Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Insights - The company is expanding its product matrix with two new electric SUVs, the Li Auto i8 and i6, set to launch in July 2025 and the second half of 2025 respectively [3] - The company aims to enhance its high-level autonomous driving capabilities alongside the new vehicle launches [3] - The company plans to increase its supercharging station network to 4,000 by the end of 2025, starting with 2,500 stations at the launch of the Li Auto i8 [3] Financial Forecasts - The company’s total revenue for 2023 is projected at 123.85 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 173.48% [4] - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 144.46 billion RMB, 172.86 billion RMB, 236.56 billion RMB, and 275.05 billion RMB respectively, with growth rates of 16.64%, 19.66%, 36.85%, and 16.27% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is expected to be 11.70 billion RMB, with a staggering year-on-year increase of 681.65% [4] - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 9.38 billion RMB, 14.49 billion RMB, and 17.51 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 16.79%, 54.41%, and 20.86% respectively [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is projected at 5.52 RMB, with forecasts of 3.79 RMB, 4.42 RMB, 6.83 RMB, and 8.25 RMB for the following years [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price not specified [4] Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 10.07 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.6%, with a net profit of 1.15 billion RMB, also up by 19.5% [1] - The gross margin is reported at 41.5%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points, while the net profit margin remains stable at 11.4% [1] - The company has shown strong performance in various product categories, with children's clothing revenue growing by 19.5% and accessories by 27% [1] - The e-commerce segment has also demonstrated resilience, with online sales reaching 2.61 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 12.2% [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 11.3 billion RMB, 12.8 billion RMB, and 14.5 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [4] - Corresponding net profits are expected to be 1.3 billion RMB, 1.4 billion RMB, and 1.6 billion RMB for the same years [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.61 RMB, 0.69 RMB, and 0.79 RMB for 2025 to 2027 [9] Channel Structure Optimization - The company operates 5,750 stores with an average store size of 149 square meters, showing a net increase of 11 square meters year-on-year [3] - Approximately 75.9% of the stores are located in third-tier cities or below, indicating a strategic focus on expanding in less saturated markets [3] - The introduction of the new "super product" store format aims to enhance customer experience and capture new market opportunities [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for AIA Group is maintained as "Buy" [8] Core Insights - In 2024, AIA Group reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of $6.836 billion, an increase of 84% year-on-year at constant exchange rates. The after-tax operating profit was $6.605 billion, and the new business value (NBV) reached $4.712 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7% and 18% respectively. The embedded value (EV) stood at $69.035 billion, up 4% from the beginning of the year. The final dividend was HK$1.31 per share, a 10% increase year-on-year, with the total annual dividend rising by 9%, aligning with expectations [1][4][6]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - AIA Group's total investment scale reached $288.621 billion by the end of 2024, marking a 7.5% increase from the beginning of the year. The net and total investment yield for non-participating and surplus assets remained stable at 4.3% and 4.8% respectively, with net investment performance increasing by 133.4% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced financial expenses related to insurance contracts [4][6]. Liability Side - The NBV growth rate for 2024 was 18%, a decrease of 7 percentage points compared to the first half of 2024, but still indicating robust growth. The main driver was the new annualized premium income, which reached $8.606 billion, up 14% year-on-year. The new business profitability also improved, with the value rate increasing by 1.9 percentage points to 54.5% [2][3]. Regional Performance - In 2024, the NBV growth rates for various regions were as follows: Hong Kong +23%, Mainland China +20%, Thailand +15%, Singapore +15%, Malaysia +10%, and other regions +18%. Hong Kong led with an NBV of $1.764 billion, benefiting from strong growth in local and visitor business [3]. Shareholder Returns - AIA Group announced a new share buyback program of $1.6 billion, slightly increasing its shareholder return strategy. The expected completion of this buyback is within 2025, and the total shareholder return, including dividends and buybacks, is estimated to yield a dividend yield of approximately 6% based on the company's market capitalization at the end of the previous year [5][6]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Given the strong growth momentum in diverse business markets and the expected opening of new branches, the profit forecast for AIA Group has been revised upward. The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is expected to grow by 2.2%, 25.0%, and 10.4% respectively. The target price is set at HK$83.3, corresponding to a price-to-embedded value (PEV) of 1.5 times for 2025, maintaining the "Buy" rating [6][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price not specified [4] Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 10.07 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.6%, with a net profit of 1.15 billion RMB, also up by 19.5% [1] - The gross margin is reported at 41.5%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points, while the net profit margin remains stable at 11.4% [1] - The company has established a leading position in children's sportswear, leveraging professional layouts and product innovations to achieve resilient growth [2] - The offline retail performance is strong, with a high double-digit growth in Q1 and a steady 10% growth in subsequent quarters [1][2] - E-commerce sales reached 2.61 billion RMB, marking a 12.2% increase, with online exclusive products accounting for 83.6% of total retail [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 10.07 billion RMB and a net profit of 1.15 billion RMB, both reflecting a growth of approximately 19.5% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected at 0.556 RMB, with a dividend payout of 0.265 HKD, representing a payout ratio of 45% [1] Product and Market Development - The children's segment generated 2.34 billion RMB, accounting for 23.2% of total revenue, with children's footwear and apparel growing by 17.4% and 22.6% respectively [2] - The company has expanded its product line to cater to the 16-year-old demographic and introduced a competitive children's racing series [2] Channel Optimization - The company operates 5,750 stores with an average store size of 149 square meters, with a significant presence in lower-tier cities [3] - The introduction of the 361º Super Store format aims to enhance customer experience and capture new market opportunities [3] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are set at 11.3 billion RMB, 12.8 billion RMB, and 14.5 billion RMB respectively, with net profits expected to reach 1.3 billion RMB, 1.4 billion RMB, and 1.6 billion RMB [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Insights - The company has shown significant sales growth, with a total sales amount of 251.0 billion yuan in January-February 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.8% [1] - The company ranked third in total sales amount in the industry, outperforming the average performance of the top 100 real estate companies [1] - The company has actively acquired land in key cities, achieving a top position in land acquisition amount with 317.7 billion yuan in January-February 2025 [2] - The company has reported steady growth in recurring income, with a total of 83.9 billion yuan in recurring business income for January-February 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11.6% [3] - The company is expected to maintain strong earnings growth, with an estimated EPS of 3.73 yuan for 2024 [4] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In January-February 2025, the company achieved a sales area of 1.073 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%, with an average sales price of 23,392 yuan per square meter, up 12% year-on-year [1] - In February alone, the sales amount reached 135 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46.9% [1] Land Acquisition - The company acquired land worth 317.7 billion yuan, with a new value of 620.7 billion yuan, leading the land acquisition rankings [2] - Notable acquisitions include a land parcel in Shanghai for 50.9 billion yuan and a new land price record in Hangzhou at 50,683 yuan per square meter [2] Recurring Income - The company's recurring business income for January-February 2025 was 54.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.7% [3] - The growth in recurring income is expected to continue with the opening of five new major shopping centers in 2025 [3] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to have a net profit of 28.5 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.17% [10] - The estimated P/E ratio for 2025 is 5.83, indicating a favorable valuation [10]

2 月销售量价齐升，优质资产率先修复 ——华润置地点评报告 事件 2025 年 3 月 13 日，华润置地发布 2025 年 2 月经营数据情况。 投资要点 ❑ 销售额同比高增，印证核心地段核心资产价格率先修复 2025 年 1-2 月，公司累计销售额 251.0 亿元，同比增长 21.8%；销售面积 107.3 万平方米，同比增长 8.7%；销售均价 23392 元/平，同比上涨 12%，与 2024 年销售均价相比上涨 1.5%。2 月单月来看，公司销售额 135 亿元，同比增 长 46.9%；销售面积 58.5 万平，同比增长 28.1%；销售均价 23077 元/平，同 比增长 14.6%。2025 年 1-2 月公司全口径销售金额位列克而瑞排行榜第 3 位， 与 2024 年相比排名保持稳定，公司销售金额同比增幅亮眼，显著优于百强房企 平均表现（百强 2 月增幅 1.2%，1-2 月增幅-1.2%），彰显了公司城市深耕的优 势，我们认为在市场企稳修复期的，公司的销售弹性更加值得关注。 ❑ 经常性收入稳健增长，2 月单月增幅扩大 2025 年 1-2 月公司经常性业务收入 83.9 亿元，同比增长 1 ...

买入（维持评级） 3 月 14 日，理想汽车发布 24Q4 及 24 年全年财报： 1、营收：Q4 公司交付 15.9 万台，同/环比+20.4%/+3.8%。其中 L6/7/8/9/M 销量分别为 7.8/3.6/2.1/2.0/0.3 万辆，L6 占比 49%， 环比基本持平。Q4 营收 442.7 亿元，同/环比+6.1%/+3.3%；其中汽 车业务营收 426.4 亿元，同/环比+5.6%/+3.2%；我们计算 Q4 单车 ASP 26.9 万元，同/环比-12.3%/-3.8%。24 年全年，公司累计销售 50 万辆，同比+33.6%，营收 1444.6 亿元，同比+16.6%，单车 ASP 27.7 万元，同比-13.8%。 2、费用：Q4 研发&SGA 费用分别为 24.1/30.8 亿元，研发&SGA 费用 率 5.4%/4.9%，环比-0.6pct/-1.9pct，环比连续下滑。 3、利润：1） Q3 毛利率 20.3%，同/环比-3.2pct/-1.3pct；其中汽 车业务毛利率 19.7%，同/环比-3.1pct/+1.3pct；24 年全年，公司 毛利率/汽车业务毛利率分别为 20.5 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (1164 HK) is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 2.00 [7][8]. Core Views - The company has issued a profit warning, expecting a net profit of HKD 317 to 367 million for 2024, representing a year-on-year decline of 26% to 35%. This is primarily due to the accrual of dividend withholding tax and losses from the termination of operations related to the Fission acquisition. However, the tax-adjusted operating profit is expected to grow by 41% to 50%, reaching HKD 790 to 840 million, driven by rising uranium prices [1][2]. - The report expresses optimism regarding the recovery of uranium prices, supported by policies promoting nuclear energy in the US and Europe, which are expected to create a supply-demand gap that will drive prices upward in the medium to long term [1][3]. Summary by Sections Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2024 has been revised down by 35% to HKD 0.05 per share, while the EPS for 2025 and 2026 remains at HKD 0.10 and HKD 0.14 respectively. The target price is set at HKD 2.00, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 20x for 2025 [4][12]. Revenue and Profitability - The projected revenue for 2024 is HKD 9,919 million, with a year-on-year growth of 34.72%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be HKD 364.07 million, reflecting a decrease of 26.76% compared to 2023. The company anticipates a recovery in profitability with a projected net profit of HKD 764.89 million in 2025 [6][17]. Uranium Market Outlook - The spot price of uranium is expected to stabilize, having dropped from USD 76 to USD 65 per pound, while long-term contract prices have increased to USD 81 per pound, indicating ongoing supply-demand tensions in the industry. Key drivers for future uranium demand include regulatory changes in the US and potential shifts in Germany's nuclear policy [3][4].

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2025 年 03 月 12 日 珍酒李渡（06979.HK） 五十年酿一壶好酒，启新程攀世界一流 | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 5856 | 7030 | 7501 | 8274 | 9254 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 14.8 | 20.1 | 6.7 | 10.3 | 11.8 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1029.87 | 2327.08 | 1592.45 | 2005.12 | 2414.22 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -0.2 | 126.0 | -31.6 | 25.9 | 20.4 | | ROE（%） | -27.0 | 18.4 | 11.2 | 12.3 | 12.9 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元） | 0.30 | 0.69 | 0.47 | 0.59 | 0.71 | | P/E（倍） | 24.9 | 11.0 | 16.1 | 12.8 | 10.6 | ...

证券研究报告 友邦保险 (1299 HK) 版 服 酒 2024: NBV 稳健增长,回购小幅延续 | 华泰研究 | | --- | | 2025 年 3 月 14 日 中国香港 | 友邦保险 2024年EPS USD0.62，高于我们的预测 USD0.56, 主要因投资 收益超预期:24年友邦新业务价值同比提升 18%(不变汇率),表现稳定; 每股营运利润同比提升 12%（不变汇率），表现较好。维持"买入"。 假设调整影响大陆市场 NBV 增速 2024 年友邦新业务价值(NBV)同比提升 18%(不变汇率,下同),主要 由大中华市场的高速增长带动。2024年中国香港市场 NBV 同比增长 23%， 其中内地访客和本地居民分别+22%/24%,在高基数下展现出增长韧性。中 国大陆市场 NBV 同比增长 20%,公司下调了大陆市场长期利率假设,在不 调整基数的情况下 4Q24 大陆市场 NBV 下滑 9%。考虑到友邦经营地域持 续扩张,我们看好友邦中国未来的增长潜力。此外,东南亚市场也保持稳健 增长,2024 年友邦泰国/新加坡/马来西亚 NBV 分别同比增长 15%/15%/10%。我们预计 2025年 N ...