 1.458 billion yuan, reflecting growth rates of 31.2%, 33.1%, and 26.2% [10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][9]. Core Insights - The company is expected to leverage its unique content and community engagement to capitalize on the AI era, enhancing its content recommendation and creation tools to unlock commercial value from its extensive corpus [3]. - The company has entered a commercialization phase, transitioning from game revenue to advertising revenue, with a notable increase in both sectors. The revenue structure has improved significantly, with advertising and game revenues projected to grow by 28% and 40% year-on-year, respectively, in 2024 [4]. - The company is anticipated to continue its growth trajectory, driven by a strong sense of community and user engagement, which will enhance its monetization potential in the evolving digital landscape [5]. Summary by Sections Current Financial Data - Current stock price is HKD 166.30, with a total market capitalization of HKD 700.6 billion and a total share count of 421.3 million [2]. - The average daily trading volume is HKD 710.1 million, with a 52-week price range of HKD 80.85 to HKD 238.8 [2]. Performance Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are estimated at HKD 298.8 billion, HKD 332.5 billion, and HKD 358.5 billion, respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be HKD 1.93, HKD 4.01, and HKD 5.74 for the same period [9]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of HKD 812 million in 2025, with a significant growth rate of 107.8% in 2026 [11]. Revenue Breakdown - For 2024, the company anticipates advertising revenue of HKD 110 billion and game revenue of HKD 81.9 billion, contributing to a diversified revenue structure [4]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve from 32.7% in 2024 to 40.6% by 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" investment rating for the company [2][9] Core Insights - The company is expected to leverage its unique content and community engagement to capitalize on the AI era, enhancing its content recommendation and creation tools to unlock commercial value from its extensive corpus [3][4] - The company has entered a commercialization phase, transitioning from game revenue to advertising revenue, with a notable increase in both segments. The revenue structure has improved significantly, with advertising and game revenues projected to grow by 28% and 40% year-on-year, respectively, in 2024 [4][5] - The company is forecasted to continue its growth trajectory, with a strong community sense and user engagement driving its commercial potential. The shift from niche culture to a broader community platform is expected to sustain its growth in the AI era [5] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 298.8 billion, 332.5 billion, and 358.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.93, 4.01, and 5.74 yuan for the same years [9][11] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 812 million yuan in 2025, with a significant growth rate of 107.8% in 2026 [11][12] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 92.7, 44.6, and 31.1 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a favorable valuation as the company continues to grow [9][11]